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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Monday, August 15, 2016

Stock Market New Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.  It could soon enter a corrective phase.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Trump on the Stump / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Stephen_Lendman

At times he’s gaffe-prone. His economic plan leaves much to be desired, yet his address on the topic offered specific ideas, unfortunately for the most part omitting what should have been included instead of what was.

In contrast, Hillary presented meaningless platitudes, feel-good stuff without substance, hard specifics left out, along with a litany of lies like claiming she opposes TPP after earlier calling it “the gold standard” of trade deals and being a rabid supporter of NAFTA - besides her longstanding fealty to Wall Street, war-profiteers, and other corporate interests harming the general welfare.
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ElectionOracle

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Taking the Wind out of Trump’s Energy Policy / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

Black letters against a yellow background. Black letters against white. White letters against black. On yard signs. On T-shirts. On baseball caps. All with the same message: “Trump Digs Coal.”

Donald Trump says there are “ridiculous regulations [on coal] that put you out of business and make it impossible to compete.” He says if he is president, he would reduce those regulations. Those regulations that Trump doesn’t like are enforced by the Environmental Protection Agency to protect miners and the public.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Stock Market Final Pop - It Can’t Wait Any Longer – Deja Vu! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The stock market tends to repeat itself on regular bases. Why? Because it moves mainly based on the emotions of market participants, with the exception of extreme times when the masses are moving the market with extreme fear or greed, at which point they are flooding the market with buy or sell orders to create a final pop or drop in the market just before a major market reversal.

As with everything in the universe, everything moves in cycles, periods of expansion and contraction, and there are regular wave-like patterns that happen on a regular basis no matter the time frame one is reviewing on a stock chart.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Gold Price is Not Topping / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

I’m starting to see a lot of analysts now calling for gold to drop down into a bottom in October. It’s amazing how these guys can consistently get this wrong over and over again. Gold isn’t topping. Gold has been bouncing around in a range for the last 5 weeks giving the 200 day moving average time to catch up to price. Gold won’t top until the dollar cycle bottoms, and that intermediate cycle isn’t due to bottom until late September or early October.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 14, 2016

New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started with the SPX at 2183. On Monday the SPX made a slightly higher high, hit an all time high at 2188 on Tuesday, then pulled back to 2172 on Wednesday. On Thursday the SPX matched that high, then dipped some to end the week at 2184. Overall it was a quiet week with a range of less than 1%. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.25%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the PPI and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims both improved. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, Industrial production and Housing.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Gold And Silver – Panic Precious Metals Selling By Elite Overt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

The Military Industrial Complex [MIC], economic war, and massive amounts of newly created debt, year after year after year, have the common purpose of protecting the Federal Reserve fiat Ponzi scheme to preserve the failing “dollar” as the world’s reserve currency. Except for phony accounting, all banks are failing, massively underfunded and totally insolvent. Everything possible is being done to prop up these banks to keep the illusion of financial stability alive, even resorting to stealing from depositors.

Why anyone maintains fiat money in a bank is a mystery defying fiscal self-responsibility. All retirement accounts, at least in the United States, will be subject to government confiscation replacing everyone’s investments with worthless government bonds. After all, who more than the federal government can better manage your own funds?!

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Commodities

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Gold Against Foreign Currencies Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It is the dog days of summer. The metals are trading below their recent highs while the miners continue to be on the cusp of their next leg higher. In any event we remain bullish as we expect the next big move to be higher not lower. One reason, among many is Gold remains strong against foreign currencies and that often is a leading indicator for the sector at large. This is something we track often and we wanted to provide an update during the slowest period of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 13, 2016

The Next Interest Hike is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: David_Chapman

Shortly after the release of the most recent nonfarm payroll numbers, the pundits were quickly talking up the potential for another Fed interest rate hike at the September FOMC. The BLS reported that the July nonfarm payrolls were up 255,000 jobs, when they expected only 180,000 to 185,000. The June nonfarm payrolls were also revised upwards. Unemployment (U3) was unchanged at 4.9%. Despite the seemingly strong job numbers, the monthly nonfarm payrolls remain highly questionable. Further, other economic data has been anything but robust, with the recent Q2 GDP numbers coming in at half the level expected. The most recent trade data was also lower than expected. Canada reported job losses in July of 31,200, well below expectations, and the equivalent of the US nonfarm payrolls being down 300,000.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Weekly Candle On Nasdaq Suggesting Stock Market Top?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

After seven up-weeks we see a candle printed on the Nasdaq this week that normally suggests a temporary top is at hand. I say normally because nothing about this market is normal any more. It has defied all logic, and, quite honestly, has changed its technical stripes. Normal, bearish candles are not working with any consistency such as they had years prior. Gap ups that fail after a move higher, or black candles on gaps that would normally signal the end of a move, are now being entirely ignored for the most part. Candles, such as we saw this week on the Nasdaq, fit that bill for a topping period, but would it shock me if we're up next week? Not one drop.

