Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 02, 2007
Major Base Metals, Copper, Zinc, Nickel, Lead and Aluminum, Are All in the Midst of Spectacular Secular Bull Markets / Commodities / Metals & Mining
The global commodities bull has sure been flexing its muscles in recent years. And this is a result of our growing world's insatiable demand for the hard commodities that feed widespread industrialization and modernization. Since these commodities are finite in nature, an economic imbalance has emerged that has showcased incredible market activity.
Supply has simply not been able to keep up with fast-growing demand. And when you have more capital chasing after fewer goods, prices are naturally going to rise. The industrial metals or base metals that are indispensably used in virtually every aspect of physical infrastructure, from structural to mechanical, have displayed this basic economic principle to the highest degree.
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Friday, November 02, 2007
Gold Remains Strong with Near Record Crude Oil Prices and Near Record Low Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $1.50 to $790.20 in New York yesterday. It has traded sideways in Asian and European trading and is trading at $793.50 at 1200 GMT. Gold has corrected in other major currencies and is trading at £380.42 GBP (down from £381.50) and €547.50 EUR (down from €549.46) but remains near record nominal highs in terms of GBP and EUR respectively.
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Friday, November 02, 2007
Gold Rises Again as Credit Crisis Whacks Stocks; But Could Making the Headlines Signal a Near-Term Top? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT GOLD PRICE rose steadily in London on Friday morning, adding $6 to its overnight bounce to trade above $794.50 per ounce as stock markets across the world continued to fall hard, led down by banking shares.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2007
Uranium Stocks Neutral on Bad News - Technically Uranium with Merv / Commodities / Uranium
With the “bad news” one reads in the media about the rough time the largest uranium companies seem to be having it's a wonder that the Merv's Daily Uranium Index has not totally collapsed. However, cooler heads prevailed and the Index held it's ground. The Index lost 0.037 points or 0.75% on the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2007
Goldman Sachs Manipulation of Commodity Prices - Gasoline and Crude Oil / Commodities / Market Manipulation
It is still open season on Goldman Sachs. Ditto for JP Morgan and the clique of Wall Street firms, who enjoy untold tremendous privilege. Well, Goldman is at it again, playing games, abusing their role, and making money, all legally. One should say, rather, all without prosecution. One puts life and career at risk when revealing the hidden actions of the military and security organizations running in this land. However, taking aim at the Wall Street bank sector parasites is deemed a harmless exercise, regarded much the same as a fly or mosquito flirting around the USGovt torso. The ugliest example of illicit publicly noticed activity by Goldman Sachs in my opinion was the late summer 2006 change to the GS Commodity Index. They lowered the unleaded gasoline weight from 9% to 2%, forcing the sale of $7 billion in gasoline contracts. Nevermind motive, focus on execution. With $100 billion in indexed funds invested in the GSCI, Goldman knew what would happen. Gasoline fell sharply in price. GSax profited heavily, all legal, not even a prosecutable violation.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2007
Gold $800! Hard Money Wins Again! / Commodities / Resources Investing
Larry Edelson writes: They called it "a relic of the past."
They described its last major price surge as an "anomaly."
They said it would "never hit $800 again."
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Thursday, November 01, 2007
Inter-market Analysis- All starts with the Fed rate cut - Technical Speculator Nov 2007 / Commodities / CRB Index
KEY POINTS:
• Rate cut spells more weakness for U.S. dollar, but upward pressure for major currencies continues
• Gold first to increase, followed by CRB Index
• Utilities and U.S. bonds respond favourably to rate reduction
• Long-term effect of dollar decline is building inflation
• Intermarket actions still favour tangible overweighting in portfolios Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2007
Peak Oil and Gold Short Squeeze / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was up $7.30 to $791.70 in New York on Tuesday. Then, gold sold off initially on the FOMC's 0.25% interest rate cut but then turned around and rallied to new record highs at $798.80. It has drifted lower in Asian and European trading and is trading at $792.50 at 1200 GMT. Gold has again rallied in other major currencies and is trading at £381.50 GBP (up from £379.16) and €549.46 EUR (up from €543.86) and remains near record nominal highs in terms of GBP and EUR respectively.
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Thursday, November 01, 2007
Gold Dips 0.8% from $799 in London ; Breaks New 17-Month High for Euro Investors as Oil Surges Once More / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES came within $1 of $800 per ounce overnight in Asia on Thursday, rising 2.7% from the week's lowest point so far before slipping below $792 by mid-morning in London .
