Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 11, 2012
Gold Bounces Back after Spanish Ratings Cut / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices climbed back above $1770 an ounce during Thursday morning's London trading – still a few Dollars below where it started the week – as the Euro also recovered ground following falls overnight after Spain had its credit rating cut.
Stock markets edged higher this morning, as did most industrial commodities, while US Treasury bonds fell and German bund prices gained.
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Thursday, October 11, 2012
Gold & Gold Stocks Readying for Upturn Against Equities / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In the wake of the Fed’s announcement of open-ended or as I like to call it, permanent quantitative (QE) easing, mainstream advisors and pundits have found another way to promote stocks. Recently I heard one popular media pundit say based on QE buy stocks but not gold stocks. Also, pundits are instructing followers to buy Apple based on QE. What nonsense. This stuff practically writes itself. Next, when inflation takes hold we’ll hear about how stocks are an inflation hedge. The reality is the cyclical bull market in equities is approaching its end and will give way to the bull market in Gold and gold stocks which is set to move into the recognition phase.
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Thursday, October 11, 2012
Which Biofuels Hold the Most Promise for the Future / Commodities / Bio-Fuels
Following record droughts across the United States the benefits of the ethanol subsidy were once again hotly debated and biofuels in general found themselves generating quite a few unflattering headlines. But as always the mainstream media overreacted and we wanted to help put the record straight as to whether biofuels are an expensive folly or if they really do offer an affordable source of liquid fuel that can help us lower our reliance upon gasoline.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Silver Time-frame Trend Probabilities / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
I know it is practically heresy to suggest silver and gold could go down (gold and silver perma-bulls – you know who you are), especially after Bernanke has announced $40 Billion per month of bank bailouts (QE4-Ever) that is supposed to increase employment, but consider:
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Bill Gross Says Gold Will Thrive in ‘Ring of Fire’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Bill Gross is one of the most recognizable names in the investment world. He is the founder and co-chief investment officer at bond fund giant PIMCO. His long-term track record regarding bonds is among the best and he still runs the world’s biggest bond fund, the PIMCO Total Return Fund.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Gold Slips in Tight Range / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
U.S. DOLLAR gold prices slipped for a third day in London on Wednesday, rallying from 2-week lows beneath $1761 per ounce as world stock markets also fell once again and industrial commodities held flat overall.
Silver bullion prices ticked higher to approach $34 per ounce. The Euro currency steadied above a 1-week low of $1.2850.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Silver Was Confiscated by Franklin D Roosevelt Too! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Anyone who follows the gold market knows that President Franklin D Roosevelt confiscated gold in 1933 with Executive order 6102. What seems to have been forgotten is that silver was effectively confiscated as well. I have been involved with silver for over 25 years and this fact was unknown to me until recently, in fact many silver bugs don’t know that this happened.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Gold, Silver, GDX, GDXJ and the HUI / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The embattled mining sector is breathing a little easier of late as gold and silver mining stock prices show signs of improvement. In order to try and keep this latest flurry of activity in perspective we examine the progress being made at differing time intervals. This is a comparative analysis of gold and silver, a gold miners ETF, a junior gold miners ETF and an index which broadly represents those miners which do not hedge their production.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
How Helicopter Ben Helps Jobs and, Inadvertently, Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The world’s central bank leaders continue to spike the monetary punch bowl, with investors imbibing on gold once again. This flurry of gold buying prompts many curious investors and doubting media to ask me two questions: 1) How can demand for gold and gold stocks continue; and 2) How high can the precious metal go?
To answer these questions, we need to look at the intentions behind the economic and political decision-making across several developed countries, analyze the causes, the effects, and the possible ramifications.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2012
Silver Prices, Priceless Rumors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Strange rumors have been cropping up in the silver market lately — all seemingly designed to quell relatively buoyant market sentiment.
One example was the recent CFTC story printed on the Financial Time’s front page citing a source predicting that the silver market manipulation case will soon be dropped.
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Monday, October 08, 2012
Gold Traders Bullish But "Caution Advised" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE-MARKET prices to buy gold fell 0.5% to $1770 per ounce in Asian and London trade Monday, holding more than $25 below Friday's new 11-month high as world stock markets also fell together with commodity prices.
Chinese traders wanting to buy gold saw the price fall sharply as the Shanghai futures market re-opened after the long Golden Week holidays.
