Thursday, February 18, 2016
Donald Trump is Scaring Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
Oaktree's Howard Marks spoke with Stephanie Ruhle and David Westin on Bloomberg TV's "Bloomberg <GO>" on how the presidential election and Trump are scaring investors. He also discussed his bet on Jeffrey Gundlach's upstart investment firm, DoubleLine Capital.
On how the presidential election is impacting markets, Marks said: "They're scaring the hell out of people." Of Trump he added: "Donald says, the Chinese are killing us. The Mexicans are killing us. The Japanese are killing us. But we're going to get the jobs back. And I think that people tend to believe him…The others compete to be equally fearful and dramatic."
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Two Top Reasons Why Silver Is A Must-Have / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The timing of this silver rally relative to the gold silver ratio (GSR).
In the last 100 years, there were three significant silver rallies, with the current one still in progress. Below is a long-term Gold/Silver Ratio chart showing those silver rallies:
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
ABN AMRO Predict Gold At $1,300 By Year End, Up From $900 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold is holding solidly above $1,200, brushing off news of the freshly released Fed minutes. Iranians cautiously welcome the Saudi-Russian oil production pact, while stating that they support cooperation to achieve higher oil prices, they also have domestic pressure to ramp up export of supply and cash in after years of being locked out of the market. This may possibly weigh down future oil price rises.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
What is the Best Trade on the Gold Mining Sector? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Sam_Kirtley
Gold prices soared last week when Fed market pricing went to extremes, with bond prices indicating that there was next to no chance of a rate hike in the next twelve months. We have covered the cause of this irregular pricing, which was the stopping out of 2016 consensus macro trades, in a previous article, so we will not repeat ourselves here. For the purpose of this analysis it suffices to say that gold prices were heavily overbought when they challenged $1250 and that the currently high levels are unsustainable.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Cameron FAILS - BrExit, Can Britain Break FREE of European Superstate? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Prime Minister David Cameron will all but fail in his negotiations with the 28 european union member states, this despite surrendering virtually every red line of his already heavily watered down proposed deal with the European Union who stated would be non binding and only legislate for AFTER the the UK had voted to remain within the EU. Which the EU Parliament President clarified as implying that virtually every aspect of the deal would be subject to debate and amendment from the dozen or so eastern european benefits claiming states, who would likely decide to reject most of the so called UK deal that would effectively have been used as a smoke screen to hoodwink the British people into giving up their democracy and freedom.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stocks Have Taken Out Critical Support… Prepare Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jesse
One of the most critical lines to watch is the 12-month moving average for stocks.
Historically this line has served well as a proxy for determining if stocks were in a bull or bear market. When stocks rallied above this line, they were in a bull market. When they fell below this line, they were in a bear market.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Gold Price Shows Some Resilience / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Gold and silver were hit early in the overnight, and there was some obvious quote stuffing and other gimmicks in the gold futures to take the price lower. Don't take my word for it, it was Nanex that printed this and showed the data.
And gold once again would not be denied, and held the 1200 level and then some.
Let's see how we keep going in this potential chart formation.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Strong Stock Market Session with Strong Underlying Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a big day today. They gapped up big, pulled back early on, and then stair-stepped their way higher all day, until they reached the session highs with an hour to go. They pulled back late in the session, and bounced in the last 15-20 minutes to finish with a very strong gain on the session.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 257.42 at 16,453.84, 30 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 31.24 to 1926.82, 4 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 94.77 to 41.99.10.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Stock Market Exploring Possibilities....Sentiment... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
hroughout 2015 I felt the market was in a topping phase due to complacency along with massive, negative divergences on those key, monthly index charts. The market didn't fall much in 2015, but it refused to have sustainable upside action. In the end, the markets were down slightly for the year. It took all of 2015 for the market to finally stop its upward thrusts.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
War on Cash: Summers, Others, Launch Strong Campaign for Cashless Society / Politics / War on Cash
By: Jeff_Berwick
Your average person probably doesn’t even notice. And they certainly don’t seem to care.
But an incredibly nefarious plan to get rid of all cash is well in process.
Your average person probably doesn’t even mind. Credit cards and smartphone payments are very convenient. So, what’s the big deal if there was no physical cash?
They’ll find out, very soon, what it all means.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold and Silver - Goldman Says Have No Fear and Buy Our Paper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Goldman analyst Jeffrey Currie came out this morning with a 'sell gold' recommendation for Ma and Pa Muppet.
I was fortunate enough to hear his explanation for this in his own words on Bloomberg TV, which had touted his gold call about every fifteen minutes all day.
