Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 23, 2016
ZAR Gold Price Signals A September 2001-Type Event In The Financial Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The gold price in South African Rand (ZAR) is often a leading indicator for a USD gold price rally, as well as major trouble in the financial markets. A good example of this was around August/September 2001, just before the September 2001 crash (which turned out to be a major turning point in the markets - not just for the events of September 11).
Sunday, May 22, 2016
Gold Bull-Phase I Continues to Confound (The Trek to “Known Values”) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Plunger
Since January 20th the precious metal stocks have been in an upward impulse. I have classified this impulse as phase I of a new bull market. My essay “The three phases of a bull market” located on this site explains this in further detail.
http://www.talkmarkets.com/content/goldprecious-metals/the-three-phases-of-a-bull-market?post=92292
In short, phase I is the move off bear market lows to “known Values”. Just prior to this move stocks were left on the bargain table and farsighted, wise investors picked them up from discouraged and distressed sellers. I have described this impulse move toward known values as analogous to a beach ball held under water then released.
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Saturday, May 21, 2016
Gold And Silver 11th Hour: Globalists 10 v People 0 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
At the proverbial 11th hour, the globalists have a shut out going for themselves with people unable to mount any meaningful opposition. While the word “hour” is referenced, the time could be measured in months, even a few more years. Whatever the duration is, the time frame continues to shorten.
Rather than provide supply/demand facts for gold and silver, amply illustrated with lots of graphs and charts, provide information on Commitment of Traders data, and so much more, we prefer to engage in other situations that may be having more of an effect as to why gold and silver prices are not rallying to price levels that would reflect the true supply/ demand circumstances. These are the more pragmatic reasons for owning and holding either or both physical metals.
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Saturday, May 21, 2016
David Morgan: There Will Soon Be a Run to Gold Like You've Never Seen Before / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: I'm happy to welcome back our good friend, David Morgan, of TheMorganReport.com. David, it's always a pleasure to talk with you. How have you been?
David Morgan: Mike, I've been well and thank you for the interview.
Mike Gleason: We've seen some very positive and encouraging market action in the metals this year with silver up close to 19% year-to-date, and gold up 18% as we're talking here on Thursday morning. Although, the precious metals are pulling back sharply this week. Assess the market action so far here in 2016, and talk about what's driving this recent pullback.
Friday, May 20, 2016
Gold Stocks Following Bull Analogs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The gold stocks started to correct this week as large caps were off 13% at Thursday’s low. Both juniors and large caps have made tremendous gains since the January 19 bottom and are ripe for some profit taking. The Fed minutes provided the catalyst for such and we should also note the tendency for gold stocks, while in a bull market to peak in May. History argues that the miners could correct at least 20% now before moving higher.
Friday, May 20, 2016
The Gold Chart That Has Central Banks Extremely Worried / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Steve_St_Angelo
This gold chart should have Central Banks extremely worried. Why? Because the change in physical gold and Central Bank demand since the first crash of the U.S. and global markets in 2008 is literally off the charts.
I advise precious metals investors not to focus on the short-term gold price movement, rather they should concentrate on the long-term trend changes. This is where the ultimate payoff will be by investing in gold. Now, I say “INVESTING”, in gold because that is what we are doing.
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Friday, May 20, 2016
George Soros Was Once a Dollar Vigilante, Now a Ring Wraith Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
One of the inspirations for our name, The Dollar Vigilante, was what used to be called the Bond Vigilantes.
Last seen in full force in the inflationary early 1980s, bond vigilantes were anti-establishment figures who were said to have rebelled. They had decided to keep central banks and governments honest by raising long term interest rates in the open market. They would do so whenever the authorities kept their own interest rates too low, or let budget deficits grow out of control.
Friday, May 20, 2016
Silver Miners’ Q1’ 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The world’s elite silver miners just finished reporting their operating results from 2016’s first quarter, and they were impressive. This industry continued to drive its costs lower even as silver finally started mean reverting out of mid-December’s deep secular low. The silver miners are beautifully positioned to enjoy soaring operating profits as silver’s young new bull market continues gradually marching higher on balance.
Silver mining is a tough business geologically and economically. Primary silver deposits, those with enough silver to generate over half their revenues when mined, are quite rare. Most of the world’s silver ore formed alongside base metals or gold, and their value usually well outweighs silver’s. According to the just-released World Silver Survey 2016 by the venerable Silver Institute, silver largely remains a byproduct.
