Wednesday, July 01, 2020

U.S. Dollar: When Almost Everyone Is Bearish... / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EWI

June started off with speculators decidedly negative toward the U.S. dollar.

On the second day of the month, the Financial Times said:

Wall Street strategists say dollar could be set for "dramatic" falls

Elliott Wave International's June 10 U.S. Short Term Update, a three-times-a-week publication which provides near-term forecasts for major U.S. financial markets, took note of the bearish sentiment when it showed this chart and said:

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Politicians Prepare New Money Drops as US Dollar Weakens / Politics / Government Spending

By: MoneyMetals

The gold and silver market rallied earlier this week to record slight new multi-year highs before giving back some of those gains late Wednesday and into Friday morning. 

Concerns about rising COVID-19 infections weighed on industrial commodities and stocks.  New York and Texas announced they would suspend further reopening plans, while a spike in cases in Arizona raised alarms among public health officials. 

However, other data shows that death rates continue to decline – evidence that the novel coronavirus is far less lethal than previously thought. And the rebound in infections is coming primarily from the ongoing increase in testing and reporting.

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

Gold Stocks Still Undervalued / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold miners’ stocks rocketed out of mid-March’s stock panic, breaking out to major new bull-market highs in mid-May.  Such blisteringly-fast gains, and gold stocks’ upleg stalling out since, have left many traders nervous about this sector.  Calls for a serious selloff are mounting.  But arguing in favor for more near-term gains to come, gold stocks never grew overvalued in this post-panic upleg and are still undervalued today.

The recent gold-stock action is best understood through this sector’s most-popular benchmark, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  Holding the world’s biggest and best gold miners, it dominates gold-stock-ETF capital flows.  GDX’s world-leading $15.1b in net assets this week are triple the size of its little-brother GDXJ mid-tier gold miners ETF!  No other gold-stock ETFs come remotely close to GDX’s scale.

And the major gold stocks of GDX have been on a wild ride in recent months.  As gold itself got sucked into mid-March’s stock panic, which was fueled by fears of the economic impact of COVID-19 lockdowns, the gold stocks plummeted.  GDX collapsed 38.8% in 0.6 months into mid-March.  And the final couple days of that were technically a full-on crash, a 20%+ cratering in 2 days.  GDX crashed 24.5% in that span!

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

High Premiums in Physical Gold Market: Scam or Supply Crisis? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

During the coronavirus crisis many people couldn’t find physical gold, as there was a bullion shortage at dealerships. And these lucky individuals who managed to obtain bullion had to pay high premiums. We invite you to read our today’s article about the high premiums in physical gold market during the pandemic and find out whether they were indicated scam or supply crisis.

Gold is expected to serve as a safe-haven asset. But during the coronavirus crisis many people couldn’t find physical gold, as there was a bullion shortage at dealerships. And these lucky individuals who managed to obtain bullion had to pay high premiums. What a safe haven that people can’t find? And does not the price divergence between physical and paper gold show the price manipulation in the latter market? Let’s analyze what really happened in the bullion market during the coronavirus crisis.

Wednesday, July 01, 2020

US Stock Markets Enter Parabolic Price Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In the first part of this research article, we briefly discussed the recent price and global economic events related to the 2018 to 2020 US stock market volatility and the COVID-19 virus event.  The premise of this research post was to highlight the current upside parabolic price trend that initiated shortly after the 2015~16 US election cycle event.  It is almost impossible to look at the NAS100 chart, below, and not see the dramatic upside price advance that took place after the November 2016 US elections.

It is almost as if the US stock markets had been primed by Federal Reserve intervention over the previous 5+ years and someone let the monster out of the cage.  The deregulation, changes to tax structures and general perception of market opportunity changed almost immediately after the November 2016 elections and really never looked back.

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

In The Year 2025 If Fiat Currency Can Survive / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Bob_Kirtley

Introduction

We are presently enduring a period of great change due to the Coronavirus which has already cost many lives and inflicted untold damage to the global economy.

Alongside the damage caused by this virus the world has also entered a recession having been through an eleven-year period of expansion.

To make matters worse many nations are shouldering massive debts raising questions about the possibility of debt defaults on a grand scale.

