Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 30, 2012
Fed’s Bernanke Disparages the Pseudo-Gold-Standard / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Just about all of the world’s national currencies in circulation today consist of paper or fiat currencies that have been assigned value by official decree or fiat, rather than due to any real intrinsic value they may possess, other than perhaps the ability to generate a significant amount of heat when burned. Furthermore, these currencies represent the debt of a country, rather than any real store of value.
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Friday, March 30, 2012
Silver Fractal Analysis Forecasts $70+ 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Around this point in the fractal cycle in the late 70's, Gold busted out of its channel to rise sharply higher, along with Silver. Silver's channel top will lie up around $68 to $70 over the coming months which we believe will be reached in 2012. The next higher angled resistance bands for Silver run from $112 to $115, and then up at the $123 area. By the end of the Silver Bull, we expect to see Silver reach $500+.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Energy Sector Investment Traps / Commodities / Energy Resources
Marin Katusa, Casey Research : Every salesman wants to present his product in the best light possible and the salesmen of the stock market are no exception. Public companies always highlight the positives about their projects, their financial positions, and their outlooks, and downplay negative news as much as legally possible.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Hot Oil Anyone? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The topic of hot oil probably conjures up fantasies that are beyond the boundaries for this public discussions. And no, neither are we referring to the oil made into gasoline, though the price of that oil has been hot lately. We are referring to that oil which goes on your salad, used to fry your dinner, or is a critical ingredient in many of our favorite foods. We are talking here about vegetable oils, or edible oils. While not a regular topic for investors, it may become one as edible oil prices could get hot in coming years.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
How to Beat High Gas Prices / Commodities / Gas - Petrol
Don Miller writes: Are high gas prices giving you road rage? Well, wait "til you see what's coming.
Prices at the pump currently average $3.89 for a gallon of regular unleaded, up 30 cents in the last month.
But it's already over $4.00 per gallon in many cities - more than double the $1.85 a gallon that prevailed when President Barack Obama took office.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
The Truth About $6 Gas, $200 Crude Oil, the Quest for Energy Independence / Commodities / Crude Oil
Jason Simpkins writes: No one needs to tell the average American about the impact of oil and gas prices. If they don't feel it in their wallets every day, they hear about it on the news every night.
But surprisingly, amid all the rhetoric, there have been no real answers to some of the key questions driving the energy debate... until now.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Is Gold hustling for a move? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold investors have had to endure quite a lot in the last six months. Not only has the gold price barely moved from six months ago, but it has endured an up, down, up, down chopping motion during this period of volatility. Future volatility in the gold price was something that some investors were calling for at the beginning of 2011, and volatility we got. During the last six months, this most psychological of markets, has endured all sorts of emotional squeezes, take downs and Buffett’s now regular wise cracks.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Brown’s Gold bottom and the Toffee Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Jan Skoyles looks at Gordon Brown’s reasons for selling half of Britain’s gold over ten years ago and asks have we reached the top of the gold market thanks to George Osborne’s rediscovered interest in our gold investments?
Last week George Osborne, never one to miss a swipe at the opposition, made the effort to remind everyone of Gordon Brown’s Bottom.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Crude Oil Prices: Now for Something Really Scary / Commodities / Crude Oil
If oil prices don’t crash down to $67 within the next two months, that means for sure the evil one-eyed-drooling-spirit of Peak Oil, which everyone has been studiously trying to ignore for so long, has finally arrived.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Eye on Crude Oil and Natural Gas / Commodities / Crude Oil
Downward momentum may be becoming exhausted in natural gas and its related ETFS -- US Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and ProShares Ultra DJ UBS Natural Gas ETF (BOIL).
Meanwhile, oil prices and the US Oil Fund ETF (USO) have sold off hard but not enough to damage the overall bullish chart pattern.
