Thursday, September 26, 2019
News and Emotions Aside, This Is Where Stocks and Precious Metals Are Headed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
If you follow the headline news, read multiple articles a day from different sources on the markets, and are human then you are likely underperforming the market in which you are trying to beat like gold, miners, the SP500 index or whatever it may be.
The information I talk about below and in this video should be a real eye opener for those have not seen technical analysis in action, just how clear the we can see what the stock market, bonds, metals, oil and more will do next. Even at a time like this when the markets are gyrating all over hte place from week to week, we can still gauge our risk and be a winner.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 26, 2019
The Disaster of Negative Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates
The dollar strengthened against the euro in August, merely in anticipation of the European Central Bank slashing its key interest rate further into negative territory. Investors were fleeing into the dollar, prompting President Trump to tweet on Aug. 30:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 26, 2019
Democrats Launch Formal Trump Impeachment – What Should Gold, Stock Traders Expect? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
News of the formal impeachment proceedings came just after the markets closed on September 24, 2019. The markets had already broken a bit lower most of the day after Consumer Confidence and Jobs expectations were weaker than expected. We had just authored a public research post about our belief that the Technology sector was about to breakdown and begin to move lower. Additionally, we pushed out a post about how Silver would become the “Super-Hero” of 2019/2020 based on our expectations of further gains.
We believe the new impeachment proceedings will result in a market that is very similar to what happened when the US invaded Kuwait in August 1990. At that time, the US launched a very fast invasion of Kuwait that prompted a massive news event and resulted in hours of new invasion video that drew millions of Americans into watching the news every night. This invasion was almost like an extended Super Bowl or an extended World Series event where millions of people are actively engaged in this event, stop engaging in the local economy and focus their attentions on the news cycle, content and political circus originating in DC. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 26, 2019
5 Tips For Building A Winning Trading Strategy / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Ford Falls Off a Cliff—These 3 Companies Could Be Next / Companies / Corporate Bonds
It’s been a long time coming.
PIMCO, the world’s largest bond hedge fund, has been warning investors about this for months. So has Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell.
So I wasn’t surprised when the first domino in the corporate debt crisis fell last week…
Credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded Ford Motor Co.’s bonds from investment grade to “junk” status last Monday.
The downgrade affected Ford’s entire $84-billion debt load, according to Bloomberg.
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Day Trading versus Casino Gambling: is there really a difference? / Personal_Finance / Gambling
...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
To Fix the Economy, Fix Healthcare / Economics / US Economy
If you are American and you have health insurance, you probably get it from either your employer or some kind of government program. Or possibly both, if the government is your employer.
Almost no one in the US gets health insurance on their own. We can’t afford to buy it and insurers can’t afford to sell it, thanks to our crazy patchwork system. As a result, people fall through the gaps and millions remain uninsured.
Even many who are insured might as well not be, since exorbitant deductibles leave them practically uncovered.
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Amazon Could Soon Be the World’s Biggest Shipping Company / Companies / Amazon
Amazon (AMZN) kicked off the internet shopping boom in the ‘90s when it started shipping books.These days, you can click a button and get almost anything delivered to your door.
Amazon sold $164 billion worth of stuff on its website this year.
If there were a disruptor stock hall of fame, Amazon would be first in line.
But Amazon didn’t disrupt shopping alone. Goods can’t ship themselves.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
Gold not in Real Bull Market Yet / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Is Gold now back in a bull market? Most gold bugs think so and are quick to proclaim that.
But, could Gold remain in a secular bear market? It hasn’t made a new all time high in 8 years and the perma-bull, financial asset loving crowd certainly believes so.
This is semantics because what really matters is making money and nothing else.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 25, 2019
5 Fool-Proof Ways to Keep Your Home Tech-Compatible / Personal_Finance / Technology
Technology changes more rapidly now than it has at any time in the past. Keeping up with the latest advances in technology means home improvements to accommodate them. First-time homeowners who want to future proof their homes should look to where technology is headed. That being said, here are a handful of ways you can help future-proof your home.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
The Repo Liquidity Crunch Reveals Market Stress. Will Gold Shine? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Last week, the Fed had to inject liquidity into the repo market for the first time since the Great Recession. Not once, but several times – and also commit to do more. Will such a crack in the proverbial dam let gold’s allure shine?
Scramble for Liquidity Pushes Rates Up
The focus last week was on the FOMC decision to cut interest rates. But a real drama was unfolding in the background. The Fed injected $278 billion into the securities repurchase, or “repo,” market over four days, to stabilize short-term interest rates and to calm the repo market scrambling for liquidity. More precisely, the U.S. central bank injected $53 billion in overnight repurchase agreement on Tuesday, followed by $75 billion re-open on Wednesday, then on Thursday and on Friday as well.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Commitment From Stock Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
Monday’s session showcased commitment from bulls as they defended against last week’s 2980.75 key range low support on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) with a double-bottom low at 2982 during Globex trading. Price remained above the daily 20 EMA in the 2970s as the whole range day ground slowly higher with higher lows and higher highs into the regular trading hours (RTH) closing print.
