Monday, February 12, 2018
February 2018 Stock Market Crisis – What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We’ve received many comments and questions from our members over the past few days regarding the recent US market crisis asking what to expect next. Is this the start of something bigger? Deeper? What should I do with my open long positions? What should I do to prepare for anything in the future? All of these are valid questions. So, we wanted to help our members and all of our followers by showing what we believe will be the most likely price action going forward a few weeks out.
The recent downside moves in the US majors did freak a lot of people out. It was something that startled people and pushed a panic button for many. Certainly, the rotation in the VIX and volatility related ETN’s pushed many people over the edge. In fact, recent news is that these volatility related ETN’s exasperated the selloff as the VIX shorts were pushed out of positions and into a protectionist mode with the massive spike in volatility. As the old floor trader saying goes “want to know what causes the markets to crash? Buyers that turn into sellers to protect from unwanted losses”.
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Monday, February 12, 2018
How To Profit From The Bitcoin Bloodbath / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: OilPrice_Com
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Monday, February 12, 2018
The Philippine Economic Dream Could Be Within the Reach / Economics / Emerging Markets
By: Dan_Steinbock
If the government’s focus remains on inclusive economic development, the Philippines could become a bright spot in the global landscape.Today, there is a huge gap between the Philippines as it is portrayed by many international observers and the country’s fundamental economic realities.
The Duterte win was the triumph of ordinary Filipinos. Accordingly, there is only one way for the government to succeed. It must deliver the country’s economic promise.
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Monday, February 12, 2018
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – An intermediate correction from 2872 is currently underway.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, February 12, 2018
What Does the Stock Market Decline Mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
It was a rough week for investors in stocks and stocks of all kinds. The S&P 500 lost 5%. Emerging Markets also lost 5%. Gold Stocks, which had weakened before the broader equity market have been hit hard. They (GDX, GDXJ) also lost 5% last week. The HUI Gold Bugs Index (which excludes royalty companies unlike GDX) lost 7%. After a strong start to the year, gold stocks have essentially given back all their gains. Nevertheless, we remain extremely optimistic on gold stocks over the next 12-18 months as trends in the economy and stock market should begin to support Gold after the second quarter.
Monday, February 12, 2018
Addicted to SMIGGLE Mega Review, Pencil Cases, Stationary, Back Packs, Drinking Bottles, Toys... / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's addicted to all things SMIGGLE Anika's MEGA Review of virtually everything she has bought from SMIGGLE during the past 2 years, pencil cases, water bottles, back pack, puzzles, springs, toys, and of course loads, and loads of pens, pencils, erasers and other stationary items. And you WILL be SHOCKED to see from this pile of SMIGGLE stuff what she actually now takes to school each day!
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Sunday, February 11, 2018
Best Cash ISA Savings Account for Soaring UK Inflation - February 2018 / Personal_Finance / ISA's
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As the financial year draws to a close, many ISA savers will be busy seeking to capitalise on their 20k annual tax free ISA savings allowance, buoyed by mainstream financial press coverage as apparently UK interest rates are heading much higher which includes for savers as well as borrowers as the Bank of England is expected to continue hiking UK base rates and withdraw some of its support for Britain's banking sector such as the funding for lending scheme that has resulted in a catastrophic downwards death spiral in UK savings interest rates for the past 5 years. Resulting in savers literally being ripped off by the tax payer bailed out banking sector that for the duration have continued to bank bonuses on the basis of artificial profits engineered by the Bank of England in an attempt at recapitalisng the bankrupt banks all whilst the savers continue to suffer and pay the price in terms of loss of real terms purchasing power of savings as inflation continues to erode the heard earned wealth of savers.
Sunday, February 11, 2018
Math Behind Last Weeks Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After surviving one of the biggest market rotations in the last 3+ years, we have been getting quite a bit of request for a detailed analysis of this move and asked what our specialized modeling systems are telling us is likely to happen. Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has put together this short reference of “the math behind the move” that will show you what is happening and the underlying price mechanics that are going to be driving prices in the future.
Sunday, February 11, 2018
The Fed’s Impossible Choice, In Three Charts / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: John_Rubino
Critics of “New Age” monetary policy have been predicting that central banks would eventually run out of ways to trick people into borrowing money. There are at least three reasons to wonder if that time has finally come:
Wage inflation is accelerating
Normally, towards the end of a cycle companies have trouble finding enough workers to keep up with their rising sales. So they start paying new hires more generously. This ignites “wage inflation,” which is one of the signals central banks use to decide when to start raising interest rates. The following chart shows a big jump in wages in the second half of 2017. And that’s before all those $1,000 bonuses that companies have lately been handing out in response to lower corporate taxes. So it’s a safe bet that wage inflation will accelerate during the first half of 2018.
Sunday, February 11, 2018
US Stock Market, Gold, Silver and the Macro Backdrop / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
US Stock Market
We will update global markets as well as the macro situation in NFTRH 486, but for this article I’d like to focus on the US stock market.
Let’s cut to the chase; the markets have finally fallen in line for those of us who manage markets, as opposed to dollar cost average into them through a money manager and then go about life, blissfully unaware. Much like during the 2015-2016 period, when the media were all but demanding investors go one way when the right way was the opposite (for example, we got bullish during the Brexit mini hysteria because sentiment, macro indicators and charts told us to) during the market top (that wasn’t).
