Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, September 02, 2013

Drums Of War Spark Rally In Gold, Silver and Energy Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Hubert_Moolman

A potential bull market in commodities, precious metals and miners could accelerate higher if Congress gives Obama the approval to attack Syria based on the use of chemical weapons of mass destruction against innocent civilians. Commodities, energy, gold and silver are safe havens that usually rise in value during international conflicts and war. Remember the major breakout in gold after September 11th in 2001 and the invasion of Iraq in 2003. The ramifications of increased involvement in the Middle East could have a major impact on global trade. The tensions with Russia is increasing as Putin supports Assad.

Monday, September 02, 2013

Crude Oil Price No Breakout But the Trend Remains in Place / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

From today’s point of view, it seems that the situation hasn’t changed much since our last Oil Update, because light crude is trading between $105 and $107 per barrel once again - just like it did a week ago. However, last week was very interesting and brought a significant improvement in the oil market – a positive change which, eventually, turned out to be only temporary.

The crude market is always sensitive to Middle East conflict. As you remember, prices rose to $115 on the unrest in Libya two years ago and to $110 on Iran’s nuclear program. In the previous week we saw similar price action.

Monday, September 02, 2013

Gold Slips in Thin Holiday Trade, But Hedge Funds "Wary of Being Short" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold bullion bars slipped Monday morning, recovering early $25 drop in quiet dealing as Asian and European stock markets rose following strong manufacturing data.

With the US markets closed for the end-of-summer holiday, gold edged down to $1389 per ounce by lunchtime in London, just over 3% below last week's three-month high.

Monday, September 02, 2013

Massive Debt Levels Will Push Silver Price To Beyond $150 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Hubert_Moolman

The massive debt bubble created by our monetary system is about to burst. The demonetization of gold and silver, has over the years diverted value from these metals, to all paper assets (such as bonds) linked to the debt-based monetary system.

Sunday, September 01, 2013

Gold And Silver Market Says 1 -2 Years Sideways, Not Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Re 1 - 2 years of potentially moving sideways, we would be happy to be wrong.

In a week of no news relevant to gold and silver, gold slipped under the 1400 level, for some "unknown" reason, while silver just slipped a little. Friday marked the close of the week and month, for charting purposes. A look at the Quarterly, in progress, seemed a good idea, as well.

Sunday, September 01, 2013

Gold Price Trend - Time for a Brief Pause / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Toby_Connor

Now that gold has broken its daily cycle trend line I think we can assume that the daily cycle decline has probably begun. My best guess is that we will see gold drop into next week's employment report and test the support zone and intermediate trend line between $1340-$1350.

Saturday, August 31, 2013

Bombed Out Gold Market is Bottoming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Aden_Forecast

The war drums are beating. This has driven gold higher and the June lows look like a classic bottom.

Think about it. Gold had been dribbling down all year, but when the Fed began its tapering talk in mid-June, it pushed gold down to new lows.

The already bruised gold price broke down, plunging to the $1200 area in late June, only to zip back up above $1300 four weeks later.

Saturday, August 31, 2013

China Loves West’s 99 Fine Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Richard_Mills

According to Bloomberg, whose calculations were based on Hong Kong customs data, net gold imports into China more than doubled in the first half of 2013 to 493 metric tons, up from roughly 239 tons over the same period in 2012.

The China Gold Association said gold consumption in China jumped 54 percent to 706.36 metric tons in the first six months of 2013.

Bloomberg reported takeovers and asset purchases by China's gold mining companies reached a record $2.24 billion this year, up considerably from 2012's record of $1.96 billion worth of M&A activity.

Saturday, August 31, 2013

Gold and the Return of Global Turmoil / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clif_Droke

The last several weeks have seen a return of all the ingredients for a gold rally, from an "oversold" technical condition which sparked a short-covering rally to a spike in Treasury yields which caused investors to look for safe haven investments. Gold has benefited from the rising interest rates as well as the weakness in the U.S. dollar. Now a new set of factors is playing into gold's favor....

Saturday, August 31, 2013

Emergency Crisis - First Finance, Then Debt, What Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

If Syria is to blame for this run, then the world's in very big trouble...

SO JUST like that, there were no sellers in the gold or silver markets. It's been buyers only amongst BullionVault users this week.

New account openings were strong this week too, the greatest number since the April price crash in fact. Cash deposits were also sharply higher, the heaviest since end-June – the week gold and silver hit their second big slump, and bargain hunters on BullionVault got just the crash they wanted. 

