Thursday, July 28, 2016
U.S. Dollar Bear Market / Currencies / US Dollar
The first stage in a bear market begins with a severe drop below the 200 day moving average. This serves as the shot across the bow warning. Then there is usually at least one more attempt to recover the 200. When it fails the bear market starts in earnest. The dollar has dropped below the 200 this morning.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
The Fed's Loud Talk Policy / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
Theodore Roosevelt's famous mantra "speak softly and carry a big stick" suggested that the United States should seek to avoid creating controversies and expectations through loose or rash pronouncements, but be prepared to act decisively, with the most powerful weaponry, when the time came. More than a century later, the Federal Reserve has stood Teddy's maxim on its head. As far as Janet Yellen and her colleagues at the Fed are concerned, the Fed should speak as loudly, frequently, and as circularly as possible to conceal that they are holding no stick whatsoever.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Stock Market Insiders Are Secretly Selling, Cycle Top Next Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It was “Panic Buying” that pushed the Dow Jones and the SPX Indices to record highs. To be sure there is trouble brewing in this rally. Smart money has left the stock market, as the charts at the end of this article will display!
While Wall Street insiders appear to know that something is seriously amiss with the economy, no one is warning the retail investor.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
FOMC Interest Rates and Their Impact on the US Economy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
To me, interest rates and their future direction seems to be obsessively discussed and debated by many investors. So much so, that I often get the impression that many investors believe that interest rates coupled with Federal Reserve policy are the primary drivers of our economy. From my perspective, interest rates and Federal Reserve monetary policy are contributing factors to economic growth and stability. However, I would stop short of considering them of primary importance.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
SPX Premarket is Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX Futures are still on a rollercoaster as the earlier rise in the Premarket is given up to a flat scenario.
ZeroHedge reports, “Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, with the BBDXY down 0.5% in early trading after slipping 0.4% over the previous two sessions.”
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Gold Bullion Up 1.6%, Silver Surges 3.7% After Poor U.S. Data and Dovish Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold bullion was up 1.6% and silver surged 3.7% yesterday, their second consecutive day of gains, after U.S. durable-goods orders dropped sharply, adding to speculation that Federal Reserve policy makers will maintain ultra loose monetary policies. Gold and silver consolidated on those gains in Asia and in early European trading.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Gold, Silver and the Clueless Federal Reserve - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I'm going to be covering a gold and silver today and the Federal Reserve
which had its needing a ended yesterday the FOMC meeting so golden silver had
good days yesterday we closed and i take the 10 p.m. london time I close gold
close at 1339 it was up one and a half percent on the previous day clothes are
up 20 bucks so we had a lot of 13 15 around 13 1588 and a high of 1342 silver close
three-point-six percent up it closed around twenty thirty four verses 1963 the previous day
so up and they had a high of 20 41 this morning
gold right now is around 13 42 has been thirteen forty three silvers at 20 28 is
down a little bit the has been 2052 and also the heyy index which is the gold
bugs index of mining shares was at four point six nine percent and the X EU
Thursday, July 28, 2016
Stock More Short-Term Uncertainty - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, July 28, 2016
The State Of The Economy / Economics / US Housing
If the economy was a game of bingo, we'd all be waiting for the 75 ball to get pulled. Things are going well - in some areas, at least - and it looks like things will continue to improve. Unfortunately, it also seems like we can't quite get back to that pre-2008 level of prosperity that we left so long ago. Something seems to be missing, and there are disagreements on what that might be. Waiting for that proverbial ball to get pulled is difficult, but it helps to know what to be on the lookout for. As always, though, there are multiple possibilities.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
The Stock Market Is Now Set Up For a Monster Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Yesterday, I pointed out that the markets were severely overvalued relative to earnings.
Today, I’m going to show you just how extended the S&P 500 is.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
A Potential Life Changing Precious Metals Market / Commodities / Articles
The markets have a way to push you just beyond your limits to get you to do the wrong thing at the wrong time and then reverse on a dime. The bearish sentiment from just a casual observation over the last few weeks has felt like there was no way the bulls could rally the PM sector higher before there was a decent correction. In a new bull market the surprises come to the upside and not the downside.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
Elliott Wave Crash Course - 3 Ways the Elliott Wave Principle Enhances Your Trading / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
Learn practical ways in which Elliott wave analysis sets you apart from the herd
In this interview, the head of Elliott Wave International's Educational Resources, Wayne Gorman, tells you about 3 practical benefits of trading with the Elliott Wave Principle: setting realistic price targets, finding ideal entry points -- and squeezing the most out of the trend.
