Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Silver Price Ignition or Money Reasserting: When Silver Investment Demand Merges with Industrial Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
A long time reader and forum member posted the following with a question regarding silver industrial demand:
“The question that begs an answer, is how will this ultimately effect the monetary value of Silver and does that foretell a change in investment strategies?” (Full comment below).
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Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Gold Daily Cycle Low Still Several Days Away / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Some analysts were expecting gold to form an early Daily Cycle Low. I’ve been warning that gold needs to break the cycle trend line before the DCL can bottom and to beware of a fake out. It turns out I was correct to be patient. I doubt gold will form the DCL until right before, or on the FOMC statement next week. More patience.
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Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Why Lithium Will See Another Price Spike This Fall / Commodities / Lithium
So far, lithium has been the hottest metal of 2016, beating out gold, with exponential demand expected over the coming years. Although the price trajectory of the metal has been subdued in recent months, the fundamentals behind the long-term trajectory suggest strong potential for long-term growth. Price doubling from 2014/2015 was first seen in China and is now being felt worldwide, with lithium hydroxide prices from $16-20 and carbonate prices from $12-14 thousand USD per ton.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
The Peak Oil Paradox Revisited / Commodities / Crude Oil
It’s been a while since we posted an article by our friend Euan Mearns, who was active at The Oil Drum at the same time Nicole and I were. Is it really 11 years ago that started, and almost 9 since we left? You know the drill: we ‘departed’ because they didn’t want us to cover finance, which we said was the more immediate crisis, yada yada. Euan stayed on for longer, and the once unequalled Oil Drum is no more.
On one of our long tours, which were based around Nicole’s brilliant public speaking engagements, we went to see Euan in Scotland, he teaches at Aberdeen University. I think it was 2011?! An honor. Anyway, always a friend.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Climbing Gold and Silver’s Wall of Worry / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Confidence is slippery, even when you are a metals investor sitting atop the best performing assets of 2016. It doesn’t help when 4 years of a miserable bear market remains fresh in our memories. Any weakness in prices and it can feel like markets are getting ready to plunge right back to $13 silver and $1,000 gold.
That feeling is called the “Wall of Worry”, and bulls are going to have to climb it by staying in the market even if their emotions are telling them to bail. Let’s review the last 6 weeks because they are quite instructional.
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Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Ups and Downs in Gold and Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts a major buy signal in oil and a possible correction in gold.
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Monday, July 18, 2016
From Gold Chains for Men to Gold Reserves: Who has All of the Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Karus Chains writes: At Karus Chains we love to write about anything associated with gold chains for men and what could be more central to gold chains than gold itself.
So we asked the question- who owns most of the gold? Of course an open question like this will only throw up more questions.
Should we look at the countries that mine the most gold, or the countries that buy the most gold?
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Monday, July 18, 2016
Gold Stocks 101 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
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Monday, July 18, 2016
More Deflation Ahead: Silver, Gold And Their Mining Stocks A Must-Have / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Are you ready for the next leg of deflation? Where the real pain will be felt (mainly) because the collapse of commodities and oil, in particular, will be accompanied by the collapse of the US stock market.
Due to the size of the cycles involved, it is very difficult for most to comprehend the continued decline in the prices of commodities and oil, while silver and gold rockets higher.
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Sunday, July 17, 2016
5 Best Gold and Silver Junior Mining Stocks in 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The following five junior mining stocks are 10 baggers, through just the first half of the year. These are the best performing junior mining stocks on the Toronto Stock Exchange, as they have posted gains of 1,000% or more over the past six months!
These junior gold and silver miners are generating significant wealth for investors that had the courage to buy when there was blood in the streets. An investment of $100,000 in any of these stocks six months ago would be worth over $1 million today!
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Saturday, July 16, 2016
Gold And Silver – NWO-Created Tragedies Will Never End, Seek Truth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Nice, France weighs heavily and brings home the point, tomorrow is promised to no one.
The tragic mass-killing of Bastille Day celebrants in Nice, France may not have been a planned terrorist attack, but its consequences are no less extremely sad and equally infuriating. We heard about comments made from neighbors of the truck driver that he was not that religious, was undergoing a divorce and was not handling it very well and apparently snapped.