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Politics

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Rebirth of a Nation / Politics / Social Issues

By: Jeff_Thomas

Regular readers of this publication will be familiar with my frequent comments that all countries have a shelf-life – that they experience a slow rise, typified by a strong work ethic and a free-market philosophy, which results in a highly productive country. That productivity later results in a high level of sympathy for the disadvantaged, which political leaders turn into a justification for government largesse. That, in turn, results in a population that grows complacent and, eventually apathetic, culminating in a decline into totalitarianism.

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Economics

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Central Banks Are Choking Productivity / Economics / Central Banks

By: Peter_Schiff

If the Economy were a car, productivity would be the engine. Heated seats, on-demand 4-wheel drive and light-sensitive tinted windshields, are all very nice. But they mean little if the engine doesn't turn and the car just sits in the driveway. The latest productivity data from the Commerce Department confirms that our economic engine is sputtering.

If you strip away all the bells and whistles of economic analysis, the simple truth is that the increased living standards that have taken us from the stone age to the digital age happened because we increased our productivity. Better plows, windmills, bulldozers, factories and, more recently, better software, technology and automation, have allowed economies to produce more output with less human effort. This means there are more goods and services for more people to share and workers can work less to acquire those goodies. When productivity stops increasing, no amount of financial gimmickry can compensate.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, August 13, 2016

TwinLakes Theme Park Summer Super 6 - FREE Entry / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks

By: Sami_Walayat

TwinLakes theme park situated near Nottingham are running a summer super 6 challenge, which results in an easy to obtain free entry for a family of 4 people to the theme park during September. Find out how it works in this video.

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ConsumerWatch

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Walkers Spell and Go, ASA Less than 800 Holiday Wins Out of 20,000 Advertised! / ConsumerWatch / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

The truth is finally about to be revealed as the Advertising Standards agencies investigation into Walkers Crisps Spell and Go Promotion is about to reveal the magic number that we have all be waiting for, the actual number of holidays won from a promotion that had implied that 20,000 were available. So find out in our breaking news video exactly how many holidays Walkers awarded which acts as an strong indicator of what to expect from future walkers promotions that many deem to be impossible to win, delivering a mere fraction of the number of prizes advertised.

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Commodities

Friday, August 12, 2016

Gold Price Has Now Entered Its Strongest Seasonal Period / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My analysis indicates that gold will be implemented in order to protect ‘global purchasing power’ and to minimize losses during our upcoming periods of ‘market shock’. It serves as a high-quality, liquid asset to be used whereas selling other assets would cause losses. Central Banks of the world’s largest long-term investment portfolios use gold to mitigate portfolio risk, in this manner, and have been net buyers of gold since 2010.

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Commodities

Friday, August 12, 2016

Fueling Gold Stocks’ Next Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks’ new bull market this year has already proven breathtaking.  This obscure sector has nearly tripled within a matter of months, yielding immense profits for the smart contrarians who bought in low.  But after such a blistering surge, what’s going to fuel gold stocks’ next upleg?  Heavy gold investment buying driving its price much higher will greatly boost gold-mining profitability, attracting in far more capital.

Gold stocks’ new bull run in recent months has been massive.  Their leading benchmark HUI gold-stock index skyrocketed 182.2% higher in just 6.5 months between mid-January and early August!  No other sector in all the markets is even remotely close to challenging this commanding performance.  Yet this mighty gold-stock bull still remains young and small, with the great majority of its gains still left to come.

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Commodities

Friday, August 12, 2016

Is the Crude Oil Price Rally Over? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Long positions (stop loss at $37.23; initial upside target at $46.90) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Crude oil declined on Wednesday only to shoot up with vengeance yesterday, exceeding the previous August highs. Still, crude oil declined a bit before the session was over, so many investors are wondering if the rally is already over – is this the case?

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Economics

Friday, August 12, 2016

How the Frankfurt School Changed American Culture / Economics / Economic Theory

By: David_Galland

Dear Parade-Goer,

How many times have you heard someone lament how much the world has changed from the good old days? You know, the simpler pre-PC period when the world operated according to fairly predictable principles.

But then we woke one day in a world with every bastion of what some might called normalcy under attack. Institutions that 100 years ago appeared unassailable—marriage, for example—are increasingly seen as antiquated. Even the idea of a national character is viewed as wrong-minded and, in the successful societies of the West, as exclusionary and even racist.

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Politics

Friday, August 12, 2016

What Would Future EU-UK Relations Look Like? / Politics / BrExit

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We have analyzed the reasons behind the Brexit vote. Let’s turn to the consequences of the Britain’s withdrawal from the EU, which are probably far more important from the investors’ perspective. As we stated in the previous edition of the Market Overview, the exact impact of the potential Brexit depends on the new economic relationship between the UK and the EU. What are the UK’s options outside the European Union?

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Commodities

Friday, August 12, 2016

Crude Oil Price Bottom likely to Propel Dow Industrials Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

The minute you settle for less than you deserve, you get even less than you settled for. Maureen Dowd

The chart below clearly illustrates that a relationship exists between crude oil and the Dow.  For most of the 1st half of 2015, oil traded sideways, and the Dow followed suit.  Then, around July of 2015, oil broke down, and the Dow followed in its footsteps.  We see a similar pattern from Nov-Dec 2015; oil headed lower, and the Dow once again followed in its footsteps; so much for the argument that states lower oil prices are conducive for the markets. 

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