Monday, December 14, 2015
Stocks Will Fall Anywhere From 17%-50% Depending on the Fed’s Response / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
A major long-term momentum indicator is flashing, “sell.”
Based on the historical significance of this indicator we may be putting in a top and possibly THE top for the bull market that began 2009.
The indicator concerns the monthly moving average convergence divergence or MACD.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
The Rand Paul Campaign: Unlocking Liberty’s Majority / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Stephen_Merrill
It is quite a difference a few months of campaigning can make in US Presidential politics.Take the relative value of the Rand Paul presidential campaign from earlier this year when Senator Paul was winning the CPAC poll compared to the present time that is awash with Donald Trump Republican mania.
The good times were good for Rand Paul for President at its start: the best played Senate filibusters in recent memory, being lauded as the most powerful Senator when he controlled the Senate majority leader’s political life in Kentucky, becoming the only Republican national contender with positive outreach to the young voter and to the truly disaffected voter, the heir of Ron Paul’s liberty movement, the leader of the successful anti-NSA spying forces and media poll numbers for President sometimes beating Hillary Clinton.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Game Changing Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
It appears as if the worm has finally turned for the equity markets. The S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly decline since August, and the broader risk markets took a beating. The price of Crude fell under $35 a barrel and high yield bonds took an absolute drubbing. Friday's big decline in equities was on extremely high volume - the highest in 6 weeks - and the volatility index (VIX) jumped 26% in its biggest one-day percentage increase of the year.
This past week's performance notwithstanding, we have been through enough face-ripping reversals in equities to know that, in the end, one move may prove meaningless to the broader trend. Volatility and reversals have been a characteristic of the 2015 market, so we need to consider the current action in that context. But if I can be so bold, I'd like to depart from my normal reliance on evidence to suggest that I have a "sense" that this time might be different for equities.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Marine Le Pen Will Reap What The EU Has Sown / Politics / European Union
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Many people are cheering now that yesterday Marine Le Pen and her Front National (FN) party didn’t get to take over government in any regions in the France regional elections. They should think again. FN did get a lot more votes than the last time around, and, though she will be a little disappointed after last weekend’s results, it’s exactly as Le Pen herself said: “Nothing can stop us”.
And instead of bemoaning this, or even not believing it, it might be much better to try and understand why she’s right. And that has little to do with any comparisons to Donald Trump. Or perhaps it does, in that in the same way that Trump profits from -people’s perception of- the systemic failures of Washington, Le Pen is being helped into the saddle by Brussels.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Ten Market Investors Warning Signs for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
Wall Street's proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.
Monday, December 14, 2015
Investors Learn that High Yield Funds are Not Piggy Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is still challenging round number support at 2000.00. The Premarket shows SPX down, but not yet beneath 2000.00.
The tremors are getting bigger and more threatening as oil tumbles below $35.00 while emerging markets and junk bonds increase their turmoil.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Fed, ECB “Monetary Insanity” Is “Frightening” – GoldCore on Keiser Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Max Keiser interviewed GoldCore Research Director, Mark O’Byrne last week and the video was released on Saturday.
Key points and topics covered:
– “Monetary insanity” of ECB and Fed is “frightening”
– “Absolutely nothing has been learned” since financial crisis
– “Financial hypocrisy on a grand scale”
– Ireland was vassal of Bank of England and now ECB
Monday, December 14, 2015
Janet Yellen, U.S. Zero Interest Rates - Déjà vu all over Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: James_Quinn
Janet Yellen will increase interest rates for the first time in nine years on Wednesday. She isn’t raising them because the economy is strengthening. The economy just happens to be weakening rapidly, as global recession takes hold. The stock market is 3% lower than it was in December 2014, and has basically done nothing since the end of QE3. Wall Street is throwing a hissy fit to try and stop Janet from boosting rates by an inconsequential .25%. Janet would prefer not to raise rates, but the credibility and reputation of her bubble blowing machine is at stake. The Fed has enriched their Wall Street benefactors over the last six years, while destroying the real economy and the middle class.
