Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, January 05, 2011
The New Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
As confidence in global currencies wanes, the world's appetite for gold will increase.
As we embark on 2011, gold continues to climb and investors are questioning its future price direction. Is gold in a bubble? Have the price gains of the last decade-which beat out stocks, bonds and several other favored asset classes- peaked? Did today's investors miss the opportunity to buy?
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Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Triple Peak Pressuring Gold GLD ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The big picture that is evolving in the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) shows that yesterday's high at 139.00 represented the third failed attempt to hurdle and sustain above 139.00 during the past eight weeks. Today's sharp gap-down open and downside follow-through (so far) leaves behind a triple peak that is putting increasing pressure on the Nov-Jan support line, which cuts across the price axis today at 134.75.
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Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Numismatics Are Fool's Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Last month, I addressed the hype around gold confiscation, and debunked the myth that collectible or numismatic coins would offer effective protection. But there is another sales pitch that many dealers will use while trying to "up sell" you to numismatics. They may argue that on investment merits alone, numismatics are a better bet. While this may be a more rational line of thinking than the typical confiscation con, it is bad advice for investors hoping to protect their assets in an economic slump.
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Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Gold & Silver Fall But "Short-Term Charts" & 2011 Economic Fears "Still Positive" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF GOLD and silver bullion both fell as London – center of the world's precious metals markets – got back to work from the New Year shutdown on Tuesday, dropping 1.3% and 2.2% respectively from yesterday's Dollar highs as world stock markets caught up with Wall Street's strong gains.
The US Dollar whipped lower on the forex market, helping the gold price in Euros further extend its drop to 1-week lows, down some 1.3% from Thursday's new all-time high of €34,586 per kilo.
Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Gold and the PM Stocks Will Make 2011 A Happy New Year For All! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Goldrunner writes: It is fascinating to be living during the greatest PM Bull Market in history – and to be entering its Seasonal Strength as the parabola rushes forward and upward - and I look forward to keeping you informed on a regular basis throughout 2011 as it unfolds.
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Monday, January 03, 2011
Copper Outlook 2011: A Beijing Opera / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Year 2010 had been good to almost all investment classes. Stocks, bonds, commodities, and the dollar are all moving higher in tandem, a first of such unison since 2005. Among them, commodity is the one leading the pack partly on dollar weakness, as well as propped up by world’s central banks quantitative easing.
Base metals, in particular, are further supported as China keeps on trucking with double-digit growth despite most of the world practically stood still during the worst global recession since World War II.
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Monday, January 03, 2011
BubbleOmics & Gold Expose America’s Suicide Pact with God’s Workers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The original reason Professor Nouriel Roubini started to fret about the US economy was when he noticed, in about 2003, that its current account deficit was becoming positively “Argentinean”. Here is a line from paper he put out with Brad Setser in 2004:
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Monday, January 03, 2011
Celebrating the Creation of a Government Agency Dedicated to Making Gold More Valuable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
We seem to have missed the celebration. Forget Christmas. Forget New Year's Eve. 23 December was the big day, and we should have all been partying. What should we have been celebrating on that day? On 23 December 1913 the Federal Reserve Act was passed by the U.S. Senate, creating the most monumental mistake of governance in 97 years.
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Friday, December 31, 2010
Gold Ends 2010 in a Bullish Fashion – What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It's instructive to look at the end of the year financial magazines and see their analysis of the past year and their projections for the future. For example, the special issue of Fortune Magazine Investor's Guide 2011 had a glimmering stack of gold coins on the cover with a headline “Gold Gone Wild.”
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Friday, December 31, 2010
Silver Mining Stocks Are for Suckers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: Mining is for suckers.
I've told you this before... and you may think that as the editor of a resource and mining advisory, I've lost my mind saying so. After all, I've recommended plenty of mining companies, and most of my readers love the idea of owning them.
Friday, December 31, 2010
Is Gold Or Fiat Currency In a Bubble / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
It is easy to argue that gold is in a bubble.
