Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Gold Obvious $1200 Cycle Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I have to wonder if gold is going to give us the obvious cycle top at $1200 and reward all the shorts that sold yesterday, and reward the longs who took profits"
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
How Far Can Gold Price Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold has broken higher through its long term downtrend line with the most recent rally. This break begs the question of how much longer gold can continue rallying. In this article we analyse the technical situation for gold to determine at what level gold is likely to cease rallying, the fundamentals in play, and what would have to change to cause a new bull market in gold.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Keeping The Faith - The Paradox of Silver Supply, Demand, and Sentiment – Interview with Andy Hoffman / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The state of PM markets..Technical Analysis
The Ignorance of Mainstream Financial Professionals
Keeping the Faith in a bear market
What’s new with Miles Franklin
What does silver have to do with an old horse named Doxology?
You can connect with Andy by reaching out to him at MilesFranklin.com
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
A Bullish Gold Price Forecast For The Next 6 Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold is on the move. As stocks are selling off big time, the gold market is the big beneficiary with a significant inflow of capital.
Is that any coincidence? No, it is not, because the gold market was deeply oversold. Next to that, and perhaps more importantly, sentiment hit rock bottom levels. When everybody and his uncle believes that stocks have only one way to go, i.e. up, the opposite usually happens. The same accounts to the precious metals market.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Gold Stocks Picks for Patient Pickers / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Picking gold and silver equities in a stagnant price environment is a stock picker's game that requires a particular thesis—and a fair portion of patience, says Joe Reagor, an analyst with ROTH Capital Partners. In this interview with The Gold Report, Reagor outlines types of companies he prefers and pairs those with names that patient investors could parlay into promising profits.
The Gold Report: In a report from RBC Capital Markets in late January, the firm said gold could reach as high as $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) in the short term but remains in an overall downward trend. Does ROTH Capital Partners share that view?
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Crude Oil Price Continues to Drill Downward / Commodities / Crude Oil
Last week's forecast for a high in the Dow on February 1st was a perfect hit. As of last Friday, the Dow has fallen 438 points since last Monday's high.
Crude spent last week trying to breakout from the 34-dma but, in the end, fell $2.73/bbl. for the week closing at 30.89 and printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Top Silver Mining CEO: Don't Laugh, We Could See Silver $100+ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Exclusive Interview with First Majestic CEO Keith Neumeyer on Metals, Mining, and Manipulation
Mike Gleason, MoneyMetals.com: It is my privilege, now, to be joined by Keith Neumeyer, founder and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. One of the top Silver mining companies in the world.
Keith has an extensive background in the resource and finance sectors, and has been an outspoken voice about concerns that there is some level of price suppression going on in the silver futures market. It's a real privilege to have him on with us today.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Gold, Investment Leadership Changes Permanent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
In the Summer of 2015 a major discontinuity occurred in financial markets. That which was, was no longer. That which had not been, suddenly was. Reasons for that abrupt shift in the character of financial markets are not entirely clear. Was it exhaustion of both bullish and bearish runs? Was the anticipation of an interest rate increased so certain that financial markets began to immediately incorporate such an event? Whatever, Gold related investments now clearly dominate returns and growth fantasies have collapsed. That shift may be more permanent than many acknowledge.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Gold and Silver Up 5% Last Week As Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold and silver surged over 5% last week as concerns about the U.S. and global economy saw more sharp stock market falls and reduced expectations of the Fed increasing interest rates.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Crude Oil's True Message / Commodities / Crude Oil
The pervasive narrative on Wall Street is that the collapse in oil prices will, any second now, restore consumers to their profligate spending ways. In fact, financial pundits have been calling for plunging energy prices to imminently rescue the economy for the past 18 months. Most importantly, these same gurus, who love to espouse the benefits of a collapse in oil prices, never connect the dots to what this collapse says about the state of global growth. Instead they argue it is solely a function of a supply glut that is the result of increased production.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Gold Bear Market Bottom : Mr. Bear has left the PM Sector for Greener Pastures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Goldtent, it appears the great gold bear of 2011-2016 has now ended. Mr Bear has now completed his work of cleaning up all the garbage and malinvestment created by reckless management teams over the past 15 years. Our sought after ultra low of HUI 66 where we were all going to ring the bell and back up the truck is not going to happen in my opinion. The bottom is in! This is my first and only call of a bear market bottom since the bear started in 2011. Its been brutal, but I believe its over. This is my best judgment based on the pieces of the puzzle I see.
