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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, January 18, 2018

Bitcoin Crash Sees Flight To Physical Gold Coins and Bars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

‘Digital Gold’ Bitcoin Flight To Safe Haven Physical Gold

– Latest bitcoin, crypto crash causes gold coin and bar demand to surge
– Bitcoin down 40% from high, Ripple down 50% and Ethereum down 30%
– Ripple and ‘Digital gold’ Bitcoin fall past key psychological price levels
– $300bn wiped from cryptocurrency fortunes in just 36 hours
– New research says that there is ‘Price Manipulation in the Bitcoin Ecosystem’
– Savvy crypto buyers converted their short term gains into physical gold bars, coins
– Bitcoin and Ripple sellers bought gold both for delivery and storage from GoldCore
– Gold ETF holdings rise – Assets in iShares Gold soar to $10.7 b, highest in 5 years
– 95% of cryptocurrencies will go to zero …

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Commodities

Thursday, January 18, 2018

Crude Oil Sweat, Blood and Tears / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil hit a fresh 2018 high of $64.89, but then reversed and declined very quickly, erasing most of Friday increase. What encouraged oil bears to act and how did this decline affect the short-term picture?

Yesterday, the Energy Information Administration said that U.S. oil output is expected to continue its rise to 6.55 million barrels per day (with production from shale rising by 111,000 bpd) in the coming month, which encouraged oil bears to act. As a reminder, before the Friday market closure, they received one more reason to act – the Baker Hughes report, which showed that the oil rig count jumped by 10 to 752 (to the highest level since the beginning of September 2017). What impact did the above-mentioned circumstances have on the daily chart of crude oil?

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Commodities

Thursday, January 18, 2018

How to Trade Gold During Second Half of January, Daily Cycle Prediction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Metals are setting up for that “Rip Your Face Off Rally”.  The following charts for Gold and Silver show a very interesting setup that is unfolding as the US markets continue to strengthen – that being that the Metals are showing strength in price and we can only assume this is related to some level of FEAR in the markets or expectations that the “Equities and Bitcoin Bubbles” are nearing an end.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 18, 2018

More U.S. States Are Knocking Down Gold & Silver Barriers / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Here’s What Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Virginia, Idaho, Etc. Are Doing...

In 2017, Arizona, Louisiana, Virginia, Texas, and North Carolina, and even Minnesota made progress on the sound money front. In 2018, other states could do so as well.

36 states have already removed sales taxes from precious metals transactions, and bills being pushed this year by sound money advocates in Alabama and Tennessee could add to that list.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Silver Volume Extreme as in April 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

During yesterday’s session silver moved back and forth in a volatile manner on volume that was the highest since April 2013. There were a few volume spikes in the meantime, but none as big as what we saw yesterday. The silver market is being very loud. But are you listening?

It may be hard to notice silver’s signs with all that’s happening in the USD Index and given the rally in gold stocks, but it’s definitely worth it. Let’s investigate (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Gold Stocks GDXJ Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today the GDXJ is breaking out above its neckline. Again I was looking for a little more chopping action between the neckline and the neckline symmetry line before the breakout, but so far it’s not happening. I’m going to take my second position and buy 150 shares at the market at 35.34 with the sell/stop at 33.31 for now. A backtest to the neckline would come in around the 35.10 for a slightly lower risk entry point.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Does CoT Show Battle over Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has released the latest CoT report. What can we learn from it about the gold market?

Light and Darkness in the Gold Market

The epic battle between good and evil. The conflict between light and darkness. We and them. This is how some analysts portray the Commitments of Traders report. Commercials, i.e. bullion banks such as JP Morgan, are of course the bad guys.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Crude Oil is Starting 2018 Strong but there's Undeniable Risk to the Downside / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Crude oil is starting out strong in 2018 as both the international Brent benchmark and the West Texas Intermediate continue to book price gains. The gains in crude oil prices this year is riding the waves of the uptrend in oil prices that began in 2017. Now, the U.S. West Texas Intermediate is trading up around $63.57 per barrel and the Brent crude is trading up around $69.20 per barrel. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Silver Prices To Surge – JP Morgan Has Acquired A “Massive Quantity of Physical Silver” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– JP Morgan continues to accumulate the biggest stockpile of physical silver in history
– “JPM now holds more than 133m oz -more than was held by the Hunt Bros” – Butler
– Silver hoard owned by JPM has increased from Zero ozs in 2011 to 120m ozs today
– Money managers showing more optimism towards silver through record buying

– “Near impossible to rule out an upside price surprise at any moment”

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 16, 2018

One Big, Potential Catalyst for Gold in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The rebound in the precious metals sector continues. Friday, Gold pushed to another new high, near $1340/oz. Gold stocks led by the HUI Gold Bugs Index and GDX also made a new high with juniors and Silver right behind. The greatest traders say the move comes first and then the reason later. When it comes to Gold we are always analyzing the reason behind the moves so we can distinguish between reactions and reflex moves and those moves that are part of a real bull market. The market may be starting to sniff out a potential big catalyst for Gold that could drive its breakout in 2018.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Is This The Long-Awaited Gold Break-Out – Or Just Another Paper Market Head Fake? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: John_Rubino

That was fun. Since mid-December gold has behaved like a tech stock, jumping from $1,240/oz to $1,337 and carrying a long list of gold mining stocks along for the ride.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold Miners’ Status Updated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

After a positive year-end with the expected precious metals rally we noted on Dec. 31, in NFTRH 480:

