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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Forget Shorting the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

The very beginning of a new intermediate cycle is the single most dangerous time to short stocks. The average gain is 6-8% in the first 12-18 days. Yet this is the time most retail traders want to sell short as they expect the market to turn back down immediately. When it fails to do so they end up losing money.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Get Gold At $356 Per Oz By Buying Silver Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold is currently trading at around $1 370 an ounce. I like gold, but for me that is too expensive, even although I think it will increase significantly over the next couple of years.

Why do I think it is too expensive? Because I think there is a way of getting it at the equivalent of $345 an ounce, by buying silver instead.

In January 1980, silver and gold reached all-time high prices (at that time) of $50 and $850 respectively. Therefore, the Gold/Silver ratio at that time was about 17 (850/50).

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Commodities

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Bill Gates And Other Billionaires Backing A Nuclear Renaissance / Commodities / Nuclear Power

By: OilPrice_Com

Let's for a second imagine a world without nuclear energy. That's a tough one but let's try. No nuclear bombs, of course, no Chernobyl and Fukushima, no worries about Iran and North Korea. A wonderful world, maybe?

Probably not, because without nuclear energy we would have burned millions more tons of coal and billions more barrels of oil. This would have brought about climate change of such proportions that what we have today would have seemed negligible.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Europe In Chaos - Can You Imagine The Fed Raising Interest Rates In This World? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

Two short months ago it was generally expected that US interest rates would rise for the balance of the year — a move made possible by steady economic growth and general global stability. Here’s a representative piece of reporting from early April:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 07, 2016

4 Risk Indicators Show Extreme Readings and a Huge Divergence in the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: InvestingHaven

2016 is certainly the year where markets are behaving in an extreme fashion. Most recently, we have witnessed a mini-flash crash post-Brexit with a sharp V-shaped recovery, just in one week.

Our risk indicators have arrived at extreme levels. We pick out 4 fundamental risk indicators from our methodology which we discuss in this article. Apart from extreme readings our risk indicators also show an important divergence. In other words, markets arrived at a critical juncture and are ready to accelerate in the same direction or reverse their course.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Stock Market Unwinding... Rallying Back.... Waiting On The Right News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market spent a day and a half trying to fall enough to unwind those overbought, sixty-minute index charts. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are very overbought with RSI's intraday hitting the low 80's. Finally, we saw some selling, which allowed all of those index short-term charts to unwind their RSI's back in to the mid 40's. That was enough to start the move back up, but not enough to get the market exploding. Unwinding was clearly necessary. It's also healthier if you don't stay too overbought for too long. Get things unwound, which will allow for a better floor from which to move higher. Also, if you don't get too overbought it helps prevent negative divergences down the road.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Is Stock Market VIX Really OK? / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

Yesterday, the VIX closed at 15.58, so it looks like it is okay. But is it really?

The verdict is actually not in yet ... take a look at October, April and now. April was the lowest reading, with October and now not as low as it was in April. With that condition, there remains a possibility of an inverted Head & Shoulder pattern which would have upside implications for the VIX.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 07, 2016

SPX Finds Resistance at the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have been stopped by the 4.5-year trendline. This may be an ideal spot to add to short positions. The end of day activity may also be bearish, as institutions begin to sell in the final half hour.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Stock Market Big Money Making Move is Right Around the Corner… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The rally last week was likely end of the quarter performance gaming and little else.

Fund managers have to report their returns every quarter. With the markets gyrating throughout 2Q16, fund managers were highly incentivized to gun the markets higher in order to redeem the quarter.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Gold Heading Toward $1,400 As Bull Run Commences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Gold's post-Brexit vote surge continues unabated, with Bloomberg reporting today that the price of the safe haven commodity has risen for six consecutive days.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Brexit and Beyond -- Look at Price Patterns, not Market News / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI


How Elliott waves helped us get bearish on the British pound days ahead of vote

Jim Martens, editor of Currency Pro Service, prepared his subscribers early for the violent reversal and historic sell-off in the British pound. Learn what helped him do it.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

UBS States; “Gold Has Entered a New Phase “ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

With gold prices having risen by 24% in dollar terms already this year, UBS analyst Joni Teves declared in a note to clients yesterday that “gold has entered a new phase”.