Today we are taking a peek into what the future might look like and it is not a pretty sight.

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Gold Likes the IMF Predicting a Deeper Recession / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

IMF predicts deeper global recession and slower recovery, just as I expected. Good news for gold.

The June edition of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Report Update is out! The main message is that the IMF predicts now even a deeper recession than two months ago.

As a reminder, in April edition of the World Economic Outlook Report, the IMF projected that the global economy would contract sharply by 3 percent this year, while the U.S. economy would plunge 5.9 percent. When it comes to 2021, the IMF projected 5.8 percent growth for the global economy and 4.7 percent for the U.S.

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Silver Is Still Cheap For Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Silver is still near all-time lows in many ways. One of the most significant measures wherein silver is at an all-time low, is its price relative to the amount of US dollars (US monetary base) in existence.

Below, is a long-term chart of the silver price relative to the US monetary base:

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Fed Trampoline Cliff Diving / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

We start this week's commentary with some rather depressing news from Reuters:

The ratio of downgrades to upgrades in the credit ratings of leveraged loans has spiked to a record level, five times above that hit during the last global financial crisis, reflecting the unprecedented stress in risky assets due to the coronavirus pandemic. Leveraged loans, which are loans taken out by companies that have very high levels of debt, usually with non-investment grade credit ratings--tend to be used by private equity firms as a way to fund acquisitions of such companies. The U.S. leveraged lending market has grown to more than $2 trillion, up 80% since the early 2010s, according to credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service.

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

More Stock Market Selling Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Having rallied well past a .618 retracement of the decline into March 2020, it is time to consider the possibility that the retracement was only an interruption of the bull market which originated in 2009.

Intermediate trend – Down into mid-July

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Tuesday, June 30, 2020

Trending Ecommerce Sites in 2020 / Companies / SME

By: Dylan_Moran

Ecommerce has taken the world by storm in recent years, and more shoppers than ever are turning to the Internet to find the products they need in 2020. The competition is fierce, so eCommerce retailers need to do everything they can to get an edge on their competitors. That includes finding the best platforms for selling their wares. Read on to find out about the trending eCommerce sites that should be on every online retailer's radar in 2020.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Stock Market S&P 500 Approaching the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks made quite a move out of the 5-day long congestion yesterday – is the downside move drawing to a close? I don't think so yet, and today's analysis will discuss quite a few reasons why. As for the battle of narratives, the corona fears are gaining the upper hand over the recovery focus currently, which highlights the S&P 500 downside potential in the short-term. Will stocks follow through on the many cues?

And how will the market take to the incoming unemployment claims? I think they would not bring about a bullish surprise, and will likely prove to be a catalyst of selling pressure during the regular U.S. market hours.

Monday, June 29, 2020

APPLE Tech Stock for Investing to Profit from the Machine Learning Mega trend / Companies / Apple

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis will now seek to update potential buying levels for AI stocks during Q2 of where stocks could trade down to in terms of technical support levels during the anticipated general stock market correction of about 15% that should be imminent.

Top 5 AI Stocks are all primary, the ordering of which is arbitrary for instance of the 3 Google, Amazon and Microsoft it's a toss up of which comes first. For instance If I was compiling the list today then I would likely put Amazon at No1 ahead of Google. So keep in mind that the rankings are more in terms of primary, Secondary and Tertiary rather than their number order.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Student / Gamer Custom System Build June 2020 Proving Impossible - Overclockers UK / ConsumerWatch / Computing

By: HGR

Due to fallout from the pandemic of increased demand and reduction in supply, it is proving near impoissible to get a custom built pc as illustrated by our attempts to buy a £1000 gaming / student PC from system builder overclockers.co.uk

Monday, June 29, 2020

US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles / Currencies / US Dollar

By: readtheticker

Where is price going, is there strength or weakness in the chart?

Previous Post on the US Dollar : Where is the US Dollar trend headed ?

The question is always what will the future price action look like ?

This post will highlight the use of lines generated by angles. Not trend lines, as trend lines require two known points on a chart, where as angles require only one known point and a angle degree to draw a line. The question then becomes how is the angle degree determined.

