Friday, July 29, 2016

The Fed Is Preparing for Negative Rates—Here’s the Sign Everyone Missed / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

I think it’s possible that the Fed will push rates below zero when the next recession arrives. I explained why a few months ago in my free weekly column, Thoughts from the Frontline, at Mauldin Economics.

In that regard, something important happened recently. And not many people noticed. I’ll do a quick review to explain.

Friday, July 29, 2016

The Next Recession is Coming - Expect Around 0% Returns for the Next 7 Years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Mauldin

The next recession is coming, and it will be severe.

My friend Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research just updated his Economic Cycle Dashboard and sent me a personal email with some of his thoughts.

Here is his chart (click on it to see a larger version).

Friday, July 29, 2016

A Cornered Bank of Japan Shocks Markets. Risk Assets Now Under Threat - Video / Interest-Rates / Japanese Interest Rates

By: Mario_Innecco

I just like to talk about the bank of japan they had a policy meeting today
like the equivalent of the FOMC for the Fed the news came out at a quarter to
midnight sorry quarter to midnight yet new york time or quarter to five a.m. london time
so it actually came out yesterday New York and today in London but that's not
the point a lot of people i think the majority of economist in Japan were expecting a big
surprise by the bank of japan in terms of in terms of lowering even more their
negative interest rates and increasing the size of QE bottom as i read here
from news headlines zerohedge for example says bank of japan shocks market shuns government pressure
leaves q we r & rates unchanged questions policy effectiveness
there's more here from investing.com yen jumps after boj easing fall short of
expectation there is a new stimulus package though the government has
announced after the meeting we've seen new stimulus package by the bank of japan and it's includes a
hundred and thirty billion dollars in fiscal measures

Friday, July 29, 2016

Good Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very interesting day with it opening lower, then jumping higher, pulling back by midday, holding support on both indices, rallying sharply in the afternoon, and then pulling back in the last few minutes. They managed to eke out a positive day on the Nasdaq 100, which was led by Amazon.

Friday, July 29, 2016

US GDP Forecast Sinks to 1.8% Following Advance Economic Indicators Reports / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Today the Census Department released its first "Advance Economic Indicators Report". The new report adds wholesale and retail inventories to its existing International Trade in Goods report.

Friday, July 29, 2016

Is the Stock Market Tape Being Painted for Hillary? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

In the old-school lexicon of Wall Street, the term "painting the tape" referred to the large scale purchase of market-moving stocks by insiders for the purpose of giving the market an appearance of strength. Painting the tape was practiced by "pools" and large firms who were in the know; it was designed primarily to present a picture of strength when there was an undercurrent of weakness. Painting the tape was also done in some cases to trick amateur traders into buying certain individual stocks by means of manipulating the stock's trading volume.

Friday, July 29, 2016

SPX is Shaking and Rolling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I don’t believe that I have seen anything quite like this before. I am certain that Citadel and the central banks are doing their utmost to keep equity values at their elevated levels. It appears to be the only thing left to do to validate their existence.

Nonetheless, there appear to be cracks in the structure leading to a possible breakdown. All of this reminds me of the Tacoma Narrows bridge, otherwise known as “Galloping Gertie.”

Thursday, July 28, 2016

U.S. Dollar Bear Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

The first stage in a bear market begins with a severe drop below the 200 day moving average. This serves as the shot across the bow warning. Then there is usually at least one more attempt to recover the 200. When it fails the bear market starts in earnest. The dollar has dropped below the 200 this morning.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

The Fed's Loud Talk Policy / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Theodore Roosevelt's famous mantra "speak softly and carry a big stick" suggested that the United States should seek to avoid creating controversies and expectations through loose or rash pronouncements, but be prepared to act decisively, with the most powerful weaponry, when the time came. More than a century later, the Federal Reserve has stood Teddy's maxim on its head. As far as Janet Yellen and her colleagues at the Fed are concerned, the Fed should speak as loudly, frequently, and as circularly as possible to conceal that they are holding no stick whatsoever.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Stock Market Insiders Are Secretly Selling, Cycle Top Next Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It was “Panic Buying” that pushed the Dow Jones and the SPX Indices to record highs. To be sure there is trouble brewing in this rally.  Smart money has left the stock market, as the charts at the end of this article will display!