The main takeaway is that the smaller range of 2980-3025 is taking place within the overall 2955-3025 range of the past couple weeks. Everybody and their mother seems to be waiting for this high level consolidation/digestion to complete and for the move toward new all-time highs as we head into next Monday’s quarter end and into October.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Is Silver About To Become The Super-Hero Of Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
If you’ve been following our research, you already know how accurately we’ve been nailing the precious metals price moves. We’ve been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these incredible setups. Let’s have a little fun and start with two charts from near July 20, 2019, to help our followers understand what we’ve been expecting, but first, be sure to opt-in to our free market research newsletter
This first Monthly Silver chart highlights what we believed would be the approximate wave structure of the silver price advance going forward. We did not attempt to accurately time these peaks of valleys, we simply used our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs to allow price to tell us where these peaks may form. From those levels, we used our best “guess” to identify the trough bottoms.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Banksters Finally Hit with Racketeering Charges– Better Late Than Never! / Companies / Banksters
JPMorgan Chase and other bullion banks spent most of a decade screwing clients and investors who were naive enough to expect a fair shake in the precious metals futures markets. It was a solid racket.
Yet claims of price rigging were simply dismissed by financial journalists and regulators as conspiracy theory. The banks’ defenders were bolstered by a 5-year-long investigation by the compromised Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) which ended without a single banker being prosecuted.
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
The 60/40 Stocks Portfolio Is Riskier Than Ever / Portfolio / Investing 2019
As investors we have to make assumptions about the future. We know they will likely prove wrong, but something has to guide our asset allocation decisions.Many long-term investors assume stocks will give them 6–8% real annual returns if they simply buy and hold long enough.
Pension fund trustees hire consultants to reassure them of this “fact,” along with similar interest rate and bond forecasts, and then make investment and benefit decisions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Watching Paint Dry in the Repo Market / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
The world of fixed income trading has been extremely volatile lately. Rates have not only spiked in the Treasury market but borrowing costs in money markets have also become extremely disconcerting. The residual effects from Quantitative Tightening, which ended just this past July, are wreaking havoc on the liquidity in bond markets. Ironically, the Fed’s erstwhile rate hikes and its QT program--what Fed Chairs described as running in the background and like watching paint dry—turned out to be the catalyst for a freeze in the junk-bond market in December of 2018 and is now causing major disruption in the Repo market.
This illustrates clearly the tenuous nature of the bond bubble and that it will someday implode like a supernova---sending yields skyrocketing on a long-term basis. However, it most likely does not yet mark the start of the epoch debt bubble debacle that is in store. We will need a surge of inflation expectations, or the credit markets to shut down on a protracted basis for that to occur. We are moving closer to that eventuality every day.
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Surprising Advantages Of Investing In Gold, A 50 Year Historical Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
One of the most common reasons to buy gold is to use it as a stable store of value. This analysis uses 50 years of history to test that common belief, and finds it woefully lacking - for it misses the best parts of investing in gold.
The graph below will be developed, and we will show that gold is instead a more sophisticated (and desirable) investment than most people realize. When properly understood, gold can deliver unique advantages to knowledgeable investors, and it can be put to much better uses than just acting as a mere stable store of value.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
Crude Oil Price Volatility Returns / Commodities / Crude Oil
By Andy Hecht: Crude oil is the energy commodity that powers the world. Over half of the world’s petroleum reserves are in the Middle East, which is the most turbulent political region on the face of the earth. Meanwhile, the United States is the leading consumer of crude oil.
For many years, the US dependence on Middle Eastern oil contributed to its price variance. The Arab-Israeli War in the 1970s led to an oil embargo and gasoline shortages in the US. When I first got my driving license, the US was on a program where gas was only available on alternate days each week depending on if a license plate had an odd or an even last digit. In 1979, the Islamic revolution in Iran led to a hostage crisis and supply concerns in the oil market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 24, 2019
UKGC: Features & Duties - Gambling Commission / Personal_Finance / Gambling
The internet development brought a new form of gambling in the UK and in 1994 the first virtual casino was released which was powered by software developer Microgaming. Then, other casinos were launched that catered to the gambler’s needs.
The UK Gambling Act was signed in 2005 and the Gambling Commission was established under this Gambling Act. Apart from regulating commercial gambling, this authority has also controlled the British National Lottery since 2013 in the UK under the National Lottery Act 1993.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 23, 2019
Silver and the Yield Curve Inversion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
Yield curve inversions have historically been great for silver prices. Currently we are experiencing such a phenomena, and again it is evidence of conditions that are conducive to some impressive silver rallies.
Below, is a long-term chart showing the spread between the 10-year Treasure Note Yield and the 3-month Treasury Bill Rate.
Read full article... Read full article...