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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 22, 2013

Gold Derivative Distortions Perfect Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The purpose of this article is to explain how derivatives have distorted gold prices with particular reference to the US futures markets. This will enable us to anticipate the price effect when the distortion is eventually unwound.

When a derivative is created it diverts supply and demand from the underlying commodity. If it is then hedged into the underlying commodity the price effect is the same as if it was a simple commodity transaction. Enter the “honest speculator”, who is neither producer nor consumer, but seeks to profit by trading derivatives for profit, without an intention of taking delivery. The speculator who does not roll his positions into subsequent future contracts brings forward demand or supply only to reverse the price effect later in the life of the contract. In this case speculators provide liquidity with no lasting price distortions.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 20, 2013

President Obama Could Give Middle Class a Bailout with Oil SPR Release / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

QE Fueled Market Mania

It was another crazy day of speculation in the gasoline and oil markets, typical of the QE fueled shenanigans that happen every day for the last month in equities and oil. Speculators ran WTI up to $109 a barrel, and the RBOB contract up as high as $3.16 a gallon on Friday. So expect prices at the pump to continue to rise due to wild, rampant speculation in the futures market.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 20, 2013

Gold And Silver – When Precious Metals Bottom Is Irrelevant To Your Financial Health / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

As ardent as Precious Metals, [PMs], buyers are, a good many of them do not comprehend their importance. Everyone agrees they are resoundingly better than any fiat currency, as history has amply proven. However, few consider the why PMs are so anathema for all central bankers.

There was a time in this country when gold and silver were the coin of the realm. Actually, they still are! The Coinage Act of 1792 has never been repealed, and that means, by law, gold and silver are, [read section 20], the current money of account of the United States. There is a very potent message within that Act, and like we said last week, Knowledge is not of value, using it is.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 20, 2013

Strong Contrarian Buy Signal on Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Contrarian thinking is easy but successful contrarian investing is difficult. Most amateur contrarians neglect that the crowd is right most of the time. It’s only at market turning points where the crowd is wrong and contrarians are right. In recent weeks the voices against precious metals have not only appeared but grown. Weeks ago we debunked a rant of a widely followed mainstream blogger and commentator. He was ranting against the gold stocks and his rant was devoid of any analysis or actionable information. Meanwhile, more mainstream calls to sell gold stocks have popped up and during what likely will be exactly the most inopportune time to sell.  

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Commodities

Saturday, July 20, 2013

Gold vs Savings - Ben Bernanke vs. Rothschild's Obscure Clerk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Does the Fed chairman really not understand what drives savers to gold...?

BEN BERNANKE, today's most powerful banker, said this week that nobody really understands gold prices, including himself. Victorian Europe's richest man, and bullion broker to the Bank of England, N.M.Rothschild at least took the trouble to check.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Gold Short Squeeze / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Futures speculators have responded to this year’s extreme bearishness plaguing gold by amassing wildly-outlying record short positions in it.  These huge and highly-leveraged bets can only be unwound by buying gold futures to cover the shorts.  As gold continues rebounding out of its recent hyper-oversold lows, the futures traders on the short side will have to buy.  This will likely fuel a massive short squeeze.

Major short squeezes are the stuff of market legends, rare and extreme events.  Whenever a price falls particularly far and fast, traders wax exceptionally bearish on it.  They extrapolate the downside action continuing indefinitely, and some want to play that momentum.  So they reverse the usual trade of buying low then selling high.  They effectively borrow the asset from someone else to sell it in the open market.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Gold Miners "Rushing to Hedge" as Gold Price Rallies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD crept higher in quiet summer trade in London on Friday, adding 0.4% for the week as world stock markets also rose but commodity prices fell back.

Silver held 2.5% below last Friday's finish in Dollars.

Government bond prices were unchanged.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

U.S. Gasoline Supplies Highest for July Period Since 1992 / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: EconMatters

Refiners actually try to keep low inventories to have illusion of ‘tighter’ markets

Gasoline supplies had a substantial build in inventories, up 3.1 million barrels, and looking back at the EIA data, July is in the heart of the summer driving season, and refineries run at their highest utilization rates. Well, there has never been a period in July where inventories are as high in gasoline supplies as currently exists in recent energy statistics. We have to go all the back to 1992 to find supplies for the July period higher than they are right now, and it isn`t by much.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Gold and Silver Miners Rolling Over Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The bullish case for silver is easy enough to make. It also makes sense that if the price per ounce eventually takes off, then the miners would do well.

