Sunday, May 16, 2021
Wall Street Roiled by Hot Inflation Data: Is This REALLY “Transitory”? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
The Labor Department reported yesterday that the Consumer Price Index jumped 4.2% from the prior year. Although a big rise in the CPI had been expected, the actual number came in even higher than economists had forecast.
According to the CPI data, inflation in April accelerated at its fastest pace in more than 12 years. Higher prices showed up everything from used cars to lumber to energy to food.
If April’s rate of price increases were to persist for another 11 months, the annual CPI growth rate would be 10.3%. And that wouldn’t even account for items that the CPI excludes or understates.
Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials have repeatedly insisted than any rise in inflation this year will be “transitory.” They cite base effects from last year’s economic lockdown and supply bottlenecks they expect to be temporary.
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
Inflation Going Stag / Economics / Stagflation
By: Gary_Tanashian
Stagflation in the offing, unless it’s not different this time…
As corporations continue to raise wages, market participants fear the Fed is wrong about supposedly “transitory” inflation, long-term Treasury bond yields resume the rally (bonds decline) manufacturers’ (ISM) costs keep rising, the Fed’s inflationary operation – a desperate monetary kick save if ever there was one – labors on.
The Fed has manipulated bonds and flooded the markets and the economy with funny munny created out of nowhere, as if by magic. As if by MMT (modern monetary theory) TMM (total market manipulation). So far, so good. Jerome Powell stands to be the first non-Bernanke winner of the Ben Bernanke Award for Heroism in the line of inflating a debt ridden economy.
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Saturday, May 15, 2021
CHIA Coins After 1st Week of Plotting 140 Plot 14tb Farm. Crunching the Numbers How to Win / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
By: Nadeem_Walayat
How many CHIA coins did iI earn after first full week of plotting and farming resulting in 140 plots, 14tb farm. as a guide for what to expect when starting out in CHIA. Also I do the maths, run the numbers to calculate what's needed for profitable solo farming and whether farming with pools will work, as pools are expected to materialise in a few days time. So which this comprehensive video both if you are comptemplating starting CHIA farming or are already plotting away with little to show to date. Meanwhile the CHIA coin continues to go beserk, latest price is $1600 per COIN! Which is set againts pre-launch expectations of $20 of less than 3 weeks ago!
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Saturday, May 15, 2021
Tips to Create the Best Cross-Functional Teams / Companies / SME
By: Submissions
Human beings are social creatures, and in our personal and professional lives, we seek communication and cooperation. Even if they are geographically apart, it should be easy to build teams. But it is often difficult, despite our inherent nature, to establish a collaborative working environment among dispersed teams. This is why companies invest in collaboration and remote software tools to improve efficiency and cohesiveness.
More people choose these solutions because remote work is perfect for companies and people who work for them despite its challenges. 85% of remote employees enjoy greater independence and the possibility of having their hours and living a healthy life. It is essential to equip these remote employees with the appropriate communication tools to make their efforts more productive, communicate frequently, share project updates and meetings online.
Friday, May 14, 2021
Gold: Lose a Battle to Win the War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold scored some victories over the past days, but it’s playing a risky game. One misstep and the yellow metal might lose the war.
Sometimes, a good strategist needs to give up a few battles to eventually win the war. Or, at least, convince their enemy that they’re defeated while preparing a counterattack. Just the same, a chess player may need to sacrifice a piece in order to checkmate a king. Sun Tzu has spoken, and the Art of War translates well here.
In the world of trading, the same rules often apply. A good investor needs to give up a few unfavorable days to eventually score a final victory. Again, controlling one’s emotions and adhering to patience are key. These principles are important when waiting out gold’s temporary upswings in a medium-term downswing, and also when waiting for gold’s eventual ascent. Don’t let short-term intraday moves cloud your vision.
Yesterday (May 11), I wrote that the rally in gold and stocks might have just burnt itself out, and the markets didn’t wait long to agree with me.
Is it 100% certain that the top is in? Absolutely not, as there are no certainties in any market, and sound position management should be utilized at all times. But based on what happened yesterday, and what we saw in today’s pre-market trading, the odds that the corrective top is already in have greatly increased.
Friday, May 14, 2021
Are You Invested in America’s “Two-Hour Boom” Fast Shipping Stocks? / Companies / Investing 2021
By: Stephen_McBride
“It would have to sell every book being sold today to justify its stock price.”This ended up becoming one of the most laughable things ever said about Amazon (AMZN). And this line isn’t pulled out of some freebie city newspaper… it’s from a 60 Minutes special back in 1999.
