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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, August 07, 2008

Commodities Super Cycle Heading for Demand Destruction? / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJesse Livermore, the world's greatest trader used to say, “Remember, the market is designed to fool most of the people most of the time. Sometimes, the market will go contrary to what speculators have predicted. At these times, speculators must abandon their predictions and follow the action of the market. Never argue with the tape. Markets are never wrong, but opinions often are. I only try to react to what the market is telling me by its behavior,” he said.

After Reuters CRB Index of 19-exchange traded commodities plunged by 10% in July, its biggest monthly decline since March 1980, the five-year bull-run for the “Commodity Super Cycle” appears to have peaked out, and speculators are building net short positions in commodities. “I came to learn that even when one is properly bearish at the very beginning of a bear market, it is not well to begin selling in bulk until there is no danger of the engine back-firing,” Livermore warned.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 07, 2008

The Case Against Investing in Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo, now that the U.S. government is squarely behind Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the price of crude oil is barreling toward the well known "bear market" milestone of a 20 percent decline, investors seem to be losing interest in gold as an investment alternative figuring that order will soon be restored to the global financial system and the recent energy price shock will soon be just one more in a long line of scares that, in the end, prove to be only a scare.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 07, 2008

Gold ETF- The Best Trading Vehicle for Trading Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGLD Gold ETF - Taking advantage of the gold market using the GLD exchange traded fund to generate consistent profits in any market condition.

As I mentioned before, the past 5 months have been very frustrating for most traders as we are stuck in this sideways price action. I also noted that August to December is generally the stronger months for gold. Although gold has been under selling pressure during the last 4 weeks I think there is light at the end of the tunnel. It's usually the darkest before dawn, but there are some hurtles for gold to over come before we are in the clear which I explain below.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 07, 2008

Gold Continues to Consolidate / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $874.40, down $4.50 and silver was down 11 cents to $16.46. Gold has again recovered somewhat in Asian and early European trading and is trading at $883.00/883.40 per ounce (1058 GMT).

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Commodities

Thursday, August 07, 2008

Gold and Silver Near Significant Secondary August Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUpon analyzing over 30 years of data involving the gold price, we conclude that the seasonal lows usually occur in March and June. Quite often however, after the June low a secondary low is experienced in August. This secondary low is usually slightly higher than the primary low. People who have resisted the temptation to buy the June low will usually take advantage of this last opportunity before the start of the Christmas rally that seems to happen almost every year.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Gold Plunges Despite Feds Stagflation Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $878.90, down $20.50 and silver was down 56 cents to $16.57. Gold has recovered somewhat in Asian and early European trading and is trading at $885.20/885.70 per ounce (1200 GMT).

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Agri-foods Correction Presents Long-term Investment Opportunity / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith paper oil prices breaking, nonsense spewing forth from business media and strategists has expanded. Commodity prices have broken, many claim. Yes folks, those billion plus consumers in China stopped eating food the day paper oil prices peaked. We would not be surprised if they do keep eating. Slowdown in China? A possibility, and irrelevant for investment decisions. Imagine selling U.S. equities in1901 due to fear U.S. may have an economic slowdown sometime. That is today's equivalent of ignoring long-term impact of China and India.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Gold and Silver: Safe-havens in Troubled Times? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Each day we hear another piece of bad news on the banking front. It was called the sub-prime crisis, then it was the credit crunch; what we have in reality is a full blown banking crisis . Where in the past credit was easily given, full-blown consumer spending was encouraged and when it went too far, bankers saw asset values were dropping below loans against them and banks started to go bust. We are now seeing banks sued by the New York Attorney General. Hardly an environment in which confidence in the banking and financial systems can be retained?

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Forecasting the Gold Stocks Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Michael_Swanson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Wednesday morning I wrote an article titled "Gold Stocks are Near a Key Bottom." When I put the article together I was looking for a bottom in gold stocks to put my own money to use in. Except for a small position, I have been out of them for awhile now and have been looking for a bottom in July/August to mark an end of their summer long consolidation phase.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Gold Heads for Traditional August Seasonal Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $899.20, down $9.10 and silver was down 37 cents to $17.13. Gold continued to sell off in Asia and in early European trading.

Gold has sold off on oil's steep falls and with sharp falls in many other commodity markets. The CRB Reuters Jefferies Commodity Index was down 3% yesterday, its largest one day sell off since last March (cocoa, natural gas and sugar were down sharply) and falling oil prices and a firmer dollar (back to 1.55 against the Euro) has led to gold's sell off.

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Commodities

Monday, August 04, 2008

Commodities Coup: Moscow Seizes Control of Agricultural Exports / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Russia has generated considerable political ill will throughout the former Soviet Union and even in Europe by renationalizing its energy sector – ultimately using such state-run ventures as OAO Gazprom and its resource-rich position as weapons of economic diplomacy.

