Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 06, 2009
Tactical Trading in the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In some of my earlier posts I spoke about Tactical trading in Commodity futures. I want to provide you an example that is occurring right now in commodity futures trading. This is not from one of those web sites with commodity tips. This is real trading in a commodity market with a real commodity trade.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Gold Will Perform Well No Matter What Happens / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Graham’s note: today we’re featuring commentary from Ron Coby, Chief Investment Officer at Coby Lamson Capital Management in Medford, Oregon. Ron’s one of the smartest traders I know and it shows in his firm’s track record: up 16% year to date. The following is an except from his book, The Upside of Down which you can purchase online here.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Metals Snap Back Rally / Commodities / Metals & Mining
The continued enthusiasm for metals can be tied to a combination of devaluation of the Greenback and hopes that western recessions are bottoming. The deteriorating US Dollar is an element that will have to be weighed against the demand picture for the next decade. However, western demand hasn’t been fundamental to pricing metal, or oil, for over a decade. Current enthusiasm, especially in light summer trading, should be treated gingerly.
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Thursday, August 06, 2009
Commodities Close to Long-term Buy Signals, Gold, Silver, Oil and Natural Gas / Commodities / Commodities Trading
This week commodities have been moving higher which is exciting. Gold, silver, oil and natural gas all have bullish looking daily and intraday price action. Monday we saw commodities spike higher and profit taking Tuesday and Wednesday. I am expecting a sharp move here and it could be in either direction, so this report is to keep you on your toes.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Gold v. Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Figure 1 is a concept that I have put forward before, and it is gold's performance relative to a basket of 8 currencies.Those currencies are: 1) Australian Dollar; 2) Canadian Dollar; 3) Swiss Franc; 4) Eurodollar; 5) British Pound; 6) Singaporean Dollar; 7) Japanese Yen; 8) US Dollar. This is a weekly chart. Relative to other currencies, gold is starting to outperform, and the indicator has turned positive after about 10 months of underperformance.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Eric Coffin: Stick with Commodities & Resources Exploration Stories that Work / Commodities / Resources Investing
Investors have been beaten down and battered over the last year. With correlations between markets continuing to shift unpredictably, many are uncertain about where to put their money. "It's been a strange year," says Eric Coffin, co-editor, along with his brother David, of the HRA (Hard Rock Analyst) publications. The good news, he says, is that it's probably not going to get worse than March; the bad—a bear market this deep almost always revisits the major bottom. Read what Eric foresees going forward and why he's sticking with the exploration stories that work in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Wednesday, August 05, 2009
Gold Seasonal Trend Analysis, Is the 18 Month Consolidation Complete? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Another month has come to an end in the gold market and it is always good to review where we’ve been and where we might be going. For those of us who follow the market closely, you know how important it is to constantly review the important aspects of the market and to keep those aspects in the forefront. Even if you view from a distance, a good monthly review is essential to keep up with the price trends of the gold market. The past 17 months sideways consolidation to a certain degree can sometimes put us in a frame of mind in gold that we get so used to the sideways trend that we might sometimes miss what is brewing underneath the market.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Cash For Clunkers - Do You Pay in Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
August 2009 Comment: The man-on-the-street has been getting a solid education at the School of Hard Knocks. At the rate that our government has been spewing out dollars, the writing on the wall is that cash is quickly becoming a clunker, too.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Why Investing in Gold Coins Now Will Help You Retire Secure / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In our current times of economic and political instability, investing in gold becomes an attractive option for many people. While many investors simply buy gold bars, astute collectors have made fortunes by investing in certified gold coins. If you having been wanting to add gold to your investment portfolio and want to know more about gold coins then please consider my…
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Tuesday, August 04, 2009
Gold Near Summer Lows Prior to Strong Seasonal Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
GoldCore believe that gold has hit or is soon to hit its traditional late summer low price prior to the traditional strong gold rally in the autumn and early winter months.
