Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Gold and Silver March Madness / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"The main thing is that the debt is in dollars. So we can't run out of cash--we print the stuff. Suppose that foreigners decide we're not reliable. How does that drive up interest rates? The Fed controls short-term interest rates, and long-term interest rates reflect expected short rates. How's that supposed to happen?" Paul Krugman, Interview on CNNMoney

Well, at least now we know why gold was knocked down lower in the paper trading earlier this week.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Fractal Analysis Shows Coming 70s Style Gold Stocks Rally From Even Cheaper Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

In terms of the gold price, gold stocks are currently at better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In 2001, at the bottom of the gold bull market, the XAU to Gold ratio was around 0.2 compared to 0.05 today. In other words, gold stocks are cheaper than they were in 2001. In fact, they are cheaper than they have been the last 78 years at least.

If you are confident that the gold bull market is about to continue, and trust gold stocks as the best  “vehicle” to take advantage of the gold bull market, then it is probably an ideal time to get into these gold stocks.

Thursday, March 17, 2016

Oil Price Won't Stage A Serious Rebound Until This Happens / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices have shown signs of life over the past few weeks, as production declines in the U.S. raise expectations that the market is starting to adjust. As a result, Brent crude recently surpassed $40 per barrel for the first time in months.

A growling list of companies are capitulating, announcing production cuts for 2016. Continental Resources, for example, could see output fall by 10 percent. A range of other companies have made similar announcements in recent weeks. The energy world has been speculating about declines from U.S. shale, and the declines are finally starting to show up in the data.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Gold and Silver Vultures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"We see dimly in the Present what is small and what is great,
Slow of faith how weak an arm may turn the iron helm of fate,
But the soul is still oracular; amid the market's din,
List the ominous stern whisper from the Delphic cave within,—
'They enslave their children's children who make compromise with sin.'

Truth forever on the scaffold, Wrong forever on the throne,—
Yet that scaffold sways the future, and, behind the dim unknown,
Standeth God within the shadow, keeping watch above his own." James Russell Lowell

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

David Morgan: Silver Supply under $16 Is Limited. Serious Backlash Coming If Futures Market Breaks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason, Money Metals Exchange: I'm happy to welcome back our good friend David Morgan of TheMorganReport.com and author of the book The Silver Manifesto . David it's a pleasure to talk to you as always, how are you?

David Morgan, The Morgan Report: I'm doing well, thank you for having me on your show.

Mike Gleason: Well to start out I'll ask you to comment on the market action here in 2016 so far. Now, gold and silver have done quite well, we had gold advancing on weakness and concerns in the equities markets earlier in the year. In March, we've seen it continue to do well even as stocks rebounded from a strong employment report. One would think it's a bullish sign when we get good price action even with supposedly negative news for precious metals coming out. So give us your thoughts on the market action so far this year, David, and specifically why do you think the metals have done so well here in the early part of 2016?

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Crude Oil Price Due for a Pit Stop / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

Crude gained $2.58 last week to close at 38.50 - on the declining trendline and the 50% retracement of the October decline. My bandwidth indicator has turned down indicating that the rally is long-in-the-tooth. On Friday, crude tested 39.00 which makes the February rally equal to 150% of the January rally; a natural stopping point.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Zero-Hour for the Precious Metals… - / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Just as the world was breathing a massive and collective sigh of relief that a new bull market in gold and silver had arrived with all the pomp and pageantry of a Royal Wedding, the Barbarians climbed the walls and are now very close to razing the palace, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Gold and Silver Rally Could Have Durability – SWOT Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver’s fundamentals look good and the rally in bullion and gold stocks may have durability points out Frank Holmes of U.S. Funds writing in Gold Seek today.

In his weekly SWOT analysis – strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats – of the precious metal markets, Holmes notes that:

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

HUI Gold Miners: A Correction in The Wind / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

The Gold Miners have started the year with a cracking rally pretty much as they started last year. They have finally broken out of their downward trend which has been in place for around 4 years. As we write the HUI currently stands at 169.44 which is well off its recent lows, but is some 73% below its previous high of 630.

The HUI now looks to be rolling over, although it is too early to say that this rally is over for now, it is beginning to look that way. A recent golden cross, whereby the 50dma crosses over the 200dma in an upward motion should be good for the HUI, but often this is not the case and a reversal follows.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Coffee Price Downtrend Set To End / Commodities / Coffee

By: Austin_Galt

The coffee price has risen from its lows and this could well be the start of the expected big rally which has been laid out previously. Let's review the daily chart and monthly charts.