Nevertheless, the problems that silver miners face are multifaceted and will be discussed further in the following sections.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Cheap Gold and Silver Prices - The Deal of a Lifetime? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The gold and silver markets have fallen dramatically in the wake of the FOMC signaling an end to its controversial Quantitative Easing or QE programs. The pricing in of such FedspeakQE taper-talk has also triggered a yield spike in southern Europe that could deepen that region’s existing debt crisis.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Russia and the Next Oil Crisis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Clif_Droke

On the global market scene, Russia has been one of the major laggards this year. The Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX), a reflection of the country's stock market, fell 22% from its high earlier this year. RSX was testing a three-year low not more than a month ago and seemed to be in danger of breaking below this major long-term support.

Keeping in mind that the stock market is the single best barometer of future business and economic conditions, as per the old Dow Theory saw, things looked pretty bleak for Russia this summer...that is until the country caught a break from a major development in the commodities market.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Gold Bullish Forces / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: Earlier this week, I was at The Oxford Club’s Private Wealth Seminar in Ojai, Calif.

It’s the same place Jimmy Kimmel got married at over the weekend. Apparently

I just missed catching a glimpse of Jennifer Aniston and Ellen DeGeneres.

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Commodities

Friday, July 19, 2013

Five Signs Uranium Price Could Explode Higher In The Second Half / Commodities / Uranium

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Major institutions such as JPMorgan are predicting uranium prices could move to $90 in 2016. I think it could happen even sooner.

Uranium (URA) could soar over the second half of this year. I believe the sector is making a major comeback. Long-term uranium investors are well aware of the exceptional gains in this sector like in 2007 when many uranium miners soared more than a 1,000% due to a supply shortfall. It could happen again sooner rather than later.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

The Powerful Case For Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

I am a well-known "gold bug" because of my strongly voiced opinion that gold has been one of the best assets for protecting yourself from the US dollar's prolonged decline.

Lately, the precious metals have taken a beating, and I've been called to defend gold's future prospects in the media countless times. While I am confident that gold will rebound with a vengeance before long, I think investors are potentially missing an even greater opportunity in that other monetary metal: silver.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Now Time to Buy Gold Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The most important Wednesday’s event was Ben Bernanke‘s testimony. The Fed Chairman said the U.S. central bank still expects to start scaling back bond purchases later in the year, but left open the option of changing that plan if needed.

We all know that every action has a reaction. Yesterday gold rallied and climbed to a three-week high at $1,300 per ounce after Bernanke's remarks. This optimism didn’t last long. The yellow metal gave up the gains as the dollar remained strong and dropped slightly above $1,270 later in the day.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Gold Price Rallies But Very Oversold Mining Stocks Extend Losses / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE GOLD traded in a tight range around $1280 per ounce Thursday morning after recovering over a third of yesterday's $30 drop from 4-week highs.

Gold miner equities, in contrast, extended their fall as broader stock markets rose.

By lunchtime in London, African Barrick, spun out of the world's largest gold producer in 2010, stood 2.2% lower but held above last month's record low.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Gold and Silver Investors Greatest Secret Weapon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Steve_St_Angelo

As the FED turns up the heat in the central bank frying pan, the frogs (public) don't realize they are being cooked to death by inflation.  I am quite amazed how loud the sizzling sound has become, but for some odd reason hardly anyone notices it.

Unfortunately, we are well past the point of no return.  It's only a matter of time now before the whole "Financial Cliff" falls off the mountain side.  Until then, gold and silver investors will have to put up with some of the worst analysis ever to come out of government and MSM.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Gold and Silver Obviously Hit by Bernanke Testimony Bear Raid / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

Benny made it perfectly clear in his Humphrey Hawkins testimony today that QE, in whatever forms and permutations, is here to stay at least for this year. And when the Fed expands its Balance Sheet, it is most certainly 'creating money,' although as I have said often enough 'printing' is a colloquial expression of the same sentiment.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Technology Advancements Changing the Fossil Fuels Game / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil and gas is getting bigger, deeper, faster and more efficient, with new technology chipping away at "peak oil" concerns. While hydraulic fracturing has been the most visible revolutionary advancement, other high-tech developments are keeping the ball rolling--from the next generation of ultra-deepwater drillships, subsea oil and gas infrastructure and multi-well-pad drilling to M2M networking, floating LNG facilities, new dimensions in seismic imagery and supercomputing for analog exploration.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

The Game of Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

Begin with what we know:

  • Death and taxes.

  • Political influence affects almost everything including most markets and much of the economy.

  • MSM news is NOT a reliable source of information upon which to make decisions regarding silver investments.

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