Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 14, 2011
The Coming Flood of Yuan and Chinese Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
While China is taking a greater portion of our financial attention on a daily basis, it seems to us that the sheer size of China and its continued growth has not been factored into the world economic perspective, even now. One of the consequences of profit driven capitalism in the past was the relocation of manufacturing from high-cost, developed countries to the lower cost country of China. U.S. corporations that did that, have enjoyed better-than-ever profits, but in the process have educated new, Chinese, lower-priced competition that will overwhelm us all in the future. The enrichment of China and its arrival on the world scene will surpass the U.S. as the largest world economy by 2020 at the latest [we would not be surprised if this happened even before 2015]. This will trigger a financial tsunami that will change they way we think and invest.
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Friday, January 14, 2011
Forgotten Treasure: Unconventional Crude Oil in the Middle East / Commodities / Crude Oil
Marin Katusa, Casey’s Energy Report writes: As the conventional and cheap oil and gas start to dry up in the Middle East... a bigger, even better opportunity seeks to replace it.
For many who aren't familiar with the region, the Middle East comes across as an updated version of Lawrence's Arabia, only with lots of oil. But this mosaic of cultures isn't made up of only Arabs or Muslims, and most Middle East countries are neither awash with heavily armed, rather excitable citizenry... nor with black gold, which is what we're interested in. Twenty-three countries comprise the Arab League, but only Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Iran are major oil producers.
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Friday, January 14, 2011
Who, How and Why: Crude Oil $140 and $5 Gas / Commodities / Crude Oil
According to a loosely-organized apocalyptic Christian movement, May 21, 2011 will be the "end of days." On or about that same date, the price of oil in the United States will begin to climb to $4 a gallon, according to two savants of the oil industry.The former is highly unlikely but the latter is very probable.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Crude Oil Prices Push to Two-year High / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil prices closed at their highest level since October 28th after a settle price of $91.86 on Wednesday. The current (January 13) price is $91.79 on the New York NYMEX for one barrel of light sweet crude futures scheduled for February delivery.
Increased demand for oil, lower inventory levels, and speculative interest are credited for driving oil to its current levels.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Gold Versus Defective Economists and Delusional Leaders on Drugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It has always been my opinion that the so-called science of economics in its current form is victim to the problem of not being able to see the forest because of the trees. The fact that 60 percent of 242 members of the National Association for Business Economics think that the U.S. Federal Reserve is doing the world a favour by maintaining non-existent interest rates is hard evidence in support thereof. If you give something away (money) at no cost, then its value is zero. Something is only worth what someone else is willing to pay for it. Why oh why do our illustrious leaders fail to grasp such elementary logic?
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Gold Price Manipulation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and silver have fallen by less than 1% in all major currencies today. Asian equities were mixed with strong selling seen in India and European equities and US index futures are tentatively higher. Eurozone periphery bonds yields have fallen as have those in Germany (10 year) after rising above 3% in recent days.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Gold "Attractive" as US Bonds Signal Inflation 2011 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF GOLD reversed an early 0.8% dip to trade above $1387 per ounce on Thursday in London, as the Dollar slipped following a surprise jump in new US jobless claims.
Crude oil ticked lower from Wedneday's new two-year high, but silver prices also rallied after giving back half of this week's 4.1% gain vs. the Dollar, turning higher from $29.16 per ounce.
Thursday, January 13, 2011
Bullish Sentiment in Gold Abates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
An upward sloping consolidation in Gold that began in October has, despite a lack of any real losses, been enough to improve various sentiment indicators.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Gold, Silver and the Dollar’s Next Big Move / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
There is a potentially big setup in precious metals sector along with the dollar which looks like its about to unfold. Since mid-October of last year gold started to show signs of distribution selling. Only a month later in November silver started warning us that some big players were taking some profits off the table also. Distribution selling is easy to spot on the charts. In short you will see heavy volume selling accompanied with strong moves to the downside.
