Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Silver, Debt, and Deficits – From an Election Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
It is an election year. We should anticipate 8 years of upcoming trauma, following nearly 8 years of “hope and change,” after 8 years of “no nation building,” after 8 years of “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.”
Examine the official US national debt in 8 fiscal year increments (10/1/84 – 9/30/92 etc.) using linear and log scales.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
SPX Making Irregular Waves, Making Another Large Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX Premarket appears to be headed for the 50% retracement level for the prior decline and the probable top of Wave (a) at 2142.45. We have a probable repeat of Wave 1, where the impulse is smaller than the total decline, including Wave [b].
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
UK Property Market: Slow Growth Does Not Equate To Decline / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The property market is one of UK’s main economic drivers given the clear link to the financial industry. Right now, several people have expressed doubts on how the UK economy could fair following the separation from the EU single market. And as analysts have pointed out, the most problematic aspect comes from the uncertainties surrounding the separation process.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Euro “Will Collapse” – Is “House of Cards” Warns Founder of Euro / Currencies / Euro
The Euro “will collapse” as it is a”house of cards” warned Otmar Issing, the founder and creator of the euro in an extraordinary interview on Monday.
In the explosive interview with the journal Central Banking, Professor Issing, said “one day, the house of cards will collapse” as the European Central Bank (ECB) is becoming dangerously over-extended and the whole euro project is unworkable in its current form.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Savers have Little to look forward to as Interest Rate Cuts Keep Coming / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market have now outweighed rate rises for 12 consecutive months.
In September, Moneyfacts recorded 29 savings rate rises. Disappointingly, rate reductions over the same period completely outshone this figure, with the number of rate decreases standing at 164 – which translates to around six cuts to every rate rise – with some deals falling by as much as 0.75%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices started the week off on a poor note. They dropped sharply at the opening, tested support, and rallied sharply, but could not get through resistance. During the next couple hours, the indices went in a downward drift, taking the lows out on the S&P 500, but not so on the Nasdaq 100, a positive divergence resulted, and after a late bounce, they pulled back into the close and closed negative on the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 51.98 at 18,086.40. The S&P 500 was down 6.48 at 2126.50. The Nasdaq 100 was down 12.32 at 4796.17.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Trump Election Victory is in Your Power / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
The world has been fed a false narrative as the average brain washed victim of mass distortion is led to the slaughter house. The looking glass of cultural perversion has never been more prominently on display then during this presidential election mind melt. If there was even a question about the gullibility of the electorate, just examine the sentiments of political party stalwarts that rush to influence the voting choices of their neighbors and communities. Listening to these factions of the failed established order is like believing that accepting a poor future is actually better for you.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
This Past Week in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in gold and silver markets, noting COT data is showing signs of a bottom.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
A Falling Stock Market Cannot Be Allowed - Financial Repression Is Now “In-Play”! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
A FALLING MARKET CANNOT BE ALLOWED – at any cost!
The Central Bankers have clearly painted themselves into a corner as a result of their self-inflicted, extended period of “cheap money”. Their policies have fostered malinvestment , excessive leverage and a speculative casino approach to investments. Investors forced to take on excess risk for yield and scalp speculative investment returns, must operate in an unstable financial environment ripe for a major correction. A correction because of the high degree of market correlation that likely would be instantaneously contagious across all global financial markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Stock Market Bubble Has Run Out of Excuses and Time / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
It is finally going to be a make or break earnings season for stocks. This is because the justification for record high stock prices that have been perched atop extremely stretched valuation metrics has been the following false assumptions: the hope that the Federal Reserve will not resume its interest rate hiking cycle, the U.S. dollar stops rising, the price of oil enters a sustainable bull market and long-term interest rates continue to fall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
December Might Be the Next Buying Opportunity in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By Jake Weber, Garret/Galland Research
There’s no doubt gold has had a good run in 2016. Its recent selloff has caused it to give up most of its post-Brexit gain. Still, the yellow metal is up nearly 20% on the year. And a new buying opportunity may be on the horizon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
We should now begin to see a drop in WTI over the next couple of months and in to 2017. So far the last few weeks have been as forecast and the next down phase we have been modelling for months is now due.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Stock Market Crash..or No Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Martin Armstrong writes, “Apparently, there are a lot of people calling for a crash in the stock market as usual claiming it looks just like 1987. Sorry, there is nothing of that magnitude showing up at this time. We did elect one Weekly Bearish Reversal back at 18368. However, the main bank of support lies at 17710 followed by 17330. Only a weekly closing below 17330 would hint of a more serious correction.”
I agree that this market does not look like 1987. Trying to make a parallel between this market and another period is usually futile.
However, he points out to PAY ATTENTION to a break of the September 14 low at 17992.21….as I do, as well. This would warn of a drop to a lower level of support.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
UK Savings Trends Treasury Report – product numbers fall to record low / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
Moneyfacts UK Savings Trends Treasury Report data, yet to be published, highlights that the total number of savings products has fallen to an all-time low, with a staggering 274 savings products withdrawn from the market since January.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
A perspective on risk rally – Risks abound but Stock Market is Confident / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Three of the major indexes posted gains and five posted losses. China's Shanghai Composite was the top performer, up 1.97% following the previous week of market closure celebrating Chinese National Day. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was the biggest loser, down 2.59%. The average of the eight was a modestly negative -0.26%. The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Iceland Today, the US Tomorrow? / Politics / US Politics
During the 2008 economic crisis, Iceland's government froze offshore accounts held by foreign investors in that country's currency, the krona. Recently, the government of Iceland announced it would unfreeze the accounts if the account holders paid a voluntary "departure tax," which could be as high as 58 percent. Investors who choose not to pay the departure tax would have their investment "segregated" into special funds that only invest in CDs issued by Iceland's central bank. These CDs are expected to only provide a rate of return of at most 0.5 percent a year. So investors in offshore accounts can thus choose between having their money directly seized via the departure tax or indirectly seized via the inflation tax.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Bank of England Blames Brexit for Sterling Drop Inflation, Masks QE Money Printing Cause / Economics / Inflation
The Bank of England's master monetary magician Mark Carney appeared on stage this week presenting his latest magic trick one of blaming the 16% drop in sterling on Brexit on all those who voted for it, and then warning of the inevitable future inflation consequences as the price of imports look to soar. After all the establishment elite remain determined to subvert the will of the British people be they bankers or 80% of the members of the establishment MP's that illustrates that democracy is to to all intents and purposes an illusion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 17, 2016
Danger, Will Robinson, Stock Market Crash Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
When I mean crash, I mean about an 11-14% stock market panic in a few days. The astro is there, the e-wave is there and so are the cycles and chart formation (plus some technical information like the MACD daily below the zero line).I’ve been talking about a Rising Wedge building for a while now. I also talked about the expected False Break, which we just had on Thursday when the S&P 500 went down to the 2114 level and then bounced. It pierced the bottom of the daily Bollinger Bands and closed back above them. Now we must go back into the wedge itself before turning back down in expected waterfall action in the coming waning days of October. The SPX will likely be up nicely on Tuesday with some follow through into Wednesday in most indexes. I look for either a bearish evening star pattern or bearish Harami to form on the 19th.
Read full article... Read full article...