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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2007

Silver Coiled and Ready to Spring / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Back in the middle of April I wrote an article that suggested a price pattern for silver that has not been publicized much. In an often polarized area of debate, it was a position that was neither bullish nor bearish but rather a suggestion that silver would drop into a channel formation prior to its next price explosion. I quote from the article:

Note how after the big drop in April 2004, silver also advanced in a similar fashion to our current moves on a rising trend line until the old highs of $8.50 were nearly taken out in December 2004. However, this trend broke to the downside to begin a channel movement for silver for some months before the true breakout occurred in September 2005.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2007

Gold Sales - The Reasoning Behind Switzerland's Policy Decision / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The classic question has to be asked again, what is the price of gold? If we answer $xxx, then we have to ask the next question, what is the price of a $?

Is the $ so reliable a store of value that it can be used as a measure of gold? This questions the very foundation of the paper currency system. Can one trust the $ or even the international monetary system? It's all a question of degree.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2007

Lead Bull Market / Commodities / Lead

By: Zeal_LLC

There is no denying the fact that we are in a long-term secular bull market for nearly all commodities. And the transformation our global economy is undergoing is unparalleled to anything we've seen in modern history. An economic supercycle has emerged in which a vortex of demand is sucking in commodities with relentless fury.

As suppliers feed the powerful spiraling current, they continue to struggle to meet demand as even record-high prices can hardly stand as a deterrent in suppressing its force. And the industrial metals that are indispensable in their role in building this economy are beginning to take center stage among the commodities investors.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2007

Silver Miners: It is not good enough to be good / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Bob_Kirtley

Having spent a good chunk of my career involved with major construction projects I have gained experience in the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) timeframes of a variety of projects.

The reason we are bringing this to your attention as investors is in response to our mailbag, which currently has a theme of: “I bought this mining company a couple of weeks ago and they have not produced any metal yet”

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

You Would Have Thought It Was a Gold Bull Market! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Richard_J_Greene

There are just an overwhelming amount of bullish factors for gold and silver that are still cleverly being camouflaged so that the fewest possible can see them.  From this point forward; remember the words of former Fed Chairman Paul Volker from the 1970's, “the one mistake that I made was in not capping the gold price.” 

Do not forget that statement because they did not forget this time and that has created the most incredible investment opportunity for those that see through it that has ever existed.  Control and manipulation in precious metals markets has reached a new level of transparency this year in an effort to discourage interest in the precious metals for their traditional investment merits.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Gold and Silver Bull Market LIFT OFF / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

On Wednesday gold and silver selling exhausted at 640.00 and 12.00

There are a number of bells ringing this morning (AM Thursday), that tell us it's ‘safe to get back in the water'.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Institutions See Opportunity in China's Coal Bed Methane Projects / Commodities / Coal

By: James_Finch

Why are institutional investors rushing to buy into foreign companies with CBM production-sharing contracts in China?

Earlier this month, tiny Hong-Kong listed Zhongyu Gas Holdings (Hong Kong Stock Code: 8070) announced a number of ‘leading institutions' had participated in its latest round of financings to develop the company's coalbed methane (CBM) resources in China.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

The Gold of the Pharaohs - Egyption Gold Mining / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: Just the mention of "the gold of the pharaohs" conjures up images of pyramids, enormously rich rulers, sparkling statues, bejeweled beauties, and forgotten treasure troves.

Heck, the famous funerary mask and coffin of King Tutankhamen was made from more than 242 pounds of pure gold! And King Tut was just a taste of the vast wealth gathered by the ancient society by the Nile.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Precious Metals: Fortune Favours the Brave / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Bob_Kirtley

There are times when a dark cloud descends upon us casting a gloomy shadow of doubt over our investment decisions, testing our courage to the point of destruction.

As we write, the price of Gold has dipped to below $640.00 rendering the milestone of $700.00 a little more then a dream we once had. Yes it is tough to see your Gold investment take it on the chin with little or no come back. But are we not forgetting that this is a seasonal event and the month of June is probably the worst there is as the summer time blues weigh heavily on the markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Crack Up Boom Part IV - Gold, Oil and the Dollar / Commodities / Global Financial System

By: Ty_Andros

The Crack-up Boom Series Part IV Introduction

The Crack Up Boom series is exploring the unfolding “Indirect Exchange” (as detailed by Ludvig Von Mises), that dollar holders will be using to exit their holdings now and eventually is will be followed by all holders of fiat currency holdings no matter which country is perpetrating the “fraud” of confiscation of wealth through the printing and credit creation process that all such monetary schemes evolve into. The “Crack Up Boom” will drive an inflationary global expansion to inconceivable heights over the coming years. Asset prices will skyrocket as people do what they always do when threatened, they will modify their behavior and do the things necessary for “SELF PRESERVATION” of their families, countries, economies and their wealth. Let's take a look at Von Mises description of the CRACK UP BOOM once again:

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

What's Going On In the Precious Metals Sector? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Investmentscore.com

The past few days of trading in gold and silver are a great example of why we continually stress the importance of keeping the big picture in perspective. It is difficult not to become emotional when dramatic one day drops catch even the most seasoned investors off guard.

