Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Russia's Gazprom Selling Natural Gas to the United States / Commodities / Natural Gas
Gazprom Marketing & Trading (GMT) USA, a member of Gazprom Group, announced the sale of natural gas in the United States on Friday, October 2. The Russian gas monopolist has already entered the US market of liquefied gas. Now it goes about the pipeline fuel.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Gold Hits Another Record High of $1,064 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has surged to new record nominal highs above $1.064/oz in trading in Europe this morning. With the US Holiday yesterday gold traded in a $10 range on Monday. In euro and GBP terms, gold is trading at €719/oz and £675.86/oz respectively. Concerns regarding the dollar and rising oil prices seem to be the impetus for gold's new record highs today. While the large COMEX positions may suggest a correction is likely, it is important to note that open interest levels remain well below the record 593,953 contracts seen in mid January 2008 (the gold open interest on the COMEX rose 2326 contracts to 502,513 yesterday).
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Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Collapsing Monetary Base Deflationary Threat to Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
With $Gold now trading firmly above US$1,000, at least on a temporary basis, all are joyous that the Gold Bugs have won. The paper equity charlatans have been vanquished, at least for now. Those fanning emotions with stories about cabals, price suppression, and manipulation may now have to find some other drivel to pedal. GATA, the Gullible and Truly Amateurish, has now firmly been proven a purveyor of fantasy. Those that have opposed Gold and Silver ETFs can now, with knuckles dragging on the ground, return to the back of their caves
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Monday, October 12, 2009
What Price for Gold, $2000 or $4000? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I recently received an e-mail asking about the price of gold. This person presented two gold-pricing models in the body of the e-mail along with an estimate of what price gold might command in the future in dollars.
Let’s examine the gist of what he wrote and provide an extended reply. He wrote
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Monday, October 12, 2009
For Gold and Crude Oil Traders / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has broken out to all time highs this week trading as high as 1050 or so in the December contract. I wonder however, if this is the launching pad for the well touted $1500-$2000 per ounce.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Gold $1500?, Inept Mainstream Financial Press Blames "Greater Fool Theory" / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE DOLLAR-PRICE OF GOLD ticked higher Monday morning in London, rising back through $1050 an ounce as world stock markets jumped and the Euro also gained vs. the Dollar.
Government bonds pushed higher, as did crude oil, base metals and soft commodities.
Monday, October 12, 2009
Gold Rallies Despite U.S. Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold closed Friday night trading at $1,048/oz and is currently trading $7 higher at $1,055/oz. In Euro and GBP terms gold is trading at €716/oz and £669/oz and has also risen sharply in these currencies in recent days and the last month. Support for gold is currently seen at $1,040 and resistance at $1,062. The record weekly dollar close was bullish from a technical perspective but gold may need a correction and consolidation (in dollar terms) prior to challenging the next psychological level of $1,100/oz.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Sugar Bears Now Up Their Game / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Following our 17th Sep Update on Sugar the outlook has remained bearish, on the back of a Key Reversal Week. The signal has proved a good one, with the next bear leg looking to have gotten under way.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
How High can Gold Go? / Commodities / Articles
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Gold and GLD BLast Through Resistance, Precious Metal Stocks at Mercy of Stock Market Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold had a big week, rallying up $46.40 to close at a new all-time high of $1049.40 (continuous contract) for a gain of 4.63%.
On the daily chart below, GLD blasted up through overhead resistance from the Sept. high (blue horizontal line) and never looked back.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Dow Jones Commodity Index Fund Profit Trading Opportunity / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Dow Jones Commodity Index Fund – This index tracks the entire commodity market as a whole. Over the past two years we have seen commodities drop in value substantially. The good news is that we could be seeing prices rise going forward from here.
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Monday, October 12, 2009
Gold Breakout, Signals Bull Market That Will Run for Many Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
I am the Greatest! - To be completely honest, it is not me who is the greatest. Of course, it is Mohammed Ali who is the greatest. And I may not even be the greatest economist. That honor has to be shared with those few gold bugs who foresaw the break above $1,000 and who kept their subscribers long gold and gold stocks.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Pressure Builds on Gold as GDX Gold Miners ETF Ends Uptrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
As of this moment the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is warning me that the upleg from the October 2 low at 42.28 to Thursday¹s new high at 49.52 ended ³something² on the upside. My sense is that more than just the most recent upleg likely ended, which means that the upleg off of the July pivot low at 34.05 also ended at 49.52 on Thursday.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Jim Rogers Claims 20 Year Commodities Boom to Replace Financial Crash / Commodities / Investing 2009
In a Yang-Yin world where only two paradigms, models or states are possible - obviously not the real world - commodity boom should replace financial crash, like day follows night.
To some, including Jim Rogers, this is already in the works. Speaking from Singapore in interview with the UK Daily Telegraph on 8 October, he forecast a commodities boom able to last 20 years. He said: "Commodities are the best place to be, if you ask me, based on supply and demand". He also believes crude oil will run out in 15 or 20 years "unless something happens", despite quite large recent discoveries and slow growing demand.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Gold Mega Bullish Technicals, Wow! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
If you're not into technical analysis, you're not into it. I understand. Drawing squiggles on a chart seems like reading tea leaves to many. I get it. I personally believe that it increases your odds of success if you have the fundamentals right. In other words, technical analysis in isolation is not attractive to me, but laid over a solid foundation of fundamental analysis makes sense to me.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Silver Outperforming Gold 2-1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
It was gang-busters for the precious metal stocks. Gold rose almost 5% while silver almost doubled that performance. We are into new high territory and the analyst predictions are now all over the place. Predictions are good, performance is even better. Stay tuned.
GOLD LONG TERM
Let’s do a little catch-up summary of where we are from the long or very long term point of view. First, the P&F charts.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Gold Analysis, Real or False Breakout? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold has broken out above $1000 and everyone believes that it is headed towards $1500, $1200 being the immediate next target. Technically and otherwise, there has been lot of talk that Gold should be valued @ $2000 - $5000 range based on the real $$$ terms when compared to 1980's. However, if that were so easy, it would have already happened. Here are some of SB comments to the respective articles on the Internet.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Gold Enters Uncharted Waters / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Given the recent move to new highs in gold, I feel that a brief discussion on this topic is in order. As everyone knows, gold made a major bottom in 2001. This is where the most recent secular bull market in gold was obviously born. From a cyclical perspective, this was a 9-year cycle low, which is the dominant longer-term cycle in gold. In reality, this cycle has historically averaged 98.6 months, or 8.2 years in duration from low to low.
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Sunday, October 11, 2009
Get Physical with Gold, Strategy for Protection and Profit / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
(In a meeting allegedly held by the Gulf States, China, Russia, Japan and France it was decided--) “to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese Yen, the Chinese Yuan, the EUR, and a new unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Cooperation Council.” - Report in The Independent by Robert Fisk October 6, 2009
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Saturday, October 10, 2009
Can the G-20 Halt the Gold Bull Run? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The G-20 meeting last week was hoped to be a watershed for the global economy. It was hoped that accepted that there has to be a global solution to the financial crisis that triggered the credit crunch and the worldwide recession. Those solutions had to include the full cooperation of other key governments, including China, before we could hope for a sound recovery of the global economy. If we have more superficial statements with no real action, expect yet another crisis as confidence is lost, not only in currencies, but in global money systems. You all know the old adage, "Cheat me once, shame on you cheat me twice, shame on me." Just how much 'spin' can the globe take, before losing heart?
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