Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Gold Stocks Head for Final Bottom Before Huge Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Michael_Swanson
I believe the next few days are going to be key days for gold stocks just as May was a key time for the S&P 500 and the broad market. If you were following me then you'll know that I took short positions against the general market back in May. However I did not short at the exact top. In fact I got in a little early and let the S&P 500 go up a percent above my entry point. I was convinced when I got in that the market was about to make a critical top - one that would last for the rest of the year - but I wasn't sure at the exact price or moment that it would come. I was only certain that it was coming within a week, so I decided to just start to build a position. Of course it worked fantastic as the market has fallen apart since then. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Gold Slumps Towards $900 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD sank to a one-month low early in London on Wednesday, dropping 2% from Tuesday morning before bouncing off $905.25 per ounce.Crude oil ticked 20¢ higher per barrel, meantime, but base metal prices also fell, dragging the major commodity indexes lower.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Gold Slumps- Its Like Trying to Catch a Falling Knife! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $91.00, down $10.70 and silver was down 10cents to $17.30. Gold rose slightly in Asian trading before falling. It is down again in early trading in Europe .Slightly lower oil prices after yesterday's sharp falls are contributing to gold's further correction.
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Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Battle for Strategic Control of Zimbabwe's Rich Mineral Treasures / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: F_William_Engdahl
Robert Mugabe, the President of Zimbabwe, presides over one of the world's richest minerals treasures, the Great Dyke region, which cuts a geological swath across the entire land from northeast to southwest. The real background to the pious concerns of the Bush Administration for human rights in Zimbabwe in the past several years is not Mugabe's possible election fraud or his expropriation of white settler farms. It is the fact that Mr. Mugabe has been quietly doing business, a lot of it, with the one country which has virtually unlimited need of strategic raw materials Zimbabwe can provide— China . Mugabe's Zimbabwe is, along with Sudan, on the central stage of the new war over control of strategic minerals of Africa between Washington and Beijing, with Moscow playing a supporting role in the drama. The stakes are huge. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Gold Holds as Governments Scramble to Revive Mortgage Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD continued to hold in their tightest range for three months early Tuesday, slipping 1.1% in thin trade from an overnight high of $933 per ounce.World stock markets fell yet again, losing 1.8% on the MSCI index of Asian-Pacific equities after Wall Street closed Monday more than 2% lower.
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Monday, July 28, 2008
Gold Hold Steady at Start of Thin Summer Holiday Season / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD held inside a tight $5 range early Monday while the finance industry's summer vacation kicked off with a fresh drop in world equities.
Crude oil bounced $1.50 after losing 17% so far this month. The US Dollar fell to a three-session low vs. the Euro.
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Monday, July 28, 2008
Gold ETF- The Gold ETF Trading Experience / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Taking advantage of the gold market using the GLD ETF to generate consistent profits in any market condition. Gold's price action in the past 5 months has frustrated many traders. Especially those who have difficulty making money during consolidation periods which are in. The past couple months are consistently the weaker months for gold prices year after year. That being said August through year end have been consistently strong for trading gold and gold ETF's. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Silver Trades Between Support and Resistance Awaiting Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
After looking set to challenge its highs silver turned abruptly lower and has fallen substantially over the past couple of weeks for the same reasons as gold, namely collateral damage resulting resulting from the rally in the broad stockmarket as crisis fears eased after the Fannie and Freddie bailout and the falling price of oil. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Gold Hit by Crude Oil Sell Off, Technicals Still Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
While the broad stockmarket has staged a relief rally from deeply oversold in response to the Fannie and Freddie bailout and oil has tumbled over the past week or two, both as predicted, gold has suffered more collateral damage than expected from these factors resulting in quite heavy losses in the Precious Metals sector. Conspiracy theorists are arguing that gold was deliberately targeted in order to help protect the dollar at a time when it is especially vulnerable due to the European Central Bank raising rates. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 26, 2008
Gold Bullion Stabalises Whilst Gold Stocks Heading into Bear Market Territory / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Two bad days but the week ended with a little bit of stability. I don't think it will last. However, which direction next is the question.
GOLD : LONG TERM
The long term takes time to change direction, when it decides to change. Despite several weeks of not so good gold trading activity and some time spent below its long term moving average line, gold has not yet reversed its long term bullish rating. While gold was below its moving average line the line slope remained positive. And through it all the long term momentum indicator remained positive, although at times below its trigger line.
