Monday, April 10, 2017

Stock Market Still No Clear Short-Term Direction - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, April 10, 2017

UK Help to Buy Vacuum Contributes to Mortgage Interest Rates Rise / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, highlights that the average two-year fixed rate at 95% loan-to-value has increased by 0.25% since January 2017, bringing the figure back to around the same rate it was a year ago.

Monday, April 10, 2017

A Brave New World for the Kremlin / Politics / Russia

By: STRATFOR

Every country faces generational change. Evolutions in technology, culture, social mores and global affairs can leave a gulf between young and old that neither can easily bridge. In Russia, that gulf is especially vast. As of this year, 27 percent of Russians were born after the fall of the Soviet Union, and that number will jump to nearly 40 percent within the next decade. The rising generation was never Sovietized. Most of them, moreover, are too young to remember the tumultuous 1990s, a decade of war, financial crisis and political disarray. Unlike the older generations, they don't recall President Vladimir Putin's promises to save Russia or the measures he took to stabilize the country after its post-Soviet tailspin. In fact, they've never really known life without him. For Putin, the situation poses an unfamiliar challenge.

Monday, April 10, 2017

US Dollar and Chinese Renminbi: Mysteries Revealed / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Dan_Steinbock

The Trump administration’s exchange-rate hawks contend that the US should designate China as a “currency manipulator.” In reality, the problem is the strengthening dollar, despite massive debt US owes to foreign countries.

Before the Trump-Xi Summit, the White House has often warned about “currency manipulators” while targeting US trade deficits.

Monday, April 10, 2017

Stock Market Cycle Lows Still Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.

SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 continues,

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, April 09, 2017

Russia and Iran Threaten Retaliation Against Further US Syria Aggression / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Stephen_Lendman

Russia and Iran accused Washington of crossing unacceptable red lines in attacking Syria - jointly saying they’ll respond to further US aggression, according to Reuters.

A joint statement published by the Ilam al Harbi media outlet said “(w)hat America waged in an aggression on Syria is a crossing of red lines.”

Sunday, April 09, 2017

Trump is the New Hillary - Attacking Syria Could Start World War III / Politics / US Politics

By: Jeff_Berwick

Donald Trump Warns That Attacking Syria Could Start World War III

Yes, you read the headline right. Donald Trump has warned that attacking Syria could lead the US into World War III!

Sunday, April 09, 2017

What Will Finally Break the Market's Lethargy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Clif_Droke

To most individual traders, there is no bigger buzz kill than a narrow trading range. It takes the wind out of the sails of breakout and momentum traders, and even expert stock pickers have a tough time finding the stocks which are bucking the sideways trend.

Wall Street would much rather see a lively bull market when stocks are roaring and participation is widespread among all classes of investors. But sometimes even a trading range-type market is good enough for the Street , provided stock prices are near all-time highs. For even when prices are making no headway, the aggregate yield on stocks pays enough in dividends to make the lack of action worthwhile.

Sunday, April 09, 2017

Forex Currencies Trading Around the World Chartology / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

As there seems to be a lot of interest in some of the currencies I would like to show you some charts we’ve been following for a very long time. Most of the charts will be long term in nature which won’t do us much good in the short term, but they will keep us in tune to the direction these currencies are most likely to take

Knowing what to expect in the Longer term is important not only to currency and commodity traders but to the very Countries who’s currencies are impacted and to their exporters and importers as well.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

SPX Corrective Pattern Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2363. On Monday the market opened higher but dropped down to SPX 2345. Before the day ended the market had turned around, and then rallied to SPX 2378 by Wednesday. Then after a decline to SPX 2349 by early Thursday, the market hit 2364 late, and then again on Friday, before ending the week at 2356. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.45%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, auto sales, monthly payrolls, the WLEI and the Q1 GDP estimate. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, wholesale inventories, consumer credit; plus the unemployment rate, trade deficit and weekly jobless claims all improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the CPI/PPI and retail sales.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

Gold Price and Gaps / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: SurfCity

irst, let me say that a new high by Gold in week 16 of this current Intermediate Cycle is an extremely positive development as we now have a setup that should ensure that Gold has a Right Translated cycle that makes a higher Intermediate Low than the December 2016 YCL. Should this play out to Cycle norms, the next Intermediate Low will be an excellent buying opportunity regardless if you are adding to positions or restocking the shelf. My current expectation is that the next IC Low will be in the May/June timeframe with May being a strong possibility.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