While Wall Street insiders appear to know that something is seriously amiss with the economy, no one is warning the retail investor.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

FOMC Interest Rates and Their Impact on the US Economy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Charles_Carnevale

To me, interest rates and their future direction seems to be obsessively discussed and debated by many investors.  So much so, that I often get the impression that many investors believe that interest rates coupled with Federal Reserve policy are the primary drivers of our economy.  From my perspective, interest rates and Federal Reserve monetary policy are contributing factors to economic growth and stability.  However, I would stop short of considering them of primary importance.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

SPX Premarket is Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Futures are still on a rollercoaster as the earlier rise in the Premarket is given up to a flat scenario.

ZeroHedge reports, “Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, with the BBDXY down 0.5% in early trading after slipping 0.4% over the previous two sessions.”

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Gold Bullion Up 1.6%, Silver Surges 3.7% After Poor U.S. Data and Dovish Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold bullion was up 1.6% and silver surged 3.7% yesterday, their second consecutive day of gains, after U.S. durable-goods orders dropped sharply, adding to speculation that Federal Reserve policy makers will maintain ultra loose monetary policies. Gold and silver consolidated on those gains in Asia and in early European trading.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Gold, Silver and the Clueless Federal Reserve - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

I'm going to be covering a gold and silver today and the Federal Reserve
which had its needing a ended yesterday the FOMC meeting so golden silver had
good days yesterday we closed and i take the 10 p.m. london time I close gold
close at 1339 it was up one and a half percent on the previous day clothes are
up 20 bucks so we had a lot of 13 15 around 13 1588 and a high of 1342 silver close
three-point-six percent up it closed around twenty thirty four verses 1963 the previous day
so up and they had a high of 20 41 this morning
gold right now is around 13 42 has been thirteen forty three silvers at 20 28 is
down a little bit the has been 2052 and also the heyy index which is the gold
bugs index of mining shares was at four point six nine percent and the X EU

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Stock More Short-Term Uncertainty - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, July 28, 2016

The State Of The Economy / Economics / US Housing

By: .....

If the economy was a game of bingo, we'd all be waiting for the 75 ball to get pulled.  Things are going well - in some areas, at least - and it looks like things will continue to improve.  Unfortunately, it also seems like we can't quite get back to that pre-2008 level of prosperity that we left so long ago.  Something seems to be missing, and there are disagreements on what that might be.  Waiting for that proverbial ball to get pulled is difficult, but it helps to know what to be on the lookout for.  As always, though, there are multiple possibilities.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

The Stock Market Is Now Set Up For a Monster Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday, I pointed out that the markets were severely overvalued relative to earnings.

Today, I’m going to show you just how extended the S&P 500 is.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

A Potential Life Changing Precious Metals Market / Commodities / Articles

By: Rambus_Chartology

The markets have a way to push you just beyond your limits to get you to do the wrong thing at the wrong time and then reverse on a dime. The bearish sentiment from just a casual observation over the last few weeks has felt like there was no way the bulls could rally the PM sector higher before there was a decent correction. In a new bull market the surprises come to the upside and not the downside.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

Elliott Wave Crash Course - 3 Ways the Elliott Wave Principle Enhances Your Trading / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Learn practical ways in which Elliott wave analysis sets you apart from the herd

In this interview, the head of Elliott Wave International's Educational Resources, Wayne Gorman, tells you about 3 practical benefits of trading with the Elliott Wave Principle: setting realistic price targets, finding ideal entry points -- and squeezing the most out of the trend.

Thursday, July 28, 2016

What Experts Predict for the New Silver Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

By the reckoning of market watchers, the silver bull has arrived. The Gold Report takes a look at what some of the experts predict for the silver price going forward and for companies poised to benefit from the upswing.