Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Gold Rising As All Currencies Devalue In Stagflation Environment / Commodities / Gold & Silver
A profound broad gold rally is underway. It is occurring in almost every single major currency. Unsure about Zimbabwe though. In the last article, two major forecasts were made, both hit squarely. The euro fell, heading toward the 143 stated target forecasted. Talk circulates about the Euro Central Bank eventually cutting interest rates. Pressure will grow enormously. The Germans are isolated in wanting a hard line against price inflation. A Latin Bloc has formed, urging a rate cut as the southern nations of France , Italy , Spain , Portugal , and Greece suffer from housing declines. Even Ireland has joined that bloc. A compromise will be worked out, more like a gang-up against the Germans.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Gold Turns Higher After Profit Taking Earlier in the Week / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES turned higher from this week's 3.3% drop to $897.25 per ounce early Wednesday as European equity markets slipped on news that Eurozone industrial output fell in December.With Treasury bond prices ticking higher – and London 's FTSE stock index losing 1% for the day – US crude oil futures pushed higher above $92 per barrel.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Gold Weakens on Warren Buffett's Offer to Bail Out Monoline Insurers / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was down $14.20 to $908.40 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 20 cents to $17.23 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia before falling late in Asian trade to below the psychologically important $900 level. It fell to a low of $896.55 before rallying in early trading in Europe and is trading at $902.95. Silver has also fallen and is down to $17.10 per ounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Industrial Metal Prices Suggest Shallow Recession / Commodities / Recession
There is an old market saying that nobody rings a bell at the bottom.Case in point, the industrial metals complex. Whilst the entire world has been fixated on slowdowns, recessions and deflations, a funny thing has been happening down at the London Mercantile Exchange.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Large Institutional Buying of Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold continues to do well but we are still impatiently awaiting the gold mining stocks to follow gold's lead. What's happening? Any reason for this? What do the statistics say about the gold equities?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Gold Price Out of Synch With US Dollar Index, Expect Sharp Decline / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By the time you read this, more than enough words will have been expended on the possible sale of Gold by the IMF. Therefore, my comments on the matter will be brief. A group of economists at the IMF want to sell Gold to buy debt paper in order to earn interest income to pay the salaries of a bunch of economists asleep at their desks. Such is not the kind of thinking that makes market tops. Sounds more the thinking that went into the Bank of England sales in 1999.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Gold Fails at Retest of Highs Signals Trend to $850 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has rolled over in a serious way today after climbing for the past week towards a retest of the January high at 92.58. The fact that the rally stalled at 91.46 yesterday and has reversed to the downside with such power today suggests to me that it represents a secondary high within a larger developing intermediate-term top pattern that will have the power to press prices to the 85.00 area prior to completion.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Gold Potential for Massive Short Squeeze on Large Hedgers / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up $4.60 to $923.60 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 33 cents to $17.49 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and early trading in Europe and is trading at $921.80. Silver has also fallen marginally and is down to $17.60 per ounce.Gold also rose in the other major currencies and rose to new near record highs in euros and sterling. The London AM Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $920.25 9 25.50 (up from $908.25). Gold fixed at £472.60 (down from £474.37) and €634.04 (down from €635.91).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Gold Falters as Rumours Grow of a Major Bank Failure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION continued to tick lower from yesterday's six-session high early Tuesday, slipping $5 from last night's New York close as rumors grew of a major banking loss in Europe and the US government prepared a new bail-out for struggling mortgage debtors.By the AM Fix in London , set at $920.25 per ounce, European stocks had pushed 0.6% higher despite a 5.3% drop in ING, the Netherlands ' largest bank, now said to be facing a severe loss on its US subprime investments.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Gold is a Better Inflation Hedge Than Real Estate / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The U.S. will likely spin into a long era of high inflation. The coming years will look like the 1970s. There is also a good risk of hyperinflation, which is a particularly severe bout of high inflation. Thus, the vital question for every investor is: How to hedge, or protect your wealth, against inflation? Some, especially realtors, urge to hedge this risk with real estate. So, should we really hedge with real estate?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 11, 2008
Gold Rises as High Commodity Prices Are a Reflection of Monetary Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GOLD FOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY pushed higher in volatile trade early on Monday, gaining 0.7% from Friday's close to reach $927 per ounce in London as world stock markets dropped yet again.The broad FTSE index of Europe 's 300 largest companies slipped 0.5% for the day, while copper and most other base metals continued to gain as bad weather blocked Chinese output.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 11, 2008
Gold Remains the Preserve of the Smart Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up $11.80 to $918.20 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 60 cents to $17.11 per ounce. Gold has continued to rally in Asia and early trading in Europe and is up to $924. Silver has also risen and is up to $17.30 per ounce.
