Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Commodity Super Cycle Good and Bad News / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Richard_Mills

Commodity super-cycles are defined as decades long price movements in a wide range of commodities. Super-cycles differ from shorter term fluctuations in three ways:

• Super-cycles are demand driven because they follow world GDP
• Super-cycles span a much longer period of time with upswings of 10-35 years, taking 20-70 years to generate complete cycles
• Super-cycles are observed over a broad range of commodities. These commodities are mostly inputs for industrial production and for the urban development of an emerging economy

Friday, March 22, 2013

Gold Stock's Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

The loathed and left-for-dead gold miners look to have begun their usual spring rally.  This sector has actually exhibited strong seasonality for its entire secular bull.  For well over a decade, most years have enjoyed a major gold-stock rally between mid-March and early June.  These favorable seasonals are a welcome tailwind for a sector that is radically undervalued fundamentally and overdue to explode higher.

Pronounced seasonality is certainly not something you’d expect from gold miners.  Outside of mine expansions and new projects, their production rates are remarkably consistent over a calendar year.  This is very different from agriculture, where harvests only happen once or twice a year.  But despite steady gold sales over time, the stocks of this metal’s miners are inarguably slaved to definite seasonal trends.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Fortune Favors the Bold Energy Investor / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Marin_Katusa

Tough markets have the average investor crying uncle, but now is not the time to lament losses—it's time to bargain shop, suggests Marin Katusa, senior editor of Casey's Energy Dividends. China is snatching up energy prospects around the world in anticipation of ever-tightening oil markets. Meanwhile, there is already money to be made in international markets where consumers are paying double the price for U.S. natural gas. In his interview with The Energy Report, Katusa says bold investors who target the right companies could "get a Rolex for the price of a Timex."

Friday, March 22, 2013

Gold Needs to Break Above $1620 for Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices continued to hover around $1610 per ounce Friday morning, dipping back below that level after making gains in Asian trading, while stocks and commodities were flat on the day ahead of a vote by Cyprus's parliament on measures aimed at raising money and securing a bailout.

"[Gold's] $1620 high from Feb 26 will be a key level," says the latest technical analysis from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Silver Prices Before Monetary Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Has the silver market been pricing in the coming collapse?  In a word, no!

Markets dominated by the impulses of real people largely no longer exist. The machines have taken over, as bots read the news and respond rapidly with large transactions.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Next US Dollar Peak is Catalyst for Gold, Silver and Hard Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Our title seems obvious. We all know that the US$ tends to be negatively correlated with commodity prices. This is true in the short-term but not always so over the long-term. The US$ index is currently nearing 83. It's at the same level it was in 2007 when Gold was trading in the $600s and the CCI (currently 554) was trading near 400. The US$ index is near the same level it was at the end of 2005 when Gold was trading below $400 and the CCI was trading below 300. This tells us that the bull market in precious and hard assets goes way beyond simple US$ weakness. It is driven by long-term supply and demand dynamics as well as rampant monetary inflation from global parties and not just the USA. Throughout this bull market, key advances and turning points have originated from strength against foreign currencies and then sustained strength amid textbook US$ weakness.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Ron Paul says "Gold Is The Ultimate Money" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,608.75, EUR 1,246.42 and GBP 1,059.43 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,611.50, EUR 1,247.10 and GBP 1,064.12 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $28.94/oz, €22.49/oz and £19.13/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,587.75/oz, palladium at $757.00/oz and rhodium at $1,250/oz.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Gold "To Fall to $1400 by End 2013" But "Could See $2000 Next Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

THE DOLLAR gold price hovered just below $1610 an ounce Thursday morning, while stocks and commodities fell along with Euro as disappointing economic data was added to news that Cyprus's banks will remain closed until next Tuesday.

"We forecast the gold price to have dropped to below $1400 by year-end and for it to continue to trend lower next year," says a note from Societe Generale.

Thursday, March 21, 2013

Silver Prices Capped by U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

As the chart shows silver prices have been trading in a range of approximately $35.00 to the high side and $27.50 at the lower end for over a year now. The oscillations appear to be a lot less volatile of late which is surprising given the financial turmoil in Cyprus. Usually when there is uncertainty in the financial markets gold and silver are seen as safe havens and experience some upward price pressure.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Gold and Silver Trade Lower as Germany "Could Live Without Cyprus in Euro" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

GOLD dropped below $1610 an ounce Wednesday, as stocks, commodities and the Euro all regained some ground lost since news of the Cyprus bailout negotiations broke over the weekend.

