Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Still Waiting For The Gold Rally, The Good News Bears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Gold continues to struggle and so do explorers. I am seeing encouragement in the trading of some discovery stories but this is a very small subset of the junior sector.
I think the precious metals markets are well set up for a rally but gold rallies don’t usually happen in the summer. It’s still possible but I don’t think a rally strong enough to drag the juniors along for the ride can be assumed in the short term.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Are You Protected from Crude Oil Price Downside? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Remember when oil shot up to $148 a barrel? Chen Lin does, and he sees potential for Wall Street market manipulation to push the oil price in the opposite direction—as low as $47 a barrel. Plus, he's bearish on China now. The good news is that Lin, publisher of What Is Chen Buying/Selling?, was willing to share his personal investment strategy in his interview with The Energy Report. Find out where Lin booked profits this year and get the names he's turning to for protection against oil price downside.
The Energy Report: What have been the most important changes in the oil and gas markets since your last interview in February?
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Now is the Time to Buy the "New Gold" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Peter Krauth writes: On May 15, Christie's auction house sold a huge diamond to the Harry Winston firm for $27 million, setting a new record price for a colorless diamond in the process.
And while diamonds have been a girl's best friend long before Marilyn Monroe crooned those words, it's always been tough for investors to get into the game. Diamonds are considered one of those esoteric fields; an area of investing too small, complex, and exclusive to bother with for most.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Gold Price Forecasts Cut by Bank Analysts Again as US Fed Tries to Temper "Taper Talk" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
PRECIOUS METALS rallied in London on Tuesday morning as European stock markets also bounced with commodity prices.
Gold and silver recovered half of yesterday's 1.7% and 3.1% drops respectively.
The US Dollar eased back on the currency market, as did major government bond yields.
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Buying Gold On Dip - Russia, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyz Republic, Turkey / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,285.00, EUR 979.42 and GBP 831.88 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,283.25, EUR 978.98 and GBP 836.21 per ounce.
Gold fell $11.70 or 0.90% yesterday and closed at $1,282.30/oz. Silver slid to a low of $19.453 and finished down 2.14%.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Prediction for a Brand New World for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The quant who produces Trader Tracks newsletter tells The Gold Report that the technical charts project a brightening future for precious metals. Technical market analyst Roger Wiegand tracks annual trading cycles while keeping an expert eye on potentially disruptive world events. He is a stickler for fundamentals, though, when it comes to picking out the best juniors for safe bets in a cash-poor industry.
The Gold Report: In early 2012, Roger, you predictedthat the price of gold would rise to over $2,000/ounce ($2,000/oz) during the year. But as the overall stock market increased in value, the yellow metal went in the opposite direction. What happened?
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Ben Bernanke's Real Message for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Don't fall for propaganda from the Federal Reserve about tapering quantitative easing, says ShadowStats editor John Williams in this interview with The Gold Report. His corrected economic indicators show the U.S. is nowhere near a recovery and the Fed will have to increase rather than decrease bond buying to prop up the banks and push off inevitable dollar debasement. That could be very bad for savers, but good for gold.
The Gold Report: On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hinted that it might begin tapering quantitative easing by the end of the year based on signs of an improving economy. Gold immediately dropped from $1,347 an ounce ($1,347/oz) to $1,277/oz, a 7% decline and the lowest price in more than two years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ were also off more than 2%. You called this "jawboning" and said that due to stresses in the banking system the Fed would be obliged to continue bond buying. Why would the central bank threaten to cut off the flow if it didn't plan to do it?
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Is Gold Price Trying to Tell Us Another 2008 Crisis is Lurking in the Shadows? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This monthly gold chart is drawn on the logarithmic scale in order to remove some of the melodrama to the latest correction. Linear charts emphasize nominal price movement while a log chart emphasizes the percentage movement. By reviewing gold’s latest correction on a percentage basis, we can put things into a little bit better perspective. The 2008 correction was 26%; the current correct thus far has been 30%. In short, we’ve been here before though you wouldn’t know it from all the catterwauling at our favorite financial cable network and other media outlets (not to mention Wall Street itself). Granted we might not, as yet, have reached bottom, but then again, we could be close.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Gold Investors Keep Calm and Carry On / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Legendary businessman Steve Forbes once said, "Everyone is a disciplined, long-term investor until the market goes down." It's challenging to have the fortitude to hold on to investments during a one-day carnage event like last Thursday. Everywhere you looked there was red on the screen, as U.S. stocks lost 2.5 percent, commodity equities lost 3 percent and gold declined 5 percent. Gold stocks took one of the biggest blows, falling about 7.5 percent.
