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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Has Gold's D-Wave Bottomed, Stocks Heading Lower? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Toby_Connor

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems like most analysts, and gold bugs are now assuming that the reversal on December 29 marked the bottom of golds D-Wave decline. It's certainly possible that we saw a bottom two weeks ago but it's still too early to make that assumption. Gold, and most assets are about to be severely tested. How gold handles that test will be a big clue as to whether or not the correction is over.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Gasoline and Crude on the Rise / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jim_Farrish

$5 gasoline this summer -- fact or fiction? As we start a new year it is apparent that $3 gasoline is leaving, at least for now. The rise at the pump is to $3.39 per gallon according to AAA last week. Considering the average cost was down to $3.20 just three weeks ago, this is an increase of nearly 6%. Gasoline is up 30% versus a year ago according to the AAA data. What does all this mean and what is driving the price higher? Short term, there has been concern over the bantering with Iran and the threat to close the Strait of Hormuz. Some 17 million barrels per day passed through in 2011. Geopolitical risks are always present in the current era of the Mideast. Not to be outdone, Nigeria has seen strikes and protests over the weekend, adding to the pressure on oil prices. Thus, gasoline is on the rise... again. The following are some issues facing gas and potential reasons it may rise to $5 per gallon this summer.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Crude Oil Prices 2012, Another Roller Coaster Ride? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Asha_Bangalore

Oil is trading around $112 a barrel this morning. Putting things in perspective, the price of oil today is higher than the level seen in the 2005-2006 period when the world economy was growing at a faster pace and the economic challenges of 2012 were not on the horizon.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Copper Rallies in Response to China Data / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today's strength in the risk-on markets in general and in the industrial commodity markets in particular likely reflects a collective sigh of relief that China Q4 growth came in a touch better than expected -- at 8.9% versus 8.7%.

This has triggered some short-covering and perhaps optimistic new buying interest ahead of renewed optimism about forthcoming China economic stimulus, as noted in the charts on copper, silver, and oil.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

How will China's Pan Asian Gold Exchange Revolution‚Äčize Gold and Silver Trading? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePAGE which stands for Pan Asian Gold Exchange was set up in 2011 and has already begun operations with local Chinese buying and selling of gold through the internet. PAGE is located in Kunming, the capital city of Yunnan Province located in South Western China and is also the major gateway to South East Asia.

This gold exchange will enable ordinary Chinese buy/sell gold using a Renminbi account with a bank or broker. Currently there are two banks that are authorized to process the transactions or settlements and they are the Agriculture Bank of China and The Fudian Bank of Yunnan. The 10 ounce mini contracts will be known as T+D and the price is RMB 30,000 for 1 lot and it is fully backed by the Chinese government.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

What the Next Decade Holds for Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat a decade! A rapidly urbanizing global population driven by tremendous growth in emerging markets has sent commodities on quite a run over the past 10 years. If you annualized the returns since 2002, you find that all 14 commodities are in positive territory.

A precious metal was the best performer but it's probably not the one you were thinking of. With an impressive 20 percent annualized return, silver is king of the commodity space over the past decade with gold (19 percent annualized) and copper (18 percent annualized) following closely behind.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Gold Ignores Indian Tax Hike, Rises Because of China / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe WHOLESALE MARKET gold price reached new 5-week highs as Asian trade ended and London opened on Tuesday, while global stock markets and commodity prices also rose after stronger-than-expected growth data from China.

The world's second-largest economy, China reported annual growth of 8.9% for the end of 2011 – the weakest level since mid-2009 but stronger than analysts forecast and almost 5 times the pace of US growth at last count.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

No More Safe Havens, Avoid Counterparty Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: William_Bancroft

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this brief article about Safe Havens for investors we look at equities, bonds, and the current situation within the financial system, before asking whether gold bullion is being overlooked. We look at the degree of participation by institutional investors in the gold market and notice that they seldom invest in gold.

John Plender writes in yesterday’s FT that the pool of “super safe assets” is shrinking, whilst legal and advisory firms around the world scramble to prepare their clients for the implications of new currencies (or should I say old currencies returning in new guises).

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Global Gold Coin and Bar Demand Surges, Thomson Reuters GFMS Annual Gold Survey / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: GoldCore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,662.00, GBP 1,080.34, and EUR 1,299.76 per ounce.

Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,642.00, GBP 1,070.27, and EUR 1,281.71 per ounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Gold and Silver Outlook in 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLately we've been writing about the precious metals stocks. In particular we believe the equities have made a multi year bottom and look ready for a solid 2012 and 2013. Part of the reason is the action in the metals (Gold & Silver) suggests an important bottom is in place and a rebound is underway. Based on our work, we anticipate a slow but gradual rebound in both metals.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Upward Pressure to Remain on Brent Crude Oil in 2012 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Investment_U

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Fessler writes: Oil prices have traded off a few dollars from their recent highs. The factors that will keep Brent above $100 a barrel for 2012 are the same ones that kept it above $100 all of last year.

Take a look at the graph below, courtesy of the Energy Information Administration.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Gold Bull Bear Standoff Approaching Probable Bullish Resolution / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Clive_Maund

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe current standoff in gold is approaching resolution and evidence is starting to pile up in favor of an upside breakout. We have been cautious on the PM sector for months starting with the September top which we shorted, resulting in massive profits in a matter of days, especially in silver, but there is always the danger of taking caution too far and getting caught on the wrong side of the trade.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Silver Bearish or Bullish Contrary Unfolding Technical Pictures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Clive_Maund

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe diminution in silver's downside momentum and the massive contradiction between our earlier bearish interpretation of the charts, and the strongly bullish COTs and sentiment indicators forces us today to reconsider the charts and ponder other possibilities, for we cannot afford to be on the wrong side of the trade in this commodity. Fortunately we are still ahead of the curve as silver has yet to "tip its hand", but it doesn't look like it will be long now before it does.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

How to Risk Little and Potentially Win A LOT in the Resource Stocks Market / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMatt Badiali writes: After watching the sector fall for most of 2011, resource investors finally have a great opportunity to make money in 2012...

But before I get to the big opportunity, which could lead to 50%-100% gains, here's the backstory...

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Gold Gains Alongside U.S. Dollar, as Germany "Only Bond Haven Left in Eurozone" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Ben_Traynor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleU.S. DOLLAR spot gold prices climbed to hit$1647 an ounce Monday morning in London – 0.8% below last week's high – while stock and commodity markets were broadly flat as markets absorbed Friday's news of cuts to nine Eurozone sovereign credit ratings.

"Spot gold [however] is expected to fall to $1417 per ounce over the next three months," warns Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao in the newswires Q1 2012 commodities outlook published Monday.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Gold Trend Forecast for Q1 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the past five months gold has fallen sharply and is no longer headline news which it once dominated back in 2011 when it was making new highs every day. The shiny metal has been under pressure because traders and investors started to pull some money off the table to lock in gains. Gold prices had surged so fast most advanced traders knew that final high volume surge was not sustainable. But the main reason gold topped out in my opinion was because the US Dollar index had put in a bottom and started to build a base. As we all know a rising dollar typically means lower stocks and commodity prices.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Gold Nears 1,300EUR/oz - Euro Lower After EU Downgrades and Greece Jitters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: GoldCore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,643.50, GBP 1,074.60, and EUR 1,298.90 per ounce.

Friday's AM fix was USD 1,642.00, GBP 1,070.27, and EUR 1,281.71 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

Natural Gas Price Forecast 2012, Avoid the "Widow Maker" / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Barnes writes: I've been watching natural gas for years now and find myself shaking my head lately.

The cost to buy the "clean energy" is collapsing as crude oil, a product that needs refining, stays above $100 per barrel.

In fact, this chart for natural gas is what I call a Widow Maker.

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Commodities

Monday, January 16, 2012

All You Need to Know About Iran, $200 Crude Oil, and $6.00 Gas / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: If you're unsettled by the thought of gasoline at $4.00 a gallon, brace yourself.

With tensions between Iran and the West quickly escalating, we could see gas jump to $6.00 a gallon at the pump in a matter of months.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Revisiting Our Proposal for an Overnight Gold Fund / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Bob_Kirtley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn August 2010 we wrote an article entitled “Proposing An Overnight Gold Fund” in which we explored the potential for launching a fund that held long positions in gold overnight and was short gold during the day. We pointed out that “a hedge fund starting in 2001 with $100m, with the strategy of being long gold from the PM to AM fix, and short gold from the AM to PM fix...would be worth $2.16billion today, before any fees and expenses.” We have been monitoring this trading strategy since then and therefore would like to take this opportunity to update readers on its astonishing progress.

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