European stock markets also dropped, losing 0.5% in early trade as the Dollar bounced from Wednesday's new all-time record lows on the currency markets.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Exploding the Myth of Unbacked Silver Certificates and Phony Silver Storage / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Executive summary
Analysts put their own construction on facts coming out of the class-action suit between Morgan-Stanley and 22,000 of its clients involving costs associated with the storage of precious metals. They jump to the conclusion that metal supposedly backing outstanding silver certificates does not exist and never has. Storing silver on clients' account is a farce. From this they conclude that the net short commercial interest in silver on the COMEX, allegedly naked, must further be increased by adding the amount of unbacked silver certificates and phony storage, which they conservatively estimate at one billion ounces.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
This Crude OIl Chart Will Scare You / Commodities / Crude Oil
Sean Brodrick writes : I just got back from a scouting trip to an oil and gas explorer in the Gulf of Mexico. The company I visited is small but promising. And it perfectly illustrates what the U.S. needs to do to protect itself from a massive energy crisis — drill in its own backyard.
I'll tell you more about this explorer — Bayou Bend Petroleum — in just a moment. First …
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Gold Bull Resliant As US Dollar Falls to Record Lows / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $4.20 to $784.40 in New York on Tuesday. Since closing in New York it traded sideways in the New York Access market, in Asia and early in Europe rose slightly to trade at $785.90 at 1100 GMT.
Gold is trading at £379.16 (GBP) and €543.86 (EUR). It is thus near record nominal highs in terms of GBP and EUR respectively.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
US Economy - Into the Night / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, gold continues its upward trek. Now coming closer to 800 an ounce. Where oh where now are gold's detractors.
Oil now has closed above 90 and ounce. Nearing its all time high. Saber rattling over Iran 's nuclear armament program receives renewed scrutiny by the Bush administration. Just a matter of time before US troops find their selves marching into Iran .
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Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Gold in " Bull Run " Ahead of US Interest-Rate Decision; Japan Remains in Post-Bubble Depression 18 Years Later / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose sharply late-morning in London on Wednesday, recovering an overnight drop in Asia to break above last week's 27-year closing high above $785 per ounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Agricultural Foods Price Changes Since Feb 2002 / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Preparing comments on any investment topic day before FOMC announces U.S. interest rate policy is probably a futile gesture. That the announcement comes on Halloween provides an opportunity for cutesy comments which will be avoided. However according to the UN FAO, the world consumed 18.774 million tonnes of pumpkins, squash and gourds in the latest reporting year.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Weakness Developing in Energy / Commodities / Crude Oil
Today's weakness in the Energy Select SPDR (AMEX: XLE) coupled with the developing downtrend in my daily RSI pattern suggest strongly that last week's near-vertical advance indeed was a vicious counter-trend climb to a lower-high, rather than a new upleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Gold vs. Sterling : New All-Time High for British Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...If you think the US Dollar's losing ground against gold, just take a look at what's happening to Sterling..."
WHAT WILL IT TAKE for the mass of investors to wake up and buy gold?
Are they still waiting for a new all-time high perhaps, even after watching the metal beat stocks and bonds for more than six years?
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Monday, October 29, 2007
Crude Oil Nearing Major Peak / Commodities / Crude Oil
Time to consult with the very long-term chart pattern in crude oil, from the December 1998 low at $10.35, which has a very bullish pattern, into today's high, but also a pattern that is in its final few percentage points of making a multi-month if not a multi-year high. All of the action off of the Jan 12, 2007 pullback low at $49.90 represents the final upmove in the larger 1998-2007 upleg. The relationships between the various legs during the most recent 10-month upmove point ot a target zone of $97 to $102, or an additional 4%-10% climb in crude oil prices prior to the anticipated peak and reversal.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Digital Nirvana And The Unfolding Mania In Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold is set to move higher over the next few days towards $800 in a blow-off of the larger sequence since summer. This could send some precious metals stocks far higher than may be contemplated by some, where corrections would only take complex components back to current proximities. That being said, while such an assessment may or may not prove correct, one thing is for sure, anybody attempting to time inter-waves within larger sequences could find themselves left ‘standing at the station', unable to get back in without paying up. This of course will depend on how quickly the ‘cake eaters' (for our Italian friends) decide to debase fiat currencies around the world in preemptive monetary largesse.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Gold Hits All-Time High for British Investors; Surge in Bond & Equity Markets Gives the Fed "No Alternative" to Destroying the Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES surged at the Asian opening on Monday, quickly gaining another $10 from last week's 27-year closing high and racking up a new all-time high against the British Pound.Read full article... Read full article...