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Thursday, March 29, 2012
Will Monetary Policy and Inflation Continue to Support Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Earlier this week, gold and silver prices jumped after Ben Bernanke delivered a speech that sparked more quantitative easing speculation. However, both precious metals have since given up gains as investors continue to employ a “buy the dip, sell the rip” trading mentality. According to CPM Group, a commodities research and investment company, this is a trend that is likely to continue, but gold prices should receive support.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Solving The Global Energy Equation: Demand-Supply-Infrastructure / Commodities / Crude Oil
Little remarked by most analysts of the OECD-wide financial and debt rout in 2008-2011, world energy demand rebounded fast from its sharp plunge in 2008-2009. For the year 2010 the BP Statistical Review of 2011 painted a dramatic rebound story. World energy demand jumped by 5.6% led by coal demand growing over 7%, gas demand growing almost as much, and oil consumption by 3.1% as China moved to become the world's biggest single energy using nation. With no surprise, oil prices rose by 29% on average in 2010 from the year previous.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
The Gold GroundHog Grind / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
A very important objective change has taken place in the gold market. Its price is not moving above the resistance established in the 1600 to 1900 wide berth range. Its price is not moving below support in the same wide permitted range. When the gold price has approached the 1800 level recently, all manner of naked soldiers emerge with imaginery swords to whack the price down, to bring it under heel. The ruse has a high cost in the real world though, as the gold cartel has been forced to shed an enormous supply of gold as punishment for each naked short episode. The opponents to fraudulent controlled manipulated markets have emerged in force to respond. They fight from the East. They fight for a fair and equitable market.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
US Interest Rates Should Support Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE MARKET gold prices dropped to below $1680 an ounce Wednesday morning – 1% down on their high for the week – after failing a day earlier to break the $1700 barrier.
Silver prices drifted below $32.50 per ounce – a 2.3% drop from Tuesday's peak – while stocks and commodities traded sideways and US Treasuries ticked lower.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Gold ad Crude Oil Unfolding Trading Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The past two months we have seen all the focus from traders and investors be on the equities market. And rightly so and stocks run higher and higher. But there are two commodities that look ready to explode being gold and oil (actually three if you count silver).
Below are the charts of gold futures and crude oil 4 hour charts. Each candle stick is 4 hours allows us to look back 1-2 months while still being able to see all the intraday price action (pivot highs, pivot lows, strong volume spikes and if they were buyers or sellers…).
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Investing in Precious Metals: Four Ways to Diversify With Palladium and Platinum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Even gold and silver investors need to diversify.
That's why investing in precious metals means more than simply buying the "barbaric relics" that have served as money in the past.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Investor Energy Metals Bonanza / Commodities / Metals & Mining
It's a great time to be invested in energy metals, says Chris Berry, president and founder of House Mountain Partners. The current worldwide desire for a higher quality of life is a trend that will continue, argues Berry. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Berry highlights the amount of research and development underway in the tech and energy sectors and why it spells a bullish message for lithium, graphite and uranium.
The Energy Report: Please tell our readers about TIMBIs and CIVETS and their expected contributions to global gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the next five years and beyond.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Not Even Saudi Arabia Can Save Us From High Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Jason Simpkins writes: With oil prices soaring ever higher, Saudi Arabia stepped in last week and vowed to increase its production by 25% if necessary.
But while that assurance managed to siphon a few dollars off of oil futures, the reality is there's nothing Saudi Arabia - or anyone else, for that matter - can do about rising oil prices.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Lunacy and Confusion Over the Gold Standard / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
It drives me crazy when I read stuff by “economists” that is just plain wrong. Some of them are allegedly “MBAs” and “PhDs” but I think that their common sense is actually “DOA”.
Unfortunately, millions in the public arena see their interviews and blogs and they seem to automatically swallow their commentaries… hook, line and sinker. Let’s address some of the nonsense that these pundits are expressing.
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Super-Cooled Natural Gas is Red Hot in International Markets / Commodities / Natural Gas
Natural gas transforms into a liquid when it’s cooled to minus 260 degrees, enabling exporters to load the liquefied commodity onto specialized carriers for shipment to an import terminal.LNG frees gas from the physical constraints of the global pipeline system. Before the widespread commercialization of LNG technology, natural gas located far offshore or in remote areas was considered stranded and had no economic value because producers couldn’t deliver output to consumers. LNG allows natural gas produced in Australia or offshore West Africa to high-demand markets such as Europe and Asia.
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