Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 28, 2013
Crude Oil Price Corrective Rally / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil is still trading to the upside towards $100 per barel. It seems that move from 96.20 is in five waves so we adjusted the wave count as market could already be making wave C, final leg of wave 4) that could turn down from 100-101 resistancea area.
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Silver Stocks ETF's / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
2013 has been a brutal year for silver. And a brutal year for a metal obviously doesn’t bode well for its mining stocks. Companies that have been exploring for deposits, developing mines, and producing silver have sadly become the pariahs of the markets. But if silver’s fortunes change in 2014, as they ought to, then right now could be one of the best buying opportunities of this entire secular bull market.
Unfortunately silver is currently in a sentiment wasteland. Even contemplating a foray into this metal, let alone its stocks, is a fool’s errand to the majority of mainstream investors. Their mindset is why bother wasting even a cent of precious capital investing in a sector led by an asset that’s down 36% on the year. It’s much more prudent to throw money at the ever-rising stock markets, right?
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Gold Opening / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Thomas Clayton writes: Above red EMA9
Minimal Red Volume Bars
MACD lines crossed positive, Histogram Bars are above Zero,
Stoch RSI Positive Up
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Friday, December 27, 2013
Gold and Silver Tottering Into the End of the Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
"Oh what a tangled web we weave,
When first we practise to deceive!" - Sir Walter Scott, Marmion
“The arrogance and brutality of empire are not repealed when they temporarily get deployed in a just cause.” - Michael Kazin
When governments intervene in markets, other than occasionally and transparently in currency and interest rate markets in pursuit of clear policy, I do not see how they can expect investors to maintain the confidence in their policies and actions.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
Gold Stocks Bear Market Cycle Bottom Forming Right Now! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
Today we take a look at the Bullish Percent Index chart relative to Gold’s cycle and Gold Stocks.
Essentially it tells you what percentage of Gold sector stocks are at or above a moving average, which normally would be 50 days. When 70% or more are above a 50 day moving average, sectors can be peaking out. If you look at our chart at the bottom, we have labeled various incidents with A, B, C, and D.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013
Platinum - Our Favorite Precious-Metals Trade Going Into 2014 / Commodities / Platinum
Brian Hunt writes: Among the most important financial decisions you'll ever make is the decision to buy precious metals like gold and silver.
At Stansberry & Associates, we have been urging investors to buy precious metals for more than 10 years. We own precious metals ourselves. We've even published books on the right ways to invest in them.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013
Relaxing U.S. Crude Oil Exports Ban is Bad News for Consumers / Commodities / Crude Oil
US Energy Boom
The US is producing much more energy domestically the last decade in all forms from natural gas to crude oil with a myriad of boutique products along the way, and so it is natural for producers to want to maximize profits by expanding their marketplace.
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Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Leading Indicators from the Superstars of Resource Investing 2014 / Commodities / Resources Investing
Knowledge is money in resource investing. That is why The Gold Report reaches out to the top experts in the sector all year long to bring you their best investing ideas. For this special year-end feature, we asked some of your favorite thought leaders about the tools they use to spot trends and make those important buy-sell decisions. What are the early indicators that gold will rise, plummet or coast sideways? Is it Federal Reserve bond buying? China's growth rate? Lipstick sales? You may be surprised by the answers.
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Wednesday, December 25, 2013
Fracking, Uranium and Solar, Oh My!: Growth and Innovation 2013 / Commodities / Energy Resources
A more profitable outcome often requires a new way of doing things. The Energy Report profiled some of the most innovative stories in the energy space in 2013. Our experts talked about everything from developments in hydraulic fracturing techniques to new ways of finding and processing natural resources. As we look forward to exciting new opportunities in 2014, let's revisit some stories our experts shared last year.
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Tuesday, December 24, 2013
Silver Bells Ringing Price Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
I would like to wish each of our readers, subscribers, partners, and supporters a delightfully enlightened and prosperous holiday season. Although no one literally rings any bells at market tops or bottoms, let me just state that there is strong technical evidence for a multi-generational bottom in silver occurring some time in 2014, and leave it at that. Click here for the entertaining prophecy and here for some final downside targets before this mother of all bull markets ignites. Below are the unfolding charts.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Gold 2014 - Why You should Bet Against Goldman Sachs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It is a tragic irony that at a time when gold and silver are completing large basing patterns after a long and deep correction, and are at last nearly ready to turn up and start their next major uptrends, most investors in the PM sector have been psychologically crippled and rendered impotent by huge losses - some have been ruined. Most investors in the sector, or would be investors, will therefore not partake in the PM sector's next major upleg, and will stand idly by watching it from the sidelines. Not so Big Money which has been and is soaking up the better PM stocks like a giant sponge at knockdown silly prices.
