Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Dow Transports Re-Enters Stocks Bear Market, Caution Warranted / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Christopher_Quigley
Arnold Toynbee “A Study of History”:
“Civilizations die by suicide not by murder”.
Very few people today know that between 1934 and 1961 the British historian Arnold Toynbee wrote “A Study of History” describing the rise and fall of the 23 civilizations he had identified in human history. In contrast to Oswald Spengler, who thought that the rise and fall of civilizations was inevitable, Toynbee maintained that the fate of civilizations is determined by their response to the challenges facing them. In fact the unifying theme throughout the book is challenge and response. One of the ground-breaking discoveries by Toynbee is the fact that there have been so many highly developed civilizations. Understandably in the West our history lessons focus on our own civilization with its roots in Greek and Roman cultures, but in addition there have been Chinese, Indian, Mayan, Islamic, Sumerian and Orthodox civilizations, to name but a few.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Santa Claus…. Where’s My Interest? / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
By: MoneyFacts
Data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that rate reductions in the savings market are now outweighing rate rises for the first time since daily rate change monitoring began.*
In the month of November, Moneyfacts recorded 36 savings rate rises, with only one deal posting a significant increase of 0.80%. Disappointingly, these rises were eclipsed by the 73 rate reductions that took place over the same period, with some rates falling by a massive 0.86%.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Vietnam Sails Smoothly Through The Commodity Storm / Economics / Asian Economies
By: Submissions
Dylan Waller writes: While the gloom faced in commodity prices has created slowed economic growth throughout frontier and emerging markets, there is one global market in Asia in particular that has not been deterred: Vietnam. Low commodity prices have been gruesome for some companies, and on a much larger scale has led to a global economic slowdown for commodity based economies. While the current environment has created a flurry of buy opportunities in commodity based economies, investment in Vietnam provides a similar opportunity with substantially lower risk. Vietnam’s economy, driven by its strategic advantage of low cost manufacturing, is continuing to maintain its position as one of the fastest growing economies in Asia, and is poised for stronger economic growth throughout 2025.
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Stock Market THREE is a number, Good or Bad, Well that Depends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
Denali Guide writes:
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Will Lower Crude Oil Prices Cause the Fed to Delay Tightening? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Bob_Kirtley
The FOMC has been moving towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle for a considerable amount of time. Throughout this year Fed statements and the accompanying press conferences have been preparing the markets for the first rate hike. Since the October FOMC various Fed speakers have signalled to the market that the first hike would come at the December meeting, which is this week.
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Hybrid Lindsay Christmas Gift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
My Hybrid Lindsay model calls for a low near last Friday (chart) and a high on Thursday, December 24. This matches typical option expiration behavior seen this year when equities tend to rally into OPEX (this Friday) and change trend soon after.
In addition, the McClellan Oscillator closed on Friday well below its lower Bollinger Band (200, 1.5). History has shown that a quick dip to just below the lower band usually results in a conclusion of the previous correction. However, a dip closer to negative 300 (as on Friday) often forecasts a lower low in equities (after a small bounce) or at least a test of that low.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Forex Markets GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
Some thoughts on trading forex (and other markets) with Elliott wave analysis
Some of the best stories about global positioning systems (GPS) are the weird detours they sometimes recommend.
A while back, while on a family trip through Great Smoky Mountains National Park, I decided to use my GPS to drive around the park's western boundary to see the wildlife. My old-fashioned map made it look like it would take the better part of the day. But my GPS said the trip would only be about 20 miles long. Little did I know -- until I got there -- that the road from the GPS was only the remnant of an old wagon trail. I had to backtrack and take the path my paper map had originally suggested.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Whither Silver Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
In a bit of a surprise today, crude oil somehow managed to pop high after falling below $35 at one point. It seems like it was more a case of running out of sellers rather than aggressive new buying.
Part of the reason for the move higher was that same pestilential macro trade that seemingly surfaces every single time the Dollar moves lower, namely the macro boyz start buying commodities in general.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Santa Claus Gives Away Top 5 Junior Gold Mining Stock Picks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Thibaut Lepouttre, editor of Caesars Report, knows 'tis the season for generosity, so when we asked him for his top three picks among junior mining equities, he gave us five—four gold plays and a phosphate name. Belgium-based Lepouttre also discusses different "black-swan" events and their potential impact on the gold price, as well as some naughty and nice mining jurisdictions. But this is the interview that keeps on giving, so before he left Lepouttre added two micro-cap oil names he believes would make great "stocking stuffers." He's not Santa Claus but you'll appreciate his magnanimity in this interview with The Gold Report.
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Bottom?....Fed On Deck.....Wild Wednesday Coming... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was up last night thanks to actions taken by the Chinese Government to get stock prices higher. We blasted up on the futures, with the S&P 500 not too far from being up 20 points at the top. Things were looking up big time for the market until reality caught up before the market opened for trading. The futures fell and went red, only to come back a bit. Once trading began, we saw a lot of fluctuations before heading lower, with a bit of force. Suddenly, and out of the blue, in a matter of seconds, the S&P 500 futures exploded nearly fifteen points, but then fell right back down again. My guess was that the fed was unhappy about losing 2020, and, thus, tried to get the market flying back up. It didn't work.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Crude Oil Extends Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil lost 3.34% as a bearish report from the International Energy Agency added to worries over a supply glut and affected negatively investors' sentiment. In this environment, light crude dropped to a fresh 2015 low, slipping to the lowest level since Feb 2009. What's next?