Monday, December 14, 2015
Debt Fears for UK Consumers who rely on Credit / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: MoneyFacts
Consumers are living on the edge by relying too heavily on credit and failing to put aside sufficient savings, according to a recent survey*. Moneyfacts.co.uk warns that those who don’t plan their repayments or, in the worst case scenario, lose their main source of income, could therefore find themselves living in fear of their debts as their credit spirals out of control.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Forecast: What Next for the S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 fell last week towards what we think is more than likely support. As we close in on the end of the year it finds itself struggling to print a positive yearly close. We remain bullish the S&P 500 as our forecast shows, however we are cautious as we watch to see how this bull consolidation forms over the next few months.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Ron Paul - If You Want Security, Pursue Liberty / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Judging by his prime-time speech last week, the final year of Barack Obama's presidency will be marked by increased militarism abroad and authoritarianism at home. The centerpiece of the president's speech was his demand for a new law forbidding anyone on the federal government's terrorist watch list from purchasing a firearm. There has never been a mass shooter who was on the terrorist watch list, so this proposal will not increase security. However, it will decrease liberty.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market New Downtrend or Just Another Pullback Within Two-Month Long Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,060 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, December 14, 2015
London Housing Market House Prices Forecast 2016-2018 - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
London's housing bull market continues to gallop along at an astonishing pace which depending on which measure one looks at ranges from an annual rate of between 8% and 12%, and that the most recent surge higher has now lifted the average London house price to over an eye watering £600k! Pushing London house prices affordability ratio's upwards of X10 average London earnings, pushing London properties out of the reach of even the professional middle classes, let alone the army of working class necessary to keep the metropolis ticking over. Where many prospective home buyers are being forced to adopt extreme measures such as shared ownerships or be convinced by highly polished sales pitches that a tiny box studio flats priced at £300k+ in run down areas sold as up and coming are a very good deal! So buy now before it is snapped up by someone else, probably who has yet to even set foot in Britain which highlights London's ultimate safe haven status, not just for the worlds people but capital of tax evading billionaires and people of more ordinary means plowing billions into London's better than gold property market each year.
Monday, December 14, 2015
Why Gold-Backed Money Doesn’t Bring Economic Booms and Busts / Commodities / Economic Theory
By: Frank_Shostak
According to popular thinking, not every increase in the supply of money will have an effect on economic activity. For instance, if an increase in supply is matched by a corresponding increase in the demand for money, we are told, then there won’t be any effect on the economy. The increase in the supply of money is neutralized, so to speak, by an increase in the demand for money, or the willingness to hold a greater amount of money than before.
What do we mean by demand for money? And how does this demand differ from demand for goods and services?
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Monday, December 14, 2015
The Coming Economic Collapse Will Crash Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
In 2008, the world experienced the worst economic collapse in 80+ years. This collapse triggered a stock market crash that erased $30 trillion in wealth.
Since that time, collectively Central Banks have cut interest rates over 600 times and have printed over $15 trillion in new money… money that has failed to generate sustained economic growth… money that has set the stage for another stock market crash.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Low Near, Santa Rally on the Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The S&P 500 is doing almost identically what it did last year: an important top the Friday after Thanksgiving (Dec 4), a rejection of the 20 day moving average the Thursday after that (Dec 10) and a large down day on the following Friday (Dec 11). We had the negative Mars square Pluto Dec 6 translating the really negative Mars opposite Uranus Dec 10 last week. The culmination of the low should occur late Tuesday Dec 15 when Uranus/square Pluto loses its hard aspect on the markets and tax selling is complete.
Sunday, December 13, 2015
Are We In a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
SPX: Intermediate trend - has retraced 50% of its uptrend from 1872.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 13, 2015
The Great Stock Market and Economic Train Wreck of 2016... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clive_Maund
Today we are going to review irrefutable evidence that a slow motion train wreck is already well underway across global markets, that will end with the last wagons on the train, the S&P500 index and the Dow Jones Industrials, disappearing into the abyss right after their immediate predecessors.
There are still a remarkable number of investors out there, and an even more remarkable percentage of mainstream financial journalists, who seem to think that everything is alright just because the flagship indices like the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P500 haven't caved in yet, but as we will now see they are probably just about to.
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Sunday, December 13, 2015
US Bull Market to Extend Well into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2092. Monday started the week with a gap down opening. The market gapped down again on Tuesday and Wednesday before hitting a low at SPX 2037. Then after a quiet Thursday opening the market rallied to SPX 2068, before resuming its decline with another gap down opening on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 3.55%, the NDX/NAZ lost 3.95%, and the DJ World lost 3.5%. Economic reports for the week started off negative, but ended mixed. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export/import prices, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: the PPI, MMIS, GNP, WLEI, retail sales and consumer sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production, Housing and Options expiration.
Sunday, December 13, 2015
Donald Trump vs. The Quiet Christian / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
Before a cheering and whooping crowd in Mount Pleasant, S.C., Donald Trump, spewing the blustery rhetoric of a demagogue, declared that the United States should ban all Muslims from entering the country.
He claimed to have Muslim friends who supported his position. He claimed that Muslims want “to change your religion.” He claimed that a poll, one created by an anti-Muslim extremist, showed that one-fourth of American Muslims believe violence against Americans is justified.