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Politics

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

“Incredibly Stupid” Juncker Opens Pandora’s Box / Politics / European Union

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Remember the referendum in April in which voters in the Netherlands rejected the EU-Ukraine trade deal? Seems forever ago, doesn’t it? But to date nothing has been done with the outcome of the vote, even though Dutch law requires a government to implement referendum outcomes as swiftly as possible.

PM Mark Rutte told parliament this week that ‘changing’ the deal would be very difficult, and that talks on the topic in the European Council ‘don’t make him happy’. Since one of the things Rutte has demanded from the EU is a pledge that Ukraine will not become an EU member, none of this should be surprising.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Gold Price Continues to Move Higher : Stunning GLD Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Safe haven gold continues its strong showing as plummeting interest rates and shaky global equity markets are creating a strong bid in this market.

Gold pushed up towards last week’s high and in the process pushed through yet another overhead resistance level in the $1345-$1350 level.

Based on what I can see from this chart, there appears to be little resistance in its path until closer to the $1385 level. Above that lies psychologically significant $1400.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

European Bank Stocks Plunge! It’s Not The Brexit Stupid / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: James_Quinn

Just over a week ago the world was coming unglued, as enough British citizens grew a pair and spit in the face of the EU establishment and global elite by voting to exit the EU. The fear mongering by central bankers and their puppet political hacks failed to deter people who have become sick and tired of being abused and pillaged by bureaucrats working on behalf of bankers and billionaires.

Stock markets around the world plummeted on Thursday and Friday. The world braced for another Black Monday. The phone lines were buzzing between central bankers around the world over the weekend as their banker constituents demanded relief. If one thing has been proven over the last seven years, its a coordinated effort between central bankers and Wall Street banks to rig the stock market higher can work over a short time period.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Golden Fireworks - Gold Price Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Loukas

This is a follow up post to last month’s blog post – Gold is Ready to Perform and is an excerpt of the weekly premium report.

Gold surged on the Brexit vote a week ago, then then spent the early part of this week consolidating the gains.  The net gain since the Brexit vote has been impressive, but Gold has still not regained the intraday high from the day after the Brexit vote.  Since spiking to 1362 the morning after the vote, Gold has been filling and confirming the Brexit surge.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Stock Markets Erase Brexit Losses: Is the Fallout Already Behind Us? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Nigel Farage toiled for 17 years building a movement to lead the United Kingdom out of the European Union. A week ago, he stood in front hundreds of drab bureaucrats in the EU Assembly, most of whom have done little but snicker at his free-market ideals, and declared victory. He told them, quite plausibly, their political union is dying - and good riddance!

Fans of liberty cheered for Farage and for Brexit. And, after the sharp recovery in equity indexes around the world, it looks like stock investors have begun cheering as well. Many say stock market losses sustained in the first couple of trading days were an overreaction. Maybe. Or maybe not.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Correction in Bitcoin Price? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

The road to a Bitcoin ETF has proved to be pretty challenging for the Winklevoss twins. First mentioned in 2013, the ETF has yet to be approved by the SEC, more than 2 years after the initial filing. In the recent days, the filing was amended to change the exchange the ETF would be traded on. On the Forbes website, we read:

In their three-year-long quest to offer a Bitcoin ETF, twin brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss made several amendments to their regulatory filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Wednesday.

After initially deciding to list the proposed Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust (which would go by the ticker symbol COIN) on Nasdaq, they’ve switched to BATS Global Markets, which has become a popular choice for newly launched ETFs and is known for a having technologically advanced exchange.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, July 06, 2016

Walkers Crisps Spell and Go K C D Holiday Win After 300 Letter Codes! / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Anika_Walayat

Just Like us, hundreds of thousands of people right across Britain have dutifully trundled along through hail, rain and snow to their local supermarkets every other week to stock up on walkers crisp multi-packs in an desperate attempt to escape Britain's usually dismal summer by means of winning one of Walkers Spell and Go Holidays! We'll today after having entered 300 codes our quest for the holy grail for a K,C,D finally draws to an end and so find out happens towards the very end of our Walkers Crisp blitzkrieg campaign, and a valuable lesson of what to expect from future such promotions.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 05, 2016

Stock Market 5-year Cycle? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

My own observations of a 4 year cycle show a very consistent low in the Dow every four years. In 1962 the cycle expanded to five years and in 1978 it contracted to three years.

The bull market from 2002 never provided a low that could be considered a cycle low and an important high was seen five years later in 2007. That was followed by a significant low four years later in 2011.

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