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Monday, December 23, 2013
Silver Price Major Up-trend Forecast 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
On silver's 14-year chart we can see that, despite the severe correction since the Spring 2011 peak, it has still not broken down from the large broadening uptrend shown, nor has it dropped below the nearby zone of strong support shown. In the last update, posted on 6th October, we looked for the next major uptrend to begin almost immediately, having observed a large potential Head-and-Shoulders bottom completing. That pattern aborted and we were stopped out (of both gold and silver) for a minor loss. Although that interpretation was invalidated, it still looks like silver is in a basing process, and it may be forming a Double Bottom with its June lows.
Monday, December 23, 2013
Gold and Silver Parabolas and Ratios Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Below is a combo chart that I’ve shown you several times that has the INDU:GOLD ratio on top and gold on the bottom. So far the parabolic move in the ratio and gold is still playing out. As you can see on the gold chart below gold touched the parabolic arc this week with the ratio chart on top doing the same. This was an important week for this ratio and gold to keep the parabolic moves going in each direction.
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Sunday, December 22, 2013
Supressed Gold Market Remains Suppressed, But For How Long? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Part of the reasoning for the price of gold to attain levels that are multiples of the current price, sometime into the future, [too late for those who have been calling for much higher gold prices in 2013], is the Federal Reserve central bank creating trillions and trillions of digital currency to support every underwater bank in existence. None of the newly created imaginary computer entries, aka currency, has made it into the hands of the business community, nor into the hands of the people, aka financial serfs, as far as bankers are concerned.
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Saturday, December 21, 2013
JP Morgan Takes On More Gold, Sutck 61,790 Ounces Out of Mocatta / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The big stopper JPM added about two tonnes of gold, and 61,790 ounces of bullion came out of the Scotia Mocatta registered inventory.
This brings the total deliverable (registered) ounces of gold down to 432,612 which is a number that we have not seen in this inventory category since the early 1990's, well before the gold bull market.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Silver Charts Offer Most Reliable Information / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The most reliable information is still found in the charts.
Last week, we said to look at Bitcoin as an example of what to expect for silver, in terms of a market moving higher with impunity in a very short period of time, See Market Coming To An End, 18th paragraph. Ironically, reference to Bitcoin for its unfettered rise from just a few dollars to over $1,200, then just a few days later, the U S Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network decided to send notice to businesses that transact in Bitcoin that such activity may be considered in the arena of money laundering and that businesses "may have to comply with federal law and regulation as money transmitters, a Treasury spokesman said," and Bitcoin fell hard.
Friday, December 20, 2013
Will Gold and Silver Prices Drop Any Further? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Many times in our previous essays we have written that if you want to be an effective and profitable investor, you should look at the situation from different perspectives and make sure that the actions that you are about to take are really justified. Therefore, at the beginning of the month we examined gold and silver mining stocks to find out what kind of impact they could have on precious metals’ future moves. Back then, we concluded that the medium-term outlook for gold was bearish and mining stocks seemed to be leading gold lower. To make sure that our assumptions were correct, we decided to check the chart featuring gold’s price from the non-USD perspective and also from the European perspective. You could read the conclusions in our essay from Dec. 6, 2013.
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Silver Price Launchpad / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Silver has cratered in 2013, spawning a sentiment wasteland of extreme bearishness. Yet peak despair is the very best time to buy low. Silver prices have converged on multiple major secular support zones, an exceedingly bullish technical launchpad. The white metal is also very cheap relative to gold, which is its primary driver. All this is setting up silver and the stocks of its miners for a fantastic new upleg in 2014.
I know that is hard to believe this week, with the Fed’s surprise QE3 tapering hammering the precious metals. Literally all year long, the tapering hysteria has sparked numerous selloffs in gold and silver. And this week the actual taper is pounding silver down to retest its deep late-June low. Schizophrenic futures traders believe not only are QE3’s inflationary debt monetizations bearish for silver, but so is the end of them!
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Gold Price Breaking Below $1200, Silver $19 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This was the week the Federal Open Market Committee decided to start tapering. The result was gold traded below $1200 yesterday for the first time in nearly six months, and silver pulled back to $19.10.
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Friday, December 20, 2013
Spinning Straw into Silver and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
World financial markets are poised for a major phase transition. We are witnessing a bubble trifecta where a bubble in bonds, equities, and housing are beginning inflate beyond sustainability, which poses a very real threat to what is left of the real economy. Add to this that the underlying unit of measure is a currency backed by debt and politics.
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