Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.

But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

John Charalambakis is the Managing Director of Group, a boutique style asset and wealth management firm, which focuses on risk mitigation, capital preservation and growth through strategies that are rule based. Dr. Charalambakis has been teaching economics and finance in the US for the last twenty years. Currently he teaches economics at the Patterson School of Diplomacy & International Commerce at the University of Kentucky.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold vs Stocks Macro Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

A picture is worth 4-plus years and thousands of words, and the picture below has a lot to say. I'll say some words as well, since I have kept them bottled up for years in an effort to make sure we operate with discipline as opposed to gold bug style emotion.

The bear market and subsequent inflation-fueled credit bubble early last decade was when I first started paying close attention to macro markets (as opposed to stock trading, which I had done for a few years prior) and how they operate. Having seen well paid professionals lose half of my IRA in 2002, I took over all of our finances and never looked back. But I needed to understand how markets worked and that has been a challenging and rewarding endeavor, not to mention an ongoing learning experience.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Top Silver Mining CEO: Don't Laugh, We Could See Silver $100+ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Exclusive Interview with First Majestic CEO Keith Neumeyer on Metals, Mining, and Manipulation

Mike Gleason, MoneyMetals.com: It is my privilege, now, to be joined by Keith Neumeyer, founder and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. One of the top Silver mining companies in the world.

Keith has an extensive background in the resource and finance sectors, and has been an outspoken voice about concerns that there is some level of price suppression going on in the silver futures market. It's a real privilege to have him on with us today.

Monday, February 08, 2016

FTSE 100 Following Macro Trends in Peripheral Markets / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: MBM_Research

Stock market bulls have seen some discouraging activity in the equities space over the last few months, and many traders are looking for an indication that declines in the major stock benchmarks have reached an exhaustion point.  Those that have been caught long at the highs are likely showing even more concern, as positions based on the multi-year positive momentum have likely given back most of their gains. 

Monday, February 08, 2016

NDX, Banks and EuroStoxx All Tumble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX gapped down 76.48 points, putting it well beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and its prior low.

ZeroHedge comments, “Just over two weeks ago, JPM's Marko Kolanovic, whose unprecedented ability to predict short-term market moves is starting to seem a little bizarre, warned that the next "significant risk for the S&P500" was the bursting of the "macro momentum bubble." Specifically, he said that there is an emerging negative feedback loop that is "becoming a significant risk for the S&P 500" adding that "as some assets are near the top and others near the bottom of their historical ranges, we are obviously not experiencing an asset bubble of all risky assets, but rather a bubble in relative performance: we call it a Macro-Momentum bubble."

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold, Investment Leadership Changes Permanent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

In the Summer of 2015 a major discontinuity occurred in financial markets. That which was, was no longer. That which had not been, suddenly was. Reasons for that abrupt shift in the character of financial markets are not entirely clear. Was it exhaustion of both bullish and bearish runs? Was the anticipation of an interest rate increased so certain that financial markets began to immediately incorporate such an event? Whatever, Gold related investments now clearly dominate returns and growth fantasies have collapsed. That shift may be more permanent than many acknowledge.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX has plunged below 1860.00 this morning, challenging the Broadening trendline. Due to its position, the Broadening Flag appears to be a consolidation that allows the index to continue its former trend. I am not yet labeling the decline because the declining pattern may take several paths. Thus far, the pattern suggests that it may not stay at the trendline very long. Its next target appears to be at or below the Head & Shoulders neckline.

Monday, February 08, 2016

How to Save Money By Growing Your Own Homegrown Tomatoes Indoors From Seeds / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: Sami_Walayat

February is the right time of year to get started growing your own vegetables of which given the high shop prices tomatoes should be at the top of ones list. In this comprehensive guide spanning a whole years worth of growing I will show how literally anyone, even a child can easily grow hundreds of tomatoes indoors in a small pot from seed germination, to planting, to hand pollination, to pruning and then enjoying the fruits for a whole years worth of money saving crops of healthy fresh organically home grown tomatoes, good for your financial and physical health as well as delivering a lot of self satisfaction.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold and Silver Up 5% Last Week As Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver surged over 5% last week as concerns about the U.S. and global economy saw more sharp stock market falls and reduced expectations of the Fed increasing interest rates.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Crude Oil's True Message / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Michael_Pento

The pervasive narrative on Wall Street is that the collapse in oil prices will, any second now, restore consumers to their profligate spending ways. In fact, financial pundits have been calling for plunging energy prices to imminently rescue the economy for the past 18 months. Most importantly, these same gurus, who love to espouse the benefits of a collapse in oil prices, never connect the dots to what this collapse says about the state of global growth. Instead they argue it is solely a function of a supply glut that is the result of increased production.

