Friday, April 07, 2017
Gold, Silver and Oil Spike After U.S. Bombs Syria / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Gold silver oil spike after U.S. bombs Syria
– Gold and silver spike 1% as oil rises 1.4%
– Gold breaks 200 day moving average, 4th week of gains
– Stocks fall after U.S. strikes in Syria rattle markets
– U.S. missiles hit airbase; Lavrov says no Russian casualties; Russia deploys cruise missile frigate to Syria
Friday, April 07, 2017
3 Graphics That Explain US-China Relations / Politics / China US Conflict
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are meeting now at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida. Most meetings between world leaders are relatively unimportant.
This meeting is an exception, not because of whatever agreements or statements will emerge, but because of what it reveals about the current needs of the political administration of the world’s two largest economies.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
Don’t Short Retail Stocks - the Trade Is Already Half Over / Companies / Retail Sector
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : A lot of electrons have been spilled in the last couple of weeks about the demise of retail. Particularly malls and mall retailers. Nobody goes to the store anymore. They all have Amazon Prime.
If you are an amateur trader (or even an experienced trader), you might think that this is a good time to short retailers.
Take it from an even more experienced trader: By the time you hear about the trade, it's at least half over, and maybe more.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
Gold Market in Q1 and the Outlook for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Gold performed really well in the first quarter of 2017. As the chart below shows, the rally started at the end of December 2016. The yellow metal bottomed at $1,125.7 on December 20, just a few days after the FOMC meeting and the second interest rate hike for almost a decade. Since then, the shiny metal gained about 11 percent.
Friday, April 07, 2017
NG #F (Natural Gas) Rally is Not Over Yet / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
NG #F (Natural Gas) has been rallying since forming a low on 2/22 (2.523). Rally is unfolding as a WXY or double three Elliott Wave Structure where wave W completed at 3.089 and wave X completed at 2.882. Up from red X low, Natural Gas is showing 5 swings up which means the sequence is incomplete and while above black ((x)) low at 3.121, rally should continue higher towards 3.452 – 3.587 to complete 7 swings sequence from red X low. This would also complete a WXY structure from 2.523 low and then we should see a 3 wave pull back in NG #F either to correct the cycle from 2.523 low or at least from red X low.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
US Syria Missile Attack and Symbols of Strength / Politics / US Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
I don’t know anything more than anyone else does, outside of the decision makers’ circle, about the reasoning behind the Tomahawk missile attack on a Syrian airport. Have the US neocon warmongers won over Trump and the White House, as I see suggested? Have the Goldmanites? Is that the same group of people? If Trump has conceded to the warmongers, will Putin be next in line? Should Russia have pushed through when it had the upper hand in Syria, and ‘finished’ the job?
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Friday, April 07, 2017
US War Of Terror Continues On With Syrian False Flag Attack / Politics / War on Terror
By: Jeff_Berwick
Everything you have been taught by the US government has been a lie.
The US is not the land of the free. It is, in fact, one of the least free places in the world with the largest concentration camp population, per capita, by a large margin and the biggest extortion racket in the world, extorting Americans via the IRS for more than $2 trillion per year.
The US is not the home of the brave. If it were, the American people would not allow the US government to constantly scare them into giving up what freedoms they have left.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
SPX and GDX in Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Below are daily charts of the S&P 500 and the gold miners index ETF, GDX. Right now, it seems as though these two are trading inversely for the most part. Odds are we see a gap down Friday in the stock market and a gap up in GDX. This should be followed by a strong rally for stocks into Monday and a strong drop in GDX. Overall, the stock market looks lower into April 21 with gold stocks trading higher.
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Friday, April 07, 2017
What Makes Millennials Disturbingly Different? / Politics / Demographics
By: Gordon_T_Long
In Stealth Fashion Millennials Are Rapidly Transforming Society
Something had mysteriously changed during the 2016 US Presidential primaries when an unlikely democratic candidate burst on the national scene with an unquestionable allure for the Millennial generation. How was it that a 'left wing' Bernie Sanders, who was of an age that he would be considered as a very old grandfather by this young generation, could draw such rousing support? What was it about this grey haired unknown senator from Vermont who so clearly represented the expectations, aspirations and frustrations of this new 'coming of age' generation?
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Friday, April 07, 2017
Trump to Fire 50 US Cruise Missiles To Erase Syrian Chemical Attack Air Base, China Next? / Politics / US Military
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It appears President Trump is to authorise the imminent launch of air strikes on Syria towards helping break the narrative that he is an 'Manchurian candidate' working for Putin who played a significant hand in getting Trump elected last year. Perhaps Putin failed to properly calculate whether it really is be better for Russia to have an erratic 70 year old toddler in the White House than a rational continuation of the Obama regime in Hillary Clinton.
