Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 04, 2016
Technical Analysis of the Lumber Commodity Market / Commodities / Lumber
By: EconMatters
Housing Demand Thesis
The last two years rents have been rising primarily due to supply and demand issues. There hasn`t been enough multifamily housing to keep up with the demand, and as the employment levels go up and more millennials move out of their parent`s house, I expect the housing market to continue to be on the slow but steady upswing of the last several years for 2016.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
Gold Advanced During 2015 in Most Major Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jason_Hamlin
Sentiment towards gold has been so bearish lately that you might think the yellow metal declined by 50% or more during 2015. In fact, it was only down 11% in U.S. dollar terms and gold actually advanced in most major currencies. Out of the 17 currencies tracked, gold was up in 10 of them and down in only 7 of them.
Gold advanced in both Canadian and Australian dollars, rocketed higher in Argentine pesos and Brazilian real, climbed higher in Mexican pesos, Russian Rubles, South African Rand, Turkish Lira and Ukrainian Hryvnia.
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Saturday, January 02, 2016
Dollar Collapse Gold Price Forecast 2016, Monetary Experiment - Audio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: John_Rubino
Gold is down in the US but rising in most other places. Could this be the start of the next bull market in precious metals and mining stocks? Meanwhile, the shape of next year's monetary policy is becoming more clear, and it's unlike anything seen since, well, biblical times. You'll be amazed and probably shocked.
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Saturday, January 02, 2016
Gold and Silver Price Manipulation to Melt Away Soon - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript Excerpt: hi in my first video this year just like to talk about a couple of things I've seen on the Internet
first one of course I talked about it was the webpart video by Cliff high
about a week or so ago he talked about how it would reach $650 and gold would
be making a new high alongside silver and that would probably happen sometime
at the end of January this year and maybe beginning of February I just
listened to video on the internet with Bo pony I put the video to it the link
sorry to the video below at the you know below my video and basically both pony
is saying that his cycle work indicates that a lone goal should have been hit
Friday, January 01, 2016
Gold Another Losing Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
Here is a long term chart (monthly) showing where the price of gold ended last year ( 2014 ) and where it is ending up this year.
Thursday, December 31, 2015
Fueling Gold Price 2016 Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold certainly had a rough year in 2015, grinding inexorably lower on Fed-rate-hike fears and investor abandonment. But gold is poised to rebound dramatically in this new year, mean reverting out of its recent deep secular lows. The drivers of gold’s weakness have soared to such extremes that they have to reverse hard. The resulting heavy buying from dominant groups of traders will fuel gold’s mighty 2016 upleg.
Investment demand, or lack thereof, is what overwhelmingly drives the gold price. Investment certainly isn’t the largest component of gold demand, a crown held by jewelry at roughly 4/7ths of the total. But that is somewhat misleading, as gold’s investment merits are the primary reason Asians flock to gold jewelry. But since global jewelry demand is fairly consistent, it’s not what drives the gold price on the margin.
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Crude Oil and Gold – What Can We Infer from This Relationship? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12 and an initial downside target at $33.66) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Although crude oil moved higher yesterday, the key resistance lines continue to keep gains in check. What does it mean for the commodity? Will the oil-to-gold ratio give us more clues about future moves?
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Thursday, December 31, 2015
Gold and Silver 2016 Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector will close 2015 entrenched in a seemingly forever bear market. Most of the sector has been in a bear market for over four and a half years. Gold’s bear market will reach four and a half years in a few months. Meanwhile the US Dollar’s bull market remains strong and is likely to continue. In this article we discuss our 2016 big picture outlook for the US Dollar, Gold and gold stocks.
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
The Crude Oil Price 2016 Prediction Game / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EconMatters
Anybody who tells you they know where the oil market is headed for 2016 is inexperienced, too stupid to realize there are far too many variables in play that are unknowable to predict with any accuracy their effects on other variables in the oil equation, talking their own respective books, just piling in with the recent herd mentality on the street, giving an opinion about as valid as the best paint color for a room, or like to see themselves on television talking about the hot market moving topic du jour.
