Sunday, January 26, 2020
The Wuhan Wipeout – Could It Happen? / Politics / Pandemic
News is traveling fast about the Corona Virus that originated in Wuhan, China. Two new confirmed cases in the US, one in Europe and hundreds in China. As we learn more about this potential pandemic outbreak, we are learning that China did very little to contain this problem from the start. Now, quarantining two cities and trying to control the potential outbreak, may become a futile effort.
In most of Asia, the Chinese New Year is already in full swing. Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Malaysia, India and a host of other countries are already starting to celebrate the 7 to 10 day long New Year. Millions of people have already traveled hundreds of thousands of miles to visit family throughout this massive celebration. We are certain that hundreds or thousands have traveled to all parts of the world by now. The potential for exponential growth in the threat from this virus could be just days or weeks away.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
JOHNSON & JOHNSON (JNJ) Big Pharama AI Mega-trend Investing 2020 / Companies / Healthcare Sector
The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!
AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!
Especially, when one marries AI with other big world changing tech mega-trend "Quantum Computing"! Put the 2 together and we are literally going to see an explosion in SUPER INTELLGENCE that would soon far exceed that of human intelligence, following which it won't be that many years before the AI exceeds the intelligence of the sum of ALL humans! For better or worse, that's the path we are on.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Experts See Opportunity in Ratios of Gold to Silver and Platinum / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments and Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable discuss investment strategies centered on precious metals ratios.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.
Always a pleasure to have you on the program to discuss the value proposition before us in precious metals. Today we will identify three exciting value propositions for your precious metals portfolio that are currently selling at a deep, deep discount.
Mr. Schectman, you have a proven pedigree of success in the precious metals space. I want to discuss a methodology that has made you and the clients of Miles Franklin very handsome returns over the years, and that is your use of ratios. Sir, please explain why it is paramount for precious metals investors to have a thorough understanding on precious metals ratios.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Gold/Silver Ratio, SPX, Yield Curve and a Story to Tell / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
I most often use linear scale charts for stocks, markets and indicators for their more absolute views. But in the case below we conjure up a long-term log scale chart showing the Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) and the S&P 500 (SPX), as it works better in providing a percentage-based relationship between an indicator of market liquidity and inflation when declining and lack of liquidity, deflation or… it has to be said, Goldilocks, when rising.
Now, when viewing the most recent Goldilocks phase, where SPX has gone in positive correlation with the GSR we will have to suspend disbelief that this is anything normal or natural. It was created by will of man as first the Bernanke Fed conjured a balls out inflation out of 2008’s deflationary destruction and then as a crowning achievement, concocted Operation Twist in order to manipulate the bond market into flashing this signal… ‘Nope, no inflation here!’
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Germany Starts War on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020
Germans, like Indians and Chinese, love their gold - although their reasons for buying and keeping bullion are somewhat different.
In China and India, gold jewelry is a status symbol - a sign of wealth and success. In Germany, owning gold bars and coins, maybe a 24-karat necklace or two, is a means of preserving wealth, especially in times of war or economic crisis, something never far from Germans’ minds, considering their history.
Indeed the “war guilt” Germans experience over the atrocities of Nazi Germany is accompanied by fears that their government could again lose control of fiat money, as the Weimar Republic did in the 1920s, leading to devastating hyper-inflation.
In India “a marriage is not a marriage without gold.” Indians find it auspicious to be-gift gold jewelry during the Diwali festival, which begins in October, and wedding season. Gold-shopping for the bride is thought to bring good fortune and invoke the blessings of a Hindu goddess. At nearly 20 million weddings a year, Indians’ annual demand for the precious metal exceeds 514 tonnes. Easy to see why the country’s private gold holdings are the largest in the world, a mind-boggling 24,000 tonnes. (almost as much as the world’s top 10 central bank holdings combined)
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Gold Mining Stocks Valuations / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020
The gold miners’ stocks have spent the past half-year mired in a high consolidation. They haven’t been able to break out, but aren’t breaking down either. This technical purgatory is working to slowly bleed off overboughtness and rebalance sentiment. This necessary process to eradicate greed from the last upleg peak is never exciting. But today’s low gold-miner valuations reveal great upside potential in their next upleg.
The world’s leading and dominant gold-stock trading vehicle and benchmark is the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners exchange-traded fund. It commanded $13.2b in net assets in the middle of this week, 2.7x larger than its next-biggest competitor GDXJ. The major gold miners’ stocks included in GDX soared this past summer, blasting higher after gold’s decisive breakout to its bull market’s first new highs in several years.
