Wednesday, February 10, 2016
The Fed Doesn't have a Clue! / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Axel_Merk
"The Fed doesn't have a clue!" - I allege that not only because the Fed appears to admit as much (more on that in a bit), but also because my own analysis leads to no other conclusion. With Fed communication in what we believe is disarray, we expect the market to continue to cascade lower - think what happened in 2000. What are investors to do, and when will we reach bottom?
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Mutual Funds, ETFs at Risk of a Run Warns David Stockman / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: GoldCore
In one of his starkest warnings yet, Former White House Budget Director (Office of Management and Budget, OMB), David Stockman has warned that banks and the global financial system remain vulnerable and there is likely to be another global financial crisis which will be worse than the first involving “a run on mutual funds and ETFs.”
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Gold Obvious $1200 Cycle Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
I have to wonder if gold is going to give us the obvious cycle top at $1200 and reward all the shorts that sold yesterday, and reward the longs who took profits"
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
How Far Can Gold Price Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Kirtley
Gold has broken higher through its long term downtrend line with the most recent rally. This break begs the question of how much longer gold can continue rallying. In this article we analyse the technical situation for gold to determine at what level gold is likely to cease rallying, the fundamentals in play, and what would have to change to cause a new bull market in gold.
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Comparison of Current US Stock Market Performance to that in 2008 and 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Rajveer Samuel Rawlin writes: A look back at stock market performance in two major bear market years of 2000 & 2008 reveals some interesting findings:
First lets look at the S & P 500 Chart in 2000:
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Wave Structure and Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The 10-minute chart again offers us the best clues as to the structure of the market moves.
Linking this together with the Cycles Model which expects a Primary Cycle Pivot tomorrow, it suggests a powerful reversal down in a third wave. Originally I had interpreted Wednesday’s Pivot as a Cycle Bottom. However, today’s late afternoon high altered that perception.
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Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Stock Market Panic Decline is Still on the Agenda / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has managed to remain flat all day. The final hour is when the institutional investors weigh back in. Do you think it may have been ramped for their benefit?
The panic decline is still on the agenda.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
One Chart Depicts Economic Recovery 100% Fiction / Economics / Unemployment
By: Sol_Palha
Anything I've ever done that ultimately was worthwhile... initially scared me to death.Betty Bender
They say a picture is worth a thousand words and this chart is probably worth a lot more. It illustrates how the BLS has been lying through its teeth over the past seven years. Then again anyone with a grain of common sense could figure out that the retarded methodology the BLS employs is bound to create the illusion that all is well. They purposely discount individuals that have stopped looking for work in coming up with their unemployment numbers. Hence, the 5% figure is not an accurate reflection of the landscape. The chart below provides a more realistic view of the unemployed in the U.S and in some areas we believe that the numbers could be more than 30%
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
WMD - Weapons of Mass Destruction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
“WMD” also is “Wasteful Monetary Devastation.”
WASTEFUL: We all know that governments spend money in wasteful ways and compensate with higher taxes, deficits, huge debt, “printed currencies” and inflation. “Bridges to nowhere,” various wars, and “giveaways” benefit a few at the expense of many.
MONETARY: Printing and digitally creating many trillions of dollars, euros, yen, or pounds may temporarily bail out banks and governments but in the big picture they destroy capital and weaken the economies of the nations which are deluding themselves.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
FEAR TRADE: Metals Up, Stocks and Jobs Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals have risen sharply in recent days as investors looked for alternatives to the stock market and U.S. dollar. Both gold and silver pushed through important technical resistance levels. Metals bulls hope to see markets enter a virtuous cycle; improving charts followed by more speculative long interest leading to improved charts.
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
It's Stock Market Panic Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Nikkei 225 Index is in the news this morning. It declines to 16085.44 in their overnight session. That’s right. It is down 918.86 points. This puts it just above its Head & Shoulders neckline. There’s a lot more to come should the neckline be broken.
The futures are down 1129.50, or 15871.50. ZeroHedge reports, “With China offline for the rest of the week, global markets have found a new Asian bogeyman in the face of Japan which as reported last night saw its markets crash, and the Yen soar, showing that less than 2 weeks after the BOJ unveiled NIRP, yet another central bank has lost control.”
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
How to Save Money by Using a Money Transfer Credit card / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
By: MoneyFacts
The credit card market continues to thrive, which is great news for borrowers looking for low or interest-free deals on purchases and balance transfers. Credit cards designed for money transfers shouldn’t be overlooked either, as they can often be an innovative way of tackling expensive debts, such as bank overdrafts.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Keeping The Faith - The Paradox of Silver Supply, Demand, and Sentiment – Interview with Andy Hoffman / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The state of PM markets..Technical Analysis
The Ignorance of Mainstream Financial Professionals
Keeping the Faith in a bear market
What’s new with Miles Franklin
What does silver have to do with an old horse named Doxology?
You can connect with Andy by reaching out to him at MilesFranklin.com
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Banks Not Happy....Leaders Not Leading....Rates Falling...Late Day Hammer... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
When you take the time to study what's taking place at any given moment in time in this crazy game we call the stock market, you need to look no further than the behavior in the financial banks. They will happily tell you what's taking place if you allow yourself to listen. To understand the banks you need to look at the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T Note ($TNX). Rates are on a straight decline lower. The treasury yield is ignoring the latest rate hike by the Fed, which tells us the picture it's painting is one of deflation.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
A Bullish Gold Price Forecast For The Next 6 Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold is on the move. As stocks are selling off big time, the gold market is the big beneficiary with a significant inflow of capital.
Is that any coincidence? No, it is not, because the gold market was deeply oversold. Next to that, and perhaps more importantly, sentiment hit rock bottom levels. When everybody and his uncle believes that stocks have only one way to go, i.e. up, the opposite usually happens. The same accounts to the precious metals market.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Stock Market SPX Setting Up for its Largest Decline Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The retracement to 1860.69 tells us that the decline of sub-Minute Wave (i) is over. There may be a final probe above that level as the market attempts to close at the high.
Regardless of a higher or lower close, SPX is being set up for a massive Wave (iii) of [iii] of 3 likely to start tomorrow. Prepare for an even larger gap down than we experienced this morning.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Gold Stocks Picks for Patient Pickers / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Picking gold and silver equities in a stagnant price environment is a stock picker's game that requires a particular thesis—and a fair portion of patience, says Joe Reagor, an analyst with ROTH Capital Partners. In this interview with The Gold Report, Reagor outlines types of companies he prefers and pairs those with names that patient investors could parlay into promising profits.
The Gold Report: In a report from RBC Capital Markets in late January, the firm said gold could reach as high as $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) in the short term but remains in an overall downward trend. Does ROTH Capital Partners share that view?
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Crude Oil Price Continues to Drill Downward / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week's forecast for a high in the Dow on February 1st was a perfect hit. As of last Friday, the Dow has fallen 438 points since last Monday's high.
Crude spent last week trying to breakout from the 34-dma but, in the end, fell $2.73/bbl. for the week closing at 30.89 and printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Oil Price Collapse U.S. Recession Odds 2016 / Economics / Recession 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
David Rosenberg, chief economist at money-management firm Gluskin Sheff & Associates, went way out on a limb today.
Even though oil broke $30 to the downside again today, bond yields have crashed, and the price of many commodities is below the cost of production, Rosenberg made this statement today as quoted by the Wall Street Journal :
Read full article... Read full article..."I put the odds of a U.S. recession in the next year as close to zero as anything could be close to zero."
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: John_Rubino
So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.
But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.
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