The net summary of Mr. Currie's forecast is that Goldman's economists think that there ought to be no fear in the financial paper markets, since there is an historically low chance of a recession, less than fifteen percent, and he sees no real possibility of negative interest rates.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Wealthbuilder Stock Market Brief / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Christopher_Quigley
Time for steady state economics to be introduced.
As a student of economics and monetary theory one of my greatest heroes is M. King Hubbert.
He was an American scientist born in Texas in 1903. He was a man of great integrity,
intellectual honesty and courage. He was a visionary who believed in the power of ideas
and the need to use intellectual rigor to analyze and manage change.
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Weed Killer Cheap Vs Expensive Test - B&M Stores vs Resolva Tesco / ConsumerWatch / Reviews
By: Anika_Walayat
Springs just around the corner, and the weeds usually tend to be the first to sprout, so now is the time to be prepared to nip any weed infestations in the bud, and definitely before they go to seed and multiply their presence a hundred fold. In this test we find out whether a cheap weed killer purchased from a discount store such as B&M Stores is just as effective as a more expensive weed killer purchased from a garden centre or supermarket such as Tesco.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Perverse Sort of Stock Market Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This has been a difficult retracement to follow. Here is the detail of what has happened.
The first Wave down from 1947.20 is clearly a Wave (a), since does not have a five wave structure. What fooled me was that I had assumed that Wave [b] was really a larger degree Wave B, which meant that Wave C of (3) would begin at 1881.60. Instead, it was the final wave [c] of A.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
U.S. Presidential Primaries - That’s All I Can Stands, I Can’t Stands No More / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Raul_I_Meijer
A week after the New Hampshire Presidential Primaries, what lessons, if any, can we take from the dramatic victories of two outsider candidates? Former New Hampshire resident and occasional Automatic Earth contributor Nelson Lebo weighs in.
Note: Nelson writes below that “Trumpification is a clear and present danger” for writers like me “who rely on the best available data, statistics, facts”. But so far I find Trump mostly amusing, and an excellent indicator of what America has come to. And there’s little he can do to make representation of the facts in the media even worse than it is. Turns out, it didn’t take Trump to Trumpify the media. It might well be the other way around, that the Dumbification of the press paved the way for Da Donald. Here’s Nelson Lebo III:
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold Price Stabilises Above $1,200; Asia Markets Run Out Of Steam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Global economic turmoil continues to rumble on as major economies seek to come to grips with a changing monetary environment, sagging growth, low inflation, pockets of deflation and uncertainty over the future of Europe post Brexit. Japanese shares sold off after their gains on Monday, falling 1.8% in today’s trading sessions. European shares rising 1.6% this morning on the back of an expectation that volatility in the markets may begin to stabilise, feels more like a dead cat bounce to be honest.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
FTSE Bounce to Prove Brief / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: AnyOption
The bounce in capital markets across the globe amid speculation of expanded stimulus from the European Central Bank and looser lending conditions in China may have sent risk assets and equities higher, but the positive sentiment is unlikely to last. Worsening fundamental conditions in the United Kingdom combined with a weak external environment have contributed to the sizable decline in FTSE 100 equity index over the last several months, with the benchmark dipping into a bear market last month following a widespread market selloff. A number of lingering issues continue to plague the index, keeping the pressure on performance high as concerns about the drag from energy, softer industrial activity, and another bout of regional bank weakness are offset gains from a more competitive Pound.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
U.S. Presidential Campaign Slogans and Make Believe - ranking the best and the worst / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
It is common understanding that the phrase "seeing is believing" means "I won't believe something until I see it." I won't believe that ghosts or UFOs exist until I actually see one and only then if I've exhausted all other possible explanations.
When the adage "seeing is believing" is turned upside down, i.e., "believing is seeing". It means we often project onto an object, person or event a preconceived notion rather than see it for what it is.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
U.S. Banks Ready for Negative Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016
By: BATR
The test run proved that negative interest rates can push savers into minus territory. Public outrage, while registered is not heard by the central bankers. The reasoning that commercial banks will start making loans because of the cost of sitting on deposits is pure fantasy thinking. As the article, Low Interest Rates Impoverish Savers shows,
“How long will people accept this thief? The options to parking cash in hand with a FDIC insured institution seems worth an examination. However, few alternatives for working class savers exist. Surely, this occurrence is intentional because the real objective of the "New Normal" is to bankrupt Middle America. What other conclusion makes sense?”
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Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Gold Knocked for a Loop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
This looks to me more like an overreaction to the down side in gold based off a sort of mini-panic out of the safe haven trades.
From a fundamental standpoint, nothing has changed in regards to the concerns about negative interest rates nor the chaotic nature of the forex markets. While today’s move in gold certainly was certainly unsettling, it should be kept in mind that this market has rallied nearly straight up since January 14 putting on almost $190 in a month. That is one impressive rally!
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