GDX’s strong 29.0% surge over the next 2.5 months into early September capped a larger 76.2% upleg over 11.8 months. Naturally last summer’s sharp rally generated much excitement and greed in this small contrarian sector. So the gold stocks needed to correct or consolidate, either selling off deeply enough or drifting sideways long enough to restore sentiment balance. Excessive greed is inherently unsustainable.
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Saturday, January 25, 2020
Three Upside and One Downside Risk for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Our base scenario for 2020 is that it might be a worse year for gold than 2019 was. However, there are three major upside (and one downside) risks for the gold market, which could materialize in 2020. Today’s article will introduce you to these potential catalysts that could send gold prices higher (or significantly lower) in 2020.
We stated earlier that unless something bad happens, 2020 may be worse for the yellow metal than 2019, as gold fundamentals seem to have deteriorated since the last year. Of course, bad things are happening all the time, but do not result in any possible negative developments. Rather, we have in mind three downside risks to our macroeconomic outlook, or three upside risks for gold. What are they?
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Friday, January 24, 2020
A Lesson About Gold – How Bullish Can It Be? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Apparently, there is no limit. This seems especially true right now with all of the “obvious” signs and indicators staring you in the face. It is almost blasphemous to speak cautiously. Better to let your imagination run wild and join in the revelry.
I can’t do that. I don’t choose to be dumped into the same cauldron of boiling fantasy with other analysts and advisors, who tout and promote based on the latest headlines. There has to be more to it. I think there is.
Some of this has to do with marketing. “Let’s make hay while the sun shines!” I get that. But I don’t like being in a large crowd when emotions grow unchecked and fundamentals are ignored.
If you are interested in attending a pep rally for much higher gold prices, move on. You won’t find it here.
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Friday, January 24, 2020
Stock Market January 2018 Repeats in 2020 – Yikes! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Our research team caught a very interesting price pattern that correlates with the Put/Call ratio. We are alerting our friends and followers with this research post of this exciting, yet unconfirmed, set up today.
In late 2017, the US stock market rallied from July through December with moderately low volatility throughout this span of time. Near the end of 2017, the US stock market price activity stalled, then began a renewed price rally in early 2018 (see the first BLUE & YELLOW BOX on the chart below). Then, in January 2018, a very broad market reversion event took place which ultimately resulted in a very broad market correction in October through December 2018 of just over 20%.
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Friday, January 24, 2020
Gold Report from the Two Besieged Cities / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Two cities are besieged. One by officials, activists and business leaders, while the second by bloodthirsty politicians. Will anyone escape? No one knows, but the gold coin has always helped bribe the guards to look the other way…
Just take a look at how it held value recently:
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Friday, January 24, 2020
Stock Market Elliott Waves Trend Forecast 2020 - Video / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
During 2019 the Dow finally breached resistance along a series of sub 28k highs of the past 2 years that propelled the Dow towards 29k.
This video is part 4 of a series of 6 that concludes in an overall trend forecast into the end of 2020.
1 Stock Market 2019 Review
2 QE4Ever
3 Trend Analysis
4 Elliott Wave analysis
5 US Presidential cycle
6 Stock Market Forecast 2020
Friday, January 24, 2020
AMD Multi-cores vs INTEL Turbo Cores - Best Gaming CPUs 2020 - 3900x, 3950x, 9900K, or 9900KS / Personal_Finance / Technology
If your looking to build or buy a top end Gaming PC 2020 then likely you have found yourself gravitating towards the AMD 3950x, probably due to AMD's slick sales pitch on the back of their multi-core benchmarks. However, the problem with having a large number of cores is that the tend to result in a low base clock and low Turbo. What's worse the cpu's may never make it anywhere near the Turbo's' especially on all cores.
So watch this video for what you need to know about today's top end gaming processors before you buy the WRONG gaming CPU for 2020. As having a large number of multi-cores is only have the picture, especially where gaming is concerned!
