Saturday, May 01, 2021

How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part1 / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

This article is part 1 of 2 of my recent extensive analysis : How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond

Topics covered Include:

• Covid Current State
• How to Get FREE Access to My Patreon Content for the Next 5 Years!
• Dow Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Current State
• Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator (CI18)
• AI Stocks Lead the Bull Charge
• King Zuckerberg Tech Companies to Set up their own Governments!
• Best AI ETF ?
• INVESTING IN HIGH RISK TECH STOCKS
• THE ONLY WAY TO GET THE BIG PAY OFFs
• High Risk Tech Stocks Short List
• TESLA DISCOUNTING THE FUTURE
• 4 More High Risk Tech Stocks
• Who Wants to live Forever?

Saturday, May 01, 2021

INDIA COVID APOCALYPSE / Politics / Coronavirus 2021

By: N_Walayat

There is no point focusing on India's official covid stats of cases and deaths per day as they under report the extent of the covid apocalypse by several orders of magnitude form at least X2 to as much as X10 i.e. it is highly probable that as many as 25,000 people are dying per DAY! Courtesy of super spreader events such as the Hindu Kum Mala festival and mass election gatherings both of which STILL CONTINUE despite the apocalypse. This illustrates what happens when morons are in charge of the government, which Brit's and Americans will know too well, given the catastrophic early response to the virus during 2020. Though India did have the benefit of hindsight, for they dodged a bullet during 2020, so had TIME, nearly a whole YEAR to prepare themselves for probable second and third waves, instead the Indian government did NOTHING, hence the catastrophe that looks set to continue to worsen for several more weeks. Which means India's actual death toll could easily exceed 1 million and maybe 2 million.

Saturday, May 01, 2021

Are Technicals Pointing to New Gold Price Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Although we tend to focus more on the fundamentals here at Money Metals, the technical indicators can offer important insights. Such as right now.

Many traders, investors, and momentum players will closely examine the market trend to determine if and when to enter or exit the market.

A market with a strong technical foundation can launch to dizzying heights, while a market displaying weak technicals will have a tough time putting together any sustainable upside.

The gold market has been primarily range bound for the last two months. The $1700 and $1800 levels have acted as support and resistance. Medium term, though, gold has been in a downtrend since its $2,100 high last August.

Saturday, May 01, 2021

US Dollar Index: Subtle Changes, Remarkable Outcomes / Currencies / US Dollar

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Even the smallest moves can be of utmost importance to a number of investors. This time, the USDX was the one to give a subtle nod to the upcoming changes.

In yesterday’s analysis , I wrote about the subtle, yet very important short-term detail that likely indicated a major turnaround in the USD Index. This is huge news for the precious metals investors, as a major turnaround in the USDX (and the subsequent rallies) would be very likely to translate into a severe price slide.

Friday, April 30, 2021

Stock Market Correction Time Window / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

One of the most common questions I am often asked is when to sell ones stocks i.e. after a surge in stock prices there is a tendency to fear the gains will evaporate as followed soon after the March 2020 lows, where many investors are focused on trying to Sell the Tops with a view to Buying the Bottoms. Apparently this is how most investors tend to approach investing as it crops up in many communications I have with investors i.e. when should one sell their holdings with a view to buying back after a market correction, which is especially true at the present time given the recent rally in stocks to new highs that my trend forecast for 2021 suggests is now converging towards a time window for a correction.

Friday, April 30, 2021

Stock Market "Fastest Jump Since 2007": How Leveraged Investors are Courting "Doom" / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

The stock market uptrend has extended for more than 11 years.

Even so, instead of displaying caution, investors have been borrowing to buy stocks like there's no such thing as a bear market.

For example, consider this chart and commentary from the March Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a monthly publication which provides analysis of major U.S. financial markets:

Friday, April 30, 2021

Three Reasons Why Waiting for "Cheaper Silver" Doesn't Make Cents / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

If you're still waiting to buy physical silver to start a stash, you're now playing financial Russian Roulette... with four rounds in the cylinder.

The chat rooms talk about buying silver and gold when they decline in price. "If silver goes down to 22, I'm all in!" "When these 'excessive' premiums drop a few dollars, I'm backing up the truck."

1) Emotion and Sentiment

Believe it or not, buying on a price drop goes against human nature.

It is a bit strange, because if you go to the store and find your favorite grass-fed beef on sale, you'll probably see how much you can stuff in the freezer. But back to the metals.

Friday, April 30, 2021

Want To Invest In US Real Estate Market But Don’t Have The Down Payment? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As an asset class, real estate should be a part of every balanced investment portfolio. That’s because real estate investments generally have a low correlation to stocks, can offer lower risk, and provide greater diversification.

Today about 65% of Americans own a home, but that means that tens of millions of Americans have no exposure to real estate. Making matters worse, becoming a homeowner today is harder than in previous generations, with 1 in 5 millennials believing they will never be able to afford a home. Is there a way to get exposure to the real estate market for as little as $100?