“With HUI dwelling just under the 195 resistance parameter, a pullback can come at any time. But there are enough other factors still in line to expect a resumed rally after any grind at resistance comes into play.”

and then on Jan. 7, in NFTRH 481:

“What HUI actually did was immediately push up into the 195-200 resistance zone, become overbought and hang around there all week in consolidation. Here is the noisy daily chart once again. Let’s focus on how the most recent RSI oversold condition in December did indeed spring a tradable rally. As chartists saw the October/November shelf of support break down and then the July lows breached the call was ‘BEARISH!’ far and wide. Shorts were taken on the say so of people who know how to look laterally and see one thing lower than the other thing.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold And Silver – Review of Annual, Qrtly, Monthly, Weekly Charts. Reality v Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_Noonan

Usually we have a commentary of some kind as a back story to what is going on in the PMs. Our commentaries have become fewer and farther between because of the absurdity of government control, which in turn is controlled by the ruling elite. Not a day goes by that the president elect, Donald Trump, is not severely criticized by mainstream media, both televised and in print. We have never seen this kind of maltreatment toward a president, ever. It is the Deep State exposing its ugly tentacles to keep Trump from gaining any traction in popularity, and it speaks to the bitter disappoint that Deep State favorite, and one upon whom they could depend, Hillary Clinton lost.

Sadly, Trump has been overwhelmed by the shadow powers and turned into yet another presidential puppet that will disappoint perhaps even more than turncoat Obama. Many of Trump’s promises of reform have been cast aside in favor of bowing to the dictates of the ruling elites. the swamp creature have survived the draining attempt and are back stronger than ever.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Gold GLD ETF Update.. Bear Market Reversal Watch / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Just a quick update on GLD which is showing the price action approaching the top rail of its triangle trading range which should be around the 127.50 area. Many times during the formation of a 5 point triangle reversal pattern the price action will fail to make it all the way down to the 5th reversal point which suggests the bulls are eager to get positioned. A touch of the top rail will complete the 5th reversal point technically putting the triangle into the reversal category to the upside.

What we have to do now is to see how the price action interact with the top rail. Most likely we should see a reaction backdown initially that could be very shallow if it’s time for the triangle to complete. If the bulls are really fired up we could see a gap above the top rail which would be very bullish.

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Commodities

Friday, January 12, 2018

Optimum Entry Point for Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses why he believes a massive new sector bull market is about to begin in gold and silver.

When you are following the markets closely day after day it can be easy to lose sight of the big picture. So with the "everything bubble" getting closer to bursting, leading to universal mess and mayhem, there could not be a better time to look at the long-term picture for gold and silver, in order to see whether they are going to salute and go down with the ship, as they did in 2008, or constitute a lifeboat and a profitable means of escape for more fortunate investors.

I am therefore pleased to be able to report that it will almost certainly be the latter, for reasons that we will now elucidate on the respective long-term charts for gold, then silver.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, January 12, 2018

These 3 Facts Show Gold Is Set to Surge in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : Crypto and stock prices grabbed most of the investment headlines in 2017. But by the end of 2018, a different asset class is bound to spark investor’s attention.

There are multiple reasons for that, starting with the fact that no trend or bull market lasts forever. But it’s about more than just the prolonged run in equities and runaway prices in cryptos.

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Commodities

Friday, January 12, 2018

Macroeconomic Outlook for 2018 and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Luckily or not, 2017 is behind us. It was a positive year for the gold market, as the yellow market gained more than 12 percent. However, investors are forward-looking, so let’s focus on what the coming months will bring. The next year will be shaped mostly by the following broad economic trends:

1. Global activity is improving.
2. Labor markets are strengthening further.
3. Subdued inflation is finally rising (but moderately).
4. Central banks are slowly reducing their monetary policy stimulus.
5. Interest rates are rising.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Will Chinese Dragon Boost or Devour Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

China may slow down its U.S. debt buying. Will gold rally or plunge, then?

Dragons Love Hoarding Gold and Not Only

Dragons love gold. In Greek mythology, dragons were set by the gods to guard golden treasures. It makes perfect sense, since it would be rather difficult to find better guards. Everybody who watched The Hobbit series knows that this is true – the powerful Smaug hoarded a lot and was really obsessed with his shiny treasure.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Gold Prices Rise To $1,326/oz as China U.S. Treasury Buying Report Creates Volatility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Gold prices rise to $1,326/oz on concerns China may slow U.S. Treasury buying
– Equities fell sharply on the report as did Treasurys and the U.S. dollar
– Chinese officials think U.S. debt is becoming less attractive compared to other assets
– Trade tensions could provide a reason to slow down or halt U.S. debt purchases
– U.S. dollar vulnerable as China remains biggest buyer of U.S. sovereign debt
– Currency wars to return as China rejects U.S. hegemony in Asia

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Commodities

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Why Oil Should Be Supported in Weekly Chart / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Hello fellow traders, in this blog post, we will discuss oil in a more bigger picture.

In the chart below, you can see crude oil futures on the weekly chart.

From the 02/08/2016 low, we can clearly see that the market has a potential 5 swing incomplete bullish sequence. It seems like that it is still in the fifth swing. The weekly target for us is between 68.53-86.82. Please note a 5 swing sequence is different than 5 waves impulse. Overall, we can conclude that we need more upside in oil and we suggest members to buy the instrument in 3-7-11 swings to the upside.

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