It matters not if that explanation makes sense in the wake of a senseless act of running over a hundred or so people, killing around 84, including children. The man was shot dead by police, so little else will ever be directly known from the Tunisian known mostly for petty criminal acts but no known terrorist affiliations.
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Saturday, July 16, 2016
The Upside Potential in Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Our research continues to argue that the current, record rebound in gold stocks will continue. Every time we’ve predicted a correction, the weakness in the sector has been only a fraction of what we expected in both price and time. New bull markets that follow epic bear markets typically show exceptional strength in their first year. This bull has been no different. Thus, we expect the strong performance to continue. Today, we share a few reasons why the junior sector is poised to outperform in nominal and real terms.
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Friday, July 15, 2016
Gold’s Record Selling Overhang / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold’s mighty new bull market this year has been amazing, the result of heavy buying by investors and speculators alike. But these latter traders have pumped so much capital into gold futures that this metal now faces a record selling overhang. Since the hyper-leveraged nature of futures trading demands an ultra-short-term focus, speculators’ excessive bullish bets on gold pose major near-term downside risks.
Gold’s price trends are overwhelmingly dominated by global investment demand. Even though it has only accounted for about 1/5th of total demand in recent years, investment is wildly variable. With the rest of gold demand relatively stable, it is fluctuating investment demand that ultimately sets gold prices at the margin. Gold’s young bull in 2016 is largely the result of an influx of massive investment buying.
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Friday, July 15, 2016
Gold Price Could Hit $5,000 or Even $10,000 in a Few Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
BY JARED DILLIAN : You have to be careful writing about gold.
You come out in favor of gold and you get maligned as some kind of doomsday-prepping, knuckle-dragging wingnut. Then you never get to go on TV. They don’t invite the crazy gold guys on TV.
I’ve been long gold since 2005. Rode it all the way down from 2011 to 2016. If you ride something down 45%, you are a moron. I’ll own it. I am a moron. I actually had a pretty good idea that there would be a correction in 2011, but I vastly underestimated how severe it would be.
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Friday, July 15, 2016
Junior Gold and Silver Mining Funds or Individual Gold and Silver Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
Background
We will start with a quote that is sometimes attributed to Sir Winston Churchill, the British Prime Minister, who led Britain during the Second World War.
“If you’re going through hell; keep going”
Friday, July 15, 2016
The Curious Case of Vanishing Lady Liberty; Only Gold and Silver Remember Her / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The very first word anyone ever saw on a circulating United States coin was the word “LIBERTY.”
From half-cents to silver dollars, each featured the likeness of an unnamed woman. The images varied, thanks to different engravers, but together they became recognized as Lady Liberty.
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Thursday, July 14, 2016
Successfully Forecasting Crude Oil Price from 2014 to Today / Commodities / Crude Oil
The Wave Principle helped investors prepare for today's energy market action
March 31, 2014 was no time to issue a bearish forecast for crude oil -- or so it appeared.
But that's exactly the scenario Elliott Wave International's founder Bob Prechter showed his subscribers in his monthly Elliott Wave Theorist.
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Thursday, July 14, 2016
Silver Bear Market Looks to Be Over…or Not? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Since the Brexit vote, we have seen some interesting price action unfold with various assets. With global/Euroland uncertainty, investors have been flocking to what they feel are the safe havens until things get sorted out overseas.
Typically, precious metals and the Dollar Index move in opposite directions. This means that if the dollar rises, metals fall in value. But since the Brexit vote, investors are piling their money into what they feel is the safe place for them to store capital. These are: US Dollars, Silver, Gold, Mining Stocks, Bonds and even US equities.
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Thursday, July 14, 2016
This Confirms The Continuation Of Silver’s Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
On the silver chart, is a classical major reversal pattern referred to as a Head and Shoulders Bottom. Major reversal patterns form after a downtrend, and its formation normally confirms a change in trend. Below, is a silver chart (all charts from tradingview.com), with the pattern highlighted:
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Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Silver Appears Overbought, But Long-Term Outlook Good / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The long-term outlook for silver is very positive indeed, but over the short to medium term it looks set to react, says technical analyst Clive Maund.
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