Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, February 16, 2013

Gold Long-term Trading Cycles Implications for Future Price Moves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

This week price moves in the gold market could certainly give investors the creeps. The yellow metal opened at around $1,668 on Monday, closed $1,634 on Thursday and is currently (at the moment of writing these words) at $1,606.

We have stressed it many times that in order to make long-term investment decision one should put more weight on long-term charts rather than focusing on short-term noise. Today we will focus on the long-term gold chart - it gives the most insight into what may happen in the long run. Let us jump straight into it (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com)

Friday, February 15, 2013

Gold’s Young Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has suffered a tough slog lately, unable to advance despite central banks aggressively inflating their money supplies all over the world.  Seeing gold stuck in the mire despite very bullish fundamentals has certainly exacted a psychological toll on traders.  They are irritated and discouraged after watching the yellow metal inexplicably languish for months.  But technically gold still remains in a young upleg.

The mortal enemy of successful speculation and investment is emotion.  Greed seduces traders into buying high, while fear frightens them into selling low.  This of course is the exact opposite of the buying low and selling high necessary to multiply your wealth in the markets.  After decades of trading, I believe the greatest antidote to succumbing to popular greed and fear is perspective.  Context is everything.

Friday, February 15, 2013

Gold and the Universal Truth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Richard_Mills

Fascism is a totalitarian system of government that bases its economy on a later, more mature stage of capitalism, it's a marriage of government authority and military/police power managed by corporate influence.

"The liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it comes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is fascism - ownership of government by an individual, by a group." Franklin D. Roosevelt

Friday, February 15, 2013

Why the U.S. Mint Keeps Running Out of Silver Coins / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: So far in 2013, buying silver coins has been one of investors' favorite ways to profit from a climb in the white metal's price.

The demand for physical silver from small investors in the form of coins is really remarkable. A record 7.5 million ounces of silver coins were sold in January.

Friday, February 15, 2013

Hedge Funds Move From Gold GLD To Other ETFs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,629.25, EUR 1,221.42 and GBP 1,052.01 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,644.00, EUR 1,233.22 and GBP 1,060.37 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $30.26/oz, €22.80/oz and £19.61/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,692.50/oz, palladium at $759.00/oz and rhodium at $1,225/oz.

Friday, February 15, 2013

Is Gold Becoming a Risk-off Asset? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Bryne

Lately we’ve been writing about the negative correlation between the equity market and the precious metals market. This phenomenon has been in place since summer 2011 and has re emerged in the past few months. Since November 23, the S&P 500 is up 8% while the gold shares are down 14%, Silver has lost 11% and Gold 7%. For those who have studied history this should not come as a total surprise.

Friday, February 15, 2013

Which Uranium Stocks Will Rise on a Supply Shortfall? / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

With energy demand looking up in China and Japan, both coal and uranium are likely to experience an uptick. But which producers will move with prices? Colin Healey of Haywood Securities weighs in on some names that are leveraged to spot prices in this interview with The Energy Report, explaining why it's time for investors to get excited again.

The Energy Report: Colin, the Japanese government is predicting higher-than-expected GDP growth of 2.5% for 2013. As the world's second-largest importer of thermal coal, that should be good news for investors in that space. Are you buying Japan's optimism?

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Gold Volatility – Are You Worried? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

Does this sound familiar? “Gold is going nowhere – up one day and down the next! I’m scared! Maybe I should bail out.”

Unlike buying stocks, which Wall Street and the media are constantly touting, gold is difficult to buy and hold. Proof: The S&P500 Index has made essentially no gain in 13 years, while gold has increased in price about 15% per year for the past 13 years. Yet few people own gold, and many people still listen to the siren song of Wall Street – “buy and hold stocks forever.” Going against the herd is difficult, and buying gold is a contrarian investment. Few people buy gold, fewer still hold on through bull and bear markets, and most still believe the nonsense that “gold is in a bubble.”

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Why Russia is Investing in Gold More Than Anyone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Jeff Uscher writes: Now we know what Russia has been doing all these years with all its oil mega-profits: investing in gold.

A Bloomberg News article Monday reported that Russia's central bank added 570 metric tons of gold in the past decade, making the country the world's biggest gold buyer. That amount is a quarter more than the world's second-biggest buyer, China.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Silver Stalls as Gold Rallies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of wholesale gold rallied from fresh 6-week lows at $1641 per ounce on Thursday morning, rising as European stock markets fell after much-worse than forecast economic data.

