Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 08, 2009
Searching for a Bottom in Base Metals and Industrial Commodities Markets / Commodities / Investing 2009
What was viewed as inconceivable a year ago is now a reality - roughly $ 30 -trillion of wealth was erased from global stock markets, during a brutal 15-month bear market that began in October 2007 . S peculators scrambled for the exits as a crisis originally thought to be limited to the US-mortgage sector morphed into a full-blown “credit crunch,” unlike anything experienced since the Great Depression of the 1930's.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2009
Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares Bottoming Pattern Maturing / Commodities / Oil Companies
The overall base-like pattern carved out by the Ultra Oil & Gas ProShares (NYSE: DIG) during the past 3 months appears to be maturing now. The upmove off of the Dec 24 low at 24.46 to the Jan 6 high at 34.79 appears to be the central upleg off of the Nov 20-Dec 5 double bottom at 21.42-21.71.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2009
Gold Slips as Global Stock Markets Tumble / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
SPOT GOLD PRICES held in a tight $5 range early in London on Thursday, recording an AM Gold Fix fully 2.5% below yesterday morning at $842.50 per ounce.Global stock markets also added to Wednesday's sharp losses, despite a record-low cut to interest rates from the Bank of England – the world's fourth-largest central bank.
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Thursday, January 08, 2009
Gold Retreats from Resistance Towards Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold traders should have exited today as prices are showing strong signs of lower prices in the near future. Gold slid over 4% this week so far, while gold stocks have dropped an average of 9%.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 07, 2009
Gold 2009 Investment Demand to Escalate as Global Depression Bites / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE GOLD BULLION slipped from its best Dollar-level so far this week Wednesday lunchtime in London, ticking back to $861 per ounce as European stock markets fell over 1%.
The Dollar ticked lower meantime from yesterday's 3-week highs vs. the Euro and Yen, while crude oil held above $48 per barrel.
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Wednesday, January 07, 2009
Bloomberg Gold Price Forecast 2009 Survey- Gold the Perfect Insurance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold and Silver Investments have partaken in the Bloomberg Precious Metals Survey (see table of forecasts below) and the Reuters Precious Metals Poll. We would prefer not to get into the forecasting and predictions business as predictions and forecasts are fraught with uncertainty at the best of times and this is particularly the case in 2009 given the massive macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty and risk.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 07, 2009
Why Buy Gold 2009? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold/Ounces in US$ | |||||
Buy Date | Amount | Buy Price | Total (USD) | Price Today | Value Today |
November 7, 2002 | 100/oz. | 318.90 | 100/oz. | ||
Total | 100/oz. | 318.90 | 100/oz. | 886.20 | 78'620.00 |
Profit | 46'730.00 | ||||
Profit (in %) | 146.53% | ||||
OUR LONG-TERM RECOMMENDATION | BUY | ||||
OUR SHORT-TERM RECOMMENDATION | BUY |
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Gold Short-term Overbought, Against Strong Longterm Bullish Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The Era of Simple Solutions continues to unfold. For every complex problem, as the wise man once said, there is a simple solution, that is wrong. Into the abyss of collapsing financial institutions rode the Federal Reserve, with a check book in each hand. The crowd went wild over this simple solution. And in response to the fundamental failure of U.S. auto companies, welfare checks were mailed to them. But yet, that is not enough. As a remedy for the economic ills brought on by the housing debt bubble, the Obama government will borrow about $2.5 trillion dollars in the coming year. One of those trillion dollars will be frittered away on Congressional pork and mailing checks to voters.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Gold Falls into Consolidation Zone of $830 to $890 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has fallen again today and is down some 1% but continues to consolidate between $830/oz and $890/oz. Gold should remain well bid given the degree of international macroeconomic and geopolitical risk challenging us as we enter the New Year. The Middle East tensions continue to escalate and oil is up another 2.5% again today to some $50 per barrel again. Silver has outperformed even gold in the last 30 days and is trading very well – up nearly 17% versus gold’s rise of 12%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Strong U.S. Dollar Forces Gold Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF GOLD fell further in London on Tuesday morning, sliding 2.2% from Monday's US close to hit $840 an ounce – its lowest Dollar-level since Christmas Eve.