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Monday, February 08, 2016
Silver Price Workup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver finally managed to push through its upside resistance just above the $14.50 level this week and attracted some additional upside follow through as the US Dollar weakness brought on the macro trade (Dollar down - BUY commodities). For that matter copper also rallied, as did platinum. Clearly the latter two metals are not moving higher based on signs of increasing demand but rather because of those macro trades just referenced. It is purely a matter of money flows related to the movements in the foreign exchange markets, especially considering that fact that the preference in the markets at the moment is generally RISK AVOIDANCE.
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
Why Crude Oil Prices Could Continue FALLING From Here / Commodities / Crude Oil
By Brett Eversole
Sunday, February 07, 2016
Gold and Silver Cup and Handle - How Sweet It Is / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
“After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: it never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!
Those who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn.” Jesse Livermore
I had such a feeling that these jokers were going get stuffed on the usual Non-Farm Payrolls precious metals hit. And I may have had some modest wagers in that direction from this morning.
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
Silver COT Paving Way for Sustained Upside Breakout Sharp Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Like gold, the bearmarket in silver should be brought to an end by the dollar breaking down, and especially the powers that be resorting to massive global QE in a last desperate effort to beat back the forces of deflation caused by gargantuan debts that are strangling the life out the world economy. Since you cannot beat the problems caused by debt by creating more debt, the end result of this will be the ruin associated with hyperinflation - and you don't to be a genius to work out what will happen to the prices of both gold and silver when that happens. The timing of the launch of the big global QE program will determine when gold and silver really take off in a big way, but it cannot be far off.
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
US Dollar Double Top, Gold Prospects Brightening Rapidly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
For the 1st time in years, everything is in place for a major bullmarket phase to get underway in gold and silver. There are two big reasons for this. One is that the dollar is looking set to drop - and has started to already. The other reason, which is of course related, is that those in power look set to attempt to loosen the intensifying deflationary stranglehold on the world economy by unleashing a global QE blitz that could dwarf anything that has come before, and will end in hyperinflation. Egon Von Greyerz talks about this in an article on King World News entitled Legend Warns Global Panic Is Coming. Don't be put off by the lurid, blood-curdling presentation - I believe that what Von Greyerz writes makes perfect sense, and his gold bullion service outside of the banking system sounds like an attractive option - remember that "What's yours is theirs", so if it is inside the banking system they will simply appropriate (steal) it, if it suits them, when the time is right. Note that I have no association with Von Greyerz or KWN and no incentive for mentioning all this.
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Sunday, February 07, 2016
Gold And Silver - Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Confirm - verb - establish the truth or correctness of (something previously believed, suspected, or feared to be the case). State with assurance that a report or fact is true.
We are again seeing more and more experts and non-experts calling for the bottom for gold and silver, but none can confirm it as a proven fact. Few realize how important it is to have confirmation that one's position is correct and will be profitable. It is confirmation that gives validity to a prior market move/event. This is the theme of our analysis, today.
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Saturday, February 06, 2016
Gold Stocks Something has Changed / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
In our missive last week we noted that:
Read full article... Read full article...While good things are happening under the surface for Gold, its lack of a strong rebound in recent months argues that such a rebound is in the future but not imminent. Gold's steady downtrend could resume in the next week or two.
Friday, February 05, 2016
Gold Price, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold and its miners’ stocks are rocketing higher as speculators and investors alike return to this left-for-dead sector. This sudden deluge of capital inflows has crowned gold stocks the best-performing sector of this young new year by far, shocking traders. And this stunning reversal of fortunes in both the metal and the companies producing it is only starting, so it’s exceedingly important to understand what’s going on.
Gold was inarguably the world’s most-hated investment in recent years. No one wanted anything to do with it, because no one felt any need for it. The world’s stock markets were relentlessly levitating, thanks to record easing by the world’s elite central banks. And with stocks seemingly destined to do nothing but rally indefinitely, there was little demand for counter-moving gold for prudent portfolio diversification.
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Friday, February 05, 2016
Crude Oil Price Bottoms and Blues / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil prices have dropped from about $106 in June of 2014 to briefly under $30 in January of 2016 – down about 74% peak to trough. This appears to be an on-going disaster for oil companies, the banks who loaned money to frackers, oil exporting countries, global stock markets and others.
Conventional wisdom suggests that crude oil prices will stay low for a long time because of low demand (global recession), huge supply (Iran, fracking, etc.), decline in commodity prices globally, and at least ten more reasons.
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