Residential real estate market trend

From the chart below, we can see that the residential real estate market continues to climb and the median price of houses sold in the US is near recent all-time highs of $347,500. Even though mortgage rates remain near all-time lows, the appreciation of prices in certain pockets of the country are making many cities and areas simply unaffordable for most. Things look much the same for industrial, commercial, agricultural, and most other specialized real estate subsectors.

Thursday, April 29, 2021

King Zuckerberg Tech Companies to Set up their own Governments! / Politics / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Aldus Huxley's Brave New world is taking another step towards becoming reality. What's the ultimate way tech companies can only be accountable to themselves? by making ALL of the rules, and I am not talking about congressmen and senators on their payrolls but companies becoming sovereign governments!

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Silver Price Enters Acceleration Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth of Silver Stock Investor discusses silver's rise and what may lie ahead.

Spot silver is trading around $26 per ounce…but you can't buy any at that price.

Instead, you'll have to pay almost 50% more.

That's right. If you want silver right now, you'll need to pay at least $35 per ounce.

If you prefer government mint coins, and you're willing to wait a month to get them, you'll have to pay upwards of $37 per 1 oz coin.

In the past year, premiums on physical silver have tripled from normal levels. Bullion dealers have been overwhelmed. Product shortages are now commonplace, with customers waiting 3 weeks or longer for shipping.

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Financial Stocks Sector Appears Ready To Run Higher / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we transition into the early Summer months, we are watching how different market sectors are reacting to the continued shifting of capital over the past 60+ days.  One this is very clear, certain market sectors are strengthening while others have run into resistance and are consolidating.  We believe the next few weeks and months will continue this type of trend where capital continues to shift away from risks and into sectors that show tremendous strength and opportunity.

We wrote about how Precious Metals are likely starting a new bullish price trend on April 18, 2021. You can read that research article here: https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/metals-miners-may-have-started-a-new-longer-term-bullish-trend-part-ii/.

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Stock Market Leverage Reaches New All-Time Highs As The Excess Phase Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A recent Forbes article highlights the incredible increase in market leverage since the start of the COVID-19 crisis.  There has never been a time in recent history where market leverage has reached these extreme levels.  Additionally, highly leveraged market peaks are typically associated with asset bubbles. 

The easy money policies and global central bank actions have prompted one of the longest easy money market rallies in history.  Historically low interest rates, US Federal Reserve and global central bank asset-buying programs, and extended overnight credit support have prompted some traders and investors to move into a more highly leveraged position expecting the rally to stay endless.  Although, the reality of the global market trends may be starting to cause traders and investors to become a bit unsettled.  Precious Metals, Utilities, and Bonds have all started reacting to perceived fear related to this extended bullish rally trend recently.

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Get Ready for the Fourth U.S. Central Bank / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Michael_Pento

We all should be aware that the current Federal Reserve of the Unites States is not America’s first central bank. In fact, we’ve had a few others before this current disastrous iteration came into existence in 1913. We hope and believe it won’t be long before this latest version goes away for good.

Our first central bank was founded in 1782 and was called The Bank of North America. Soon after, in 1791, The Bank of North America became The First Bank of the United States chartered by Congress.  However, in 1811 its twenty-year charter expired and was not renewed.

Five years later Congress chartered its successor called the Second Bank of the United States that lasted from 1816-1836. This Central Bank collapsed for the same reason the others did before it: they were, for the most part, filled with corruption and became progenitors of speculation and economic instability.

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Gold Mining Stock: Were Upswings Just an Exhausting Sprint? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Indicators are pointing to gold and mining ETFs running out of breath. They don’t seem to have what it takes to the move to the finish line.

Despite gold, silver and mining stocks’ recent corrective upswings, the precious metals are running out of steam. After bursting off of the lows – while failing to recognize that it’s a marathon and not a sprint – the precious metals’ late-week breather signals that their stamina isn’t what it used to be.

Moreover, with false breakouts and sanguine sentiment causing an adrenaline rush that’s likely to fade, the precious metals’ transformation from stalwart to sloth could leave investors feeling increasingly dejected.

Case in point: with the HUI Index (a proxy for gold mining stocks ) already verifying the breakdown below the neckline of its bearish H&S pattern – which didn’t occur until later in 2008 – the miners’ outlook is actually more bearish now than it was then.

