Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, December 02, 2016
Gold Junior Stocks Q3’16 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The junior gold miners’ and explorers’ stocks have been crushed in recent months, collateral damage from enormous gold-futures selling. That’s naturally left investors and speculators extremely bearish on gold juniors. But lost in all this technical and sentimental tumult are important fundamentals from the juniors’ recently-reported third-quarter financial and operational results, which proved quite strong and bullish.
The junior gold stocks are rightfully considered the Wild West of the gold sector. Most of the hundreds and hundreds of these small companies won’t prove successful. They won’t be able to secure funding to explore sufficiently, won’t be fortunate enough to find an economic deposit of gold to mine, or won’t be able to make the herculean leap from explorer to miner. The odds are stacked heavily against the gold juniors.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Shale-War is over so $60 Brent Crude Oil by Christmas is highly probable: Next $85? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_Butter
In April this model (http://oilpro.com/...) predicted the Saudi’s would blink in Doha and Brent would see $60 by Christmas.Well they did blink in Doha; they stopped talking about pumping an extra two-million barrels per day into the pot; incidentally that was just bravado; unless the plan was to stop using oil to make electricity...which would have been unpopular during the summer.
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Thursday, December 01, 2016
Silver Prices and Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
“History shows the only place for interest rates to go from here is higher.”
Examine the above chart of interest rates for 200 years.
- Rates rise and fall in long cycles, 20 to 40 years from a peak to a trough.
- Important highs occurred in 1920 and 1981.
- Important lows occurred in 1946 and probably 2016.
- Current rates are the lowest in 200 years. Some analysts have said the lowest in 5,000 years.
Thursday, December 01, 2016
Gold and Silver in Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Gecko Research reviews the past week in gold and charts their actions.
Gold lost 1.9% or $23 last week to close on Friday at $1,184.10. Silver was, believe it or not, almost flat for the week as it closed at $16.51, down only 4c. The gold to silver ratio was 71.7 at the end of the week.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Why We Haven’t Seen Gold Price Rally after Trump Victory / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Harry_Dent
Even though the markets haven’t behaved logically of late, it would have seemed a slam dunk for gold to rise if Donald Trump won. After all, we faced uncertainty around his policies, rising inflation from infrastructure spending, and higher expected growth rates.But instead, gold has headed back down more sharply. It had its initial rise in the futures market when Trump looked like he was going to win. But since then, it’s reversed course – the opposite of the stock markets.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Breakdown and Slide in Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Crude oil gained 2.21% yesterday and came back above $47, but taking a dive today, confirming that closing the long positions yesterday and taking profits off the table was a good idea. Now, the question is how much does today’s decline actually change.
Let’s take a look at the charts to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
A 'Wicked Rally' in Gold Price Predicted / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger charts recent moves in the gold market and sees a rally in the making.
Last week I felt that IF gold broke $1,180, it could see another $140 downside, taking it to the December 2015 lows of around $1,045. I also saw that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at the extremely low levels usually associated with bottoms.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Silver Market Sentiment Looks Golden / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: EWI
Chart of the Day
Bullish sentiment among silver traders recently fell to 8 percent, the lowest reading since mid-2015. So, sentiment is in the right place for the next big leg in the price pattern.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
A 6 Step Plan for Trump to Make Our Money Great Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
By: Jp Cortez & Stefan Gleason : Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 45th president of the United States in January. Americans will then find out then if "Make America Great Again" is more than a campaign slogan.
It isn't going to be easy. On day one, he will inherit a $20 trillion federal deficit and a moribund economy increasingly reliant on low interest rates and central bank stimulus.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Indian Demonetization Denotes Severe Stress in the Global Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Stewart_Dougherty
It is becoming clear that the Indian currency demonetization is actually a planned attack on Indian gold demand, launched to disrupt gold prices and discredit gold as an asset class. The attack was required to alleviate severe stress in the global gold market that is becoming increasingly difficult for the Deep State controllers to contain.
For two decades, physical gold has been migrating from the west to the east in increasing quantities. Numerous reports cross-confirm that the world’s leading refineries are operating at capacity to convert western gold into the kilo products demanded by Asian buyers. Refiners also confirm that the sourcing of western gold has become problematic, as supplies dry up in the face of voracious world, and particularly eastern demand.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Owning Gold and Silver in Troubling Times / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Richard_Mills
I am writing this article for the gold and silver bullion purchaser who wants the comfort, the insurance of owning some gold and silver in what are very troubling times.