In the short term, strong dramatic price drops strike fear and doubt into our trading decisions. In these situations we are likely to sell out of our well considered investments and bury our heads in the sand as we can not bear to watch. Remember, if trading the financial markets was easy, everyone would be home building wealth and nobody would be working.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 28, 2007

How I Made Eric Bollings Agricultural Commodities Stock Market Play My Own / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Michael_K_Dawson

On Thursday, June 15, the Admiral, Eric Bolling, of CNBC's Fast Money, presented an update to his Agricultural Stock trade (Ag Play). To capitalize on the trend of higher commodity prices allowing farmers to spend more money on new equipment, higher yielding seeds and better fertilizers – he constructed a four stock portfolio.

The stocks are Monsanto Company (MON), a seed producer, Agrium Inc. (AGU), a fertilizer supplier, Bunge Limited (BG), a grain and seed processor and Deere (DE), a farming equipment company. I have been trading energy as well as precious and base metal stocks for a number of years. The idea of playing soft commodities via the stock market was quite appealing. I wrote about it in “Eric Bolling's Agriculture Stock Play: Is it Too Late?”

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Falling Molybdenum Production; Chinese Exports Limits: Record Price? / Commodities / Molybdenum

By: James_Finch

Our sources in Asia confirmed an industry trade report pre-announcing China would slash export quotas on molybdenum products by approximately 50 percent. The quotas are expected take effect next week.

Many were bracing for a 30-percent reduction in molybdenum exports.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

GOLD THOUGHTS - Gold Investors Should Be Using This Selling to Add to Gold Positions / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Good morning sheep! All of you with money in hedge funds, that gave money to your alma mater so they could speculate in hedge funds, and that bought BX on offering, the clippers are ready. Shearing of sheep can now start as all sheep are in the pen. This week they closed the gate, and got out the clippers.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

The Golden Lunch - Gold, Money or Commodity? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The commodity view of gold fails to explain WHY people buy gold, whether it's rough jewelry in India or investment-grade bars stored in Swiss vaults..."

"LOOK, THERE ARE two schools of thought here – gold as a commodity versus gold as money..."

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Gold XAU Index and Financial Markets Analysis - Strong Nerves Required / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Brian_Bloom

It can be seen from the chart that the most recent price weakness in XAU brought it to rest on the lower trendline that has been in place since 2002.

Can this trendline be penetrated on the downside? Of course it can. It happened for a few months in mid 2005 – before pulling back up to move within the rising channel once again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Silver Looking Weak with High Downside Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

As the arguments set out in the Gold Market update are equally applicable to silver, they will not be repeated here, and in this Silver Market update we will only discuss the differences worthy of note.

Whereas gold broke down from its uptrend in force since mid-2005 only this month, Silver broke down from its similar uptrend late in April and early in May. This doesn't actually make much practical difference, for as we can see when the 2-year silver chart and 2-year gold chart are put side by side, where one goes they both go.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

GOLD Downtrend Continues To Target $600 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Two months have passed since the last gold analysis was posted Gold Forecast Elliott Wave Analysis of Gold - A Word of Caution for Gold Bulls , which implied an imminent 5th wave peak and trend towards $600.

Now two months on, Gold did make the high just shy of $700 at $698 since which gold has followed a shallow trend lower. Even though Gold broke the major uptrend line in mid May 07, the trend to date continues to be of a corrective nature. Which means that despite being in an immediate downtrend, the long-term gold bull market remains intact. Now gold bulls should NOT take that statement to imply its safe to buy gold today, as you do not buy a falling market!

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

Stainless Steel Crossover Drives Manganese Prices Higher / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: James_Finch

By James Finch and Ken Reser: Although manganese is the fourth most heavily consumed metal – behind iron, aluminum and copper, most investors have failed to observe the dramatic bull market in manganese which began unfolding this past spring.

About 34 million tons of manganese ore were mined in 2006.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Gold Market Update - Gold Oversold and Near Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

We have recently maintained a neutral/bearish stance on gold, which was not unreasonable given the way the earlier advance had petered out and been followed by weakness resulting in the failure of a long-term uptrend line that signaled a change of intermediate trend from up to neutral/down. However, the subsequent lack of downside follow through to break the price below key support at and above its long-term 200 and 200-day moving averages, combined with emerging evidence of significant accumulation of large Precious Metals stocks has justified a review and a shift in stance to neutral/bullish.

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