Monday, February 15, 2016

Silver, Gold, the Argentina Peso, and Exponentially Increasing Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The exchange rate between the Argentina Peso and the US dollar in January 1945 was 4.17 pesos to one dollar.  Like the United States, Argentina created substantial price inflation – devaluation of their currency – in the 1950s – 1990s.

According to Wikipedia Argentina devalued their currency by a factor of 100 in 1970, by another 10,000 in 1983, by another 1,000 in 1985, and by another 10,000 in 1992.

Monday, February 15, 2016

The Retracement In the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

Here is a closer look at the retracement of gold we have seen as of this morning.

While the US markets are closed for Presidents' Day, the rest of the world is open for business.

As you can see from the second chart from Friday, gold had become quite overbought short term.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Deranged Central Bankers Blowing Up The World / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: James_Quinn

It is now self-evident to any sentient being (excludes CNBC shills, Wall Street shyster economists, and Keynesian loving politicians) the mountainous level of unpayable global debt is about to crash down like an avalanche upon hundreds of millions of willfully ignorant citizens who trusted their politician leaders and the central bankers who created the debt out of thin air. McKinsey produced a report last year showing the world had added $57 trillion of debt between 2008 and the 2nd quarter of 2014, with global debt to GDP reaching 286%.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Consensus Macro Trades Stop Out: Gold Has Made A Near Term Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sam_Kirtley

Macro consensus trades into 2016 have not worked well, at all. This week saw a large flush out in positioning across financial markets. There are three consensus trades that we feel have been particularly squeezed and what we believe was a final clearout of these position sent other assets, such as gold, to extreme levels that present a number of trading opportunities.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Gold And Silver – Will Precious Metals Purchasers Become Terrorists? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

A clarification:  We tend to use the regular Friday closes for our charts to avoid the closing “fix” that can sometimes be several dollars for gold and several cents for silver away from the end of Friday trade.  It is not of much consequence because we are consistent in doing it that way, but two weeks ago, the was a substantial rally after the normal close, and it was not taken into consideration during our analysis.

More people are becoming aware that not all is as it seems with the federal government, but there is still a reluctance, even a refusal, to attribute many of today’s existing problems as a root cause by the federal government, which is not a government of, by, or for the people.  Today’s de facto federal government has been a product of the globalists for over a century, starting in more earnest when the Rothschild’s financed both sides in the Civil War, and when Lincoln introduced the Executive Order, now routinely used by presidents to by-pass Congress in the Bread and Circus facade known as the federal government where the globalists are in  charge behind the “curtain.”

Monday, February 15, 2016

Is Stock Market Phase Low in Place? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Possible phase low. Needs confirmation.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Ron Paul on What the Stock Markets Are Telling Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week US stock markets tumbled yet again, leaving the Dow Jones index down almost 1500 points for the year. In fact, most major world markets are in negative territory this year. There are many Wall Street cheerleaders who are trying to say that this is just a technical correction, that the bottom is near, and that everything will be getting better soon. They are ignoring the real message the markets are trying to send: you cannot print your way to prosperity.

Monday, February 15, 2016

Soybeans Commodity Trading Weekly Setup / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Submissions

Sasafuturestrading writes: Remember that there is one open position in the COPPER market.

SOYBEANS WEEKLY SETUP:

Monday, February 15, 2016

UEFA Championship League Easy to Win Walkers Crisps Prizes - Tickets, T-Shirts and Footballs / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Adnaan_Walayat

Walkers crisps are currently running a promotion that’s giving away about 50 tickets to UEFA Champions League football matches for 2016 and also 40,000 other prizes such as t-shirts, footballs and sharing bowls.

Sunday, February 14, 2016

Don’t Keep Your Personal or Financial data on a Windows 10 Machine! / ConsumerWatch / Microsoft

By: Paul_Behan

Well not if you want to keep it private. Like many people I was surprised at the Edward Snowden revelations a few years ago. Nothing has seemed to change and in many cases things have got worse. Some corporations are in partnership with government agencies in regard to collection of data. Whilst the government has the right to collect data to try and protect is citizens from harm, in my opinion this data collections has gone way too far and is now breaching personal liberties.