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Sunday, February 11, 2018
After Two weeks of Stock Market Decline, People Are Ssking, “Are We There Yet?” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX nearly did a 100% retracement to the August 2015 high as suggested last week. This week it pulled back to test the Cycle Top support/resistance at 22.31. It appears to have yet another surge higher in store for it. The Cycles Model has a triple indicator of a higher Wave (3) top in the next week.
(ZeroHedge Less than a month ago, Goldman Sachs presciently published a note research report "VIX ETPs are now net short vega - should we worry".
.... which as the title suggested showed that the net position of VIX ETPs has become short over the past few weeks, for only the second time in their eight year history.
Sunday, February 11, 2018
How to Grow Tomatoes From Seeds, Homegrown Organic Money Saving Gardening / Personal_Finance / Gardening
By: Sami_Walayat
Now (Mid February) is the right time of year to get started growing your own vegetables of which given the high shop prices tomatoes should be at the top of ones list. In this comprehensive guide, Sami shows literally how anyone, even a child can easily grow hundreds of tomatoes indoors in a small pot from seed germination, to planting, to hand pollination, to pruning and then enjoying the fruits for a whole years worth of money saving crops of healthy freshly organically grown home tomatoes, good for your financial and physical health as well as delivering a lot of self satisfaction
Sunday, February 11, 2018
Youtube KILLS ALL Small Channels with New DeMonetization Rules / Companies / Google
By: N_Walayat
YouTube has effectively told all small youtubers to get lost, as from the 20th of February it will be demonetizing MOST Youtube channels, as most channels are small, either sub 1000 subscribers or sub 4000 view hours per year. Now I am sure all small youtubers out there would agree that it was never about the money, for most are unlikely to be receiving more than $20 per month in revenue, which won't even pay for a weeks coffee. So it was never about the money but about being recognised as being a Youtube partner, instead now Youtube is telling small youtubers that Youtube does not want you !
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Saturday, February 10, 2018
Lot of Stock Market Damage to Be Caused before New the Fed Chief Will React / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought-after guest at financial conferences and on news outlets throughout the world, and it's great to have him back on with us.
Axel, it's a real pleasure to speak with you again, and thanks for joining us.
Axel Merk: Oh, it's good to be with you.
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Saturday, February 10, 2018
Best Ways to Make Money / Companies / SME
By: Kavinesh_A
Most people would say that they need more money. This is a belief that stems from the fact that we’re never going to feel fully financially secure no matter how much money we may have. So, we can always feel a bit safer about our finances if we know how to make some extra money. Well, below you will find some great ways in which you can make money on your own.
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Saturday, February 10, 2018
Financial Markets Bubble Watching / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: The_Gold_Report
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, explain why they believe financial markets have generated the biggest bubble in history.
As we have noted here before, we believe that financial markets have generated the biggest bubble in history. There are many supporting facts for this view, from extreme measures of market sentiment to prolonged record low volatility, unprecedented low interest rates, record levels of leverage and historic over-valuation.
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Saturday, February 10, 2018
Never Give Up Your Short Position in a Stocks Bear Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s action in the SPX was both fascinating and informative. I had suggested a bounce that might go to the Cycle Bottom resistance at 2627.12. It didn’t even make it. Wave [a] went to 2619.47, then reversed down to make a new low at 2563.49 in Wave [b]. Wave [c] was stopped close to the neckline, which I had also mentioned as another resistance point. In my opinion, that validates the Head & Shoulders formation as is. This is called an irregular correction, but since Wave [c] is barely visible, it may be referred to as a “running correction.”
Saturday, February 10, 2018
Stock Market Selling Unleashed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
The unnaturally-tranquil stock markets suddenly plunged over this past week. Volatility skyrocketed out of the blue and shattered years of artificial calm conjured by extreme central-bank distortions. This was a huge shock to the legions of hyper-complacent traders, who are realizing stocks don’t rally forever. With stock selling unleashed again, herd psychology will start shifting back to bearish which will fuel lots more selling.
As a contrarian student of the markets, I watched stocks’ recent mania-blowoff surge in stunned disbelief. On fundamental, technical, and sentimental fronts, the stock markets were as or more extreme than their last major bull-market toppings in March 2000 and October 2007! I outlined all this in an essay on these hyper-risky stock markets on 2017’s final trading day. The ominous writing was on the wall for all willing to see.
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Saturday, February 10, 2018
How to Get Free Youtube Subscribers to Get to 1000, YTpals, Subpals, SubmeNow, Do they Work? / ConsumerWatch / Google
By: N_Walayat
Youtube delivered a bombshell to small youtube channels on the 20th of January, mainly all those with less than 1000 subscribers, who by the 20th of February will be ejected from the Youtube partner programme that amongst several benefits included monetization of videos which in most cases for Youtubers resulted in a token return of typically about $10 per month. So the blow for being ejected from the youtube partner programme is not financial but rather Youtube effectively telling its smaller youtubers to get lost, a your not wanted message as effectively Youtube is now no longer YOUtube, but instead it's Celebtube or Adtube, really just another broadcast channel full of commercialised content full of ads and NOT what YOUtube has been for the past 10 years!
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Friday, February 09, 2018
Stock Market Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
It’s a tough decision. We’d like to help by showing you some unconventional market evidence.
By February of this year, investors had almost forgotten what stock market volatility looked like.
And then something unprecedented happened. On Monday, Feb. 5, the DJIA closed 1,175 points down, the biggest single-day drop in the index's history. Since then, stocks have been going haywire.
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