Saturday, August 31, 2013

Syria Attack, Pipeline Politics, OPEC & the U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Syria is about the last gasp for the Petro-Dollar, the emergence of energy pipeline geopolitics, the rise of the NatGas Coop, the new dominance of Russian Gazprom, the eclipse of OPEC, the fall of the house of Saud, and a grand adjustment process in global commerce and banking. Refer to trade settlement outside the USDollar and diversification away from USTreasury Bond reserves management. It took some time to realize it, but the Cyprus bank incident was a misdirected attack against Gazprom. It failed. The entire Arab Spring movement, an ambitious disruptive project waged with foolhardy ambitions, has turned on itself. Egypt fell, its US puppet discharged. The entire North African region will be in flames soon. The USGovt interfered with a grand industrialization project for European industry, to be placed on North Africa intended to take advantage of cheaper labor, available minerals, nearby resources, and easy shipping. The resentment of Europe will show up in the future. The Middle East and Persian Gulf region is shifting its salute to Russia & China, as the noisy sectarian battles have been a common fixture since long ago. Bahrain has erupted. Saudi is clamping down and converting into an Islamic police state to create the Iran-Saudi repressive bobsey twins. Chaos is the longstanding objective of the USGovt in foreign policy infection, no change in decades.

Friday, August 30, 2013

What Do Gold Mining Stocks Tell Us About Gold Price’s Future Moves? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Yesterday, gold stopped a five-day rally that had pushed it to its highest since mid-May, and lost some of its safe-haven appeal as the chance of imminent U.S. military strikes against Syria seemed to diminish, and investors booked profits. We let our subscribers know our thoughts on that topic and we wrote that we didn't expect any military intervention in the next few days and it seemed to us that markets had overestimated the probability of such intervention taking place in the near term.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Gold’s Strongest Months Since 1975 Are September And November / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,392.75, EUR 1,051.85 and GBP 899.19 per ounce.  Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,406.25, EUR 1,059.96 and GBP 906.79 per ounce.

Gold fell $8.60 or 0.61% yesterday, closing at $1,407.10/oz. Silver fell $0.44 or 1.81%, closing at $23.85. Platinum fell $11.61 or 0.8% to $1,518.99/oz, while palladium was down $8.78 or 1.2% to $734.22/oz.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Gold Erases Week's 2.5% Gain After UK Rejects Syrian Action / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold fell $15 in London trade Friday morning, reversing the last of the week's 2.5% gain to sit flat at $1395 per ounce.

Silver had already slipped, and then also fell hard as London opened for business, dipping below $23.50 per ounce.

Friday, August 30, 2013

The Shadowy Web of Collateral and War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It seems that few people have yet realized the possible scenario that a repo market failure will result in a liquidity freeze that can then spark off a full scale financial collapse.

The financial and economic system seems so vulnerable to just in time delivery on virtually everything that such a failure will cause social chaos in the short term and severe damage to confidence in the longer term.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Gold, Silver and Unsuccessful Parasites / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Successful parasites do not kill their hosts, yet the currently parasitic banking system seems to be unsustainable for this very reason.

Like an ineffective parasite, the huge international banks have sucked the juice from and distorted their hosts — the economy, the financial system, and even the culture — to the point of a sudden collapse potentially occurring.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Jim Rogers Agrees Crude Oil and Gold Will Go Much Higher / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Money_Morning

Diane Alter writes: Legendary commodity investor Jim Rogers sees some serious problems stemming from the situation in Syria and the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve's generous flow of money.

In an interview with Reuters on Tuesday, Rogers said "oil and gold will go much, much higher" due to a "market panic."

Friday, August 30, 2013

Tis the Season… For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: The first half of this year saw relentless, almost furious selling of gold by big banks and exchange-traded funds.

Investors sold 684.64 metric tons of gold held in exchange-traded products this year, erasing $54.3 billion in value.

Friday, August 30, 2013

New Contagion Brewing Means Gold New Mega-Highs Possible / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Gold could see new mega-highs according to two prominent international bank economists by Michael J. Kosares

While all eyes have been on Syria, what might turn to be a much more insidious problem for the world economy has been bubbling below the surface – and for the most part out of the public eye – in what we used to call the “third world.” In the end, what amounts to a new currency and debt debacle in the emerging world could undermine the world’s stock markets, including Wall Street, the value of those country’s currencies as well as the debt denominated in those currencies. The list includes China, India, Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, South Africa, Russia and Mexico – just to name a few (and we won’t even get into the problems in the southern rim of Europe). Some see the developing situation as a repeat of the 1996-1997 Asian contagion, but it goes beyond the Pacific Rim, as just noted, to include most of the southern hemisphere.

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Gold and Silver Drop as Syrian Military Strike Delayed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

BENCHMARK physical gold prices retreated 2% from yesterday's 3-month high of $1433 per ounce early Thursday in London, hitting $1405 per ounce before rallying $10 and shrugging off a stronger-than-expected revision to US economic growth.

World stock markets rose for the first time in four sessions, whilst crude oil eased 0.5% lower from this week's new 6-month highs.