Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 06, 2017
More Strange And Disturbing Action In The Paper Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: John_Rubino
For at least the past decade the behavior of the people who trade gold futures contracts – and thereby determine the metal’s price – has been generally predictable: The “commercials” – big banks and companies that buy gold to do things with it – have suckered the speculators – mostly hedge funds who chase trends – into going very long and very short at exactly the wrong time.
Which means the price action in gold six or so months in the future was broadly predictable. When the speculators were way long, it was going down and vice versa.
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Wednesday, December 06, 2017
When Will Quiet Precious Metals Markets Get the Catalyst They Need / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Fear and greed drive the precious metals markets, but there hasn’t been much of either pushing gold and silver prices lately. Investors have grown tired of worrying about geopolitical events, ever increasing federal debt ceilings and ever inflating equity bubbles.
Meanwhile, greedy trend traders continue piling in to hot markets.
With the exception of palladium, metals prices have been stagnant for most of the year. For the time being, gold and silver are looking pretty boring relative to the hefty gains in stock prices and the explosive rise in Bitcoin.
Wednesday, December 06, 2017
Crude Oil and Negative Divergences / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Friday, crude oil increased and approached the November peak, but did this increase change anything in the broader perspective? Is it possible that the non-USD chart of crude oil give us more clues about black gold future moves?
Tuesday, December 05, 2017
Are We Ready For A Gold And Silver Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
Many of you who follow my analysis have learned quite well how I look at the market. And, those of you who have read me in the past know that I do not view fundamentals as being relevant to determining when we can see a major turn in the metals market.
In fact, in 2011, the fundamentals for the metals market were exceptionally strong, with most everyone believing in the certainty of gold exceeding the $2,000 mark, just before we began a multi-year pullback.
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
How High Will Gold Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Harry_Dent
No. I’m not flip-flopping!As I told subscribers to our Boom & Bust monthly newsletter in November, I stand by my forecast that gold must still lose about 65% of its current value before we hit the bottom of this latest commodity cycle, around 2020 or 2023. And when the markets unravel, as they must, gold will tumble, just like it did in 2008. It’s NOT a safe haven in a deflationary environment, like it is in an inflationary one!
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
Gold and Silver Price Bottom Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Gold and silver are on track to hit a yearly low this December, as they have for the past five years, says Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold, who explains his reasoning and why he welcomes these moves.
Silver and gold have hit a new a low for the year during December in each of the last five years. They are on track for repeating their journey this year if we are to believe sentiment matters. And I do.
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
The True Meaning of Bitcoin's 'Success' / Commodities / Bitcoin
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses Bitcoin, currency devaluation, and gold and silver. In the year 301 AD, the Roman unit of barter was the denarius, which had originally been 95% pure silver when introduced by Augustus at the end of the first century BC but by the time of Diocletian's rule, it had moved to 50,000 denarii to a pound of gold. Ten year later, it took 120,000 denarii to buy a pound of gold and by 337, that figure was 20,000,000. What had occurred in a mere 400 years was that a slow and agonizing erosion in the purchasing power of the Roman currency accelerated to full fiat disintegration and that complete and total disregard for the denarius was attributed as one of the underlying causes of the Fall of the Roman Empire. Nothing was more evident in the underlying rot permeating Roman society, economics and national security than the refusal by the Barbarian armies to accept anything but gold as payment for their leaving the Roman legions alone. Rejection of the currency of the Roman Empire was complete and irreversible.
Tuesday, December 05, 2017
Gerald Celente: Middle East Wild Cards Could Bring Down Markets, Drive Up Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it's always great to have him on with us.
Gerald, thanks for taking the time and welcome back.
Gerald Celente: Thanks for having me on.
Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, to start off here, we still have the equities markets ripping and roaring and there is seemingly no news that can derail the train. So, as we head into the end of the year, what does your forecast show for the crowd on Wall Street? Is the party going to end anytime soon?
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Tuesday, December 05, 2017
Geopolitical Risk Isn’t Driving Rising Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: John_Mauldin
By GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND XANDER SNYDER : At the end of October, Brent crude prices crossed $60 per barrel for the first time in two years. They peaked at around $64.
Experts explained the spike with vague references to “geopolitical risk,” without really detailing what those risks entailed. Such explanations are not wrong, but they are careless.
A proper geopolitical risk assessment goes beyond vague wording. It contains a deep understanding of relevant economic, political, and military factors.