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Friday, May 20, 2016
GOFO and Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Gold Forward Offered Rate (GOFO) is the swap rate for a gold-to-U.S. dollar exchange. In other words, it is a rate at which someone is ready to lend gold on a swap basis against greenbacks (the benchmark used to be quoted by a few banks involved in the rate-setting process which were prepared to lend gold to each other). For example, if someone owns gold and wants to borrow U.S. dollars, he can use gold as collateral to secure the loan. The GOFO is the interest rate on that loan. Since gold is an excellent collateral (it’s portable and liquid), the GOFO rates used to be relatively small. Actually, certain rates were sometimes negative in what signaled high physical demand.
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Gold - Pro-Inflation? Anti-USD? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
This is the opening segment from the May 15 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 395. I am releasing it for public viewing because it seems, the title’s question has come roaring to the forefront this week. So the information (including the charts) is slightly dated, but becoming intensely relevant as of now.
We anticipated an ‘inflation trade’ or Anti-USD asset market bounce and this has been going on since mid-February. That was when silver wrestled leadership from the first mover, gold (which bottomed in December and turned up in January), and a whole host of other global asset markets began to rise persistently.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Massive Silver Price Rally During The Coming US Dollar Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
I have written extensively about how the current silver bull market is similar to the 70s. Despite these similarities, silver will (ultimately) perform much better than during the 70s.
The fractal analysis of the US Dollar Index (below) shows some more similarities and differences between the 70s era and now. I believe that these further supports the expectation that silver will perform much better than it did during the 70s.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Dumb Debt's Of America , Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Vimal_Patel
A Solution to this big problem .Assuming everything is manipulated - Stock markets , Gold and Silver paper contracts , treasuries
Assuming anyhow this debt cannot be ever repaid by conventional means
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Wednesday, May 18, 2016
George Soros Buying Gold ETF And Gold Shares In Q1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
George Soros, who once called gold “the ultimate bubble,” has resumed buying the gold ETF and shares after a three-year hiatus.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold Price Possible $200 Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Bob_Loukas
Gold Rally
In my opinion, gold’s Cycle is setup well for a surprise, $200 Gold rally. Gold has reached an interesting crossroads and based on the Cycle position, some significant volatility lies ahead. The Gold sector is doing well, and has held up after impressive gains. It has seen a couple of weeks of price consolidation, but no serious selling. This points to a strong underlying bid, and is reflective of a bull market.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold, Silver, Mining Shares: Big Drop Dead Ahead! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I pointed to May 19th as being a likely, important bottom in the precious metals complex. It is May 16th in the evening as I write this. If I’m correct, the next three days should prove to be huge down, especially for the miners. Most analysts admit that we are overdue for a correction, but they have no idea how fast and furious it may turn out be.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Divergence Between Oil and Oil Stocks Signals Decline in Oil-Related ETFs / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: The_Energy_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan reports the energy sector cycle is down and a multiweek correction is in progress, and discusses what that means.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
Gold Speculation at All-Time High, but Gold Price Remains Below 2015 High / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan reports that although gold speculation is at an all-time high, the gold price has not followed suit.
Monday, May 16, 2016
Here's Why the Gold and Silver Futures Market Is Like a Rigged Casino... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: A respectable number of Americans hold investments in gold and silver in one form or another. Some hold physical bullion, while others opt for indirect ownership via ETFs or other instruments. A very small minority speculate via the futures markets. But we frequently report on the futures markets – why exactly is that?
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks - Getting A Heartbeat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Richard_Mills
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (PwC) has recently released their 48th annual British Columbia Mining Report.
We all know commodity prices have been on a downward trend for the past five years. We also know several mines in the province have been put on care and maintenance and many early stage projects have seen their funding dry up.
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Saturday, May 14, 2016
Goldcorp Is Back and Spending: Could West Red Lake Gold Mines Be Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Goldcorp is fresh off an announced transaction of $520M for Kaminak Gold, which is a big win for the industry. The company has been quietly putting dollars in juniors, like $16M in Gold Standard Ventures, and there could be more to come. In this article, Resource Maven Gwen Preston discusses possible target West Red Lake Gold Mines and how this company is shaping up to take advantage of the initial turnaround in the market.