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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, November 17, 2018

Is Gold Under or Overpriced? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Have you heard about the Everything Bubble? Some analysts believe that after the dot-com bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s, we are in the middle of a price bubble in virtually all asset classes simultaneously caused by the Fed’s unusually easy monetary policy with ultra low interest rates. Although we agree that the US central bank maintained federal funds rate too low for too long, the narrative about a dangerous bubble inflating in a wide variety of countries, industries, and assets does not make sense. The bubble means that the price of an asset deviates from the fundamental value, increasing excessively, to a much greater extent than on other markets. It should be now clear that the existence of overvalued assets necessarily means that other assets are undervalued, so there can’t be the ‘everything bubble’. Sorry, but those who wait for the total asset apocalypse might be disappointed.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Pound Falls 2.5% Against Gold as UK Government in Turmoil Over Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

The pound plunged against the euro, the dollar, gold and all leading currencies today as Theresa May’s UK government appeared vulnerable to collapsing and political turmoil risked creating a hard Brexit.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

The New China and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

China has developed tremendously in recent years. But what’s next? Is the country entering the growth recession? And how it will affect the world and the gold market?

A New Chapter in China

We have not analyzed the publications of the World Gold Council for a while. Let’s make it up, starting with the newest edition of Gold Investor. The report is about China and its remarkable transformation in the context of the gold market.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Gold Oil and Commodities …Back to the Future ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at tonights charts I would like to take a minute to discuss trading the three X leveraged etf’s. Leveraged etf’s aren’t for everyone as they can be very volatile. These instruments are for those that can take a bigger risk and still come out OK when they go against you. For the average investor a 1 X leveraged etf is all they can handle and that should be fine. When you start playing with the 2 X and 3 X leveraged etf’s your risk factor goes up very fast.

Placing a sell/stop in the correct place works great for the 1 X leveraged etf, but when you are in a 3 X leveraged etf setting the sell/stop is a totally different game. Very rarely do I let the original sell/stop be hit before I will exit the trade as you have to give the stock some wiggle room when you first take a position. As more information becomes available you can start to make adjustments to your sell/stop mentally. A 3 X etf can get away from you in a heartbeat so one has to pay very close attention at all times.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Investors And Analysts Know Nothing About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

There were several developments in the gold market last week. First, we heard of another trader who has pleaded guilty to “manipulating” the metals market. And, everyone is up in arms again about how gold was manipulated to drop from $1,921 to $1,040 during 2011-2015.

And, yes, they are all again saying “ah ha – you see, we were right.”

But, as I have said so many times before, what this trader did was akin to a paper cut in the market. And, to claim that these types of actions caused the market to drop from 2011 to 2016 is akin to claiming that a paper cut caused the market to bleed to death.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Is A Top Forming In Natural Gas? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent upswing in NG prices has been an incredible trade for many, yet we believe a top is now forming in Natural Gas that could catch many traders by surprise.  The recent upside gap in price and upward price volatility would normally not concern long traders.  They would likely view this as a tremendous success for their long NG positions, yet we believe this move is about to come to a dramatic end – fairly quickly.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Is Gold Silence Golden? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

People say that speech is silver, silence is golden. Well, not always. The recent FOMC monetary policy statement is the best example. Lets’ read out today’s article and find out why.

Nothing Changes in November

On Thursday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on November 7-8. In line with the expectations, the US central bank kept the federal funds rate unchanged at the target range of 2 to 2.25 percent:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Investors Set To Move and Store Gold In Dublin Due To Brexit Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Investors in Ireland, the UK and internationally can for the first-time own gold in a secure and liquid way in accredited, professionally managed, fully insured, institutional grade vaults – Secure gold investment in Ireland for first time as global risks intensify and Dublin will compete with London as a favoured gold storage location

– Brexit will likely impact the 300bn London gold market as investors move gold to other jurisdictions including Dublin

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Gold Stocks vs. Gold – Cryin’ Time Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

When will people wake up to the fact that investing in gold mining shares is not a good idea?