Bearish Reversal in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Precious metals ended a quiet week with quite a reversal. Gold surged above its 200-day moving average for the first time since November, only to lose the gains and then close below the 200-day moving average. Silver was already trading above its 200-day moving average before it moved higher but it then reversed strongly and even below its 200-day moving average. The miners, which have been much weaker than the metals were mostly unchanged but after opening higher. Today’s bearish reversal could signal an imminent decline in the entire complex or just signal that more time is needed before the next attempt at a breakout.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

Gold Stock Breakouts Near / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold-mining stocks’ usual volatility has proven outsized so far this year, spooking investors.  A fast initial surge in a new upleg was soon fully reversed by a sharp major correction, which spawned much bearish sentiment.  That combined with the great distraction from the Trumphoria stock-market rally has left gold stocks unloved and overlooked.  But their outlook is very bullish, and major upside breakouts near.

It’s hard to find bargains in today’s extreme stock markets.  They’ve been radically distorted by the post-election euphoria centered on universal hopes for big tax cuts soon.  Nearly every sector has been bid up to dizzying valuations.  Except gold stocks, which everyone still hates.  They may very well be the last remaining contrarian sector in these crazy markets, and thus a great buying opportunity for smart traders.

Saturday, April 08, 2017

Gold - Is .0006th Of An Oz Of Significant Enough To Call The Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_Noonan

Yes.

.0006th of an ounce of gold = 80 cents, at $1250 the oz. How can 80 cents be significant relative to gold at that price? It is a tiny gap in price that was never filled. The probability of December 2015 being the end of the downside correction since the 2011 highs grows with each passing week/month. As our regular readers know, our focus is solely on developing market activity as determined by price and volume over time. We pay attention to what the market is saying about its participants and not what others are saying about the market.

Friday, April 07, 2017

3 Must-See Market Charts: Learn What's Next for Europe / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: EWI

You can learn a LOT about stocks from these 2 factors

In this new interview, Brian Whitmer, the editor of our European Financial Forecast and contributor to the European section of Global Market Perspective, highlights the precarious position of European stock markets.

Friday, April 07, 2017

Can Stocks and Shares Provide the Same Entertainment as Casino and Slots? / Stock-Markets / Gambling

By: Submissions

Friday, April 07, 2017

Gold Standard Challenges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Scattered recent analysis has centered upon the Gold Standard and its viability within the global financial system. The topic is certainly very blurred and at times confusing. Consider a recent article by a competent analyst Charles Hugh Smith of the site OfTwoMinds on the practicality of gold used as a standard. The article is entitled “The Problem With Gold-Backed Currencies” (which is found HERE and also on Lew Rockwell site HERE). He makes several points, many good ones. In the Jackass opinion, his analysis avoids many potential solution features, is premature on focus of the currency (and not trade), and is unfortunately backwards in the logic. The main criticism to put on the work is that he confuses the extreme difficulties created from decades of fiat currencies, with the supposed problems of installation of gold-backed currency. The entire article is not well developed, seems sketchy, and misses numerous very important features which are being considered. He does put many critical issues on the table, valuable for discussion. He offers no solution to his stated problems. In modern parlance, the logic put forth would indicate that since a heroin addict has so much difficulty with kicking the deadly habit, ravaged by delirious tremens, beset by extreme health problems, that one should conclude movement toward a clean sober life would have problems and simply would not work. Thus the backwards logic. Unfortunately, CHSmith produces straw dogs in the face of absent solutions. Let us examine the points made.

Friday, April 07, 2017

Gold, Silver and Oil Spike After U.S. Bombs Syria / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold silver oil spike after U.S. bombs Syria
– Gold and silver spike 1% as oil rises 1.4%
– Gold breaks 200 day moving average, 4th week of gains
– Stocks fall after U.S. strikes in Syria rattle markets 
– U.S. missiles hit airbase; Lavrov says no Russian casualties; Russia deploys cruise missile frigate to Syria

Friday, April 07, 2017

3 Graphics That Explain US-China Relations / Politics / China US Conflict

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are meeting now at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida. Most meetings between world leaders are relatively unimportant.

This meeting is an exception, not because of whatever agreements or statements will emerge, but because of what it reveals about the current needs of the political administration of the world’s two largest economies.

Friday, April 07, 2017

Don’t Short Retail Stocks - the Trade Is Already Half Over / Companies / Retail Sector

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : A lot of electrons have been spilled in the last couple of weeks about the demise of retail. Particularly malls and mall retailers. Nobody goes to the store anymore. They all have Amazon Prime.

If you are an amateur trader (or even an experienced trader), you might think that this is a good time to short retailers.

Take it from an even more experienced trader: By the time you hear about the trade, it's at least half over, and maybe more.