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs.The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion. The group expects oil prices to rise by an average of about $5 per year over the course of this decade, only reaching $80 per barrel in 2020. From there, it sees oil prices rising slowly, hitting $95 per barrel in 2040.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Gold a Safe Harbor on an Ocean of Excess Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_J_Kosares
"We had initially asked to pay interest [in 2006] on reserves for technical reasons. But in 2008, we needed the authority to solve an increasingly serious problem: the risk that our emergency lending, which had the side effect of increasing bank reserves, would lead short-term interest rates to fall below our federal funds target and thereby cause us to lose control of monetary policy. When banks have lots of reserves, they have less need to borrow from each other, which pushes down the interest rate on that borrowing — the federal funds rate." Ben Bernanke, The Courage to Act
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold Price $1071 Cap - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
Gold is being capped at the 1071 level. This may or may not lead to one final attack to drive it to 1030 before the paper shorts get out of the way and let another bear market rally begin"
Transcript Excerpt:
today's commentary I'm going going to go over what's happening in the gold market
in the morning discuss the manipulation the gold market extensively in the last two videos I'm
just gonna chill down a little bit into what's happening right now we've got a
break this supports the intermediate low in July and it's become pretty clear
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver Kabuki Bonus Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
There were no silver deliveries reported, and JPM took another slug of gold for 'delivery.'
The Bucket Shop is little more than a betting parlor these days.
There were some little movements in the inventories as reported below.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Economic Lessons from the Age of the Pharaohs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
“Joseph urged the Pharaoh to set aside one fifth of the crop in the good times and store the grain to ease the famine in the bad times, because if he didn’t do that, the good times would be forgotten and all the people would remember was the bad times. This wouldn’t be politically good for the Pharaoh.”
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver COTs Feature Short Covering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
As suspected, the gains seen last week in both gold and silver ( and copper for that matter) were primarily the result of short covering. My view is that the bulk of this was tied to year-end book squaring ahead of Christmas and the New Year's holiday.
Starting with gold...
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver Forecast 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: Looking Ahead to 2016
Forecasting today's volatile, high-frequency machine driven and manipulated futures markets using fundamental analysis is futile, as a great many precious metals bulls will attest. To complicate matters, an obsession with Fed policy dominates all markets. Officials at the Federal Reserve are often less than forthcoming and are just as bumbling as the Soviet bureaucrats when it comes to centrally planning our economy.
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Monday, December 28, 2015
Silver Price Tradeable Rally Probable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
I'm of the opinion that the metals have probably formed at least an intermediate bottom, and are ready to generate a trade-able rally over the next 4-8 weeks"
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Monday, December 28, 2015
Do the Consumer Reports Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
GDP, employment and inflation are a Holy Trinity of economic indicators. However, reports on consumer activity are also extremely important for the financial markets. It is not surprising: consumers are the ultimate rulers of the economy and their actions affect GDP, corporate profits and stock prices, labor market, inflation, the housing market and so on. There are several ways of measuring consumer activity, but it is the Personal Income and Outlays report that is the most widely watched data on consumer spending. The report includes data both on personal income and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The latter primarily measures consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. It indicates the economic growth, since it is released monthly (while GDP is published quarterly) and it accounts for about two-thirds of the final domestic spending. Therefore, it should move very closely together with the GDP. Does it really do so? Let’s look at the chart below.
Wednesday, December 23, 2015
Gold Market Manipulation - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
I explain how and why I think the gold bear market is artificial, and due to manipulation by a few big banks in the paper market. I discuss the market reaction that will confirm I’m correct. The analysts that for a couple of years have been trying to deny manipulation are ultimately going to look like idiots, and the Sinclairs of the world are going to have the last laugh, and will be proven correct in the end.
Wednesday, December 23, 2015
Congress Eliminates U.S. Export Oil Ban / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: BATR
If you want to know how the “so called” Free Trade exponents think about exports, just analyze the impact and actual beneficiaries of the US House passes bill to lift 40-year ban on oil exports.
“The crude export restrictions were introduced in the US in 1975 in the middle of the energy crisis. They followed OPEC’s oil embargo of the US and other countries backing Israel during the Arab–Israeli war of 1973. In the face of embargo-related high oil prices, Washington eased the limits on oil imports and ordered an export ban.”
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