Thursday, April 06, 2017
Analysis and Forecasts for 50+ Global Financial and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
Hello,
On Wednesday, April 12, our friends at Elliott Wave International are "opening the doors" to their entire line of trader-focused Pro Services -- free for 7 days -- during their Pro Services Open House.
EWI Pro Services bring you opportunity-rich, professional-grade forecasts for 50+ of the world's top markets -- many 24 hours a day, complete with Elliott-wave charts and precise forecasts.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
Buy Precious, Sell Base (Metals). . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he believes base metals are overbought and precious metals, especially silver, are set to appreciate.
As the debate rages on and on and on concerning the global economic expansion (U.S.)/recovery (Eurozone)/Ponzi (China/U.K.), I am beginning to feel like a tennis ball in the heated heart of the 1981 McEnroe/Borg Wimbledon final being batted back and forth over the proverbial "Net" of Indecision, Confusion and Fear.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
4 Maps That Show Why Europe Is Destined for Extinction / Politics / European Union
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN: The European Peninsula runs from Portugal and Britain in the west, to St. Petersburg in the east, and the city of Rostov-on-Don in the southeast. It goes from the Mediterranean and Black seas to the North Sea and Baltic Sea.
Access to rivers, the Mediterranean, and the North Atlantic has let the European Peninsula build trade routes and flourish economically.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
Stock Market Downward Reversal Or Just Correction Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 06, 2017
From Inflation to Imflation, Agflation and Munflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Submissions
Vakhtang Charaia and Vladimer Papava write: Inflation is an important macroeconomic indicator for the analysis of an established economic situation as well as forecasting the economic development for any country. The “consumer basket,” which helps to indicate the consumer price index (CPI) or the average inflation rate, incorporates several commodity groups and given the correspondent weights encompasses different goods and services. Some of the commodity groups (e.g. electronics, new and used cars, furniture, hotel and restaurant services, etc.) fails to reflect the problem of the low-income population.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
The 2 Best Assets to Own While Waiting for a Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : The current bull market celebrated its eighth birthday on March 9. At 96-months long, it’s now the second longest in history.
However, with the S&P 500 set to have its worst monthly performance in over a year and the DJIA down six days in a row, questions have arisen about how much longer this run can continue.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
EU-UK Trade Will Continue Because Germany Needs It To / Politics / BrExit
By: John_Mauldin
BY JACOB SHAPIRO : British Prime Minister Theresa May has signed a letter officially invoking Article 50. That starts the process of the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the European Union.
Almost a year has passed since 52% of British voters opted to leave the EU. But the process for separation has now been initiated. The next issue is how to understand what will happen during the two years of UK-EU negotiations that lie ahead.
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Thursday, April 06, 2017
Gold and Silver Boom or Bust? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Hubert_Moolman
Gold and silver prices are at a critical point. It appears that we will see massive price movements up or down, soon. Conditions are very similar to that of the early 80s (circa 1983), for example, when the Dow had just made a significant breakout, after a 17-year consolidation. See below, a long term chart for the Dow (generated at tradingview.com):
Thursday, April 06, 2017
The BrExit War, Game Theory Strategy for What UK Should Do to Win / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The BrExit Story - BrExit is the latest big story for the people of Britain to believe in, a story that has split the population in half between the Remainer's and the Leavers. The BrExit vote was a reaction to the slow dissolution of what was once the world’s most powerful nation into just another bolt on to the European Union Superstate. For Leavers BrExit is seen as a last ditched effort for Britain to resurrect its golden age. So whilst you read part 2 of my comprehensive BrExit analysis, remember that BrExit is just the latest story built on past stories of glory and it won't be too long before we all move onto the next big story, as that is what humans do best, tell stories and believe them to be true, be they religious, political, social, personal, ethnic or economic stories. But today's story is BrExit.
Thursday, April 06, 2017
The Myth of Market Shocks / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: EWI
An Excerpt from Chapter 1 of The Socionomic Theory of Finance
By Robert Prechter
Few people find a new theory accessible until they first see errors in the old way of thinking. Part I of this book challenges the universally accepted paradigm under which humans' rational reactions to exogenous (external, or externally generated) causes purportedly account for financial market behavior. The current chapter explores whether dramatic news events affect financial markets.
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