Gold also rose in the other major currencies and rose to new near record highs in euros and sterling. The London AM Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $925.50 (up from $908.25). Gold fixed at £474.37 (up from £465.53) and €635.91 (up from €620.516).
Monday, February 11, 2008
Gold Expected to Retrace to $800 Area / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“ We've already seen the start of support above the 5-week moving average, about $900, and could see a healthy retracement next week that still won't preclude further declines if not making a significant new high. Silver has not invalidated a corrective count either. That wouldn't occur until nearly $17.50. The 5-day moving average … will be crucial early next week in determining support and resistance. A platinum group metals play based on shrinking supply could be a haven if the more monetary metals are due for a near term correction.” ~ Precious Points: New Month, New Direction? February 02, 2008Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 10, 2008
Gold Bullish, But Gold Stocks Showing Bearish Divergence / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Up and down but in the end gold seems to be having trouble moving. Does it have anything to do with the recent strengthening in the U.S. Dollar Index?
GOLD : LONG TERM
From a long term perspective there is no real serious problem with gold. The indicators change very slowly so one does not expect sudden changes in the technical situation. Gold continues to trade well above its long term moving average line and the line continues to trend upwards. The long term momentum (price strength) indicator is also well inside its positive zone with no hint of a reversal in site. It recently moved into new highs confirming the strength of the recent gold price action. The volume indicator (an indication of speculative interest) continues above its long term trigger line and the trigger continues to point upward. The only cautionary signs are in the more aggressive time periods which will be reviewed below.
Saturday, February 09, 2008
When Will Gold and SIlver Share Prices Catch Up Precious Metal Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Many of you out there are frustrated at what seems to be the very poor performance of gold & silver mining shares over the last couple of years when compared to the performance of the gold & silver price, understandably so. Even the Junior's have not performed to their full potential. Why not?
There have been several reasons: -
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 08, 2008
Maximise Gold Profits by Using Leveradge HUI Unhedged Gold-stock Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a stock-market sector, gold stocks are obscure, increasingly volatile, and seemingly perpetually unloved. Yet investors and speculators choose to own them anyway. Why? Because in the past gold stocks have greatly amplified gold's underlying gains. Traders are betting this outperforming behavior will continue in the future.
The outperformance so far in this bull market has been enormous. At best in recent weeks, the flagship HUI unhedged gold-stock index was up 1237% since its bull was born in November 2000. This incredible run was driven by a 262% gain in gold since its own bull launched in April 2001. Thus bull to date per simple math, the HUI has leveraged gold's underlying gains by 4.7x!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 08, 2008
Gold Rises on "Perfect Storm" - Falling Interest Rates and Rising Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF GOLD jumped almost 1% at the London opening on Friday, building on solid overnight trade to reach a one-week high of $916 per ounce as Asian stock markets sold off yet again and European equities held flat.The Nikkei on Tokyo ended the week 3.6% lower, while crude oil rose almost $1 per barrel in London on new supply problems in both Nigeria and the North Sea .
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 08, 2008
Gold Rises Against All Currencies and Looks Set to Challenge All Time Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up $5.90 to $906.40 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 23 cents to $16.74 per ounce. Gold continued to rally in Asia and surged in early trading in Europe and is up to $915 per ounce. Silver has also surged and is up to $17.02 per ounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 08, 2008
Uranium Stocks Continue to Trend Lower - Have a Beer! / Commodities / Uranium
Another small loss for the uranium stocks. Last time we had four in a row the fifth day was the worst. Let's hope that history does not always repeat. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed down 0.019 points or 0.59%. The winners perked up a bit with 16 stocks on the up side, 30 stocks on the down side and 4 unchanged. Cameco gained 0.7% while Denison lost 5.1%, First Uranium closed unchanged, Paladin lost 3.1% and Uranium One down 3.2%. The best gainer on the day was Magnum Uranium with a gain of 8.0% while the worst loser was Uracan with a loss of 9.5%.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 07, 2008
Silver Commercials Short Covering to Result Price Spike / Commodities / Gold & Silver
One major theme that unites a lot of silver investors is the matter of the major short sellers of silver. To be more precise, the well known fact is that the class of silver traders known as the commercials has been net short silver for literally decades. The chart below demonstrates this fact quite readily. The silver price is in green and the net commercial position in black (a negative number indicates a collective short position).Read full article... Read full article...