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Monday, December 04, 2017
Silver’s Positive Fundamentals Due To Strong Demand In Key Growth Industries / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Increased efforts in green energy and advanced technology set to boosts silver’s demand
– Four-year supply deficit set to increase due to fewer mine openings and discoveries
– Bank manipulation may be why silver under performing
– TD Securities and the Bank of Montreal expect silver to be best performing precious metal in 2018
– Growing industrial demand combined with monetary safe haven makes silver an excellent diversifier
Monday, December 04, 2017
Bitcoin Achieved What The Gold Market Never Could & Never Will? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Sol_Palha
There is no absurdity so palpable but that it may be firmly planted in the human head if you only begin to inculcate it before the age of five, by constantly repeating it with an air of great solemnity. Arthur Schopenhauer
Gold bottomed in 2002, and it took nine years for its trade to a high of roughly $1900 (September 2011). Contrast that to Bitcoin, in less than 1/3rd of the amount of time it is showing gains of more than 11,000%. It took nine years for Gold to show gains of roughly 700% and Gold has given up a substantial portion of those gains.
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Monday, December 04, 2017
Gold Intermediate Cycle Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: SurfCity
Please also see my weekend post on the USD. I will be adding a few more updates over the next few hours.
This weekend, I would like to step back and take a longer term perspective on where Gold is likely headed in 2018. My first chart is a 20+ year weekly showing that Gold is at a major inflection point in my long term uptrend channel. It shows a massive 20+ year Bull Flag that is either going to continue its breakout above the 2011 down trend or this will be a false breakout and my uptrend channel will fail.
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Sunday, December 03, 2017
War on Gold Intensifies: It Betrays the Elitists’ Panic and Augurs Their Coming Defeat Part2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Stewart_Dougherty
Dictatorship (noun): Definition #3: absolute power or authority (Websters);
Def. #2: absolute, imperious or overbearing power or control (Random House);
Def. #3: Absolute or despotic control or power (American Heritage);
Def. #3: Absolute or supreme power or authority (Collins English Dictionary);
Def. #1: A type of government where absolute sovereignty is allotted
to an individual or small clique (Wikipedia).
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained, you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” Sun Tzu, The Art of War
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Saturday, December 02, 2017
How Will Gold End 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The 2017 is almost gone. The last eleven months were not perhaps a spectacular time for gold, but it managed to rise more than 12 percent year-to-date, as one can see in the chart below.
Chart 1: Gold prices year-to-date (London P.M. Fix).
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Saturday, December 02, 2017
Gold Junior Stocks Q3’17 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
The junior gold miners’ stocks have spent months grinding sideways near lows, sapping confidence and breeding widespread bearishness. The entire precious-metals sector has been left for dead, eclipsed by the dazzling Trumphoria stock-market rally. But traders need to keep their eyes on the fundamental ball so herd sentiment doesn’t mislead them. The juniors recently reported Q3 earnings, and enjoyed strong results.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends. Canadian companies have similar requirements. In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Why Have You Been So Quiet About Metals? / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Avi_Gilburt
The question in the title is one of the most frequent comments I have been getting of late. And, the answer is quite simple: They are not doing anything right now. In fact, if you look at the charts, we have been in the same general region for several months.
But, you see, many of you really don’t want an update to know what I really think about the complex. Rather, many of you want an update to either soothe your emotions about the market, or to provide some confirmation bias for you. It has become purely emotional for you, so you feel the need to constantly deal with your emotions.
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Thursday, November 30, 2017
The War on Gold Intensifies: It Betrays the Elitists’ Panic and Augurs Their Coming Defeat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Stewart_Dougherty
Dictatorship (noun): Definition #3: absolute power or authority (Websters);
Def. #2: absolute, imperious or overbearing power or control (Random House);
Def. #3: Absolute or despotic control or power (American Heritage);
Def. #3: Absolute or supreme power or authority (Collins English Dictionary);
Def. #1: A type of government where absolute sovereignty is allotted
to an individual or small clique (Wikipedia).
Thursday, November 30, 2017
Low Cost Gold In The Age Of QE, AI, Trump and War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
‘Fear and Loathing In the Age of QE … AI’ is a presentation given at Mining Investment London earlier this week.
Stephen Flood, CEO of GoldCore presentation (28 minutes) was well received at the conference which is a strategic mining and investment conference for leaders in the mining and investment sectors, bringing together attendees from 20 countries.
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Wednesday, November 29, 2017
Gold Being Odd and USD Being Tricky / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Every now and then we see some kind of anomaly on the precious metals market. Sometimes it’s particularly useful and sometimes it’s just something random. Yesterday was one of those days when something didn’t seem right. The USD Index rallied, silver declined, mining stocks declined and yet, gold closed the session higher. What can we infer from this uncommon event?
Wednesday, November 29, 2017
Own Gold Bullion To “Support National Security” – Russian Central Bank / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– We own gold bullion to “support national security” – Russian Central Bank
– Russia warns Washington: Confiscating fx reserves would be “declaration of financial war”
– Russia has quadrupled its gold bullion reserves in decade
– BRICs discussing ‘the possibility of establishing a single (system of) gold trade’
– Russia, China & maybe Saudi Arabia form alliances to unseat petrodollar
– Putin warns state-owned and private companies: be ready for rapid transition to war-time operations
– Russia, China gold-buying, Saudi strategic shift signal petrodollar era ending