Monday, October 02, 2017
The Fed’s Tightening Because the US Dollar Is in Big Trouble / Currencies / US Dollar
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now, to welcome back our good friend David Morgan, of The Morgan Report. David, it's always a real pleasure to have you on with us. How are you, sir?
David Morgan: Mike, I'm doing well. Thank you for having me.
Mike Gleason: Well, first off, let's discuss what's been driving the recent pullback in your view. Gold was over $1,350 not too long ago and is now is decisively back under $1,300, as we're talking here on Wednesday afternoon. Silver has pulled back, and is moving toward the lower end of its year-long trading range, and has a 16 handle, once again. So what do you make of the recent market action, and what's behind it David?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Bitcoin is Not New and Improved Money / Currencies / Bitcoin
Cryptocurrencies are being billed as a new and improved form of money that has been offered to us courtesy of technological evolution. There is a big problem with this conclusion. That is, digital money is not money at all. And proving this truth serves to underscore why gold has been utilized as the best form of money for thousands of years.
In the 2013 film titled “Her,” lonely Theodore, played by Joaquin Phoenix, falls in love with Samantha, an operating system. Despite Samantha’s lack of physical presence, the two have a somewhat normal relationship that includes vacations, socializing with friends, fights and even jealousy. But just as the audience starts buying into this unconventional pairing the plug is pulled on Samantha, and she disappears into a cyberspace vortex; leaving poor and lonely Theodore heartbroken.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
The Fed Knew QE Wouldn’t Work From The Start / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
When is a mystery not a mystery? When Janet Yellen is puzzling over a lack of inflation, that’s when. So says Brian Wesbury, chief economist, and Robert Stein, deputy chief economist of First Trust, in the following essay (featured in my Outside the Box).
The bottom line: QE didn’t work—and Janet knew it was unlikely to work—from the start.
So where did all that easy money go? I think I’ll let the authors tell you. I think you’ll enjoy this brief, clear-headed essay.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
USDCNH Broke Above Major Resistance Trend Line / Currencies / Forex Trading
USDCNH extended its upside movement from 6.4412 to as high as 6.6777, breaking through a major bearish trend line on its daily chart, confirming that the bearish movement from 6.8588 had completed at 6.4412 already.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
The Importance of Multi-carrier Software to Reduce the Logistic Cost / Companies / Shipping
...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Gold – A Simpler & Better Explanation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The emotional adamancy which dominates most analysis of gold contributes to confusion and misunderstanding. For example, “Backdrop For Gold Today Is As Bullish As It Has Been In A Long Time”; or “Precious Metal Sector Is On Major Buy Signal”. These and other similar claims are often supported by reams of technical analysis – the best that money can buy.
And this is on top of general misstatements of fact. It would appear that there is virtually no justification for lower gold prices except when caused by manipulation associated with conspiratorial forces.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Are the US Markets setting up for an Early October Surprise? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Many analysts have recently warned that the US markets are setting up for a potentially massive correction, 40~70% some warn. Our own analysis has shown massive market cycles that correlate with an October market correction. Our VIX cycle analysis indicates that we should be expecting a spike in the VIX right now (within the next 3~4 days). What does all this mean in reality for the average investor?
As investors, we have to determine the amount of risk compared to the amount of potential gain in any trade. Our job is to measure this relationship properly and to attempt to find opportunities in taking risks for an adequate amount of gain. Often, this business is difficult to manage expectations and presumed risk factors for traders. We’ve been trading, combined, for over 40+ years and have learned that the markets don’t always do what we expect them to do. A perfect example is our most recent VIX Spike call for Sept 9th ~ 12th. Even though our analysis was valid and accurate, we did not see the VIX spike levels we had projected to happen – such is life in the markets. We strive every week to deliver superior analysis, trading triggers/alerts and daily markets updates to our clients. Right or wrong, we live by our abilities to call successful trading triggers and provide timely and accurate market research.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Silver is on a Long-term Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Switching On a New Custom Gaming PC For the First Time (4) / Personal_Finance / How to Guides
In part 4 of our buying a custom built gaming PC from an online builder such as OverClockers UK series, we connect the PC up and switch it on for the first time. Lets see what to expect when a new PC power ups for the first time to a freshly installed copy of Windows 10.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 02, 2017
Spanish New Civil War Begins as Madrid Regime Storm Troopers Quell Catalan Independence Rebellion / Politics / Spain
According the news reports more than 1,000 people attempting to vote in Sunday's Independence Referendum have been injured by the heavy handed tactics of the Madrid storm troopers sent in to quell the Catalan peoples uprising against the brewing Spanish dictatorship. Which is as I warned in my earlier extensive analysis could sow the seeds for a new Spanish civil war, for it should not be forgotten that during the 1930's it was a fascist Madrid regimes actions in Catalonia that sparked that civil war that ended with the ushering in of the Franco dictatorship.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 01, 2017
Catalonia and other EU Disasters / Politics / Spain
I’ve seen a lot of videos and photos of the Catalonia attempt to hold a referendum today (Tyler has a “nice” series of them), and what struck me most of all, apart from the senseless violence police forces were seen to engage in, is the lack of violence on the side of protesters.