European stock markets rallied, while government bonds also retreated, pushing 10-year US Treasury yields up to 2.51%.
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Monday, January 05, 2009
Gold Falls Despite US Fed and ECB Vow to Inflate Out of Recession / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE OF WHOLESALE GOLD slipped for the second session running on Monday, starting New York's first serious trading day of 2009 down 3.3% as Asian stock markets closed sharply higher.The US Dollar knocked the Euro 3¢ lower on the forex market while Gold Prices fell to a six-session low.
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Monday, January 05, 2009
Geopolitics to Drive Gold Prices Higher During 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has commenced the New Year as it did in 2008 – up sharply in early trading before selling off somewhat. Gold surged (along with oil) on the open in Asia on geopolitical concerns with the Israeli military offensive against Gaza escalating. However, with oil giving up some of its earlier gains and the dollar stronger against most currencies so far this morning, gold has given up its earlier gains.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 04, 2009
Gold and Crude Oil Trading 2009 Special Report / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold Trading: Gold closed higher for the week with very low volume due to the holidays. It is difficult to get a feel for where stocks and commodities are headed in the near term because of this light volume. Generally during holiday season light volume favors the longs and prices generally drift higher, which is what we had last week. The charts below will show you how I see the market and how I react to these salutations.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 04, 2009
Silver Technicals Point to Correction Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Although silver does not look as vulnerable to a reaction as gold on the charts, it will likely drop in sympathy should gold go into reverse near-term as expected. On the 1-year chart we can see that overall silver still looks good, with it having broken decisively out of the downtrend of the latter half of last year and also clear above its 50-day moving average, which has now turned up, with the MACD indicator trending upwards too. These positive developments have created the conditions for a new uptrend to get underway.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 04, 2009
Gold Rallying Towards Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
We've been here before haven't we? Gold has been in a rising trend for some considerable time, taking it to trendline or resistance targets, and then "wham!" it gets whacked back down again. Certainly the long-term outlook for gold is excellent, especially given the strong and increasing demand for physical, but over the short to medium-term it now looks set to get taken down again.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Explosive Gold Price Rally During 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
With more than 20 years of experience in the investment industry, Sheldon Inwentash, chairman and CEO of both Pinetree Capital and Mega Uranium sheds some light on the future of gold and navigating the “murky and tricky” junior space.
The Gold Report: Sheldon, from a macro overview, where do you see the precious metals going? The U.S. government and all central bankers are jumping in at unprecedented levels. The Fed says it's going to throw in everything it's got to stimulate. Is it going to be enough and what will that mean for commodities? Or, if it doesn't work, what does that mean?
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Friday, January 02, 2009
New Gold Stock Investment Environment Into 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
At Zeal we welcomed the new year by publishing the latest edition of our Favorite Gold-Producing Stocks Research Report. And looking back a lot has happened in the gold stock arena since the last installment. In fact in just over a year the environment in which we trade these stocks has radically changed. While some of the environmental forces have occurred from the inside out, the most impactful are external in nature and have really caught investors off guard.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Agribusiness ETF Should See Upside Continuation / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
One sector that I continue to follow closely is agribusiness, which technically argues for upside continuation from a base-like pattern structure that has developed since early October. A hurdle of key resistance at 29.25/75 in the Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF (AMEX: MOO) should trigger upside continuation towards 35.00-36.00 thereafter.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
The Ghost of Crude Oil Futures (Part 2) / Commodities / Crude Oil
Happy New Year. Welcome is the psychological reset of the scorecard to our portfolios. Most investors are eager to pretend that the new year will begin with a clean slate, with fresh money and no losses glaring at them from half-opened portfolio statements.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Gold Tumbles in Quiet Start to 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE SPOT PRICE of wholesale gold bullion slipped into the first, quiet session of 2009 trading on Friday, recording a London AM Gold Fix of $869.75 an ounce – some 3.4% above the start of 2008 for Dollar investors.Read full article... Read full article...