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Thursday, January 13, 2011
Will U.S. Economic Growth Hamper Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Has the U.S. economy turned the corner? Mark Lackey with Toronto-based financial services company Pope & Co. is forecasting modest growth and slight inflation. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mark explains why that shouldn't drive a continued correction in gold prices and shares some companies that are set to prosper—whether they've got an NI 43-101-compliant estimate or not.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Silver's Tactical Performance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
“Tactical performance” is a word we'll all have to grow accustomed to reading, as more and more weight of the markets is placed in the hands of investment managers or quick acting computer models.
The best example of tactical performance was the first week of trading for the gold and silver markets, when there were numerous “tactical” changes to investment portfolios, as we just witnessed. Such reallocation (taking profits from winners, adding to undervalued losers) is big business, and fund managers like to make such portfolio revisions at a time most convenient: late December and early January.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
China Sets Stage for Vacuuming World's Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
China's monetary policy is increasingly a main driver of gold and silver prices because so many Chinese can now afford metal investments and are willing to snap them up.
Recently, though, China took one of the most aggressive steps to take control of the 2011 silver supply. This year, China anticipates it will allow its currency to advance some 5% against the dollar after previously allowing for only a 3.6% advance in 2010. Such a massive increase, many believe, could tip the metals scale.
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Shanghai Gold Premium Hits $23/Oz, China Opens 1 Million Gold-Savings Accounts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF GOLD touched fresh 1-week highs in late Asian trade on Wednesday, slipping back as European stock markets rose and Portugal's new issue of 10-year debt found what bond dealers called "strong demand".
The gold price in Dollars retreated below $1380 from $1387.50 per ounce.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Gold Bullion Demand Surges in Middle East and Asia / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is marginally higher in US dollars while silver has risen by nearly 1% in all major currencies this morning. Risk appetite remains highs as seen in higher Asian and European bourses today. The US, Hong Kong and New Zealand dollar are weaker as are Australian and German government bonds (which rose 6 basis points and 4 basis points to 5.51% and 2.96% respectively).
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
When To Buy Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and silver are falling.Two of the most over loved, overbought markets on the planet, are going down. What fortune awaits the holders of these barbarous relics. Will they go the way of oil, after it reached $145 and was never supposed to see $100 again, let alone $30.00. Is another crash like we saw in 2008 coming? Have the inflationist made the mistake of their lives?
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Virginia Considers Gold as Alternative Currency for When FED Breaks Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In what could be the financial shot heard around the world, the state of Virginia is considering the establishment of a joint subcommittee to study whether the Commonwealth should adopt a currency such as gold or silver to serve as an alternative to the currency distributed by the Federal Reserve System in the event of a major breakdown of the Federal Reserve System.
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Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Gold and Silver Enter a Higher Risk, Higher Return Potential Zone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
2011 is sure to be a critical year for gold with several analysts predicting an end of the bull market. It may sound very strange, but it appears that the USD Index has been leading the way for precious metals and suggests higher prices are likely to be seen soon. The general stock market may enter a consolidation phase in the near-term but has had little influence on gold, silver and mining stocks recently.
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Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Oil, PBR in New Upleg? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil prices pivoted off of key support at 87.25-86.80 last Friday in the aftermath of a decline from 92.58. Strength yesterday and today has the look and feel of a new upleg, which if accurate projects next to 94.60-95.20 -- and, if that target zone is breached, onwards to 103-105.
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Tuesday, January 11, 2011
This Will Be the Biggest Bull Trend in Commodities for the Next Decade / Commodities / Natural Gas
Matt Badiali writes: One of the smartest, loudest, richest oilmen in America is T. Boone Pickens.
Since graduating college with a geology degree in 1951, Pickens has spent the last 60 years building a billion-dollar fortune by finding oil, putting together giant deals, and managing energy investment funds. He's the "rock star" of the U.S. hydrocarbon industry.
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
How to Trade Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
Now that we have "Silly Season" behind us, it's time to get serious about trading
In today's video we are looking at crude oil. This market has been a disappointment to a lot of traders as has remained in a broad trading range for the past 18 months.
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