Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Silver Price Slide in Early Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: AnyOption
Commodity deflation has left no stone unturned and precious metals have not come away unscathed. Although promising as a store of value, recent moves by the Federal Reserve have seen some uncertainty surrounding Central Bank decision-making abate. Confidence in a December rate hike is high following a blockbuster jobs report that saw nonfarm payrolls surge to the highest level since December of 2014. Although current Fed Funds futures are rising towards the 70% threshold for liftoff at the mid-December FOMC meeting, the pressure is on for precious metals. A weak consumer inflationary dynamic combined with far-reaching commodity deflation is seeing investors abandon haven assets in favor of yield.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Rejecting the Keystone Pipeline / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
All thinking and rational students of economics and political policy should take note of the triumphed message sent out by the CREDO Action progressive group. The strategy to organize a massive civil disobedience confrontation has been absent from the public square for far too long. However, when the cause is so ill founded and based upon foolish economic realities, the protesting activists need to rethink their falsely placed suppositions.
Wednesday, November 11, 2015
Is There a Bright Spot in Energy Commodities? / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: The_Energy_Report
Demand for commodities is in the doldrums, but the fundamentals of uranium and lithium are favorable when compared with other materials, says Paul Renken, mining analyst for VSA Capital Ltd. In this interview with The Energy Report, Renken notes that rising demand for batteries will soon exert pressure on lithium production capacity and that well-placed uranium juniors are in position to meet demand from nuclear power plants now in development. Investors must be patient, but diligent selection will be rewarded.
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Gold, Stocks and the Elect a President Cycle Silly Season / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The Silly Season – the Elect a President Cycle – is upon us. We pretend the candidates matter and care about the American public and their values, we pretend the election is important, and we forget that the outcome is heavily influenced and/or controlled by Wall Street and the Military.
Hillary Clinton: “What difference does it make?”
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Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Political Climate Shifting Against The Oil And Gas Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil and gas companies have had a tough time over the past year trying to weather the storm of falling oil prices. But the political and financial winds are moving in the wrong direction for the industry, raising more "above ground" problems at a time that they can ill-afford it.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
One of America’s Largest Online Retailers Is Stockpiling Gold and Silver Coins to Pay Employees In Coming Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
One of America’s largest companies is preparing for problems in the banking and financial system and another financial crisis.
Online retail giant Overstock.com (OSTK), publicly stated that the company has stockpiled gold and silver coins in preparation for another U.S. financial crisis. Patrick Byrne, its founder and chief executive, is a libertarian who champions crypto currencies, bitcoin and gold and silver bullion as financial insurance against risk in the financial and monetary system.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Plunger’s Gold Bottom Watch / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Plunger
That’s where it appears we are now, the final drive to the bottom. Rambus’ weekend charts still show how bearish the PM charts are and it will take a lot of work to turn them around and get them pointed back up, Having said that I see the initial components we should expect to see of a bottom and turn entering into the picture. Call these pathway elements as they come before the bottom and take a bit of time to have their effect of bringing about the turn. First off what will propel the next bull leg in the PM stocks is the investment case for metal stocks. That is primary defined by the real price of gold and input costs into mines, That has been improving for over one year now. Mainly driven by the oil price, which imputes itself into all costs of a mining operation. Cheaper oil impacts not just extraction cost but costs of materials, explosives, those big expensive truck tires etc. Plus communities and governments are warming up to mining projects. Ecuador is a case in point, since oil revenue is down they need taxes from other sources and the mining sector is becoming favored again. Here is a view of the gold/oil relationship, note how the trend (30 EMA) is higher.
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
Gold Price Falls Through Key Technical Support, Must Hold Above $1,072 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jason_Hamlin
It has been a rough few weeks for gold investors, as the price has experienced a waterfall decline of over $100. First, the price dropped through key support at both the 200-day and 100-day moving averages. Then it proceeded to violate the uptrend (green line) that has been in place since July and support at the September low of $1,097.
Monday, November 09, 2015
Gold Price Breakdown Could Result in Slide to $800 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
The predictions made in the recent past for the dollar to rally and gold and silver to drop have proven to be correct. Gold has now dropped for 8 days in a row as we can see on its 3-month chart below, which common sense dictates is increasing the chances of a bounce soon, especially as Commercial short positions eased significantly last week and gold is arriving at a support level in an oversold condition. Gold is oversold relative to its moving averages, which are in bearish alignment.
Monday, November 09, 2015
Silver Price Forecast Plunge to as Low as $10 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
The last update posted on 18th October called a top in silver, and that is what it turned out to be. On its 3-month chart we can see that silver broke down from a small Head-and-Shoulders top at the end of October and then went into a steady day after day decline with the result that it has dropped now for 7 trading days in a row. While it could drop further towards or to the support shown, it is getting short-term oversold and is increasingly likely to bounce soon. As with gold this weakness was triggered by dollar strength, with the dollar rising sharply on Friday in response to a stronger than expected jobs report which the market thinks makes an interest rate rise more likely.