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Crude Oil Price Technical Juncture / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil gained 1.24% as rig count declined to the lowest level ever. Thanks to this news, light crude hit a fresh March high, but will we see further rally in the coming week?

Monday, March 14, 2016

Near-Term Gold Forecast: The Thrill of Victory and the Agony of Indecision. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Man-oh-man, the heat I am taking over my recent "Caution" stance on the near-term outlook for gold and silver is now verging on the theatre of the absurd, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Gold and Silver COT Update - Get 30,000 Coffins Ready... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

PM Sector longs have had a laugh at our expense over the past couple of weeks as gold has continued to edge higher after we called it down, but it is looking more and more like they will end up like those 4 fools in the classic Clint Eastwood Spaghetti Western, A Fistful of Dollars. Clint rides into a tiny flyblown town and the 4 fools shoot around his mule's feet. After advising the undertaker to Get 3 coffins ready, having made a slight underestimation, Clint returns and challenges the 4 fools by saying "When you apologize to my mule like I know you're going to". Needless to say they do not respond in the required manner to this demand and so Clint quickly dispatches them to the great satisfaction of the undertaker.

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Gold and Silver - Central Banks As Financial Cosmeticians / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

Today was just one of those days where the 'invisible hand' tries to instill some confidence in the wise and benevolent judgement of the money masters, after a central bank, in this case the ECB, does something very visible and 'lays an egg' in doing it.

So after all this today, are you feeling more confident in The Recovery™?

Saturday, March 12, 2016

The Gold Correction Is Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DW

Ben Morris writes: The price of gold is up 21% since the middle of December... from $1,051 an ounce to $1,270.

Saturday, March 12, 2016

Gold And Silver – Precious Metals Amid A World Of Lies And Deception / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Political and financial turmoil reign around the world, by design. It is the classic example of the elites at work working their never-fail formula of Problem-Reaction-Solution. They create havoc of some kind, any kind, wherever they choose, the Problem. It is usually political upheaval fomenting unrest, and the broader the unrest the better. It often takes the form of financial turmoil, disrupting a country’s GDP, currency, whatever, as long as there is disruption. It can be war, a function no other country creates more of than the US. It can be massive immigrant migration, currently underway. Why does the name Soros come to mind?

Saturday, March 12, 2016

$67 Crude Oil Price Has All The Majors Converging Here / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Argentina offers one of the few places on earth where oil companies are not suffering from the full force of the collapse in prices.
Argentina regulates oil prices, a policy originally intended to insulate the public from the whims of the market, protecting people from triple-digit crude prices. But with the crash in prices since mid-2014, the effect of the regulation has reversed: motorists are now effectively subsidizing the oil industry.

Saturday, March 12, 2016

Gold Commitments of Traders is Worrisome / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

To sum up my view of this week’s COT report in one word…. WORRISOME.

I use that word because of what we saw happen to the safe haven trades today on account of that monster rally in the US equity markets.

Gold was under pressure for the entirety of the session today but seemed to especially weaken into the late afternoon hours as the US equity markets kept pushing higher and went out near the highs of the day. That more than likely will translate into additional downside followthrough in Asian trade Sunday evening. Where it goes after that will depend on whether or not dip buyers show up.

Saturday, March 12, 2016

Can Gold Price Climb to $1400/oz? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

At the start of 2016, renowned fund manager and bond king Jeff Gundlach predicted Gold would surge to $1400/oz. That was quite the call considering Gold was still in a bear market. He reiterated his target a few days ago in a webcast. Gold closed the week below $1260/oz after reaching as high as $1287/oz following the ECB decision. Corrections in both Gold and gold stocks have been limited to swift declines lasting no more than two days. While we cannot predict the future, we think there is some chance that Gold could reach Gundlach's target before a sustained correction.

Friday, March 11, 2016

GDXJ ETF - Gold Junior Stocks Strong in Dark / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

With gold miners’ stock prices surging dramatically this year, investors’ attention is starting to return to the gold juniors.  These smaller miners and explorers suffered terribly in recent years, all but abandoned as gold slumped to major secular lows.  But even during gold’s darkest quarter, the fundamentals of the juniors actually mining gold remained quite strong.  This portends explosive profits growth as gold recovers.

Most investors think of junior gold stocks as the Wild West of commodities stocks, with good reason.  The legendary American humorist Mark Twain allegedly described a gold mine as a hole in the ground with a liar at the top!  There are literally hundreds of gold juniors, a number that swells whenever gold grows more popular.  And the great majority of these tiny companies truly are junk, they are indeed doomed to fail.