Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 18, 2018
Orange Juice Commodity Trading Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $159.90. Previous analysis updated – price has traded exactly as outlined, rallying before finding resistance and I now believe the next leg up has commenced.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 17, 2018
How Oil Prices Are Affecting Real Estate / Commodities / US Housing
By: Rodney_Johnson
I had a finance professor in college who referred to self-evident ideas as BGOs, or blinding glimpses of the obvious.The term stuck with me, and my kids have heard it their entire lives.
And it came to mind recently when I considered if rising oil prices weighed on the real estate market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 17, 2018
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold, in a wide-ranging conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses issues from North Korea to Bitcoin. Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, the founder of 321gold, and 321energy.com, and the author of two of my personal favorite books, "The Art of Peace," and "Nobody Knows Anything." Welcome to the show.
I recall when President Trump took office, you shared he will either be the best president or the worst president we've ever had. Now I don't know where he fits into that narrative for you so far, but I have to say that President Trump is not afraid of breaking paradigms. There are series of geopolitical events occurring right now, that have the world’s attention, and I'd like to get your thoughts regarding those. Beginning with the G7 Summit, which just concluded last week. And it got a little testy, if you will, between the United States and the other members, in particular Canada. Give us your thoughts on why these events unfolded, and what do you see being the likely outcome?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 16, 2018
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold weathered the Federal Reserve’s 7th rate hike of this cycle this week. Gold-futures speculators and to a lesser extent gold investors have long feared Fed rate hikes, selling ahead of them. Higher rates are viewed as the nemesis of zero-yielding gold. But contrary to this popular belief, past Fed rate hikes have proven very bullish for gold. This latest hike once again leaves gold set up for a major rally in coming months.
The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meets 8 times per year to make monetary-policy decisions. These can really impact the financial markets, and thus are closely watched by gold-futures speculators. These elite traders wield wildly-outsized influence on short-term gold price action due to the truly extreme leverage inherent in gold-futures trading. What they do before and after FOMC decisions really impacts gold.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2018
Inflation Trade, in Progress Since Gold Kicked it Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
I am sure you remember the lead up to Q1 2016. The US economy and stock market were transitioning from a Goldilocks environment and narrowly avoiding a bear market while the rest of the world was still battling deflation. Precious metals and commodities were in the dumper and try though US and global central banks might, they seemed to fail to woo the inflation genie out of its bottle at every turn.
Then came December of 2015 when gold and silver made bottoms followed by the gold miners in January of 2016. Then by the time February had come and gone the whole raft of other inflatables (commodities and stocks) had bottomed and begun to set sail.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2018
Can Saudi Arabia Prevent The Next Oil Shock? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
The ongoing speculation online about the future of cooperation between Russia and OPEC seems to be a little one-sided. The main point of discussion up until now has been the fact that, due to international pressure (such as Trump’s Twitter diplomacy, perceived Russian willingness to open up the taps and pressure from Asian consumers) Saudi Arabia will be willing to revoke its current production cut stance.
Current volatility in the global oil market is, according to most analysts, due to fears that markets are facing a severe threat. A doomsday scenario is being painted in the media which suggests that oil prices will collapse as Moscow and Riyadh allow for OPEC compliance to slip, and that a glut of Saudi crude will be hitting the market. This has been the leading theme in the last couple of days, after reporters stated that Moscow and Riyadh are ready to assist the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2018
Powell's Excess Reserve Change and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Why a seemingly run-of-the-mill announcement yesterday by Fed chairman Powell might signal a major turning point for the gold market. . . and perhaps ALL markets.
At the end of Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s opening statement for his press conference yesterday he dropped a major surprise on the markets that immediately sent the dollar and stocks tumbling and gold, silver and bonds vaulting higher. All the markets mentioned experienced sudden sharp reversals at the time of the “surprise.” Those trends have carried over to today’s market action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2018
Will Italy Sink the EU and Boost Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The recent growth acceleration in the EU could distract attention from problems of the common bloc. Fortunately, you can always count on Italy. Whenever you start thinking that only bright future is ahead of the union, the descendants of the proud Romans remind about themselves. Indeed, Italy focuses three major EU’s problems like in a lens. What are they and how could they affect the gold market?
First, populism. As you remember, Italians held general elections in March. As we reported then, the populist party founded by comedian Beppe Grillo won about one-third of the votes.. Since then, the Five Star Movement and League, the two biggest parties in the new parliament, have been negotiating to form a new government. In May, they finally published a contract for their shared platform.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 14, 2018
Crude Oil Price Targeting $58 ppb Before Finding Support / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
With the G7 meeting concluding and the world about to start reacting to what was said and what was heard, it is time to take a look at the Crude charts with our Advanced Fibonacci price modeling system.
Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes Crude will continue to drift lower over the next few weeks testing the $60 ppb level before breaching this support level and ultimately targeting $58 or lower. Lacking a real resolution to the trade and other global issues, we believe continue global economic pressures will drive oil prices dramatically lower over time – at least through the Summer months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
More on that Gold and Silver Ratio 'Deviant Conundrum' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Michael Ballanger Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the gold-silver ratio and the state of the precious metals market. Based on the feedback I received over the weekend, I thought a quick follow-up would be in order on the topic of "deviant conundrum" because it was told to me by a wonderfully gifted retired English teacher that I was on the edges of plagiarizing my hero, Sir Winston Churchill, who once described Russia as "a puzzle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." Given that I have been a fanatical fan of that wonderful Englishman since my boyhood, it stands to reason that I might have borrowed a few of his words because I have read virtually everything that man has written AND spoken since the 1960s. Being of English grand-parentage on both sides, it is at once both understandable and reprehensible that I worship Sir Winston; he would have been at the very center of the bull's eye of the "Me Too" movement because of his views and attitudes not toward women, but toward those with inferior intellect and substandard courage. He would say today that those without either intellect or heart would not deserve anything vaguely resembling a "safe space." Had there been a "safe space" movement in 1939, we would all be speaking German today because the rogues like Churchill would never been allowed to run the country.