Monday, November 09, 2015
China’s Central Bank Buys Another 14 Tons of Gold … Bullion Falls To 3 Month Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- PBOC declared gold reserves now about 55.38 million troy ounces or 1,722.5 metric tonnes
- Central bank gold rose to $63.26 billion by end-month – less than 2% of $3.53 trillion FX reserves
- China disclosed on July 17th that its gold holdings had surged 57% since 2009
- China officially owns around 1,720 tonnes of gold – true total figure likely much larger
- China’s total gold holdings much higher as also owns gold in CIC
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Monday, November 09, 2015
The Big Silver ETF - Silver and Physical Inventory Part 2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
In a follow up to last week's excerpt from out recent Q&A with Ted Bulter, questions were asked warehouse movement in other commodities and about the big ETF...
Are you seeing the frantic movement of metal in other commodities markets?
Do you believe the ETF’s are actually backed by physical metal?
Saturday, November 07, 2015
Gold and Silver Precious Metals Sector Due for Bounce, but… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector has declined sharply in recent weeks with no pause or intermittent breaks in the decline. Including today, Gold is down eight consecutive days and 16 of the past 18 days. The gold miners (GDX) have lost roughly 20% in the past seven days. The sector is extremely oversold in the short term and a reflex rally culd begin in the next few days. While Gold and gold bugs should get temporary relief, the larger picture remains quite bearish.
Saturday, November 07, 2015
Shorts Savage Gold After Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has enjoyed a strong new uptrend in recent months following last summer’s extreme gold-futures shorting attack. But speculators returned with a vengeance this past week, aggressively dumping gold futures again following a hawkish surprise by the Fed. The resulting gold plunge shattered its support, and thrust sentiment back into hyper-bearish territory. But gold-futures shorting soon reverses to big buying.
In recent years the gold-futures trading by American speculators has utterly dominated the gold price. With investors still missing in action thanks to the Fed’s astounding stock-market levitation, speculators’ reign is unchallenged. Gold is not only at the mercy of their mercurial sentiment, the leveraged nature of futures speculation grants their collective trades an outsized impact on gold’s price. They rule the roost today.
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Saturday, November 07, 2015
Gold And Silver - Deception, Not Fundamentals Rule Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
There are two things we know for certain about gold and silver: 1. Fundamentals do not apply [currently], and 2. There are no signs to indicate an end to this half-decade old bear market.
There have been many calls for a turnaround in gold and silver since 2013. In fact, the calls were not just for a turnaround, but also calls for $10,000+ gold, and $400+ silver, starting in 2014. It became apparent to us in the first half of 2014 that it would end with a whimper, just as 2013 did, and as 2014 continued, it seemed equally as likely that 2015 may not fare much better, and it not only did not, but it got worse with lower prices and the prospects for still lower prices to come. This puts the first part of 2016 in question.
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Friday, November 06, 2015
Does Bond Market Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Many gold market analysts focus on irrelevant, but catchy factors, such as mining production or jewelry demand. Others think gold is a simple inflation or stock market hedge. It is a bit strange that the relationship between the bond and gold markets is not commonly examined, given that bond market is much bigger than stock market, while real interest rates are one of the main drivers of the price of gold. The negative relationship between gold and interest rates imply positive correlations with bond prices, since the price of bonds is negatively related to the yields they offer.
Friday, November 06, 2015
Oil Megaprojects Won't Stay On The Shelf For Long / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
One casualty of the oil price downturn could be the megaproject.For years, as conventional oil reserves depleted and became increasingly hard to find, oil companies ventured into far-flung locales to find new sources of production. Extracting oil from these frontier areas required more advanced technology and a lot more capital: Ultra deepwater, Arctic offshore, heavy oil sands, and increasingly, the Lower Tertiary.
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Friday, November 06, 2015
Silver Prices and Options Expiration / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Notes on what we covered…
- Review of the where we are in the series
- What are options?
- Life options versus financial options
- Options and derivatives
- Who writes the majority of options?
- Options Leverage
- OTC options
- Incentive for expiring out of the money and their influence on price.
- The set up for silver price volatility around options expiration
- Commercial shorts versus managed money traders.
- Being prepared for options expiration, and what you can do.
Thursday, November 05, 2015
Crude Oil Price More Weakness In Sight / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Gregor_Horvat
Crude oil has turned up in September when price broke out of a triangle placed in wave (b) so wave (c) was final with wave 4 pullback that reached 50.50 resistance from where sell-off occurred in October. As such, we suspect that WTI made a new swing now that will send price down into wave 5 back to 37.70. Broken corrective channel also suggests more weakness ahead,but after wave (ii) is complete.
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Thursday, November 05, 2015
The Discipline of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Consider these round number costs in digital (dishonest) dollars:
1,000 ounce Silver Bar $17,000
or Hillary Clinton speech $300,000
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