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Thursday, July 28, 2016
What Experts Predict for the New Silver Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By the reckoning of market watchers, the silver bull has arrived. The Gold Report takes a look at what some of the experts predict for the silver price going forward and for companies poised to benefit from the upswing.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Still Waiting for a Precious Metals "Correction"? Get Off the Dime and Buy Some Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Over time, charts for a bull market tend to print higher highs and higher lows on the way to the primary top. Two steps forward, one step back, creating a visual stair-step effect.
This chart "picture" has been in evidence for gold, silver, and the miners since January.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
On the Italian and Eurozone Doomsday Scenario / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
On June 23rd, the voters in the United Kingdom (UK) turned a collective thumbs-down on the European Union (EU). The Brexit advocates – the ones who had had enough of the EU’s mandates and regulations – won the day. But, this is only the first step on a long and winding exit road. To formally begin its withdrawal from the EU, the UK must trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, and the new British Prime Minister, Theresa May, won’t do that before the end of 2016. Once triggered, the UK has two years to negotiate its exit from the EU.The Brexit vote was a surprise that temporarily rocked the markets, sent the pound to a 32 year low, and sent the chattering classes chattering. It also poured fuel on a simmering Italian fire – a fire that could result in an Italian, as well as a Eurozone, doomsday scenario.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Zero Percent Mortgages Debut Setting up the Next Stage for this Stock Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Although gold dust is precious, when it gets in your eyes it obstructs your vision.
Hsi-Tang
Economists stated that main trigger for the financial crisis of 2008 was the issuance of mortgages that did not require down payments. The ease at which one could get mortgages in the past is what drove housing prices to unsustainable levels. Post-crisis all banks vowed to end the practice forever, or that is what they wanted everyone to believe. When the credit markets froze, we openly stated that the 1st sign that banks were getting ready to lower the bar again would come in the form of Zero percent balance transfer offers that had all but vanished after 2008. A few years after 2008, banks started to mail these offers out, and now everywhere you look you can find 0 % balance transfer offers ranging from 12 months to 18 months. The next step after that would be for banks to lower the 20% down payment required to something much lower. Currently, Bank of America and a few other banks are offering 3% down mortgages.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Japan's "Helicopter Money" Play: Road to Hyperinflation or Cure Debt Deflation? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Fifteen years after embarking on its largely ineffective quantitative easing program, Japan appears poised to try the form recommended by Ben Bernanke in his notorious "helicopter money" speech in 2002. The Japanese test case could finally resolve a longstanding dispute between monetarists and money reformers over the economic effects of government-issued money.
When then-Fed Governor Ben Bernanke gave his famous helicopter money speech to the Japanese in 2002, he was talking about something quite different from the quantitative easing they actually got and other central banks later mimicked. Quoting Milton Friedman, he said the government could reverse a deflation simply by printing money and dropping it from helicopters. A gift of free money with no strings attached, it would find its way into the real economy and trigger the demand needed to power productivity and employment.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Are Central Banks Crazy Enough to Think Helicopter Money is the Answer? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
Central banks around the world have a common problem. They are failures. For the past eight years, central bankers worked tirelessly to generate economic activity. They pushed interest rates below zero and printed trillions of dollars.
And yet, the IMF recently cut its global growth forecast again.
Most economies are stuck in neutral while threats such as the debt crisis in Europe and deflation in Japan keep growing. Now central bankers are talking about a new tool – helicopter cash (free money distributed by a government agency). It won’t work either, but don’t expect that to stop the bankers from trying!
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
SPX, TNX May Finish their Rallies. BKX May lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Good Morning!
At last there may be some resolution to this rally. The Triangle formation is an introduction to the terminal thrust for this rally. A Triangle formation also suggests this may be the last of the rallies. I drew the upper channel trendline in the same manner as the 2-hour chart. It shows a probable terminus of the last thrust closer to 2185.00. Given the rise in volatility that the Fed meeting may engender, it may be a more likely top than the minimum 2180.00 that I mentioned yesterday.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Consumption and Debt Will Bring Down the System - Video / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
I like to talk about credit consumption and financial bubbles and also
production which is seems to been forgotten for the last note 20 years or
so especially in the Western countries you know the United States Canada Australia
Europe Japan it seems like the problem - all the solutions in terms of the economy is for
the creation of more credit more leverage more bubbles in order to keep people consuming and creating this
artificial wealth and paying taxes to keep a big bloated government going or
you know creating credit to build Matt weapons you know of war and conflict for
profit and i remember i think it was after the financial crisis and hank.