Silver meantime stalled below $31 per ounce as industrial and energy resources cut earlier gains.

Economic output across the 17-member state Euozone contracted by 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2012, the worst drop since the depths of the global recession four years ago.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Record Dollar Value Gold Demand In 2012 - India, China and Central Banks Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,644.00, EUR 1,233.22 and GBP 1,060.37 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,648.00, EUR 1,223.55 and GBP 1,054.59 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $30.85/oz, €23.24/oz and £19.98/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,730.84/oz, palladium at $765.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Gold Cross, The End of Honest Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bill_Bonner

You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold. ~ William Jennings Bryan

The season of fasting is upon us. No more high living. It's time to cinch up our belts... to put on a gaunt face and a smug look. Alone among friends and associates, we will keep Lent.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Time to lift our sight beyond Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

A “Head and Shoulders” chart formation is one of the easiest for a technical analyst (chartist) to spot, but many make the basic error of not checking for “confirmation”  of the pattern by examining volumes.

As a bull trend approaches an end, it can culminate in a bang (an explosion of hysterical buying pressure) or a whimper (a contraction of buying pressure). The Head and Shoulders is more reflective of a whimper.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

The Price Of Gold In The Cold-Gold War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

The collapse of the USSR in 1991 was seen as the triumph of capitalism over communism. The 40-year cold war was over and the West had won. That perception, however, was as premature as it was misleading. The struggle of world powers wasn’t over. Today, the struggle continues in a far more fundamental venue; on capitalism’s home court in the arena of paper money.

The West, as Mao Tse-Tung once claimed, is not a paper tiger; unless, of course, you’re referring to its paper money. 

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Gold - Investor Safety Blanket or Quilting Essential? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The patchwork quilt of diversification looks awful smart. It's more than pretty with gold in it, too...

Investment experts keep telling us two things.

One, you must diversify your savings. Nothing works for ever. Two, your annual returns are set to be miserable, because there's no return to the out-sized gains of the 1980s and '90s. The last 10 years prove that.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Platinum is the Next Profit Opportunity in China's Commodity Boom / Commodities / Platinum

By: GrowthStockWire

Matt Badiali writes: Over the last month, I've shown you how China's economy has seen a resurgence in commodities imports like copper, iron ore, uranium, and coal.

China is the largest importer of industrial commodities in the world... So when its demand picks up, it's bullish for the sector.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Gold and the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

The printing of more paper money usually has the effect of debasing or diluting the strength of that particular currency. The lowering of interest rates also renders a currency less attractive to investors as better returns might be available elsewhere. The demise of the US Dollar can be attributed, in part, to both of the above reasons. However, when this debasement is plotted against other currencies as per the US Dollar Index we can see that it is having some difficulty when it comes to heading lower as the chart below depicts.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Gold Price Will Fall, Time to Switch to Specialty Metals? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Gold_Report

The U.S. and Europe may have been skirting the edge of financial peril for years, but Christopher Ecclestone, who is the principal and mining strategist of London-based Hallgarten & Co., told The Metals Report that the gold price should drop this year as investors realize that there's no more cause for panic. However, the frank and expressive Ecclestone has plenty of other suggestions for what's "sexy" this year (zinc, copper and specialty metals), even as he rips into "business as usual" gold majors and chastises any management team with the nerve to offer a 0.5% dividend.

The Metals Report: Christopher, you believe that the market will recover in 2013. Why?

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

The Case for Silver Outpacing Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: Gold and silver might move in the same direction each day. But they aren't blood related...

A lot of talk on the web right now says silver is significantly undervalued versus gold.

Many of these pundits and talking heads like to point to the historical relationship between gold and silver prices, sometimes known as the "ratio". People even comment as to this connection as far back as thousands of years ago. Let's take a quick look at this.

Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Big Move Ahead for Copper / Commodities / Copper

By: DailyWealth

Brian Hunt writes: Commodity traders take note: copper is now in a "compressed" state.

Back in August 2011, we highlighted the compressed state of the euro. This is a situation where an asset's day-to-day volatility gradually dries up and the highs and lows move closer together. These low-volatility periods are often the calm before a storm.