Monday, February 08, 2016

UK Mortgage Fees Hit 21-month High / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

With over 4,500 mortgage products for borrowers to choose from it’s unsurprising that those seeking the most cost-effective deal can become confused by the array of choice available.

Assessing the overall value of a mortgage is becoming even more crucial as research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that borrowers are now stumping up more cash to arrange a mortgage, with the average mortgage fee today being a full £68 higher than in June 2014 - a 21-month high.

Monday, February 08, 2016

US Economy Slides One Step Further Towards A Recession / Currencies / Recession 2016

By: Dr_David_J_Harris

SUMMARY:

This article reviews whether the US is potentially sliding towards an economic recession, as defined by NBER.

• The St. Louis FED publishes a monthly report that presents the output from its smoothed US recession probabilities model.
• The model covers the period from June 1967 to the present day, and during this period there have been seven US recessions, as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
• The FED model has three false positives and zero false negatives. All three false positives were within two years of a US recession starting, so they can be considered as early indicators of a recession rather than false positives.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold Bear Market Bottom : Mr. Bear has left the PM Sector for Greener Pastures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Plunger

Goldtent, it appears the great gold bear of 2011-2016 has now ended. Mr Bear has now completed his work of cleaning up all the garbage and malinvestment created by reckless management teams over the past 15 years. Our sought after ultra low of HUI 66 where we were all going to ring the bell and back up the truck is not going to happen in my opinion. The bottom is in! This is my first and only call of a bear market bottom since the bear started in 2011. Its been brutal, but I believe its over. This is my best judgment based on the pieces of the puzzle I see.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Falling Oil Prices Not the Reason for U.S.’s Economic Woes / Economics / US Economy

By: Antonius_Aquinas

The dramatic fall in the global price of oil is being cited by the financial press, government officials, and academia as the catalyst for the recent abysmal U.S. economic data which shows that the economy is, in all likelihood, sliding into a recession or worse.

While falling oil prices sound like a plausible explanation for the abysmal financial numbers, anyone with a modicum of economic sense (which excludes much of the financial Establishment) can see that it is merely a smokescreen to obfuscate the real culprit.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Silver Price Workup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Silver finally managed to push through its upside resistance just above the $14.50 level this week and attracted some additional upside follow through as the US Dollar weakness brought on the macro trade (Dollar down - BUY commodities). For that matter copper also rallied, as did platinum. Clearly the latter two metals are not moving higher based on signs of increasing demand but rather because of those macro trades just referenced. It is purely a matter of money flows related to the movements in the foreign exchange markets, especially considering that fact that the preference in the markets at the moment is generally RISK AVOIDANCE.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Government Mandatory Depression Screening is A Depressing Thought / Politics / Government Intervention

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

The United States Preventive Services Task Force recently recommended mandatory depression screening for all Americans. The task force wants to force health insurance companies to pay for the screening. Basic economics, as well as the Obamacare disaster, should have shown this task force that government health insurance mandates harm Americans.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Stock Market At Important Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Is the counter-trend rally over?

Monday, February 08, 2016

David Cameron Humiliated in Poland Over Refusal to Stop Taking UK Benefits, BrExit or Super State? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The British Prime Minister, David Cameron within days of waving a white piece of paper 'Chamberlain' style received form the EU's Donald Tusk, has since been busy trying to put up a propaganda smoke screen of success of negotiations for the British public to swallow in the run up the UK's EU Freedom Referendum, literally seen begging Eastern European states to play a long with the charade so as to hood wink the British people into giving up their very final chance of attaining freedom from the emerging EU super state.

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Why Crude Oil Prices Could Continue FALLING From Here / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jesse

By Brett Eversole