But as I pointed out last month: Deutsche Bank's head commodities researcher [Michael Lewis] wrote in September:
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Friday, December 31, 2010
Gold Ends 2010 with 11th Annual Bull Market Gain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD ended 2010 with an AM London Gold Fix of $1410.25 per ounce on Friday, racking up its 11th consecutive annual gain vs. the world's major currencies.
Bullion Vault's Global Gold Index – which measures the gold price in terms of the world's top 10 currencies, each weighted by the issuing economy's GDP – showed a rise of 29.9% for the year.
Friday, December 31, 2010
Forecast, Silver Will Be Worth More Than Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It’s shiny, it’s fairly rare, and it has been the world’s de facto reserve currency anytime the S has hit the fan historically. Though it has been prized by civilizations since before recorded history, it’s no secret that there is really no meaningful use for the precious metal gold in comparison to the widespread use of many other metals. Once it is mined it is essentially fabricated into gold bars, coins, jewelry or, at times, sprinkled onto exquisitely expensive desserts in five star Manhattan restaurants.
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Friday, December 31, 2010
China and Gold are Good but Crude has caught a [Cold] but otherwise it too is Good / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Two interest rate hikes to fight the inflation, Chinese commitment given before G-Meeting in Toronto to move to partial peg, everything seems to be falling in place nicely for Beijing and above all the nice gradual incremental rise in Yuan is getting all the right appreciation. We for one stood by Beijing even when U.S Treasury Secretary Mr. Geithner whom we wrote about enough that we felt the need to clarify that we held nothing against him.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
The Last Angry Man's Problem With IMF Gold Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Adrian Ash of BullionVault.com writes that "the International Monetary Fund said it has completed the gold bullion sales program begun in October 2009," and now 403 tonnes of gold have been sold.
I bring this up all the time because the whole thing pisses me off because we gave those IMF bastards the gold to provide gold-standard legitimacy for their stupid fiat currency, the Special Drawing Right (SDR). And yet here they are selling the gold we loaned them! Gaaahhh!
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
Peak Oil Is Coming, Courtesy of Political Incompetence / Commodities / Crude Oil
Before starting today’s essay, I have to thank Rick Rule of Global Resource Investments for his insights on the following issues.
Rick has been involved in natural resources investing since 1974. He founded Global in 1994 and has been behind many of the largest deals (Silver Standard being one) and the largest profits (between 1998 and 2006 he grew $15 into $460 million) the industry has ever seen.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
How to Buy Silver at a 10%-20% Discount / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Brian Hunt writes: Sooner or later, every precious-metal investor is confronted with a big problem...
It goes like this: First, a big bull market in gold and silver – like the one that started in 2001 – enjoys a major run higher. (Think back to when gold shot from $650 an ounce in July 2007 to $1,000 an ounce in early 2008.)
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Commodities Outlook 2011 Remains Positive / Commodities / CRB Index
Given a basket of commodities, as measured by the CRB Index, is up a healthy 9.72% this month, it may be a good time to revisit the longer-term outlook. While the daily chart of the CRB is showing some signs of short-term fatigue, the outlook for the next three-to-six months still appears to be encouraging.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
Gold 2011: "Old Normal" Returns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
This year marked a step-change in the nature of gold investment demand...
MOST PEOPLE rightly think of gold bullion as an inflation hedge. But it's only now, ten years into this bull market, that this "old normal" so clearly applies.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
Gold Consolidates Over $1400/oz - CFTC Data Bullish - Silver Nominal 30 Year High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The final week of 2010 has seen a continuation of trends seen in markets throughout the year with equities and commodities continuing to rise. Investors increasingly wary of inflation are pushing commodity prices - particularly metals - higher, with copper hitting a new record nominal high, palladium reaching a nine-year high and silver at a new 30-year record nominal high at $30.90/oz (€23.25/oz and £19.86/oz).
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