Sunday, February 14, 2016

Financial Meltdown 2008-style in 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Clif_Droke

As the global market crisis continues, the danger posed by this crisis to the U.S. economy continues to be underestimated by economists and central bankers.  A report recently showed that U.S. job openings surged in December and the number of American voluntarily quitting work hit a nine-year high.  According to the report, this data points to “labor market strength despite a slowdown in economic growth.”

Further commenting on the supposedly improving labor market, Reuters stated: “The signs of a robust jobs market could ease concerns about the health of the economy, which were underscored by other reports on Feb. 9 showing a drop in small business confidence in January to a two-year low and further declines in wholesale inventories.” 

Sunday, February 14, 2016

Is this the start of a run in Precious Metals? We think not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

On the backs of a short-term weakness in the U.S. dollar, precious metals have made a sizable advance in the last few weeks.

Gold prices have jumped 17% and silver has increased over 12%.

Sunday, February 14, 2016

What is Gold Telling Us? MAP WAVE ANALYSIS / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Marc_Horn

Cycle analysis is something that is not well understood and reinforces that markets are not propelled by any form of intrinsic value of anything, including gold and money! They are propelled by expectations of the future and nothing else!

So starting with that we will look at what the analysis says, and then we can look at how that fits in with human behaviour, because that is what drives prices which reflect nothing more than investors future expectations!

Sunday, February 14, 2016

GOLD In Two Words - BULL MARKET / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

BULL MARKET = 2 Words
     We know it bottomed in Jul 2013.  Really !!!
Lets go back to October of 2015 when this appeared on this blog.

GOLD NOW IS U$D 1336 - FIGURED IN COIN SHOPS FRIDAYS CLOSE WAS 1310 U$D, SO IT CORRELATES TO THE REAL WORLD, SINCE THE COIN SHOP PRICE IS F.O.B. COIN SHOP

Saturday, February 13, 2016

France CAC40 Stock Market Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Austin_Galt

The French stock index, the CAC40, has traded more or less as outlined in analysis produced back in May 2015. That analysis called the top in place and outlined expectations of a bear market to play out.

Price hit a low this past week at 3892 which was just over 26% down from the May 2015 high and I believe that may well represent the final low to the bear market.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Stock Market Rally Time Off Retest?.......Still Some Positive Divergences... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

If we study the market charts we can see quite clearly that we're seeing bear-market action. That said, you can't go straight down forever. The Nasdaq fell 18% in just six weeks. By any bear-market measurement this is too much too fast. Price isn't the problem. It's the speed of the move along with price. Such a short time frame to have that size of a loss without some type of exhaustion. One would think anyway. There are missing ingredients to a short-term bottom, such I have recently discussed. Nothing with regards to a high put-call ratio for several hours over 1.5. No trin at 3.0 or higher, and clearly no dramatic VIX spike.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Potential Stocks Bear Market Uptrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild week! The market started the week at SPX 1880. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1828, but reversed course in the afternoon. By Wednesday it turned slightly positive for the week when hitting SPX 1882. Thursday, however, started off with a gap down opening as the market hit a new downtrend low at SPX 1810. By late Thursday into Friday the market was rallying back up again, and ended the week at SPX 1865. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.55%, and the DJ World index was -2.70%. Economic reports for the week were biased negatively again. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, GNP, plus the budget and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, investor sentiment and the WLEI. Next week, after a Monday holiday, we get reports on Industrial production, FOMC minutes, the Housing market and it’s Options expiration.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Seasonal Gold Price Correction on the Way / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Goldvybe writes: Not much has changed since our gold correction commentary post on the 10th (here) except that gold had spiked up to $1263 on Thursday after global equities weakness and continued fears about European banks.

The fib retracements have stayed pretty much the same except now moving up a bit. For the most part, our analysis has not changed as we still anticipate a move lower from the seasonal February high into a seasonal low (March-April) of between $1130-$1150.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Gold’s Macrocosm: The Planets Align / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

We introduced the graphical view of the preferred counter-cyclical environment for gold and especially the gold stock sector in July:  Macrocosm.  We have updated the view several times since at NFTRH.com, with the macro backdrop getting more and more supportive of the gold sector over the last half a year.

Saturday, February 13, 2016

SPX Challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX at the hourly level is still challenging its Orthodox Broadening Top formation. Earlier I had reported that I was expecting two Primary Pivot days. The first was Wednesday where SPX made the Wave B high at 1881.60. The second was today, where it appears to be making a Wave [ii] high that may be complete at 1864.28.