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Sham Paris Climate Agreement / Politics / Climate Change
By: Stephen_Lendman
So-called COP21 discussions from November 30 - December 11 among hundreds of representatives from 196 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) countries were dead on arrival.
They fell short of a whimper, let alone a bang environmental and other civil society groups hoped for - in vain.
Meaningful results were entirely absent - impossible to achieve with America and its key allies unwilling to address a potentially catastrophic future problem without taking constructive action now.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stocks Will Fall Anywhere From 17%-50% Depending on the Fed’s Response / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
A major long-term momentum indicator is flashing, “sell.”
Based on the historical significance of this indicator we may be putting in a top and possibly THE top for the bull market that began 2009.
The indicator concerns the monthly moving average convergence divergence or MACD.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
The Rand Paul Campaign: Unlocking Liberty’s Majority / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Stephen_Merrill
It is quite a difference a few months of campaigning can make in US Presidential politics.Take the relative value of the Rand Paul presidential campaign from earlier this year when Senator Paul was winning the CPAC poll compared to the present time that is awash with Donald Trump Republican mania.
The good times were good for Rand Paul for President at its start: the best played Senate filibusters in recent memory, being lauded as the most powerful Senator when he controlled the Senate majority leader’s political life in Kentucky, becoming the only Republican national contender with positive outreach to the young voter and to the truly disaffected voter, the heir of Ron Paul’s liberty movement, the leader of the successful anti-NSA spying forces and media poll numbers for President sometimes beating Hillary Clinton.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Game Changing Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
It appears as if the worm has finally turned for the equity markets. The S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly decline since August, and the broader risk markets took a beating. The price of Crude fell under $35 a barrel and high yield bonds took an absolute drubbing. Friday's big decline in equities was on extremely high volume - the highest in 6 weeks - and the volatility index (VIX) jumped 26% in its biggest one-day percentage increase of the year.
This past week's performance notwithstanding, we have been through enough face-ripping reversals in equities to know that, in the end, one move may prove meaningless to the broader trend. Volatility and reversals have been a characteristic of the 2015 market, so we need to consider the current action in that context. But if I can be so bold, I'd like to depart from my normal reliance on evidence to suggest that I have a "sense" that this time might be different for equities.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Marine Le Pen Will Reap What The EU Has Sown / Politics / European Union
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Many people are cheering now that yesterday Marine Le Pen and her Front National (FN) party didn’t get to take over government in any regions in the France regional elections. They should think again. FN did get a lot more votes than the last time around, and, though she will be a little disappointed after last weekend’s results, it’s exactly as Le Pen herself said: “Nothing can stop us”.
And instead of bemoaning this, or even not believing it, it might be much better to try and understand why she’s right. And that has little to do with any comparisons to Donald Trump. Or perhaps it does, in that in the same way that Trump profits from -people’s perception of- the systemic failures of Washington, Le Pen is being helped into the saddle by Brussels.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Ten Market Investors Warning Signs for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
Wall Street's proclivity to create serial equity bubbles off the back of cheap credit has once again set up the middle class for disaster. The warning signs of this next correction have now clearly manifested, but are being skillfully obfuscated and trivialized by financial institutions. Nevertheless, here are ten salient warning signs that astute investors should heed as we roll into 2016.
Monday, December 14, 2015
Investors Learn that High Yield Funds are Not Piggy Banks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is still challenging round number support at 2000.00. The Premarket shows SPX down, but not yet beneath 2000.00.
The tremors are getting bigger and more threatening as oil tumbles below $35.00 while emerging markets and junk bonds increase their turmoil.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Fed, ECB “Monetary Insanity” Is “Frightening” – GoldCore on Keiser Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Max Keiser interviewed GoldCore Research Director, Mark O’Byrne last week and the video was released on Saturday.
Key points and topics covered:
– “Monetary insanity” of ECB and Fed is “frightening”
– “Absolutely nothing has been learned” since financial crisis
– “Financial hypocrisy on a grand scale”
– Ireland was vassal of Bank of England and now ECB
Monday, December 14, 2015
Janet Yellen, U.S. Zero Interest Rates - Déjà vu all over Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: James_Quinn
Janet Yellen will increase interest rates for the first time in nine years on Wednesday. She isn’t raising them because the economy is strengthening. The economy just happens to be weakening rapidly, as global recession takes hold. The stock market is 3% lower than it was in December 2014, and has basically done nothing since the end of QE3. Wall Street is throwing a hissy fit to try and stop Janet from boosting rates by an inconsequential .25%. Janet would prefer not to raise rates, but the credibility and reputation of her bubble blowing machine is at stake. The Fed has enriched their Wall Street benefactors over the last six years, while destroying the real economy and the middle class.