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
Choosing the Best Garage Floor Containment Mats / Personal_Finance / Motoring
A concrete floor in your garage is a vital investment. It’s supposed to last for years. Plus, it requires the covering to last longer. And the only way to cover it is by rolling out on garage mat. Designed to handle your car’s weight and traffic, garage mats come in different styles, shapes, as well as materials. Plus, there are numerous vendors online selling garage mats. This makes it difficult to choose a mat that suits your explicit needs. Even more, things can be overwhelming—especially for new car owners. This article contains everything you should know as far as choosing the right garage floor mat for your garage. Keep reading:
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
Understanding the Benefits of Cannabis Tea / Personal_Finance / Cannabis
Most of us use cannabis for their recreational and medicinal properties. As marijuana continues to become more mainstream, the most common consumption methods are still smoking, vaping, or in the form of edibles. Consumption of marijuana in the form of tea is far less common. However, experts suggest that this form relieves consumers from some of the most well-known risks of smoking.
It is important, however, to remember that marijuana tea is not a new invention by any means. In many ancient cultures, marijuana-infused brews were used extensively because of its anti-inflammatory and anesthetic properties. These teas were used as treatments for conditions such as headaches, nausea, childbirth, epilepsy, and others.
Thursday, January 23, 2020
The Next Catalyst for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
The precious metals sector remains in a correction, and as long as the 200-day moving averages hold, a bullish consolidation that began last September.
Sure, Gold made a new high and is still holding around the previous high, but the rest of the sector has not confirmed that strength. When Gold is outperforming Silver and the gold stocks, it is not a bullish signal for the short-term.
With that in mind, we can look ahead to anticipate potential catalysts that could push the sector into breakout mode and to new highs.
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
Silver Could Be Close To An Important Resolution / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Silver is still in consolidation mode since early September, but could be close to a resolution.
Below, is chart of silver:
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Thursday, January 23, 2020
5 Cyber-security considerations for 2020 / Personal_Finance / Cyber Crime
Firewall and anti-virus used to be a business’ first line of defence when it came to cyber-security. However, in the last five years the IT Security landscape has radically evolved and malware is now more sophisticated than ever. So much so, businesses have no choice but to increase their IT infrastructure and first line of defence.
Defence wears many guises. This could be internal IT teams monitoring and quarantining external email, or it could be the in the form of investment in Managed IT Services from a professional provider. Both can keep your company and customer data secure. But before you decide which would suit your business best, there’s five key questions you should ask yourself first.
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Car insurance: what the latest modifications could mean for your premiums / Personal_Finance / Insurance
When is a car modified and when it is not modified? No, this isn't intended as a philosophical question, though many motorists could easily feel as though it is when they are trying to navigate the pitfalls of insuring their car. Still, it's a question to which you really need to know the answer.That's because, if you do need to claim on your car insurance, an insurer could refuse to make the payout if they learn that the vehicle was a modified one without their knowledge. Worse, the insurer could even cancel the policy, as your payments might not have reflected the car's worth.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2020
Stocks Rise as Zombie Companies Proliferate / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Share prices on the major US exchanges are hitting all-time highs at the same time that both the number and percentage of companies that do not make any money at all are rising.According to the Wall Street Journal, the percentage of publicly-traded companies in the U.S. that have lost money over the past 12 months has jumped close to 40% of all listed corporations--its highest level since the NASDAQ bubble and outside of post-recession periods.
In fact, 74% of Initial Public Offerings in 2019 didn’t make any money as opposed to just 25% in 1990—matching the total of money-losing ventures that IPOED at the height of the 2000 Dotcom mania. The percentage of all listed companies that have lost money for the past three years in a row has surged close to 30%; this compares with just over 10% for the trailing three years in the late 1990s.
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Wednesday, January 22, 2020
Junior Gold Mining Stocks Setting Up For Another Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020
Our recent research suggests the US stock market may be entering a period of volatility that may include a broad market rotation/reversion event. We believe this volatility event could begin to happen anytime over the next 10 to 30+ days. The rally in the US stock market ending 2019 and carrying into 2020 appears to be setting up a “rally to a peak” type of price pattern. Please take a minute to review the following articles we’ve posted recently about this topic and how it relates to opportunities in Metals/Miners.
January 20, 2020: Q4 EARNINGS SETUP THE RALLY TO THE PEAK
January 15, 2020: SHIFTING UNDERCURRENTS IN THE US STOCK MARKET
The potential for a volatility spike resulting from a price peak formation (see the January 20, 2020 article above), could setup a moderately broad downside price reversion event that may prompt a 5% to 8%+ downside price correction. If that happens, as we expect, over the next 5 to 10+ trading days, then precious metals and miners should explode to the upside as a “risk-on” trade moves capital into the metals market.
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