Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Gold doesn’t care who wins the US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Founder, USAGOLD and author of The ABCs of Gold Investing – How to Protect and Build Your Wealth with Gold
“Gold prices have enjoyed a hefty climb so far this year as the market continues to guess the pace and timing of the next U.S. interest-rate hike, but the battle for the U.S. presidency is set to take center stage as Election Day nears. And it doesn’t matter if Republican Party nominee Donald Trump or Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton moves on to be the next president of the United States—gold is likely to come out a winner, George Milling-Stanley, head of gold investment strategy at State Street Global Advisors.” –– Myra Saefong/MarketWatch/10-19-2016
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Attention Please: Phase Two of the Gold and Silver Train Now leaving the Station. All Aboard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Peter_Degraaf
Phase One began in January 2016, and slowed down from July until early October. (Charts in this commentary are courtesy Stockcharts.com, unless indicated).
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
What Do Declining Corporate Earnings Keep Telling Us? / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: Rodney_Johnson
‘Tis the season. Earnings season, that is, and I don’t think we’re getting any presents.This week Alcoa kicked off the third-quarter earnings announcement season. The next couple of weeks will bring an onslaught of numbers, excuses, deflections, and projections. Company spokesmen and CEOs will spend time explaining why their industry is soft, and how better times are just ahead.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Can we have a Stock Market Flash Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Could a flash crash happen in the next two days? The answer is yes. The Cycles Model implies that today may be the focal point for the two-week delayed Master Cycle low.
However, as you can see, only Waves 1 and 2 are complete. I am not sure that Waves 3, 4 and 5 can be finished in a day, so Thursday afternoon may be the ideal time…for a flash crash low. Here are the reasons.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
GDX Gold Stocks Chart of the Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
GDX has now completed a weekly swing barring a complete reversal the rest of the week. This deep into an intermediate decline a swing stacks the odds heavily in favor of the correction being over. The metals should now rally for the next 3-4 months.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
The Limits of Empirical Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
Two separate economic developments over the last 100 years have caused macroeconomics to regress instead of progress. The first is the Keynesian, or more accurately Malthusian, notion of aggregate demand. The second is Friedman’s positive empiricism emphasising the importance of empirical verification of economic theory.
According to positive empiricism, adherence to economic facts is the only way to validate economic theories.
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
‘Trumpophobia’ and the American Election - Impacts on Global Peace and Development and Islamic World / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
Hillary Clinton has a long association with the corridors of Power and she is well-versed in the art of Statecraft as the brain of Obama Administration, besides her background as a lawyer for her advantage in this election. Above all, she has a wonderful capacity to mobilize billions as election fund even using the influence of Barrack Obama. Obama has a vested interest in placing Hillary in his position, as he aims at putting his wife as the Secretary of State besides mobilizing billions for his foundation. That is why; the Obamas have so aggressive to attack Donald Trump.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
How Will the Election Outcome Impact Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
By Clint Siegner writes: Metals investors wonder what this presidential election will mean for gold and silver markets. Since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 and the years of price inflation that followed, presidents have largely ignored gold, the Federal Reserve, and other issues related to sound money. Today, the devaluation of the Federal Reserve Note – the explosion of debt and the eternal deficits which enrich bankers and the political class at the expense of the rest of us – is getting harder to ignore.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
Stock Market Short Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We have been waiting for a bounce into the high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model and it looks to have come on Tuesday. Cycles warned that the high might come on the late side of the margin of error but internals now appear set-up to give us that rally early this week. Bears don't have much to worry about, however, as the high is expected no later than Wednesday.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2016
How to Successfully Trade a Stock Market Crash - Black Monday October 19th 1987 / InvestorEducation / Financial Crash
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October the 19th, the 29th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash that few saw coming but ever since many expect to repeat. So regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far, by this point of the year the perma bears can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent as they point to a myriad of harbingers of the stock market apocalypse. So it is no wonder that October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned, and never more so than for this year given the chaos of this years US election election cycle that probably features the worst two candidates in US election history which ensures that America loses no matter who wins.
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Tesla, Apple and Uber Push Lithium Prices Even Higher / Commodities / Lithium
By: OilPrice_Com
After more than tripling in price this year, Lithium is no longer that dull commodity we take for granted in our consumer electronics: It’s the commodity powering the next, undeniable energy revolution. The tight supply picture emerging as electric cars, mega-batteries and massive energy storage solutions become the cornerstones of our lives could be on the edge of turning new lithium explorers into the next barons.
Lithium now appears to be at a crucial moment in time: The moment when profits in the industry begin to elevate market valuations, and when consolidation starts to boost gains for all those junior explorers who have been scooping up land in the world’s lithium sweet spots.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Silver Price Discovery – It’s Still a Fixing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Absurdities continue in the world of derivative or electronic or paper silver. In what will someday be viewed as the monumental public relations miracle that it is, the silver fix has been transplanted into just another body riddled with cancer.
Below I’ve collected and commented on one of the most prevalent stories characterizing the announcement.
The essence of this is moderately transparent. The banks need to avoid more public relations disasters. They are certainly in for enough as it is.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Silver, Debt, and Deficits – From an Election Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
It is an election year. We should anticipate 8 years of upcoming trauma, following nearly 8 years of “hope and change,” after 8 years of “no nation building,” after 8 years of “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.”
Examine the official US national debt in 8 fiscal year increments (10/1/84 – 9/30/92 etc.) using linear and log scales.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
UK Property Market: Slow Growth Does Not Equate To Decline / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nicholas_Kitonyi
The property market is one of UK’s main economic drivers given the clear link to the financial industry. Right now, several people have expressed doubts on how the UK economy could fair following the separation from the EU single market. And as analysts have pointed out, the most problematic aspect comes from the uncertainties surrounding the separation process.
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Euro “Will Collapse” – Is “House of Cards” Warns Founder of Euro / Currencies / Euro
By: GoldCore
The Euro “will collapse” as it is a”house of cards” warned Otmar Issing, the founder and creator of the euro in an extraordinary interview on Monday.
In the explosive interview with the journal Central Banking, Professor Issing, said “one day, the house of cards will collapse” as the European Central Bank (ECB) is becoming dangerously over-extended and the whole euro project is unworkable in its current form.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Savers have Little to look forward to as Interest Rate Cuts Keep Coming / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
By: MoneyFacts
Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market have now outweighed rate rises for 12 consecutive months.
In September, Moneyfacts recorded 29 savings rate rises. Disappointingly, rate reductions over the same period completely outshone this figure, with the number of rate decreases standing at 164 – which translates to around six cuts to every rate rise – with some deals falling by as much as 0.75%.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.
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Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Trump Election Victory is in Your Power / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: BATR
The world has been fed a false narrative as the average brain washed victim of mass distortion is led to the slaughter house. The looking glass of cultural perversion has never been more prominently on display then during this presidential election mind melt. If there was even a question about the gullibility of the electorate, just examine the sentiments of political party stalwarts that rush to influence the voting choices of their neighbors and communities. Listening to these factions of the failed established order is like believing that accepting a poor future is actually better for you.
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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