Monday, October 08, 2012
The SCO, China, Iran, and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
I make no apology for returning to the subject of China, its role in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and gold. Gold is now a strategic metal for present and future SCO governments, which between them have over 40% of the world’s population; and now that the price of gold is re-establishing its rising trend, understanding its future role as a replacement for the US dollar is increasingly urgent, because gold is wealth and this wealth is being transferred from west to east.
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Monday, October 08, 2012
How Silver Protects Ones Purchasing Power Over Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Paul Behan writes: It is hard to find a better example of how silver protects purchasing power over long periods than to look at the story of the Australian 1966 “round” 50 cent piece.
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Monday, October 08, 2012
Silver Investors Face Bloodbath Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
A bloodbath is believed to be imminent in the silver market, now that its cheerleaders have herded their flocks into the corral, ready to be fleeced again.
In the last update posted early last week, we expressed the view that an intermediate top was forming in gold and silver, a view that is reinforced further by the inability of both metals to break higher later in the week, and the now towering Commercial short position in silver as revealed by the latest COTs.
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Monday, October 08, 2012
Gold Price Set for Sharp Drop, Opportunity to Go Short / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
It has been widely assumed across the markets that the forces of deflation have been vanquished by the Fed's making it plain a couple of weeks ago that it is going to throw all of its firepower into the battle to defeat it. So let's make this as clear as possible - the forces of deflation will not be defeated by anything until they done their work of expunging the massive overhang of debt from the system. The Fed's latest stated policy is merely a display of desperation and a symptom of intellectual bankruptcy in that they seem to think that more of what created the problems in the first place is now going to somehow fix them. We are going into a depression anyway, and they have made it plain that for good measure they are going to destroy the currency into the bargain. In reality, all they are trying to do is buy as much time as possible - they know they are cornered and that the system is doomed and procrastination is all that is left to them.
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Sunday, October 07, 2012
Financial Repression: Invisible Taxation, Surprise Inflation and Gold Confiscation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
What is financial repression in a nutshell? Financial repression is invisible taxation which erodes the purchasing power of individuals via inflation. "By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily; and, while the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some..." wrote Lord Keynes in The Economic Consequences of the Peace in 1919, in the aftermath of the Treaty of Versailles that followed the First World War and delivered "Carthaginian peace" sowing the seeds for the second global conflict within two decades.
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Sunday, October 07, 2012
The Final Gold Price Run Trend Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
If ever an up-trending market is without a health restoring correction process, investors seemingly have leaned too far to the side of one bias. Generally the result is an ‘approaching top’. This might be the case now since Gold is contained within a sideways structure; a pattern that represents indecision and lack of direction. But under different circumstances, particular price behavior of this kind can presage a grimmer outcome.
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Hard Times For Vanity Tech Energy / Commodities / Energy Resources
STRESSFUL STRESS TESTS
The accident risk stress tests on European nuclear reactors, like the economic, financial and environmental stress tests on European biodiesel fuel production are delivering bad news for defenders and promoters of high cost vanity tech "solutions" to Europe's mostly imaginary energy problems. Upstream, these new hits are another blow to Europe's now creaky climate-energy policy and program package of 2008 - underlining yet again that this package is now badly in need of total reform or simply shredding.
Saturday, October 06, 2012
Gold Bull Market Opposing Forces / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
What accounts for gold's strong performance since the initial rebound in July? That's the question that many analysts are (belatedly) trying to answer. The first and most obvious answer is stimulus; specifically the stimulus provided by the world's leading central bank in the U.S. The Federal Reserve's latest bond-buying scheme known as QE3 is to date the biggest stimulus aid that has had an impact in boosting the gold price.
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Syrian Civil War Impact On Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
There is a popular belief in the Middle East that Washington's foreign policy, particularly as it relates to this precarious region, is largely driven by America's dependency on, and insatiable appetite for Arab oil. One can make a good argument for that.
Had Syria been a major oil producing country chances are the US would have already dispatched military forces to impose a pax Americana and to put a stop to the horrific fighting that has been slowly, but without any doubt, ripping Syria apart and dismantling the infrastructures that make the Syrian state what it is today. Even if the war was to end today it would take years for Syria to return to its pre-war position from an economic and military perspective.
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