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

AI Tech Stocks Lead the Bull Market Charge / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

let's see if the correction materialises so I can buy more stocks after the recent March dip in tech stocks that allowed me to pick up the likes of TSMC for $110, amongst several others on my target list including AMD and Nvidia, though Facebook failed to succumb to mainstream media hysteria instead took off like a rocket to currently stand at well above $300 which whether one likes it or not is precisely what one expects good stocks to do! Even the sleeping giant IBM broke out of it's year long trading range. Whilst Intel despite releasing a pile of garbage 11th Gen rocket lake processors, performing worse than their 10th Gen CPUs! That one would have thought would have resulted in weak hands selling out of their holdings and thus giving us a dip to below $50 to buy some more for the long-run, instead Intel has had a moon shot of its own trading towards 20 year highs! Hardly price action that one would expect from what I consider to be sleeping giants! Which is indicative of what's really going on under the hood that most still fail to grasp which is the exponential nature of the AI mega-trend and of course the rampant money printing inflation mega-trend. That and perhaps there aren't many weak hands left holding IBM and Intel stock.

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

AMD Ryzen Overclocking Guide - 5900x, 5950x, 5600x PPT, TDC, EDC, How to Best Settings Beyond PBO / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

How best to overclock your Ryzen 5000 series processors such as 5900x, 5950x and 5600x beyond PBO so as to maximise performance whilst minimising power used and temperatures produced through fine tuning PPT, TDC and EDC settings either in the Ryzen Master software or from within bios. Find out how you can boost your systems performance at a lower power consumption and temps then through use of Ryzen Precision Boost Overdrive.

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Stocks Bear Market / Crash Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Current Risk Remains VERY LOW at 5%, Recent highest reading was 15%.

This Indicator is one of the neural nets I am working on as my AI takes baby steps into understanding how to interpret the stock market. It's task is to state the current risk of a bear market or crash being imminent i.e. within the next couple of weeks or so. So an independant technical indicator that acts as a warning to HEDGE stock portfolios ahead of further high probability drops in the market. Where my preferred hedging tool is to go short stock index futures so as to capitalise on any drop without selling any stock holdings, and delivering fresh funds to buy more AI stocks at deep discounts just as I did during March 2020. The last time this indicator triggered a warning was late February 2020, so it is NOT a trading indicator but instead advance warning that a correction already underway could turn into something worse so I need to hedge my stocks portfolio to some degree.

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

No Upsetting the Apple Cart in Stocks or Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

The tax hike proposal shock is over, and S&P 500 took again on the ATHs on Friday. Buying pressure throughout the day lasted almost till the closing bell, and is likely to continue this week as well. And why shouldn‘t it – has anything changed? The artificial selling any capital gains tax hike would generate, is likely to come before year end – not now:

(…) Look still though how little has changed, as if the tax raising plans haven‘t been around since the infrastructure bill or implicitly even before. It‘s still April, and markets are pricing in not only this select reality, but broader tax increases coming. Yes, they have woken up, and the reflation paradigm is getting an unwelcome companion. This hit won‘t bring down the bull, but will slow it down – and the implications for broader economy will only hasten the pronounced advent of the commodities supercycle (well underway since the corona deflationary crash last year).

The move towards risk-on was clearly there, overpowering the USD  bulls yet again as the dollar bear market has reasserted itself. It‘s not just about EUR/USD on the way to its late Feb highs, but about the USD/JPY too – the yen carry trade is facing headwinds these days, acting as a supportive factor for gold prices. While these went through a daily correction, commodities pretty much didn‘t – lumber is powering to new highs, agrifoods didn‘t have a down day in April, copper and oil scored respectable gains. The market is in a higher inflation environment already, and it will become increasingly apparent that commodity-led inflation is here to stay.

Back to stocks and bonds, the S&P 500 took well to a daily rise in Treasury yields – and that‘s the key factor overall. The turnaround was most clearly seen in tech heavyweights but defensive sectors such as consumer staples or utilities didn‘t do well (they‘re interest rate sensitive, after all), and Dow Jones Industrial Average traded closer to the optimistic side of the spectrum. The second piece of the puzzle came from value stocks and financials, which are working to put an end to their own shallow correction – just as you would expect when rates take a turn higher.

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Is The Covaids Insanity Actually Getting Worse? / Politics / Coronavirus 2021

By: Jeff_Berwick

Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Dogecoin to the Moon! The Signs are Everywhere, but few will Heed them / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

“Fools, as it has long been said, are indeed separated, soon or eventually, from their money. So, alas, are those who, responding to a general mood of optimism, are captured by a sense of their own financial acumen. Thus it has been for centuries; thus in the long future it will also be.” ― John Kenneth Galbraith, A Short History of Financial Euphoria

The signs of an epic bubble of historic proportions are everywhere. The stock market is a bubble, with valuations exceeding 2001. Margin debt is at all-time highs. The bond market is a bubble, with the Fed artificially suppressing rates and pumping trillions of QE into Wall Street. Housing is experiencing another bubble, with prices now far exceeding the 2005 peak. Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto-currencies are a bubble, being driven by the excess liquidity sloshing around the system. A joke crypto currency like Dogecoin soars into the stratosphere because money has no meaning anymore.