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Commodities

Monday, August 04, 2008

Commodities Purge Offers Long-Term Investment Opportunity / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre we at the end of the commodity bull market or does this battered sector offer an attractive buying opportunity?

That's the question on the minds of everyone trying to navigate one of the most complex and volatile markets we've seen in years. The continuing economic slowdown (particularly at home and in other G-7 countries), combined with more than a year of bleak news from the financial sector, has left investors dazed and desperate.

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Commodities

Monday, August 04, 2008

Gold Buying Opportunity on Investment and Transfer of Capital Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Secular Bull Market in Gold Investments corresponds directly to the Secular Bear Market in Financials. We explain why this trend will continue and why a short-term buying opportunity in Gold presents itself.

Central Banks are in all sorts of a pickle.

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Commodities

Monday, August 04, 2008

Gold Falls Ahead of Central Bankers Interest Rate Decisions / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD fell 1% from a three-session high early in London on Monday, dropping below $906 per ounce ahead of a busy week for central-bank decisions on interest rates.

Asian stocks slipped 1.5% on average as the US Dollar held steady on the forex market.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 03, 2008

Gold and Silver Outlook Remains Bearish / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleZig, zag, but more zag than zig. Very strong support at the $850 level and that may be where gold is headed. Will it hold there? Most commentators suggest that a new bull move is eminent. That is not yet in the charts so we'll have to just keep on watching.

GOLD : LONG TERM
There has been no major reversal of long term type movement in the price of gold lately so no need for a long term chart yet. One can go back to the last long term P&F chart in the 18 July 2008 commentary and what we have since is a down direction of O's finishing below the up trend line but not yet going below two previous lows.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 02, 2008

Commodities Broad Consolidation Underway / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKEY POINTS:
• Short-term weakness in August for CRB; upward pressure back by September; 400 to 420 main support zone in consolidation
• Broad, flat trading pattern potentially building; increased caution needed over the next two to three months
• Range-bound trading continues for oil above $120 support level this month; peak price remains at $141 to $147 for 2008
• Natural gas finds support at $9.00; target back to $14 by 4th quarter

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Commodities

Friday, August 01, 2008

Get Ready for the Next Up Leg in Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Oil has pulled back from its highs, and now analysts are lining up to say the top is in. I've been saying all along that volatility is the name of the game in oil this year. Let me tell you now that I think oil could go lower in the short term — maybe to $110 a barrel, $100 if we're really lucky. Then, hold on to your socks, because we're probably seeing the set-up for oil's next HUGE rally.

Why do I think crude oil may have some more work to do on the downside? Nothing goes up in a straight line, and crude's run has been phenomenal — it was trading at just $78 a barrel a year ago. A short-term pullback is a normal and necessary part of any bull market, and crude is no different.

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Commodities

Friday, August 01, 2008

Crude Oil Unable to Follow Through to the Upside / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Fits of volatility can come from 1) energy...2) financials...3) Gov't data... 4) geopolitics... take your pick, but just hope that we are not positioned opposite of the directional spike! Let's have a look at crude oil...

I do not know what to make of the enclosed hourly chart of oil, which shows this morning's spike from $122.10 to $128.60 (+5%) in a matter of minutes! The really interesting aspect of the price action, through, is its inability to follow through to the upside after hurdling yesterday's spike high at $127.89.

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Commodities

Friday, August 01, 2008

Base Metals Bull Markets Impacted by LME Stockpiles / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the base metals bulls began in 2003, few could fathom the wild ride ahead. Fundamentals indeed supported steadily rising prices, but the massive parabolas that unfolded between 2005 and 2007 were amazing to behold. From trough to peak copper, zinc, nickel, lead, and aluminum skyrocketed 475%, 523%, 650%, 829%, and 137% respectively.

This rise of the base metals not only represented yet another powerful breakout within the commodities sector, but a universal acceptance that a global secular commodities bull was upon us. With oil and gold already paving the way, the economic imbalances unfolding in the indispensable metals used in the production of everything structural and mechanical was eye-opening.

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Commodities

Friday, August 01, 2008

What Inflated the Commodities Bubble? / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Salman_Khan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude Oil has corrected over 15% from the top. Gold, Silver, Copper, Wheat and other commodities too have retreated from their respective highs. The heavy selling witnessed in last few days, has raised concerns that the air is leaking from the Commodity bubble and that a multiyear bull market might end soon. It has been pretty well established of late, that the commodity market has been exhibiting many of the characteristics of a bubble. Thus, we may be very well at the beginning of a bursting asset bubble.

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