There are two theories: Gann Angles and Ney Angles.  Gann angles are a fixed set of degrees (see below) and these degrees are based loosely on astrology and the regular cycle of planets around the sun. Gann said price would move between these angles as the angles acted as like critical support and resistance.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Europe's Banking Sector: When (and Why) the Rout Really Began / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: EWI

The financial sector has been one of the global stock market's bedrocks for decades. That's why its performance is so critical to the overall stock market health.

Well, here's a chart of the European Stoxx 600 Banks Index over the past four years.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Will People Accept Rampant Inflation? Hell, No! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

What do snapping turtles and long-time investors have in common? Sector expert Michael Ballanger explains.

The Weekly Missive, which usually arrives over the weekend (sometimes on Friday, sometimes on Sunday) was delayed this weekend for one reason: I had to change it.

I started out last week with an idea that was leaning in the direction of full-on capitulation in the sense that this latest, three-month, Fed-fueled rally was beginning to smell like 2009 and 2002 and 1988. All occurred after precipitous market plunges; all were the direct result of Fed policy actions; and all obliterated the shorts.

I have been very successful in 2020 in moving into markets gripped with fear and moving away from markets obsessed with greed, but of those two emotions that have always been the "controllers" of markets since the late 1800s, greed absolutely conflagrates during Fed "printing" orgies, while fear dissipates into only minor outbursts of selling. This has been the exact playbook by which the Fed (totally owned and operated by a consortium of publicly traded banks) has been able to change the "rules of engagement" by which traders and investors have operated since inception.

Monday, June 29, 2020

Gold & Silver Begin The Move To New All-Time Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We warned about this move many months ago and just 6 days ago we issued a research post suggesting Gold had cleared major resistance and would start a rally mode to push above $2000 – possibly above $2100.  Well, guess what happened right after we made that statement? Yup – Gold started to rally higher and is currently trading near $1790 – about to break $1800 for the first time in 2020.

You can read some of our most recent Gold articles below:

June 3, 2020: Gold & Silver “Washout” – Get Ready For A Big Move Higher

June 18, 2020: Gold Has Finally Cleared Major Resistance – Time For Liftoff

June 20, 2020: All That Glitters When The World Jitters Is Probably Gold

Monday, June 29, 2020

US Stock Market Enters Parabolic Price Move – Be Prepared / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After the recent COVID-19 virus event and the global market concerns that will warrant caution for skilled traders and investors, the US stock markets have entered an upside parabolic trend that will likely end with a massive price collapse – extremely volatile and aggressive in nature.  Our research team continues to warn of the unpredictable nature of the current price rally and the fact that the upside parabolic price trend appears more prominent in the NASDAQ sector.  If history has taught us anything, it is that these types of parabolic moves can last a while and that they always end in a deep downside price correction – usually 61% to 75% of the last upside price trend.

Our research and trading team has been advising friends and followers to stay very cautious of the current markets (excluding Gold, Miners, and certain other protective sectors).  We don’t believe this rally warrants any exposure greater than 15 to 20% given the current global economic environment and the hyper-parabolic nature of the current price move.  We believe the opportunity presented by the upside advances does not negate the potential risks of a massive collapse event taking place in the near future.  In other words, we’re more cautious of how ugly and aggressive the end of this parabolic move will be than willing to try to find some opportunities in an already hyper-extended parabolic upside price trend.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Meet BlackRock, the New Great Vampire Squid / Politics / Market Manipulation

By: Ellen_Brown

To most people, if they are familiar with it at all, BlackRock is an asset manager that helps pension funds and retirees manage their savings through “passive” investments that track the stock market. But working behind the scenes, it is much more than that. BlackRock has been called “the most powerful institution in the financial system,” “the most powerful company in the world” and the “secret power.” It is the world’s largest asset manager and “shadow bank,” larger than the world’s largest bank (which is in China), with over $7 trillion in assets under direct management  and another $20 trillion managed through its Aladdin risk-monitoring software. BlackRock has also been called “the fourth branch of government” and “almost a shadow government”, but no part of it actually belongs to the government. Despite its size and global power, BlackRock is not even regulated as a “Systemically Important Financial Institution” under the Dodd-Frank Act, thanks to pressure from its CEO Larry Fink, who has long had “cozy” relationshipswith government officials.