Amazon’s stock price had surged 4,500% over the past two years. The internet shopping pioneer’s sales were soaring triple digits. CBS and 60 Minutes thought it was one giant bubble. Take a look at Amazon’s stock since then. How did a show that prides itself on facts and analysis get is so, so wrong?
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Friday, May 14, 2021
Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Richard_Mills
Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries. Last year, the gold price hit a record high of $2,034/oz, largely due to the fact that investors were piling into bonds as a safe haven against pandemic-related uncertainty. A descending US dollar and negative real rates (when bond yields minus the inflation rate fall below 0%) were also important antecedents.
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Friday, May 14, 2021
6 Solid Signs You Should Have Your Smart Device Repaired Right Away / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
By: Steve_Barker
Most of us rely heavily on our smart gadgets in our day-to-day lives, both personally and professionally. For that reason, it can be a total nightmare when your trusty device starts acting up. While it’s usually best to replace an old device before it gives up the ghost, not all malfunctioning gadgets are beyond repair. To avoid any major inconveniences that may disrupt your work or prevent you from communicating effectively with your loved ones, keep an eye out for the following six signs. If you experience any of these problems, consider it a warning that you need to repair your smart device right away.
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Friday, May 14, 2021
Ways to Finance Your Business Growth / Companies / Debt & Loans
By: Steve_Barker
Do you have a small startup business that you put in a lot of hard work and sweat into and you’re looking to take it to the next level? Many small businesses with great products or services and a comprehensive long-term business plan are not able to grow due to financial obstacles. Making more money requires putting some into improving processes or expansion which is something most small business owners don’t have the ability to achieve.
However, that doesn’t mean you should settle and not seek growth. There are several ways that you can turn towards to finance your business growth and ultimately implement your business plan.
Thursday, May 13, 2021
Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market / Personal_Finance / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is now entering my forecast window for a significant correction which should present an opportunity to accumulate into most the AI mega-trend stocks many of which have galloped ahead to new all time highs this year, trending in the opposite direction to the much higher risk stocks such as those that heavily populate the media blitzkrieging Cathy Wood's ARK funds i.e. their biggest holding Tesla is down 4.5% year to date whilst AI numero Uno Google is up 32%! Which this analysis seeks to resolve in high probability buying levels in advance of an expected correction during May.
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
How Much CHIA Coins Profit from 100 Plot 10tb Farm? Hard Drive Space Mining / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
By: HGR
How much profit can one generate from farming CHIA coins on ones hard drives from a relatively small, easy to get to 100 plot farm. Found out in my latest crypto video of whether it is worth getting into CHIA farming right now, especially given the high price of CHIA hovering at around $1000 PER COIN!
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Stock Market Bulls Getting Caught in the Whirlwind / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
Seemingly uneventful and tight range day in S&P 500 gave way to extraordinary selling once the 4,220 intraday support broke – extraordinary by recent standards. The bulls obviously have quite some damage to repair before thinking about taking on new highs. Prices have moved back into the prolonged consolidation, in what isn‘t a true breakdown though yet.
Neither the smallcaps, nor the emerging markets, let alone S&P 500 fell on sharply rising volume, which speaks in favor of a bad day, chiefly driven by tech (yes, I‘m looking at you, $NYFANG) and weak credit markets. Look at market breadth – new highs new lows stunningly rose yesterday in spite of the 500-strong index losing quite a few dozen points.
Classic risk off positioning, if only the defensives as a group did a lot better – but it could have been worse had commodities joined in the melee. They didn‘t, and they are thus the dog that didn‘t bark, detracting credibility from yesterday‘s stock market plunge (unless they catch up next, that is).
Both copper and lumber reversed, but won‘t this turn out as another buying opportunity, especially in copper? Little has changed in the reflationary and reopening trades – financials managed to shake off the rising yields easily yesterday. True, VIX and put/call ratio aren‘t painting a picture of calmness, but especially the option traders are positioned a bit too bearishly at the moment. Again, it‘s a question of how long before the tech bottom hunters step in. Make no mistake though, growth is going to keep lagging behind value.
Gold, silver and miners are in a vulnerable position even though neither the technical nor fundamental reasons behind their rally changed. The rising yields are a testament of rotation out of stocks into bonds not having worked yesterday, and should commodities such as copper get hurt again, precious metals would land in hot water likely. Thus far though, no sign thereof – the momentum remains with the bulls overall, and higher time frames confirm that.