So what should an investor do after a day like Thursday? Stay calm and invest on, as I believe there is opportunity in picking up what the bears left behind. Here are a few ideas to ponder.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Resources Sector Nuclear Winter? Not Yet! / Commodities / Resources Investing
By Andrey Dashkov, Research Analyst
The late 1990s for the resource sector was so challenging that it is now often referred to as the "nuclear winter" of the industry. Some analysts are comparing our current circumstances to that period, while others purport we haven't hit bottom yet.
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Changes in the Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: Photographic demand for silver has fallen 70% from its peak. What could possibly fill that gap...?
BACK in the good old days, a physical silver trader's dream would be to land a photographic company as a customer.
Polaroid, Kodak, Fuji and many more were on this list of prospects. This industry was a tremendous behemoth in the silver market.
Monday, June 24, 2013
Stunning Chart Shows Gold and Silver Defy Bulls' Optimism / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Gold and silver have been all over the financial news.
On Thursday, June 20, silver fell below $20 (-60% from 2011 high), and gold fell below $1300 (-30% from 2011 high).
We first published the chart below after metals plunged in mid-April. It shows EWI's forecasts not only leading up to those big moves ... but during the past three years of opportunity.
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Monday, June 24, 2013
Extreme Energy, Extreme Implications / Commodities / Energy Resources
If oil and gas is a profoundly dynamic phenomenon, then so too must be environmental risk and conflicts over natural resources--and we are not getting the full picture from the mainstream media, according to Michael T. Klare, professor of peace and world security studies at Hampshire College, TomDispatch blogger, and author of Rising Powers, Shrinking Planet: The New Geopolitics of Energy (Metropolitan Books, 2008). As risk multiply, conventional sources evaporate and we are left with "extreme" energy, renewables may be the only way to avoid war and disaster.
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Monday, June 24, 2013
Marc Faber - Incredibly Bad Sentiment Makes Gold and Bonds a Buy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
PRECIOUS METALS fell for the 5th session in six Monday morning in London, with gold retreating to $1280 per ounce as the US Dollar rose and most other tradable assets fell once again.
London and Paris' stock markets dropped 2.0% by lunchtime. Commodities also fell, extending their worst 1-week drop since October.
Monday, June 24, 2013
Australian Gold Stocks Sector Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
The Australian gold sector (XGD) is selling today (intra-day) at a record 53.56% below its 200dma. This is a rare event indeed as even the 2008 violent panic crash produced a low around 48% below the 200dma at that time. This current crash on the Australian XGD is a fall of 66% since October 2012 and a fall of 75% from the all-time high of 8498.9 in April 2011.
To understand this index you have to look at its makeup. The index is weighted and therefore dominated by our largest gold stock Newcrest which has fared very badly this month. Therefore the Newcrest weighting in the index has lessened over the recent month. This stock has fallen 56.1% since the 27th March this year and 36.63% since the 4th of June alone. With Newcrest down so far you have to ask where the rest of the sector is relative to old lows right now.
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Monday, June 24, 2013
Gold Price Could Go to $700 or $3000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
That's the question that Gold traders and investors are asking themselves.
Gold has now reached a climax point that long term traders get to really find out if Gold is still in a bull market or finally in a long term bear market.
No matter how you look at it, Gold has been in a bear market for the past few years, whilst long term you could argue its still in an up trend, I think the decision about the direction of Gold being in a long term bull trend is about to be decided shortly.
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Monday, June 24, 2013
Ron Paul: Gold Price Could Go to 'Infinity' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,283.25, EUR 978.98 and GBP 836.21 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,290.25, EUR 976.28 and GBP 833.33 per ounce.
Gold climbed $15.50 or 1.21% on Friday and closed at $1,294.00/oz. Silver reached a high of $20.121 and finished up 2.19%. Gold and silver were both down on the week -6.93% and -9.07% respectively.
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Sunday, June 23, 2013
Gold and Silver Price Plunge, What Triggered the Knife to Fall? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
In the wee morning hours before dawn on Thursday, June 20, the precious metals' rooster crowed, "*****-a-doodle-DOH!"
It was the ultimate wake-up call:
Read full article... Read full article...First, gold prices plummeted 4% then 5% then 6% below $1300 per ounce to their lowest level in nearly three years. Soon, silver followed in an even steeper drop below $20.
Sunday, June 23, 2013
What Kind of Fools Are Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
On the whole, the world's central banks are now net buyers of gold, and have been for some time, after being net sellers for over twenty years.
Russia is one example.
Why do you think they are buying it? They don't understand money?
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Sunday, June 23, 2013
U.S. Fed Meeting Did Not End Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This week’s Fed meeting saw members putting forward a provisional timetable for the tapering and the end of QE3. This triggered a sharp decline in gold prices, as additional QE has been a major driver of higher prices in recent years. One question we are getting asked is did this FOMC meeting end the gold bull market?
Our answer is no, this Fed meeting did not end the gold bull market.
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