There's a lot going on in the world - from Trump being elected in the U.S. to turmoil in the middle east, the China Sea and Turkey, Russia is flexing it's still considerable might, North Korea's flinging it's nukes helter skelter, Japan's rearming, disease runs rampant and fear escalates about virus mutation, there's shortages of fresh water with many rivers not reaching their former endpoint and of course climate change is rearing its head to destabilize natural rhythms or cycles. Add in out of control population growth, the divide between races, religion and wage inequality - the have and have not's - and a coming major economic collapse caused by interest rate increases on the trillions and trillions of dollars of global debt and it'd be hard to go back in history and pick a period of time when things weren't so combustible.
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Monday, November 28, 2016
Simple Yet Powerful Technical Trading Tools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: EWI
Jeffrey Kennedy discusses technical tools that support Elliott wave analysis
In this new interview, Jeffrey Kennedy gives a trading lesson on how to use trendlines, trend channels, price gaps and other technical tools in conjunction with Elliott wave analysis.
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Sunday, November 27, 2016
Gold Price is Oversold but Broken / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week we wrote that the 2016 bull market in Gold and gold stocks had gone off course. It had moved too far out of the historical boundaries to remain a bull market. There was also other evidence of such including but not limited to rising real yields. Gold’s last hope was to hold $1200-$1210 and rebound back to the highs. It has broken bull market support ($1200-$1210 and $1230) and could be on its way to $1050 in the next few months.
Sunday, November 27, 2016
This Past Week in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Saturday, November 26, 2016
What Does Trump Mean for Gold Investments? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
The market reaction to Trump's election victory—stocks and the dollar up, gold down—was the opposite of what had been widely foreseen. Money manager Adrian Day takes a look into what happened and why, and discusses the outlook going forward.
At the core of the market reaction are interest rates. Bonds declined sharply on the Trump victory. They had already been falling for the last several months, and the growing conviction of a rate increase in December stepped up the decline. Trump, with his grandiose spending and debt plans, only exacerbated that decline.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
Gold Price Down 13.5% In 13 Days - Opportunity For Geometric Price Cost Averaging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
- Gold down 13% in 13 trading days since Trump election
- Factors that have led to lower gold prices
- Trump bearish for gold in coming four years?
- ‘Trumpflation’ cometh
- Sharia gold – vaulted gold accessible to 110 million new investors
- What to do? Diversify and geometric price cost average
Saturday, November 26, 2016
What Investors Can Learn from Gold Yen Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Our Market Overview would be incomplete without remarks about gold priced in the Japanese yen. Chart 1 shows nominal gold prices denominated both in the U.S. dollar and the Japanese currency, while Chart 2 plots the indices of gold prices in these two currencies.
Chart 1: The price of gold in U.S. dollars (yellow line, right axis) and in Japanese yen (red line, left axis) from January 1979 to September 2016.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
The Gold Bears Are in For a Massive Surprise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
If you’re serious about making money from investing in the financial markets, you need to be able to read the crowd… and go against it.
Let me give you an example… Currently one of the consensus views is that the Gold rally is over and gold is dead as an investment.
Right off the bat, you know this sentiment is at an extreme. Despite its recent sell-off, Gold is still crushing stocks in terms of performance year to date.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
A little perspective on the post-election Gold market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Most of gold’s downside is geared not to the financial decisions of millions of investors around the globe, as the mainstream media would have you believe, but rather to linear computer algorithms geared to the dollar index. The trading part of the software has been told to automatically place trades at certain correlated price levels and that is why we get these waterfall drops. The rocket launch trajectories to the upside come when the trading function is told to buy and cover the previous shorts.
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Gold and Monetary Populism: The Oligarchs’ Mortal Enemies – The Peoples’ Salvation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Stewart_Dougherty
Desperation is setting in. The blatant attacks on gold are occurring almost exclusively during the Comex floor-trading hours now. Every night gold pushes higher as Asia’s appetite is seemingly voracious. The two most systemically dangerous banks right now, it was revealed according to the IMF, are JP Morgan and Citibank. I’m sure part of the smash is in response to that. All this action between gold and the dollar means is that the counter-force reaction to what the Fed is doing is going to be even more forceful. They already can’t control the dollar and the strong dollar is going to decimate Q4 revenues and earnings. Give it 6 months and I bet they start talking about the need to print more money. Gold will sniff that out well ahead of time.