What are the experts seeing and thinking when they talk about the “positive outlook for mining shares”? For the life of me, I just don’t get it.

And, as far as gold stocks outperforming gold, well, just forget about it. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

JPMorgan Chase Trader Pleads Guilty to Gold Manipulation, Turns State's Evidence / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver investors got a rare bit of good news on the enforcement front last week.

A trader from JPMorgan Chase pled guilty to rigging the precious metals futures markets.

John Edmonds admitted to cheating the bank’s clients and plenty of other people naive enough to expect fair treatment on the COMEX and other exchanges.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Warning: Precious Metals’ Gold and Silver Prices are about to Collapse! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver just moved to its 2018 bottom. Not somewhat above it, not relatively close to it – silver’s Friday’s close of $14.14 equals the previous lowest closing price of 2018 that was formed on September 14th. That’s not yet a breakdown, but the implications are severe.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Why the End of the Longest Crude Oil Bull Market Since 2008? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the past two years, crude oil has steadily advanced, supported by global recovery. But in just 10 days, oil has posted the longest losing streak since mid-1984 – thanks to overcapacity and the Trump trade wars.

Half a year ago, crude oil prices were expected to climb from $53 per barrel in 2017 to $65 per barrel by the year-end and to remain around that level through 2019. By mid-October, crude had soared to $75 and the rise was expected to continue.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Will Crude Oil Price Find Support Near $60? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team warned of this move in Crude Oil back on October 7, 2018.  At that time, we warned that Oil may follow a historical price pattern, moving dramatically lower and that lows near $65 may become the ultimate bottom for that move.  Here we are with a price below that level and many are asking “where will it go from here?”.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, November 12, 2018

Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

Crude Oil and Industrial Metals continue downward. This is significant per this NFTRH monthly chart showing these items and the broad CRB itself having hit trend lines from the 2008 highs. These pullbacks from long-term trend lines are notable and qualify cyclical commodities as risk indicators for the cyclical macro.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, November 12, 2018

5 Things That Precede Gold Price Major Bottoms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The recent weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is not over. In fact, we are worried about another leg down getting underway.

If that comes to pass, we are positioned to profit from it. But I digress.

Long-term oriented investors and speculators should be aware of the near term trends but they should also be aware of the conditions that will lead to a shift from a bear market to a bull market.

Here, we focus on five factors that precede major bottoms in precious metals.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, November 11, 2018

Gold Asks: Are US Bonds Overvalued? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

“We are in a bond market bubble that’s beginning to unwind.” This is the statement of Alan Greenspan. Is he right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the US bond market and find out whether it is in bubble or not – and what does it all mean for the precious metals market. 

Bond yields are in an upward trend since 2016/2017. And they hit the accelerator again last month. The 10-year Treasury yield topped 3.2 percent, the highest level since May 2011. Other yields have also increased recently: on 30-year Treasuries hit 3.40 in October, while on 5-year US government bonds jumped above 3 percent, as one can see in the chart below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, November 11, 2018

GDX - Will you Buy This Hated Stock with Me? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Stephen_McBride

Will you listen to me?

Will you buy the stock I recommend in this issue?

I hope so… because we have a realistic shot to make roughly 140% on our money in just a few months.

Stock markets don’t often hand us opportunities like this. I study markets for a living and I see one setup like it a year, max.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, November 10, 2018

In US Elections Both Parties Won. And Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

US mid-term elections are behind us. Surprisingly, both parties won! How is it possible? Let’s read our article and find out! We will also explain what the election results imply for the world and the gold market.

Democrats Win

The elections were very interesting. We provide you with the key takeaways, focusing on the possible implications for the precious metals. First, Democrats took control of the House, the first time in eight years. Their victory will make it harder for Trump to push his agenda forward. Given that investors liked his pro-business stance, the change should upset the Wall Street. It implies weaker greenback, while stronger gold.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.

On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.

Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.

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