"We still believe that an interim low was made in February and that the precious metal should reach the January low at "1625.77 in the weeks ahead," says Commerzbank senior technical analyst Axel Rudolph.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Stocks? Should Have Bought Breakfast! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Breakfast is said to be the most important meal of the day. Thus far in 2013 breakfast has been not only that, but one of the better investments. The oats in that bowl of hardy cereal, as shown in the chart below, have been a star performer. Those lowly oats have risen in price significantly more than the stock market. Eggs and the butter that goes on the toast also did better. Forget tired tech and bumbling banks, buying breakfast instead for 2013 has been the right move.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Argentina Turns To Gold As Inflation Tops 26% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,611.50, EUR 1,247.10 and GBP 1,064.12 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,602.50, EUR 1,238.41 and GBP 1,059.78 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $28.95/oz, €22.52/oz and £19.23/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,558.50/oz, palladium at $737.00/oz and rhodium at $1,250/oz.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

The Best Way to Invest in the Natural Gas Rebound / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: On Saturday, I outlined why natural gas prices were moving up.

Today, let's talk about how investors can make some money off this.

As gas prices inch toward $4 per 1,000 cubic feet (or million BTUs) on the NYMEX futures market, we need to remember that this is not going to be either an accelerated rise or one that will be without volatility.

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

JP Morgan Cleared Of Conspiracy "To Drive Down Silver Prices" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,602.50, EUR 1,238.41 and GBP 1,059.78 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,599.50, EUR 1,236.09 and GBP 1,057.45 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $28.86/oz, €22.38/oz and £19.16/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,605.25/oz, palladium at $757.00/oz and rhodium at $1,250/oz.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Investors Seeking Gold And Silver On Banking Instability / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

For weeks, I alerted you to a yen devaluation and warned that it may next turn into a Euro decline, which could then be followed by a U.S. greenback collapse. All of these global bailout attempts and now this levy on depositors in Cyprus could destabilize the European banking system and boost the discounted gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) prices.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

What Cyprus "Bailout" Means for Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Worries over the plan to force bank depositors in Cyprus to help fund a $13 billion international bailout rattled global equities and sent the U.S. stock market today (Monday) lower.

Right after the open, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the Nasdaq were all sharply lower.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Why Silver is a Steal At These Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Lately there has been quite a divergence in the behavior of those investing in silver compared to those holding gold.

One group is running scared, while the other is calmly stocking up.

It looks as if many of the weak hands holding gold in the form of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are giving up and liquidating their positions. A record $4.1 billion was yanked out of gold ETFs in the month of February, a record high, according to the BlackRock ETP Landscape report. This figure was almost double the previous record set in January 2011 of $2.6 billion.

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Gold Safe Haven Demand Amid Fresh Cyprus Chaos / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The GOLD PRICE continued to hold above $1600 per ounce in Asian and early London trade on Tuesday, easing back from Monday's 3-week high as world stock markets struggled again amid fresh uncertainty and rumor over Euro-member Cyprus' banking crisis.

Silver below $29 per ounce held flat alongside other commodities, while major-government bond prices rose.

Monday, March 18, 2013

Imagining a Gold-Centric Global Financial System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

Robert Cohen, lead portfolio manager with Dynamic Funds, has been kicking up dust at conferences and in board rooms with his "revolutionary and simple" idea that gold mining companies should hold gold on their balance sheets and use gold-based loans. But the idea is gaining traction and he suggests in this Gold Report interview from the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada conference that management teams and investors alike would do well to question their use of U.S. dollars as a functional currency.

The Gold Report: Robert, you presented a paper at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada conference that focused on, among other things, the uses of gold as a monetary asset. Please tell our readers about that.

Monday, March 18, 2013

Gold Jumps Over $1600 as Cyprus Bail-Out Hits Bank Savers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE GOLD leapt 1% against the Dollar and 2.3% against the Euro at the start of Asian trade Monday, as global shares sank and major-government bonds rose following the Cyprus bail-out deal announced by European politicians at the weekend.

"[German negotiators] were hand in hand with Finns," says an unnamed official quoted by the Financial Times, "who were much more dogmatic" in forcing a levy worth €7 billion on ordinary bank depositors as part of the €17bn deal.