Thursday, May 13, 2021
Legoland Windsor Mini land and Sky Train Virtual Tour in VR 360 - UK London Holidays 2021 / Personal_Finance / Holidays
By: Anika_Walayat
The virus means it's unlikely most of us will be able to travel abroad for holidays 2021, still there's plenty of things to do in the UK such as visiting one of the dozens of theme parks sprinkled throughout the land. Here is a virtual tour of Mini land in Legoland Windsor and a trip on the Sky Train all in VR 360
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Peak Growth and Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
The rates of growth and inflation are now surging in the U.S., but that shouldn't be a surprise to anyone. What else would you expect when the Federal government has sent $6 trillion dollars in helicopter money to state and local governments, businesses, and individuals over the past year. Then, at the same time, millions of homeowners are told they don't have to pay their mortgages. In addition, our central bank has printed trillions of dollars to push asset prices through record-high valuations and continues to create $120 billion each month in order to keep Wall Street happy.All the above is happening while the economy opens up due to the dissemination of COVID-19 vaccines. The markets have anticipated this economic boom and have now nearly fully priced it all in. For instance, home prices have soared by 12% year over year in February, which was the fastest increase in the past seven years. And, the total market cap of equities is now over 200% of GDP—about twice the level reached at the start of the Great Recession.
But that rate of change in growth and inflation will be peaking in the next two months. I'll explain why that is and what that means for investors?
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Where’s The Fed? Watch Precious Metals For Signs Of Inflation Panic / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We recently completed some interesting research related to one of our newest Custom Indexes – the Commodities to Smart Cash Index (C2SC Heat Index) – weighted by the US Dollar and VIX. We’ve been reviewing this new index for months watching it to see how it reacts to various trends in Lumber, Gold, Treasury Yields, the Smart Cash Index, and other weighted values. Recently, we added the Fed Funds Rate to this chart and suddenly things took on a different perspective.
We had drawn horizontal lines on the Commodities to Smart Cash index highlighting historical high, low, and confluence price levels. Historically, when we see a chart that channels in a sideways range, one can often identify high and low price thresholds while also trying to find a confluence level (where a continued rise or decline in price is likely to continue). We can see how the US Fed reacted to rising inflationary concerns almost immediately as the C2SC Index rose near or above 6.5 (the RED Confluence level) throughout the past 25 years. Each time, in 1994, 1999, and 2005, when a period of increasing inflationary trends, the Fed was quick to act to contain inflation. The only time the Fed acted differently was in 2013~2015 and in 2020~now.
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! / Politics / Coronavirus 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
An open source peer reviewed study in Italy states that anti-bodies for covid-19 were detected in blood samples in Italy as early as September 2019!
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
India Covid Apocalypse Heralds Catastrophe for Pakistan and Bangladesh / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Nadeem_Walayat
India's covid-19 double mutant B.1.617 apocalypse continues with the actual numbers of deaths and infections many times the official numbers of 400,000 infected and 3,500 deaths per day as we witness the collapse of India's healthcare system. that could see the number of total number of deaths exceed 2 million before the end of May, with the peak seeing as many as 100,000 deaths per day. Meanwhile indian politicians live in an alternative universe, making announcements that all indians over the age of 18 now being eligible for the vaccines, despite the fact that most of the vaccination centres have closed due to lack of vaccines which means only 10% of Indians (higher castes) have had 1 dose and 1.5% 2 doses. If those in charge of India had any sense of intelligence then they would be focused on vaccinating the most vulnerable i.e. the over 45's and not opening up vaccinations to all adults (higher castes)! Instead of which India's government is primarily focused on peddling misinformation in trying to hide the magnitude of the catastrophe underway which includes instructing twitter to delete tweets critical of their mismanagement of the pandemic.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is now entering my forecast window for a significant correction which should present an opportunity to accumulate into most the AI mega-trend stocks many of which have galloped ahead to new all time highs this year, trending in the opposite direction to the much higher risk stocks such as those that heavily populate the media blitzkrieging Cathy Wood's ARK funds i.e. their biggest holding Tesla is down 4.5% year to date whilst AI numero Uno Google is up 32%! Which this analysis seeks to resolve in high probability buying levels in advance of an expected correction during May.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Gold Price During Hyperinflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
Let’s start by defining hyperinflation…
“Hyperinflation is a term to describe rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increases in an economy. While inflation is a measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, hyperinflation is rapidly rising inflation, typically measuring more than 50% per month.” (source)
In addition, hyperinflation is described as “an extreme case of monetary devaluation that is so rapid and out of control that the normal concepts of value and prices are meaningless.”
The latter description is much more characteristic of the potential threat that most people envision when they invoke the term hyperinflation.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2021
Stock Market Extending Phase Two? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: Phase two from 3853 does not look complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.