So when I see the Interior Ministry claim that 11 policemen were injured, That is hard to take serious. Not that the Catalans had no reason to resist or even fight back. That hundreds of protesters, including scores of grandma’s, are injured is obvious from watching the videos. Since rubber bullets were used in large numbers, fatal injuries are quite possible.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 01, 2017
Stock Market Brief 1st October 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Technically Speaking.
The market continues to display a full bull configuration. The Dow Theory divergence that existed in August, between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports, has completely disappeared. In fact the Transport Index, which had been faltering, having had a confirmed price cross-over on its 200 Daily Moving Average, is now technically leading. This is particularly bullish given the recent rise in oil prices. An additional indicator of current technical strength is the fact that the recent pullbacks in Apple, Amazon and Oracle did no damage to overall market sentiment.
Sunday, October 01, 2017
DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO Soft Commodites ETF's Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My last update on Soft’s was back in mid-April here: https://surfcity.co/2017/04/12/soft-commodities/
Are Soft commodities finding a major low here? Could be but it will vary by commodity and could take another few months to a year for some.
Here is update with charts on DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO and I may add Sugar and Coffee later if I find time. The first three charts are DBA which covers a broad mix of various softs. Also charts on SOYB for Soybeans and JJG, an ETF that buys Futures in Soybeans, Corn and Wheat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 01, 2017
How To Survive and Thrive in a Zlatan Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
REPORTER: “Who will win the World Cup playoff?”
ZLATAN: “Only God knows who will go through.”
REPORTER: “It’s hard to ask him.”
ZLATAN: “You’re talking to him.”
REPORTER: “What did you get your wife for her birthday?”
ZLATAN: “Nothing. She already has Zlatan.”
Read full article... Read full article...ZLATAN: “I can’t help but laugh at how perfect I am.”
Sunday, October 01, 2017
Spain Ignores Scotland Lesson as Catalan Independence Referendum Could Spark Civil War / Politics / Spain
The cry going out across Catalonia is that if a far less populous region such as Scotland can hold an Independence Referendum then why are the people of Catalonia being denied the same right. The Madrid regime instead of following the cue from Westminister which did not stand in the way of the Scottish people having a vote to leave the United Kingdom held in September 2014, the Spanish regime has instead decreed that the people of Catalonia do not have the freedom to vote for potential independence from an increasingly dictatorial Spanish state, as evidenced by the threats and show of force in the form of thousands of armed police sent into Catalonia in an attempt to shut down all political dissent and prevent today's Referendum vote from taking place.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 30, 2017
I Thought I Was Middle Class / Politics / Social Issues
“The best way to teach your kids about taxes is by eating 30% of their ice cream.” – Bill Murray
When I saw that slimy tentacle of the Goldman Sachs vampire squid, Gary Cohn, bloviating about Trump’s tax plan and how it was going to do wonders for the middle class, I knew I was probably going to get screwed again. And after perusing the outline of their plan, it is certain I will be getting it up the ass once again from my beloved government.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Another Potential Game Changer for Gold Supply: Chinese Oil Imports Convertible to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Jeff Clark : There are clear supply pressures coming to the gold market, so the last thing it needed was a new source of demand. But that’s exactly what it’s about to get, and as you’ll see, it could potentially push supply into a strained predicament. If this new development catches on it could lead to some fireworks in the gold market.
This source of demand comes from China’s announcement that oil exporters to China will accept yuan as payment. This is normally done in dollars (hence known as the petrodollar system). The yuan is not well established internationally yet, so as an incentive, China will offer its exporters the option to convert their yuan into gold. This will essentially result in a new source of gold demand, one not currently present in the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Kevin Warsh May Be the Next Fed Head—Let’s See What He Really Thinks / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
As reported earlier this morning by the Wall Street Journal, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin met with Kevin Warsh yesterday to discuss the potential vacancy at the Fed next February.
Warsh already has central banking experience, having sat on the Federal Open Market Committee as a Fed governor from February 2006 until March 2011.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Gold Bull Market Uplegs in Three Stages / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold bull markets offer outstanding opportunities for traders to grow their wealth. These bulls consist of series of alternating uplegs and corrections. Naturally the best times to buy low within ongoing bulls are right after corrections when major new uplegs are being born. Gold uplegs have three distinct stages that are evident in real-time in key datasets. Understanding how gold uplegs play out leads to superior gains.
Bull markets in gold can be exceedingly profitable for investors and speculators. The last secular gold bull ran between April 2001 to August 2011. During that 10.4-year span, gold powered 638.2% higher! That radically bested the general stock markets’ 1.9% loss per the S&P 500 over that same time frame. Hardened contrarians willing to buy low as gold bottoms after long bears can ride all of gold’s big bull gains.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 30, 2017
Traders Classroom - Here's What Your Price Charts Are Hiding from You (Video) / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
Here's What Your Price Charts Are Hiding from You
Read full article... Read full article...