Saturday, July 26, 2008
China Driving Force for Long-term Commodities Bull Market / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Emanuel_Balarie
I recently returned back from China with some pertinent observations about the commodity markets, Jim Rogers, and the economy. A couple of weeks ago, I mentioned in my commodities newsletter that if anyone had doubts about the long-term direction of the commodity markets, they should simply hop on a plane and fly to China. The logic behind this is quite simple. Since China has been responsible for the majority of the increased commodity demand over the last decade, keeping a pulse on their commodity consumption trends can give you a pretty clear picture of where things are moving in the longer term. Here are some observations on various topics: Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 25, 2008
Precious Metals Enduring Seasonal Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Zeal_LLC
For the most part, this summer has not been kind to precious-metals investors and speculators. While gold did rally rather sharply from mid-June to mid-July, up 12.6%, it could not challenge its $1005 March high. And soon after this retest failed it plunged $47, 4.8%, in just 2 trading days this week.
And silver hasn't fared much better. As usual it paralleled gold's mid-June to mid-July advance with its own rally, a healthy 16.3% surge. But this really wasn't all that much better than gold's own run, discouraging silver traders looking for outsized gains. And then this week silver mirrored gold's fast selloff with a steep 5.8% plunge of its own.
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Friday, July 25, 2008
India 's Falling Gold Demand: A Panic for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
"...Just like everywhere else, Indian consumers face the problem of too much money chasing prices too high and becoming worth less each day..."
IT'S HARD TO OVER-EGG the importance of Indian jewelry demand in the physical gold market. Between 2000 and 2007, gold jewelry sold in India accounted for one ounce-in-nine sold worldwide. One ounce in every five wound up as an Indian import (its domestic mines produce less than six tonnes per year), ready to be hung off young brides as 24-carat dowries or worked into bracelets and necklaces for the international market.
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Friday, July 25, 2008
Gold Oversold as G8 Economies Resemble Titanic Heading for Recession Iceberg / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD BULLION rose early Friday in Asia before slipping 0.5% from a two-day high to head for its second weekly loss on the run in London .Crude oil ticked 75¢ higher to break above $126 per barrel. Stock markets worldwide fell sharply, sinking 2% in Tokyo and sliding to a six-session low in Frankfurt , Germany .
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Friday, July 25, 2008
Increasing Gold Demand from Sovereign Wealth Funds and Central Banks / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $922.20, down 50 cents and silver was down 16 cents to $17.22. Gold has rallied in Asia and in early European trading.While oil is up slightly and the dollar is down slightly, gold is likely to be up on bargain hunting and safe haven buying. The 100 day moving average at $916 appears to be good support and the summer low is likely to be around these levels although a brief dip below $900 is possible.
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Thursday, July 24, 2008
Energy Resources Bull Market Remains Intact / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Joseph_Dancy
Flooding last month interrupted rail traffic in the Midwest , disrupting ethanol production and shipments. Shipments of low-sulfur Power River Basin coal needed for many power plants has also been impacted. Coal inventories are already lean at many generating plants. Barge traffic has come to a standstill in many areas on the Mississippi River .
The impact of the floods on the global agricultural and energy markets in our opinion will be much larger than expected. We think the extent of these impacts will become evident quite soon, and will be reflected in the markets.
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Thursday, July 24, 2008
Gold Ambushed by Powerful Forces of Global De-leveraging / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Jim_Willie_CB
For the second time in the last several weeks, the gold market has been on the receiving end of ambushes. Leading up to their July 3rd announced rate hike, the Euro Central Bank strong hints prompted the last ambush. The gold futures contracts bear this out easily, as the big cartel players sold down the gold price with heavy paper supply simultaneously. They had to do so. When physical is in reduced supply, resort to trusty paper. After stabilizing in the 920 to 925 range, gold promptly rose to exceed 980, only to be ambushed yet again. The ambush consists of an unexplainable sudden $20 decline in midday , cheered by the majority but without any analysis of where the decline originated. The motive for the early July ambush was simple. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Gold Investors Shell Shocked by 6% Plunge as Selling Continues / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD slipped back from an early 1% bounce in London on Thursday, holding near a two-week low at $924 per ounce as Asian and European stock markets capped their recent rally, falling for the ninth time in July so far.Crude oil bounced 40¢ to $124.85 per barrel – down 15% from the record top hit earlier this month.
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Thursday, July 24, 2008
Gold Heading for Seasonal Lows Prior to Strong August Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mark_OByrne
Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $922.70, down $25.50 and silver was down 55 cents to $17.38.
Gold has rallied in Asia and in early European trading with bargain hunting buying. Traders and investors with more medium to long term horizons realize that the speed and depth of the sell off is overdone. Especially as none of the fundamental macroeconomic or geopolitical issues have disappeared or even abated. Speculators, both long and short ( it is important to remember that most speculative money is on the short side of the oil, gold and silver markets), can have real impacts in the short term and create volatility and exacerbate trends in either direction. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Ominous Top Forming in Gold Mining ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Current weakness in the Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (AMEX: GDX) is imbuing the larger chart pattern with a very ominous look -- of a major, multi-month top forming. Furthermore, if the price structure presses beneath critical support between 42.50 and 41.50, the massive top formation will trigger significant sell signals that project a target of 37 to 34 thereafter.Read full article... Read full article...