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Silver Shares? Nobody Cares / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Almost nothing happened on the precious metals market yesterday, or at least that may seem to be the case as the first sight. And that’s true if one doesn’t count the spike in GLD’s volume, but there was something else that actually should have caught one’s attention and it probably wasn’t the case for many gold traders. Silver stocks just broke to new monthly low. What does this tell us?
It’s a subtle clue that the next big move in the precious metals sector is going to be downside. Think about it – silver stocks had an excellent reason to rally – silver moved visibly higher in the past several days. Yet, instead of showing similar strength, the silver miners moved back and forth moving to new lows. That’s a clear sign of weakness. Let’s take a closer look at both markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Gold Extreme Bearish Sentiment – A Huge Opportunity! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
One simple chart for tonights intro,
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Gold and Silver Price Setting Up for A Sleeper Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As the world continues to see economic improvements, specifically within the US and major global markets, Gold and Silver are relegated to an after-thought by investors. Why consider Gold or Silver when the NASDAQ or S&P leaders are rallying 2%+ per week?
Well, the recent G7 meeting and President Trump’s meeting with Kim Jung Un in Singapore may spark a little interest in these shiny metals as they setup a “rope-a-dope breakout” for those not paying attention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Gold vs. Stocks: Ratios Do Not Imply Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Kelsey_Williams
There is considerable extensive research and lots of articles written about gold vs. stocks. Sometimes, that is done in order to support or justify the argument that stocks are a better, long-term investment than gold. And the results seem to indicate that.
Except that gold is not an investment.
Gold is real money and a ‘store of value’. Its fundamentals have nothing to do with the fundamentals for stocks or any other investments. When gold is analyzed as an investment, it gets compared to other investments. And then the analysts start looking for correlations.
Some say that an ‘investment’ in gold is correlated inversely to stocks. But there have been periods of time when both stocks and gold went up or down simultaneously.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Silver’s Not-so-subtle Outperformance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Silver soared recently and white metal’s rally was accompanied by a huge volume. Those who are new to the precious metals market will probably immediately view this as bullish as that’s what the classic technical analysis would imply. Silver is not a classic asset, though, and classic measures often don’t apply to it. One way to check the real implications of a given development is to examine the previous cases and see what kind of action followed. That’s what we’re going to do in today’s free analysis. Let’s start with silver’s daily chart.
Saturday, June 09, 2018
Gold Price Summer Doldrums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Early summer is the weakest time of the year seasonally for gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks. With traders’ attention diverted to vacations and summer fun, their precious-metals interest and investment demand wane considerably. Thus this entire sector, and often the markets in general, suffer a seasonal lull this time of year. But these summer doldrums offer the best seasonal buying opportunities of the year.
This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s summer predicament. It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator. There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas. They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds. History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or even weeks, unable to make any headway. The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 09, 2018
How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Chris Marcus of Arcadia Economics speaks with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable about what investors can do to prepare for economic uncertainty.
Maurice Jackson: Today we will cover equity markets in a clever, simple way to hedge your portfolio. Joining us for conversation is Chris Marcus, of Arcadia Economics.
Who is Arcadia Economics, and what is your underlying thesis?
Chris Marcus: Arcadia Economics is what I started after leaving Wall Street back in 2012 where I was sitting on the New York Stock Exchange when everything was imploding in 2008 and 2009. Eventually I started reading Austrian economics, realizing that things actually work quite a bit differently than we were told. I really left to share what I saw, which on one hand, I think is incredible, because if you're giving the real version of how interest rates affect the markets and all these things are interconnected, it sometimes may be of a longer perspective. But it reminds me of Grays Sports Almanac in "Back to the Future," where if you can understand that if the banks do this with the money supply, then you can get what's going to happen.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 08, 2018
Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Crude oil moved significantly lower after topping at long-term retracement levels and since the monthly decline took place on big volume (biggest in almost a year), the black gold should move lower. But instead of moving lower this week, it seems to be forming a weekly bullish reversal. The individual daily volume levels were not low this week, so if the bullish reversal does indeed form, we’ll have a quite reliable bullish signal. Will the monthly bearish sign be invalidated? Will crude oil rally shortly?
Friday, June 08, 2018
The Deviant Conundrum Called Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses silver's mercurial aspects. When I was a young lad, there was a classmate (let's call him "Frankie") in the very early years of my education whose behavior was quite often deemed as "peculiar" and while I found him immensely entertaining, the teaching staff and my fellow students did not entirely agree. Frankie was the kind of kid who would bang on our doorknocker on a frigid winter morning just before sunrise, fully clad in hockey skates, gloves and stick, and ask if he could skate on our frozen backyard hockey rink. The fact that it was a school day made it not exactly the brightest of decisions but my Dad would invariably say "Alright. You two boys have got 20 minutes then back in your houses to get ready for school." It was never an outright rejection on the grounds of unsuitable behavior; it was more so an accommodation for the simple reason that 20 minutes of hockey at 6:35 a.m. in advance of school was a "noble enterprise" and certainly beat watching Captain Kangaroo over a bowl of Fruit Loops.
Friday, June 08, 2018
Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Summary
1)2018 has seen so much volatility in the equity and bond markets after going straight up since 2009.
2)"Everything" bubble is simply the result of record low negative real rates manipulated by Central Bankers to prevent deflation by all means possible.
3)The ending of QE combined with increasingly inflationary concerns has sparked the US to start raising rates.