Recent years have seen a late summer sell off with a low price being seen normally between mid July and mid August.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
New Upleg in Natural Gas ETF UNG / Commodities / Natural Gas
Commodities in general, but the oil and gas complex in particular, are very strong in the early going this AM... Let's have a look at the pattern that is emerging in the U.S. Nat Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG). Purely from a technical perspective this morning’s thrust above near-term resistance at 13.15/20 has triggered the ignition of a new upleg that should hurdle and sustain above 14.00 on the way to 14.30, then 15.00/30 thereafter.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Precious Metals, Gold and Silver are Ready to Shine / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In the previous essay I mentioned that a brief consolidation is in the cards and is likely to take place immediately, or after additional few more days of rising gold, silver and PM stock prices, and a small dip in the USD Index. I stated that:
(…) if mining stocks break down from the triangle pattern, the following move should be rather insignificant - I don't think that it would take the GDX ETF below 37 level.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Buying Gold & Gold Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Buying Gold is picking up. The question is will Gold take out the $1,000 price range this time? Gold investing has been quiet recently. There seems no interest in the news since Gold fell off earlier in the summer. Buying Gold has fallen off. Now since buying Gold has fallen off…will Gold take out $1,000 this time since no one expects it to?
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Why Gold Could Breakout to $1,300 by End of 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold may be nearing its next major leg up.
No investment ever goes straight up or straight down. During the last bull market in gold, the precious metal rose 2,329% from a low of $35 in 1970 to a high of $850 in 1980. However, during that time, there was a period of 18 months in which gold fell nearly 50% (see the chart below).
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Which Commodity ETF to Trade, Gold, Crude Oil or Natural Gas? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
In the markets of today, investors and speculators alike have the ability to participate in a lot more than company stocks. With the advent of ETF’s, market participants can now diversify into the realm of currencies, gold, crude oil, grains, agriculture and a host of other avenues. In the past if one wanted to play the above commodities he/she would pretty much have to purchase a futures contract or an option on the futures. And that is the world of high leverage and high risk/reward.
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Monday, August 03, 2009
Big Bounce in Commodities Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Last week we saw commodities sell down then put in solid bounce, which allowed us to generate new pivot lows for drawing support trend lines. This is the exact type of price action I have been waiting for. Natural Gas did nothing special but crude oil put in a very strong bounce and is now trading at a double resistance level which is explained later in the report.
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Sunday, August 02, 2009
Fat Pitch ETF Advisory Newsletter - Interesting Week For Gold / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Trade Actions:
Buy INP ( India ) @ 50 or better
Buy JJC ( Copper ) @ 33 or Better
Sunday, August 02, 2009
Gold Friday Price Surge, Volume Will Point the Way / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
If it wasn’t for Friday it would have been a miserable week for gold. It would be interesting to know the trading volume on Friday (it’s not usually available until Monday, for what reason has always been a mystery to me). More about this volume business below.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
Long Term Look at the Commodities CRB and Silver / Commodities / CRB Index
Every market is comprised of cycles of various durations. Each of these cycles is constantly ebbing and flowing with one another much like the currents, the tide, the waves and ripples in the ocean. Sometimes these different cycles are moving together and sometimes they move in opposition. In cycles analysis the trend is defined as the direction of the next larger cycle.
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Profitably Playing the Next MegaMove in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
“Is it not a huge conflict of interest that JP Morgan (JPM), a bank that perpetually ranks among the largest short positions against silver on the COMEX, is the custodian for the iShares Silver Trust (SLV)? According to silver analyst Ted Butler, JP Morgan is consistently among the one or two U.S. banks that hold more than 80% to 90% of the entire commercial net short position in COMEX silver futures. If you have positioned yourself to make huge profits from drops in the price of silver, is it reasonable for you to simultaneously desire investors to buy more physical silver (if indeed the SLV holds the amount of physical silver it claims)?
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